Very early Tony predictions

[touchmeinthemorning]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:36pm

(EDITED)

Musical:
Jersey Boys
Color Purple
Drowsy Chaperone
Wedding Singer

Play:
Well
Bridge and Tunnel
Lt. of Inishmore
Rabbit Hole

Revival Musical:
Sweeney
Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

Revival Play:
Awake and Sing
The Caine Mutiny
Faith Healer
Seascape

Actress in Musical:
Patti Lupone
LeChanze
Kelli O'Hara
Maria Friedman
Carolee Carmello

Actor in Musical:
John Lloyd Young
Michael Cerveris
Harry Connick, Jr.
Josh Strickland
Bob Martin

Actress in Play:
Cherry Jones
Julia Roberts
Sarah Jones
Cynthia Nixon
Judy Kaye

Actor in Play:
David Schwimmer
David Wilmot
Nathan Lane
Ralph Fiennes
Patrick Wilson

Featured actor in Musical: (wide open)
David Turner
Will Chase
Manoel Felciano
Brian Charles Rooney
Danny Burstein

Featured actress in Musical: (wide open)
Beth Leavel
Sutton Foster
Felicia P. Fields
Cyndi Lauper
Megan Lawrence

Featured actor in Play:
I have no idea -- wide open.

Featured actress in Play:
I have no idea -- wide open
For sure locks for Jill Clayburgh and Jayne Houdyshell

Updated On: 4/14/06 at 12:36 PM

[broadwaybelter]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:38pm

Musical:
Jersey Boys
Color Purple
Drowsy Chaperone
Wedding Singer
Lennon

wait---did you just put Lennon under the best musical category?

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:38pm

There are only 4 nominees in the best musical, play, and revival categories, as well as score.

[Smaxie]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:41pm

The History Boys?

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:41pm

Lennon was extremely painful to sit through...it will not get any nominations.

[BSoBW2]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:43pm

Chad Kimball?

Did you SEE "Lennon"?

Please tell me you are joking!

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:44pm

I think your predictions are incredibly off.

[touchmeinthemorning]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:45pm

I'm sure they are off. Let me know HOW you think they're off, though. That way, we can have a discussion.

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:47pm

Also, as much as I love Carolee Carmello, Lestat shouldn't get any nominations either!

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:47pm

Well, you listed 5 nominees in some of the categories, and they only have four.

LENNON will not get anything.
Sutton Foster will not and doesn't deserve to be nominated.
Souvenir will not be nominated for best play.
Bridge and Tunnel probably will not be nominated either.
The Odd Couple probably won't get nominated, and Awake and Sing!'s nomination depends on how good or bad CAINE MUTINY is.

[melissa errico fan]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:48pm

Play: Inishmore, History Boys, Rabbit Hole, Shining City

Musical: Drowsy, Purple, Jersey Boys, The Wedding Singer

Musical Revival: Threepenny, Sweeney, PJ

Play Revival: Faith Healer, Three Days of Rain, Caine Mutiny, Awake and Sing

And Brian D'Arcy James has one of the smallest roles in INISHMORE. Not a chance in hell he'll be nominated as a Leading Actor. David Wilmot is their leading contender.
Updated On: 4/14/06 at 12:48 PM

[touchmeinthemorning]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:49pm

Lestat and Lennon both hold a special place in my heart. I know most people don't think they'll get nods, but -- I think the work of the actors in those dim-witted shows is seriously higher class than those in shows where the role is spelled out for you.

Like I've always said: in a great part, almost anyone can win. In a bad part, only the great excel.

[BSoBW2]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:49pm

Musical: Drowsy, Purple, Jersey Boys, The Wedding Singer

How can TCP NOT win, then!?

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:56pm

TCP could very well win, BSO. Unless they want to give the award to a jukebox musical. Haven't see Drowsy [4/15] or Wedding Singer [4/28] yet though.

It is a very weak year for new musicals...
Updated On: 4/14/06 at 12:56 PM

[touchmeinthemorning]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 12:58pm

With all the new musicals, you'd think more than a couple would be great. Turns out, most of the good new musicals are off-Broadway this season.

Broadway gave us these gems this season:
Ring of Fire
Lennon
Tarzan
Hot Feet
Wedding Singer
In My Life
Lestat

Sort of makes you wish for the days of Dracula and Dance of the Vampires, doesn't it?

[broadwaybelter]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:03pm

well we might as well give the color purple the award right now

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:06pm

It's too bad The Woman in White closed. I liked it much more than Lennon, In My Life, Lestat and Ring of Fire. If it was still running, I think it would deserve a Best Musical nomination.

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:16pm

I would say JERSEY BOYS is the one to beat - unless they cream for Oprah.

[BSoBW2]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:18pm

Maybe Joe Brooks will have a shot at a nom!

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:20pm

It's not out of the question - his score is certainly better than LESTAT and TARZAN.

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:22pm

BSO, I almost spit my water all over the computer screen. That was hilarious!

[bwayondabrain]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:22pm

i'd say COLOR PURPLE for best musical

[EponineThenardier]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:23pm

I'm not sure I would count out Allsion Fischer, but there is a ton of competition in the acting catagories this year.

Didn't Aida win for score the year it opened? But it didn't get a best musical nod, right? I'm hoping that Lestat might, *might* get a score nomination, except for the fact that it's score & lyrics, which means it now won't.

[bwayondabrain]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:28pm

i have no clue what will get best score, um... wow, it seems like joe brooks has even more of a chance of getting a nom, there isnt that much this year in the way of great music- no piazzas!!!

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 4/14/06 at 1:48pm

The best score nominations will probably be:

THE COLOR PURPLE
THE DROWSY CHAPERONE
THE WOMAN IN WHITE
(insert terrible score here)

The possibility for a THREE DAYS OF RAIN nomination here seems possible, but they'll probably go for THE WEDDING SINGER.