Best Musical:
Hamilton
American Psycho
School of Rock: The Musical
Waitress
Best Play:
Eclipsed-Danai Gurira
The Humans-Stephen Karam
King Charles III-Mike Bartlett
Best Revival of a Musical:
The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
Spring Awakening
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical:
Alex Brightman-School of Rock: The Musical
Danny Burstein-Fiddler on the Roof
Lin-Manuel Miranda-Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr.-Hamilton
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Cynthia Erivo-The Color Purple
Phillipa Soo-Hamilton
Ana Villafane-On Your Feet!
Jessie Mueller-Waitress
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play:
Annaleigh Ashford-Sylvia
Jayne Houdyshell-The Humans
Laurie Metcalf-Misery
Lupita Nyong’o-Eclipsed
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical:
Daveed Diggs-Hamilton
Jonathan Groff-Hamilton
Christopher Jackson-Hamilton
Adam Kantor-Fiddler on the Roof
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical:
Danielle Brooks-The Color Purple
Renee Elise Goldsberry-Hamilton
Jennifer Hudson-The Color Purple
Lesli Margherita-Dames at Sea
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play:
Robert Sella-Sylvia
Best Direction of a Musical:
Michael Arden-Spring Awakening
John Doyle-The Color Purple
Thomas Kail-Hamilton
Bartlett Sher-Fiddler on the Roof
Best Original Score:
Hamilton-Music & Lyrics By Lin-Manuel Miranda
School of Rock: The Musical-Music By Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics By Glenn Slater
Waitress- Sarah Barreillis
Best Book of a Musical:
Hamilton-Lin-Manuel Miranda
On Your Feet!-Alexander Dinelaris
School of Rock: The Musical-Julian Fellowes
Best Choreography:
Andy Blankenbuehler-Hamilton
Hofesh Shechter-Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner-Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo-On Your Feet!
Best Orchestrations:
Joseph Joubert-The Color Purple
Alex Lacamoire-Hamilton
Andrew Lloyd Webber-School of Rock: The Musical
Best Lighting Design of a Musical:
Howell Binkley-Hamilton
Jane Cox-The Color Purple
Natasha Katz-School of Rock: The Musical
Kenneth Posner-On Your Feet!
Littleshopofcarrie said:
"Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Cynthia Erivo-The Color Purple
Phillipa Soo-Hamilton
Ana Villafane-On Your Feet!
Jessie Mueller-Waitress"
I think Erivo, Soo, and Mueller are locks—but I do think that Villafañe will get edged out by both Audra and Benanti, and those five will comprise the lead actress nominations. Just my two cents!
Leading Actor Joined: 9/16/15
Hamilton22 said: "Anyhow, The only person in Hamilton that has a great shot at winning is Renee. But even she isn't a lock to win with the Color Purple girls getting incredible reviews. Hamilton could very well go home empty handed in all the acting categories.
"
if Danielle Brooks and J. Hud are both nominated for Best Supporting Actress they may well split the vote just like how the Fun Home girls did last year, paving the way for Renee (or whoever else is nominated in that category)
I have a hunch that Dames at Sea will be shut out.
I think Erivo, Soo, and Mueller are locks—but I do think that Villafañe will get edged out by both Audra and Benanti, and those five will comprise the lead actress nominations.
Please keep in mind that if there is a tie in the nominating process, the number of nominees can be expanded.
Featured Actor Joined: 9/26/15
Has everybody forgotten about Alice Ripley and Jane Krakowski?? I know their shows (American Psycho and She Loves Me, respectively) aren't going to be in previews until March/February (respectively), but they are both amazing actresses who I think are shoe-ins. There is no doubt in my brain that Renée will win, but it would be a shocker if Jane or Alice won. Hypothetically though, Jane is more likely to win than Alice IMHO.
