Okay, so I know it's really early, but I want to start this thread really badly. Also, I didn’t do the creative awards or the acting awards for the plays because I’m not feeling it right now. Without further ado, here are some of my predictions for the Hamilton Sh—er, um, the 70th Tony Awards.
Best Musical: American Psycho Hamilton (WIN) Shuffle Along (I’m gonna do a Birdman) (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) Waitress HONORABLE MENTIONS: Allegiance & On Your Feet!
Best Play: China Doll Fool For Love (WIN) Misery Sylvia (MAYBE) Revival of a Musical: The Color Purple She Loves Me Spring Awakening (WIN) HONORABLE MENTION: Fiddler On The Roof
Revival of a Play: A View From The Bridge Old Times (WIN) The Crucible Thérèse Raquin
Leading Actor in a Musical: Benjamin Walker - American Psycho Billy Porter - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) George Takei - Allegiance Lin-Manuel Miranda - Hamilton Leslie Odom, Jr. - Hamilton HONORABLE MENTION: Austin McKenzie - Spring Awakening
Leading Actress in a Musical: Audra McDonald - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) Jessie Mueller - Waitress Laura Benanti - She Loves Me Lea Salonga - Allegiance Phillipa Soo - Hamilton HONORABLE MENTION: Ana Villafane - On Your Feet!
Featured Actor in a Musical: Christopher Jackson - Hamilton Daveed Diggs - Hamilton Gavin Creel - She Loves Me Jonathan Groff - Hamilton Joshua Henry - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) HONORABLE MENTION: Alex Boniello & Daniel Durant - Spring Awakening
Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Burns - On Your Feet! Jane Krakowski - She Loves Me Krysta Rodriguez - Spring Awakening Renée Elise Goldsberry - Hamilton Sierra Boggess - School of Rock: The Musical HONORABLE MENTION: Lesli Margarita - Dames At Sea
Score: Allegiance American Psycho Hamilton School of Rock: The Musical Waitress HONORABLE MENTION: ??
Book of a Musical: American Psycho Hamilton On Your Feet! School of Rock: The Musical Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) HONORABLE MENTION: Waitress
Number of Nominations (without creative awards):
Hamilton - 10 Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) - 5 American Psycho - 4 Allegiance - 3 School of Rock: The Musical - 3 She Loves Me - 3 Spring Awakening - 3 Waitress - 3 On Your Feet! - 2
I know lots of people are going to say that Hamilton won't get nominated for 10 (w/o creative), but we all know it just might. Please write your feedback or your own predictions!
The thing is, besides being an utter toad of a human being, Riedel usually has the least knowledge of the topic in the room. He doesn't usually understand the content or approach of a show, and is always completely and unfailingly socially ignorant, which makes it really infuriating when Susan can't get a word in edgewise. A definitive mansplainer; it's always painful when he has female guests. I watch the show sporadically when I really want to see a guest, because it's the only theatre talkshow we have, but it would be so much better without this hateful clown in a dadcoat. (thanks ScaryWarhol)
Actually, it isn't. It is about the making of the musical. That's why it's called Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed). Shuffle Along is the musical sensation. This is about Shuffle Along.
Isn't Sylvia a revival since its kind of like Cinderella where has never been on Broadway before, but it's like historical or something?
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Call_me_jorge said: "Isn't Sylvia a revival since its kind of like Cinderella where has never been on Broadway before, but it's like historical or something?
"
Little Shop of Horrors was also treated as a revival when it made it on Broadway.
I think Shuffle Along will be categorized as a revival.
I wonder if Amelie is making it to Broadway.
The thing is, besides being an utter toad of a human being, Riedel usually has the least knowledge of the topic in the room. He doesn't usually understand the content or approach of a show, and is always completely and unfailingly socially ignorant, which makes it really infuriating when Susan can't get a word in edgewise. A definitive mansplainer; it's always painful when he has female guests. I watch the show sporadically when I really want to see a guest, because it's the only theatre talkshow we have, but it would be so much better without this hateful clown in a dadcoat. (thanks ScaryWarhol)
funhamilton_rent, it's very clear you don't know how this process works. Neither Spring Awakening NOR Old Times will win. They won't be running in June.
Also, Fool for Love & Sylvia are revivals. Why don't you sit back and read some threads first?
