Way too early 2016 Tony predictions — Page 12

pupscotch, your logic may apply when it comes to voting on the actual awards after nominations come out (though I completely disagree with it since I assure you Tony voters have seen HAMILTON and remember it well--based on your logic, Annaleigh Ashford would have lost last year because her show had closed), but the nominations are decided by the Tony committee who is in charge of seeing every show early on before it closes or the original performers leave the show. Groff's performance is very likely to be remembered come nominations morning; if he doesn't make it onto the list--which I highly doubt--it will not be because the committee did not see him in the performance. I'd actually consider him for the win if it weren't for the fact that Diggs has far more stage time and is equally brilliant.

Jshan05, honestly, if it were up to me I'd give the award to the three HAMILTON men. It's hard for me to say that one was better than the other. But in terms of predictions, I'm sticking with Diggs. Of course surprises always happen, last year many people were predicting Judy Kuhn and Sydney Lucas for Featured Actress and we see how that turned out. So who knows? Maybe Jackson or Groff will manage a win.

Actually not all Tony voters have seen Hamilton. When Groff announced his early departure, the production went into a mad dash to get in as many voters who hadn't seen it as possible. The cast did not have access to seats for about 3 weeks (they can normally purchase discounted house seats and standing room). So while there was a large effort to get most of them in during the summer, not all saw it at that time.

woeisme3 said: "I doubt Groff will be nominated- he's barely in the show."

The conversation about quantity vs. quality of on-stage time has been had a million times on this board. To be brief, please think about Andrea Martin's 2013 Tony win.

"At this early stage I think Featured Actor in a musical is Daveed Diggs' to lose."



I've been saying this for over a year. Those men you mention from Spring Awakening are not even in the conversation, like it or not.

I mean, Jayne Houdyshell was nominated for Follies where she basically had to sing "Broadway Baby" and that was it.

Kad said: "Are we so sure Porter will be Featured? He and Mitchell are essentially the male co-leads of Shuffle Along and both appear over the title."



I think it's too early to say. I'm fairly certain Josh Henry will be placed in featured, since to me he seemed to be the least-utilized of the 4 leading men. However, it seems like the other 3 men and Audra could all go either way.

Personally, I think the issue in this situation is not whether or not a person with limited stage time can get a nomination, nor whether Groff is giving a nom-worthy performance. I think the issue is simply that the category is so competitive this year, not only from all the other shows, but even within Hamilton itself. I personally think Groff might still snag a nomination, but I see why people feel that he may be at a disadvantage to the other Hamilton men, who are giving powerhouse performances with more stage-time.

I think for Featured Actor in a Musical it will be Diggs, Chris Jackson, and Groff from Hamilton with 2 other slots open. Is it possible to have 6 nominees in that category?

swanjewel said: "I think for Featured Actor in a Musical it will be Diggs, Chris Jackson, and Groff from Hamilton with 2 other slots open. Is it possible to have 6 nominees in that category?"

I believe so, if there is tied decision amongst nominators. That happened in the Featured Actor in a Play category last year.

Brightman will absolutely get a nom and deserves all the accolades that come with it for his performance. Against the competition, though, a win? Likely not.

I'm wondering what musical number "Hamilton" will used if it's nominated for best musical. Everybody's so familiar with the opening number because they did it at the Grammys, so I don't think they'll use that one. But there aren't a whole lot of other numbers that use the whole cast, except maybe 'Non-Stop', but that's such a long number and really isn't the show-stopper you want a Tony number to be. Maybe "The Room Where it Happens"? "My Shot"? Hm...

The advantage with HAMILTON is that a lot of the cast is on stage for many of the numbers so there's a lot they can do (well, and just about every number from it is a showstopper). I figured they'd still perform the opening, with "My Shot" being a likely alternative. I'd be thrilled if they did "Room Where It Happens" or a medley that features "Satisfied," "Helpless," and "What'd I Miss?" but that's just because I want to see them do the entire show basically.