I don't see Amelie making it to June 11. Out by the end of the month, if not sooner.
Bandstand has better word of mouth than reviews right now, but unless its grosses go up and fast, it won't make it past Labor Day.
I'm mixed on Charlie's chances-- they have a good advance but poisonous word-of-mouth and reviews. Will probably last the summer but not into the holidays/new year.
Anastasia is critic-proof, Bronx Tale is still selling well. They will probably be fine with no/no major Tony nods. War Paint has two powerhouse leads and seems to have found a niche, so it will last too.
I think Great Comet can survive for a few months without Groban, but unless they get another star after Oak I don't know if it'll last through the holidays.
I'm pretty optimistic about Groundhog Day lasting. Their gross was up 100K this week, which could be the critical-praise bump, and with 7 Tony nods all they have to do is keep up momentum. I can see it having a healthy 9-month to 1-year run.