My understanding of Shuffle Along is that it's the original musical but with additional scenes about the making of it. If Flower Drum Song was considered a revival even with an entirely new book, my feeling is that this will be considered a revival as well. But I could be wrong.
Other Options: Allegiance, Tuck Everlasting, School of Rock Amazing Grace
Best Revival of A Musical
Spring Awakening
She Loves Me
Shuffle Along (WIN)
The Color Purple
Those left off (for now): Whorehouse, Fiddler
Those left off (completely): Dames At Sea
Best Play
King Richard III (WIN)
China Doll
Misery
Blackbird
Best Revival of A Play
Long Day’s Journey Into Night
A View From The Bridge (WIN)
Noises Off
The Crucible
Best Actor (Musical)
Leslie Odom Jr. (Hamilton) (WIN)
Danny Burstein (Fiddler)
Benjamin Walker (American Psycho)
Lin Manuel-Miranda (Hamilton)
Brian Stokes Mitchell (Shuffle Along)
Other Options: Andrew Keenan-Bolger, Alex Brightman, Josh Young, Telly Leung, Zach Levi, Josh Segarra
Best Actor (Play)
Tim Pigott-Smith (King Richard III)
Al Pacino (China Doll)
Mark Strong (A View From The Bridge) (WIN)
Forest Whitaker (Hughie)
Frank Langella (The Father)
Other Options: Bruce Willis, Gabriel Byrne, James Earl Jones, Jeff Daniels, Matt Ryan, Clive Owen, Sam Rockwell, Frank Langella, Matthew Broderick, Ben Wishaw
Best Actress (Musical)
Philippa Soo (Hamilton)
Audra McDonald (Shuffle Along)
Laura Benanti (She Loves Me)
Cynthia Erivo (The Color Purple)
Jessie Mueller (Waitress) (WIN)
Other Options: Ana Villane, Sutton Foster, Erin Mackey, Jessica Hecht, Sierra Boggess, Lea Salonga
Best Actress (Play)
Jessica Lange (Long Day’s Journey Into Night)
Laurie Metcalf (Misery) (WIN)
Andrea Martin (Noises Off)
Sophie Okenedo (The Crucible)
Keira Knightley (Therese Raquin)
Other Options: Michelle Williams, Cicely Tyson, Kelly Reilly, Nina Arianda, Linda Lavin
Best Supporting Actor (Musical)
Daveed Diggs (Hamilton) (WIN)
Terrence Mann (Tuck Everlasting)
Michael K. Lee (Allegiance)
Billy Porter (Shuffle Along)
Jonathan Groff (Hamilton)
Other Options: Oak, Anthony Ramos, Christopher Jackson, Andy Mientus, Patrick Page, Chuck Cooper, Gavin Creel, Michael McGrath, Josh Henry, Brandon Victor-Dixon, George Takei
Best Supporting Actor (Play)
John Gallagher Jr. (Long Day’s)
Gabriel Ebert (Therese Raquin)
Robert Sella (Sylvia)
Ciaran Hinds (The Crucible)
Richard Goulding (King Richard III) (WIN)
Other Options: Oliver Chris, Emun Elliot, Christopher Denham, Jeremy Shamos
Best Supporting Actress (Musical)
Renee Elise Goldsberry (Hamilton) (WIN)
Jane Krakowski (She Loves Me)
Jennifer Hudson (The Color Purple)
Lesli Margherita (Dames At Sea)
Andrea Burns (On Your Feet)
Other Options: Jasmine Cephas Jones, Krysta Rodriguez, Mara Davi, Katie Rose Clarke, Danielle Brooks, Carolee Carmello, Keala Settle, Marlee Matlin, Camryn Manheim
Best Supporting Actress (Play)
Annaleigh Ashford (Sylvia) (WIN)
Julie White (Sylvia)
Saoirse Ronan (The Crucible)
Judith Light (Therese Raquin)
Nicola Walker (A View From The Bridge)
Other Options: Megan Hilty, Margot Leicester, Lydia Wilson
I really hope that Megan Hilty gets her first ever Tony nomination this season (and possibly a win)
And I think she has a really good chance, if the performance is good.
She is so loved and well-known, yet she hasn't even been nominated, which I could prove to be a good narrative for her, perhaps? Not to mention that if she slays Annie Get Your Gun, she would have starred in two short lived "theatrical triumphs" this year between Bombshell and AGYG.
