Tony Awards Nominee Predictions - 2011

[ReggieonBway]

Posted: 3/26/11 at 1:59pm

There's a thread open for best musical predictions, but I figured that there should be a consolidated one for all categories. Now that the shows are (almost) all open, who/what do we think will be taking nominations?

[In Buddy's Eyes]

Posted: 3/26/11 at 10:53pm

I think Sutton Foster and Patti LuPone will get nominated for showing up. I think Sutton has a good chance of winning this time.

[bwaydreamer]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 1:49pm

Best Musical:
Book of Mormon (winner)
Scottsboro Boys
Sister Act
People in the Picture

Best Actor in Musical:
Josh Gad (Book of Mormon)
Andrew Rannels (Book of Mormon)
Daniel Radcliffe (H2S) (Winner)
Aaron Tveit (Catch Me if You Can)
Tony Sheldon (priscilla)

Best Actress in Musical:
Patina Miller (Sister Act)
Sutton Foster (Anything Goes) (Winner)
Donna Murphy (People in the Picture)
Beth Level (Baby Its You)
Janet Decal (Wonderland)

Best Director Musical:
Rob Ashford (H2S)
Casey Nicalaw and Trey Parker (Book of Mormon) winner
Kathleen (Anything Goes)
Jerry Zaks (Sister Act)
Susan Stroman (Scotsboro Boys)

Featured Actor in Musical:
John Larraquete (H2S)
Rory O'Malley (Book of Mormon) Winner
Joel Grey (Anything Goes)
Colin Donnell (Anything Goes)
Tom Wopat (Catch Me)

Featured ACtress in Musical:
Nikki James (Book of Mormon) winner
Victoria Clark (Sister Act)
Laura Osnes (Anything Goes)
Kate Shindle (wonderland)
Keri Butler (Catch Me)

Best Choreography:
Rob Ashford (H2S)
Jerry Mitchell (Catch Me)
Susan Stroman (Scotsboro Boys)
Casey Nicolaw (Book of Mormon) Winner
Anthony van Laast (Sister Act)


Best Play:
Good People (winner)
War Horse (possible winner)
Bengal Tiger
Jerusalem

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:00pm

There are 5 slots for acting categories, but only 4 for Best Director and Choreographer (and pretty much everything else).

And there are about half a dozen misspelled names.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:05pm

The People in the Picture has not had one performance yet, but you've got it nominated for Best Musical. How so?

Also, there's not a snowball's chance that anyone other than Patina Miller is winning Best Actress in a Musical.

[bwayfan7000]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:08pm

adam, I wouldn't necessarily count out Sutton or Donna until the reviews come out on them. But, at this point, I would agree that Patina has an extremely solid (and seemingly very deserved) shot at the award.

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:49pm

I just want Tony Sheldon to win Actor. I know Book of Mormon will most likely sweep everything else.

[bwayfan7000]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:55pm

Speaking of Sheldon, is there a chance he could end up in Featured? I think that a case could be made for his placement in either category, but he would probably be guaranteed a win in Featured, whereas he'd have more competition in Leading. Personally, I would like him to win anywhere, because I loved his performance way more than I expected.

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:56pm

I can't see Janet Dacal getting nominated...isn't BABY IT'S YOU supposed to be pretty bad? I wonder if Beth Leavel will be able to get in or if she'll be snubbed. Then again, I can't imagine them nominating Sherie Rene Scott either.
I'm really curious about how the Lead Actress category will turn out. I wonder if indeed Patina Miller is going to win, or if Murphy or Sutton Foster pose a threat.

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 10:57pm

I REALLY hope they don't bump him down. The man is the star of Priscilla and to have performed it over the last 5 years and then to be considered a featured actor would be a real slap in the face.

[bwayfan7000]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 11:03pm

Theatrefan4, I don't necessarily agree. I think it'll be interesting to see where the committee places him, but Swenson gets the last bow and the story really is about Tick. Sheldon's performance is certainly the best in the show, and very deserving to win either place, but I worry that if he's placed in leading, he'll be easier to ignore because he isn't clearly the lead, and that'd be a shame. I don't think featured is a slap in the face, by any stretch. Especially since a win in featured is better than a loss in lead, isn't it?

[givesmevoice]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 11:09pm

The People in the Picture has not had one performance yet, but you've got it nominated for Best Musical. How so?

Also, there's not a snowball's chance that anyone other than Patina Miller is winning Best Actress in a Musical.

The People in the Picture has not had one performance yet, but you've already decided Donna Murphy has no chance at winning a Tony. How so?

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 11:12pm

I just don't know. It's up to the producers where he goes and for all the other productions of Priscilla he's been considered leading come Award time.

[bwayfan7000]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 11:33pm

If that is indeed the case, I will have my fingers crossed for him winning there, but I fear that Harry Potter is going to win it instead...

[ILOHTFAHA (Aida Man)]

Posted: 3/29/11 at 11:42pm

Best Musical:
Book of Morman ***WINNER***
Scottsbro Boys
Sister Act
The People in the Picture
Alternate: Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown

Best Revival of Musical:
Anything Goes ***WINNER***
How to Succeed...