My predictions for Actresses in a Musical:
Leading Actress in a Musical
Laura Benanti (She Loves Me)
Cynthia Erivo (The Color Purple) [predicted win]
Audra McDonald (Shuffle Along)
Jessie Mueller (Waitress)
Phillipa Soo (Hamilton)
Featured Actress in a Musical
Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
Renée Elise Goldsberry (Hamilton) [I will give my right nut if she doesn't win]
Jennifer Hudson (The Color Purple)
Jane Krakowski (She Loves Me)
Alice Ripley (American Psycho)
I feel pretty confident about these predictions, though Featured could get snagged in by Lesli, or some other unprecedented spring performance like a Carolee Carmello or the like.
Has everybody forgotten about Alice Ripley and Jane Krakowski?? I know their shows (American Psycho and She Loves Me, respectively) aren't going to be in previews until March/February (respectively), but they are both amazing actresses who I think are shoe-ins.
We don't even know how much of an impression Alice Ripley will end up making in American Psycho yet.
Broadway Legend Joined: 6/9/15
I haven't seen a list of eligible shows yet. This is what I have. Am I missing any that have opened/been announced? This doesn't include the magic shows or Paramour although I suppose they're technically eligible.
New Musicals
Amazing Grace
Hamilton
On Your Feet
Allegiance
School of Rock
Disaster
Bright Star
American Psycho
Waitress
Tuck Everlasting
Shuffle Along (unless it's considered a revival)
Revival of a Musical
Spring Awakening
Dames at Sea
The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me
New Play
Act of God
Therese Raquin
King Charles III
Misery
China Doll
Our Mother's Brief Affair
The Humans
Eclipsed
Blackbird
The Father
Revival of a Play
Old Times
Fool for Love
View from the Bridge
Noises Off
Hughie
The Crucible
Fully Committed (or is this considered new?)
Long Days Journey Into Night
Leading Actor Joined: 9/16/15
god help us if Lesli's annoying acting and clarion voice gets nominated..
I think everyone is forgetting the Carolee Carmello's performance as Ma Tuck in Tuck Everlasting. Although I did not personally see its out of town tryout, I have heard mixed things, but nothing but raves for Ms Carmello. Although Renne is probably gives the stand out performance of Hamilton ensemble (I say ensemble because the characters outside of King George III blend together into very munch an enseble piece in my opinion), Ms. Carmello is an unsung hero among the Broadway community and I could see that working in her favor.
Also there is no way the Featured Actor In A Musical Catagory will be dominated by Hamilton, or even have a nominee from Hamilton. Diaster!, Tuck Everlasting, Waitress, Shuffle Along, Or, The Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (They seriously need to shorten that Title), all being filled with Broadways favorite supporting players, and then there is the Spring Awakening, and the Alliegance where George Takai will no doubt be rewarded for his dedication to the piece.
But back to Diaster!, Tuck Everlasting, Waitress, Shuffle Along, Or, The Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed, the following actors from those casts are prior Tony Nominees or Winners:
Disaster!
Manoel Felciano Tony Nominee (Sweeney Todd)
Adam Pascal Tony Nominee (Rent)
Seth Rudetsky (just because of everything hes done for Broadway)
Waitress
Tuck Everlasting
Shuffle Along, Or, The Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
This List does not even include the long list of unnominated Broadway favorites that are in these shows. All of the Spring productions have to flop harder than Moose Murders for the nominating committee to go out of their way to nominte anyone other than Jonathan Groff (Who in my opinion is Hamilton's best chance for an Acting win, as the role is built to stop the show).
Updated On: 1/6/16 at 10:33 AM
I'm sorry, I can't have an actual intelligent conversation against the argument that performers in Disaster! might take nomination slots away from performers in Hamilton. It's ridiculous.
Broadway Legend Joined: 6/9/15
I personally didn't care for the character of Henry VI in Hamilton. A bit pale and dead in the eyes. Almost like he had been dead for 300 years by the time the show was set.