The producers of SHUFFLE ALONG seem to be pushing it as a revival in the later press releases. We'll see what the Tony committee decides.
I also think it's Danny Burstein's year, given both the press preview and his impeccable history in a range of wonderful parts he has played beautifully. At the same time, it's a fool's errand to make that kind of call before performances begin.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
funhamilton_rent said: "Okay, so I know it's really early, but I want to start this thread really badly. Also, I didn’t do the creative awards or the acting awards for the plays because I’m not feeling it right now. Without further ado, here are some of my predictions for the Hamilton Sh—er, um, the 70th Tony Awards.
You're giving revival winner to Spring Awakening? They close in January and are selling at 68 percent capacity......??? REALLY??
Best Musical: American Psycho Hamilton (WIN) Shuffle Along (I’m gonna do a Birdman) (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) Waitress HONORABLE MENTIONS: Allegiance & On Your Feet!
Best Play: China Doll Fool For Love (WIN) Misery Sylvia (MAYBE) Revival of a Musical: The Color Purple She Loves Me Spring Awakening (WIN) HONORABLE MENTION: Fiddler On The Roof
Revival of a Play: A View From The Bridge Old Times (WIN) The Crucible Thérèse Raquin
Leading Actor in a Musical: Benjamin Walker - American Psycho Billy Porter - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) George Takei - Allegiance Lin-Manuel Miranda - Hamilton Leslie Odom, Jr. - Hamilton HONORABLE MENTION: Austin McKenzie - Spring Awakening
Leading Actress in a Musical: Audra McDonald - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) Jessie Mueller - Waitress Laura Benanti - She Loves Me Lea Salonga - Allegiance Phillipa Soo - Hamilton HONORABLE MENTION: Ana Villafane - On Your Feet!
Featured Actor in a Musical: Christopher Jackson - Hamilton Daveed Diggs - Hamilton Gavin Creel - She Loves Me Jonathan Groff - Hamilton Joshua Henry - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) HONORABLE MENTION: Alex Boniello & Daniel Durant - Spring Awakening
Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Burns - On Your Feet! Jane Krakowski - She Loves Me Krysta Rodriguez - Spring Awakening Renée Elise Goldsberry - Hamilton Sierra Boggess - School of Rock: The Musical HONORABLE MENTION: Lesli Margarita - Dames At Sea
Score: Allegiance American Psycho Hamilton School of Rock: The Musical Waitress HONORABLE MENTION: ??
Book of a Musical: American Psycho Hamilton On Your Feet! School of Rock: The Musical Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) HONORABLE MENTION: Waitress
Number of Nominations (without creative awards):
Hamilton - 10 Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed) - 5 American Psycho - 4 Allegiance - 3 School of Rock: The Musical - 3 She Loves Me - 3 Spring Awakening - 3 Waitress - 3 On Your Feet! - 2
I know lots of people are going to say that Hamilton won't get nominated for 10 (w/o creative), but we all know it just might. Please write your feedback or your own predictions!
Based on the history of "Noises Off", I'd say Megan has a pretty good shot at nailing the nomination. Also, I really want Annaleigh Ashford to be in the leading actress category. It would be a more stiff competition, sure, but I think it's only right, given that the play is named after her character. Either way, she's a total lock for a nomination.
They/them.
"Get up the nerve to be all you deserve to be."
While I agree with many things posted, I have some objections. First and foremost~especially with the competition~ George Takei will not be getting a nomination. He is a featured actor, with no songs. He is there because it is his story, his passion project, and his character is cute and sweet, but when you have a possible 3 featured actor nominees from Hamilton, he won't get the nod. He is only above the title because he's a name. Telly Leung is the male lead of Allegiance and while I loved him in the role, and would love for him to be nominated, I doubt Allegiance will be running when awards season starts, and so it probably won't happen. [Allegiance may get a nod for orchestrations]
Second, while Danny Burnstein may be deserving and it may be his year, the only real way for him to win is if Lin and Leslie split the vote - which can happen [see lead actor in a musical 2011]. Additionally, with the competition, I don't know if Groff will be getting a nomination. While three actors from a show have all gotten nods [see fun home] it can hinder their chances of winning [see 2015 featured actress in a musical] with split votes and things. The Hamilton actor I see as most likely to win their category is Renee Elise Goldsberry because her role is slightly larger than a purely featured actress, and the talent required to deliver the role successfully is great [and present]. We /may/ see Jasmine Cephas Jones get a nod[ not unlike, but with slightly more purpose than that of Emily Skeggs] , but that all depends on the competition. David Diggs is very likely to get a nomination if not win, because his role is crafted as a standard featured actor role, but he has very entertaining characters to play.
