Dames will probably get a choreography nod and nothing more. The competition for Revival of a Musical is really steep this year, and Fiddler, Color Purple, and She Loves Me all seem like locks, not to mention Shuffle Along if the committee approves it
What are your guys's thoughts on Best Musical? Hamilton is obviously a lock, School of Rock looks solid, and unless they royally ****ed up Waitress between ART and Broadway it's probably in too. But that leaves one, possibly two slots left and there's American Psycho, Tuck Everlasting, Bright Star, and Disaster (and nerds, for what that's worth.) Gun to my head I'd say AP and Tuck Everlasting get in based on the fact that they both got okay reviews in london/out of town, but who knows? And there's always the great mystery of Shuffle Along that could either bump something out of this category or bump Spring Awakening out of Revival of a Musical.
Noises Off is definitely a contender. Hilty and Martin seem like pretty safe bets fora nomination and the production itself'll probably get at least a nomination for Scenic Design and Revival of a Play.
On the subject, will Blackbird be considered for Best Play or Best Revival of a Play? I know there's the classics rule, but I'm not sure if 2005 is past the cutoff for it or not.