Best Actor in a Musical
Andrew Rannels-Book of Morman
Daniel Radcliffe-How to Succeed...
Tony Sheldon-Priscilla ***WINNER***
Will Swenson-Priscilla
Aaron Tveit-Catch Me if You Can
Alternate: Josh Gad-Book of Morman

Best Actress in a Musical
Janet Decal-Wonderland
Sutton Foster-Anything Goes ***WINNER***
Patina Miller-Sister Act
Donna Murphy-The People in the Picture
Sherie Rene Scott-Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown
Alternate: Beth Level-Baby it's You

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Norbert Leo Butz-Catch Me if You Can
Colin Donnell-Anything Goes ***WINNER***
Joel Grey-Anything Goes
John Larraquete-How to Succeed...
Rory O'Malley-Book of Morman
Alternate: none

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Kerry Butler-Catch Me if You Can
Victoria Clark-Sister Act ***WINNER***
Nikki James-Book of Morman
Laura Osnes-Anything Goes
Kate Shindle-Wonderland
Alternate: Tammy Blanchard-How to Succeed...

Best Director Musical:
Rob Ashford-How to Succeed...
Kathleen Marshall-Anything Goes
Casey Nicalaw and Trey Parker-Book of Morman ***WINNER***
Jack O'Brian-Catch Me if You Can
Jerry Zaks-Sister Act
Alternate: Susan Stroman-Scottsbro Boys


Updated On: 3/31/11 at 11:42 PM

[pennydreadful]

Posted: 3/30/11 at 12:00am

Oh dear Lord, do y'all really think that Janet from Wonderland is even gonna be nominated? She was awful!!

My fingers are crossed for Tony Sheldon and Rory O'Malley! I think Mormon is gonna sweep, aside from costumes.
Updated On: 3/30/11 at 12:00 AM

[goldenboy]

Posted: 3/30/11 at 1:42am

Priscilla is a better Musical than Sister Act.
Other than that.. I agree with the predictions.

[rosscoe(au)]

Posted: 3/30/11 at 1:49am

Really, Sutton?

[Just_John]

Posted: 3/30/11 at 2:11am

Is it just me, or does anyone else think Laura Benanti should be handed the award for Featured Actress after seeing the other potential nominees?

Edit: I also think Erma, I think it's Jessica Stone, should be nominated over a lot of the other people mentioned for that category. Updated On: 3/30/11 at 02:11 AM

[nexttotheheights]

Posted: 3/31/11 at 5:59pm

BEST MUSICAL
The Book of Mormon
Catch Me if you Can
Sister Act
The forth spot is up for grabs with the exclusion of Wonderland.

BEST PLAY
Bengal Tiger
Good People
Jerusalem
War Horse

Updated On: 3/31/11 at 05:59 PM

[nexttotheheights]

Posted: 3/31/11 at 6:06pm

And theatrefan4 the producer don't place actors in categories it's the tony's eligibility committee. The rule of thumb is above the marquee is lead and everyone else is featured.

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 3/31/11 at 6:12pm

Which is a choice of the producers and can also be overridden by the producers petitioning the Tony committee. They tend to be pushovers on that front.

[ReggieonBway]

Posted: 3/31/11 at 7:58pm

My guesses :)

Best Musical:
Book of Mormon [winner]
Catch Me If You Can
Sister Act
Priscilla

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:
Aaron Tveit (Catch Me If You Can) [winner]
Daniel Radcliffe (H2$)
Tony Sheldon (Priscilla)
Josh Gad (Book of Mormon)
Andrew Rannels (Book of Mormon)

Best Leading Actress in a Musical:
Patina Miller (Sister Act) [toss-up]
Sutton Foster (Anything Goes) [toss-up]
Janet Dacal (Wonderland)
Beth Leavel (Baby It's You)
Donna Murphy (People In The Picture)

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Norbert Leo Butz (Catch Me If You Can)[winner]
Tom Wopat (Catch Me If You Can)
Joel Grey (Anything Goes)
John Larraquete (H2$)
Rory O'Malley (Priscilla)

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Lauren Benanti (Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown [winner]
Laura Osnes (Anything Goes)
Victoria Clark (Sister Act)
Nikki James (Book of Mormon)
Kate Schindle (Wonderland)

Best Original Score:
Sister Act [toss-up, though still the likely winner]
Catch Me If You Can [toss-up]
Book of Mormon
[not sure what to put here, wasn't particularly impressed with any other score]
Updated On: 3/31/11 at 07:58 PM

[secondarycharacter2]

Posted: 3/31/11 at 8:23pm

I agree with Just_John. Jessica Stone deserves a featured actress nominee at least. She was fabulous.

[Phantom of London]

Posted: 3/31/11 at 8:51pm

I think people assume that Book of Mormon will get a clean sweep like The Producers did in 2001, although both shows are excellent and Book of Mormon is certainly worthy of many Tonys, The Producers had very little competition in 2001.

http://www.tonyawards.com/p/tonys_search