In terms of score, if there is a sixth score [possibly tuck everlasting] that is worthy, Allegiance will not get a nod there.
I imagine bart will get a nod for Fiddler.
While I am not too informed on The Color Purple, I have heard Cynthia Erivo sing, and I can't imagine her not getting a nomination [and I think the Color Purple will be included in other categories as well]
Lastly, there is still a slew of shows that have yet to open, and decisions need to be made on categories and placement of shows and actors, so while Hamilton is going to basically be having a cast party at these press events, there is a lot to see. [additionally other awards shows will be interesting as hamilton is out of the running due to previous eligibility [and since there is no "hamilton" running off broadway, the stage will be clear for shows that might not get recognition otherwise] ]
Best Musical: American Psycho Hamilton School of Rock Waitress
Revival of a Musical: The Color Purple She Loves Me Spring Awakening Fiddler On The Roof
POSSIBLY: Shuffle Along
Leading Actor in a Musical: Benjamin Walker - American Psycho Alex Brightman - School of Rock Danny Burstein - Fiddler on the Roof Lin-Manuel Miranda - Hamilton Leslie Odom, Jr. - Hamilton
Leading Actress in a Musical: Audra McDonald - Shuffle Along Jessie Mueller - Waitress Laura Benanti - She Loves Me Cynthia Erivo - Color Purple Phillipa Soo - Hamilton
Featured Actor in a Musical: Christopher Jackson - Hamilton Daveed Diggs - Hamilton Gavin Creel - She Loves Me Jonathan Groff - Hamilton/ANOTHER PERSON Joshua Henry - Shuffle Along (or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed)
Featured Actress in a Musical: Krysta Rodriguez - Spring Awakening Jane Krakowski - She Loves Me Renée Elise Goldsberry - Hamilton Jennifer Hudson - Color Purple Lesli Margarita - Dames At Sea
From the shows this season that have opened so far (including off-Broadway shows that will be transferring in the spring), here's what I think has good chances of getting nominated:
Best Musical: Hamilton On Your Feet! School of Rock: The Musical
Best Play: Eclipsed-Danai Gurira The Humans-Stephen Karam King Charles III-Mike Bartlett
Best Revival of a Musical: The Color Purple Fiddler on the Roof Spring Awakening
Best Revival of a Play: A View From the Bridge
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical: Alex Brightman-School of Rock: The Musical Danny Burstein-Fiddler on the Roof Lin-Manuel Miranda-Hamilton Leslie Odom, Jr.-Hamilton
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical: Cynthia Erivo-The Color Purple Phillipa Soo-Hamilton Ana Villafane-On Your Feet!
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play: Reed Birney-The Humans Tim Pigott-Smith-King Charles III Mark Strong-A View From the Bridge
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play: Annaleigh Ashford-Sylvia Jayne Houdyshell-The Humans Laurie Metcalf-Misery Lupita Nyong’o-Eclipsed
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical: Daveed Diggs-Hamilton Jonathan Groff-Hamilton Christopher Jackson-Hamilton
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical: Danielle Brooks-The Color Purple Renee Elise Goldsberry-Hamilton Jennifer Hudson-The Color Purple Lesli Margherita-Dames at Sea
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play: Richard Goulding-King Charles III
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play: Phoebe Fox-A View From the Bridge Nicola Walker-A View From the Bridge Lydia Wilson-King Charles III
Best Direction of a Musical: Michael Arden-Spring Awakening John Doyle-The Color Purple Thomas Kail-Hamilton Bartlett Sher-Fiddler on the Roof
Best Direction of a Play: Rupert Goold-King Charles III Joe Mantello-The Humans Liesl Tommy-Eclipsed Ivo van Hove-A View From the Bridge
Best Original Score: Hamilton-Music & Lyrics By Lin-Manuel Miranda School of Rock: The Musical-Music By Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics By Glenn Slater
Best Book of a Musical: Hamilton-Lin-Manuel Miranda On Your Feet!-Alexander Dinelaris School of Rock: The Musical-Julian Fellowes
Best Choreography: Andy Blankenbuehler-Hamilton JoAnn M. Hunter-School of Rock: The Musical Spencer Liff-Spring Awakening Hofesh Shechter-Fiddler on the Roof Randy Skinner-Dames at Sea Sergio Trujillo-On Your Feet!