Featured Actor Joined: 9/26/15
Henry VI is not a character in Hamilton. Have you even seen or listened to Hamilton??
I'm surprised at how few people are predicting Ana Villafane will get nominated.
Sorry I get my Brittish Monarch's confused. I meant George III and not Henry VI, I went to an American public school.
I do stand by my belief that Hamilton will most certainly not flood the Featured Actor in a Musical Catagory. I was not saying that I think Diaster!'s cast will be heavily favored either, I am just pointing out there is a huge talent featured actor talent pool.
I also don't think Lin Manuel Miranda will be double nominated again in both Best Leading Actor and Best Score. Leslie Odom Jr is definitley the better performance, to the point where Brantley's rereview of the production for Miranda's stand by Javier Munoz read as if the audience at Munoz's performances were lucky they weren't seeing Miranda. This is in combination with the strong catagory this year with Danny Burstein's Fiddler, Ben Walker in American Psycho, Alex Brightman in School of Rock, Telly Leung in Allegiance, and we have no idea how Zachary Levi is going to be in She Loves Me.
bdn223 said: "Sorry I get my Brittish Monarch's confused. I meant George III and not Henry VI, I went to an American public school."
I'm sorry you're so flip about not knowing who the reigning monarch was during the American Revolution.
bdn223 said: "I also don't think Lin Manuel Miranda will be double nominated again in both Best Leading Actor and Best Score."
I think you have negative knowledge of what you're talking about.
Leading Actor Joined: 9/16/15
LOL @ George Takei being nominated for a Best Supporting Actor. what a waste of a slot if that actually happens.
LOL@ bdn223 if he actually believes at least Daveed Diggs won't be nominated (and probably win)
Also I think Miranda will certainly be double nominated (score and book and should win both), if not triple...I don't think he'll win Best Actor but I think he stands a hell of a chance of getting nominated.
Featured Actor Joined: 9/14/15
I hope Hamilton doesn't win for book. it doesn't have one!! It's sung through! Although Les Miserables won for book back in the day....
woeisme3 said: "I hope Hamilton doesn't win for book. it doesn't have one!!"
That is entirely incorrect. Just because a musical is sung-through doesn't mean it doesn't have a book. The book-writer's job is not only to write to the words said by the characters (which Lin-Manuel actually did do, but through the lyrics). Their job is to construct the story and characters: Lin-Manuel decided which elements of Hamilton's life to include, where the narrative began, where it ended, which characters to include, what their personality traits were, which events are in act 1 vs. act 2, whose points of view are represented, which narrative themes to include and focus on, etc. etc. etc. All of those things are the job of a book-writer, and all of those things make up Hamilton's book. It just so happens that it's done entirely through the lyrics.
So not only does Hamilton have a book, but it actually has a very strong book, well-deserving of the Tony award it will probably receive.
Updated On: 1/7/16 at 06:50 AM
Hamilton's book is extremely in depth, has great themes and has so many layers to it it is astounding. In summary, it should (will) win.
Broadway Star Joined: 9/28/15
Time has passed, I have seen more, and my predictions have changed. I fully regret putting China Doll as a nomination, Wow. Here's what I see as of now, numbered from best chance of winning to least.
Tony Nomination Predictions 2016
Best Musical
Best Revival of A Musical
Best Play
Best Revival of A Play
Best Actor (Musical)
Best Actor (Play)
Best Actress (Musical)
Best Actress (Play)
Best Supporting Actor (Musical)
Best Supporting Actor (Play)
Best Supporting Actress (Musical)
Best Supporting Actress (Play)
Best Book of A Musical
Best Score Of A Musical
Broadway Star Joined: 9/3/14
What do you think is the likelyhood of any of the School of Rock kids like Brandon Niederauer being nominated? All of the reviews I read praise their performances as well as Alex Brightmens. The Tonys seem to love children in major roles and these are required to play musical instruments very well.
Updated On: 2/5/16 at 04:50 PMVideos