Best Orchestrations: Joseph Joubert-The Color Purple Alex Lacamoire-Hamilton Andrew Lloyd Webber-School of Rock: The Musical
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Howell Binkley-Hamilton Jane Cox-The Color Purple Donald Holder-Fiddler on the Roof Natasha Katz-School of Rock: The Musical Kenneth Posner-On Your Feet!
Best Lighting Design of a Play: Jon Clark-King Charles III Jennifer Schriever-Eclipsed Justin Townsend-The Humans Jan Versweyveld-A View From the Bridge
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: John Doyle-The Color Purple David Korins-Hamilton Michael Yeargan-Fiddler on the Roof
Best Scenic Design of a Play: Beowulf Boritt-Therese Raquin David Korins-Misery Clint Ramos-Eclipsed Tom Scutt-King Charles III David Zinn-The Humans
Best Costume Design of a Musical: ESosa-On Your Feet! Ann Hould-Ward-The Color Purple Paul Tazewell-Hamilton Catherine Zuber-Fiddler on the Roof
Best Costume Design of a Play: Jane Greenwood-Therese Raquin Clint Ramos-Eclipsed
Just curious, Jeffrey. Based on your running tabulations of shows that have opened but not giving consideration yet to those that haven't (which is an interesting way to track the road to the Tonys), do you see On Your Feet being the musical that most likely exits a number of those lists when these newer shows do open?
I could see it getting some nods anyway, simply because they might want to give a little something of an acknowledgment to Broadway newbies, the Estefans.
But is the show good enough, overall, to merit keeping out the likes of American Psycho, Waitress, Shuffle Along (if it's deemed a new musical), Tuck Everlasting, etc. just to acknowledge the Estefans? There seems to be several strong contenders on their way to Broadway which could change up the predictions.
I'll be in NY in March and, while I love Estefan and MSM music, I'm taking a pass on this one. Some of the clips I've seen just don't look interesting enough to me (even despite my love for their music).
The dancing is, of course, good. And the music is, well, MSM/Estefan music, so it's great as well. But I've heard mixed reactions to the book and the story itself. It seems like the entertainment value deemed by audiences is mostly in the music and dance, but when it gets back to the story it becomes more "meh." And since I've seen a couple of their concerts, I've heard their music and seen the dance that goes along with it. Which is why I'm opting for some of the newer musicals/classic revivals when it comes to my visit: Hamilton, Shuffle Along, American Psycho, She Loves Me, Fiddler on the Roof and (if time) The King and I or Waitress. I wonder where it will stand come Tony time.
This is another strong season! With a lot of big name contenders.
Yes, we do have other new musicals coming in this season like:
American Psycho Bright Star Disaster! Tuck Everlasting Waitress
Most of them do have potential, but it's only a matter of how they live up to their potential. Sure, they've all played in front of audiences before, but we don't even know how they'll end up being modified for Broadway yet.
Also keep in mind that a fifth nominee for Best Musical is still possible only if it can receive three votes or less behind the fourth nominee.
In regards to On Your Feet!'s book getting nominated, Beautiful's book had mixed reactions as well, so did An American in Paris, and they were both nominated.
I really think American Psycho is being underestimated. Will it win against Hamilton? No. Will it be an entertaining night of theater with dynamic performances and music? Yes. I'm looking forward to that one and am hoping it lives up to my expectations. Wonder when the full cast will be announced.
Having seen Disaster off-Broadway, I cannot see it getting any nominations other than a supporting one for Jennifer Simard. That's the reason she's being brought over from the original (everyone else has been replaced by bigger names). However, the supporting actress in a musical category is looking pretty fierce, so I don't see it happening.
George Takei will not be getting a nomination. He is a featured actor, with no songs. He is there because it is his story, his passion project, and his character is cute and sweet, but when you have a possible?