my predictions for 2015 Tony Awards

[Freeman5]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 7:46am

I usually do really well predicting the Tonys; let's see how I do this year:

Best Musical:

An American In Paris, Fun Home, Something Rotten!, The Visit

Best Play:

The Audience, Constellations, The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time, Hand To God, and Wolf Hall

Best Revival of a Musical:

The King and I, On the Twentieth Century, On the Town

Best Revival of a Play:

The Elephant Man, It's Only a Play, Skylight, You Can't Take It With You

Best Lead Actor in a Musical:

Michael Cerveris, Fun Home; Brian d'Arcy James, Something Rotten!; Robert Fairchild, An American In Paris; Rob McClure, Honeymoon in Vegas; Tony Yazbeck, On the Town

Best Lead Actress in a Musical:

Kristin Chenowith, On the Twentieth Century; Leanne Cope, An American In Paris; Beth Malone, Fun Home; Kelli O'Hara, The King and I; Chita Rivera, The Visit

Best Lead Actor in a Play:

Stephen Boyer, Hand To God; Bradley Cooper, The Elephant Man;  Ben Miles, Wolf Hall; Bill Nighy, Skylight; Alex Sharp, The Curious Incident...

Best Lead Actress in a Play:

Lindsay Duncan, A Delicate Balance; Helen Mirren, The Audience; Elisabeth Moss, The Heidi Chronicles; Carey Mulligan, Skylight; Ruth Wilson, Constellations

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:

Christian Borle, Something Rotten!; Andy Karl, On the Twentieth Century; Paul Alexander Nolan, Doctor Zhivago; Brad Oscar, Something Rotten!; Max Von Essen, An American In Paris

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:

Judy Kuhn, Fun Home; Sydney Lucas, Fun Home; Ruthie Ann Miles, The King and I; Emily Skeggs, Fun Home; Alysha Umphress, On the Town

Best Featured Actor in a Play:

K. Todd Freeman, Airline Highway; Richard McCabe, The Audience; Alessandro Nivola, The Elephant Man; Nathaniel Parker, Wolf Hall; Bryce Pinkham, The Heidi Chronicles

Best Featured Actress in a Play:

Annaleigh Ashford, You Can't Take It With You; Francesca Faridany, The Curious Incident...; Judith Ivey, The Audience; Lydia Leonard, Wolf Hall; Julie White, Airline Highway

Best Director of a Musical:

John Doyle, The Visit; Sam Gold, Fun Home; Casey Nicholaw, Something Roten!; Bartlett Sher, The King and I; Christopher Wheeldon, An American In Paris

Best Director of a Play:

Stephen Daldry, The Audience; Marianne Elliott, The Curious Incident...; Scott Ellis, You Can't Take It With You; Jeremy Herrin, Wolf Hall; Moritz von Stelnhagel, Hand To God

Best Choreography:

Joshua Bergasse, On the Town; Warren Carlyle, On the Twentieth Century; Christopher Gattelli, The King and I; Casey Nicholaw, Something Rotten!; Christopher Wheeldon, An American In Paris

Best Book of a Musical:

Wayne Kirkpatrick and John O'Farrell, Something Rotten!; Lisa Kron, Fun Home; Craig Lucas, An American In Paris; Terence McNally, The Visit

Best Score:

Jason Robert Brown, Honeymoon in Vegas; John Kander and Fred Ebb, The Visit; Sting, The Last Ship; Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron, Fun Home

Best Orchestrations:

Christpher Austin, Don Sebesky and Bill Elliott, An American In Paris; John Clancy, Fun Home; Bruce Coughlin, On the Town; Larry Hochman, The Visit

Best Scenic Design of a Musical:

Bob Crowley and Production 59, An American In Paris; Scott Pask, The Visit; Michael Yeargan, The King and I; David Zinn, Fun Home

Best Scenic Design of a Play:

Bunny Christie, The Curious Incident...; Bob Crowley, The Audience; Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall; David Rockwell, You Can't Take It With You

Best Costume Design of a Musical:

Bob Crowley, An American In Paris; William Ivey Long, On the Twentieth Century; Paul Tazewell, Side Show; Catherine Zuber, Gigi

Best Costume Design of a Play:

Bob Crowley, The Audience; Jane Greenwood, You Can't Take It With You; Christopher Oram, Wolf Hall; Clint Ramos, The Elephant Man

Best Lighting Design of a Musical:

Donald Holder, The King and I; Natasha Katz, An American In Paris; Ben Stanton, Fun Home; Japhy Weideman, The Visit

Best Lighting Design of a Play:

Paule Constable, The Curious Incident...; Paule Constable and David Plater, Wolf Hall; Lee Curran, Constellations; Rick Fisher, The Audience

Updated On: 4/27/15 at 07:46 AM

[Bilbo3]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 7:48am

I sure do hope all 3 FUN HOME girls get in and Judy Kuhn.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 10:47am

Here's My Current Predictions:

Best Musical:
An American in Paris
Fun Home
Honeymoon in Vegas (if there’s a fifth nominee)
Something Rotten!
The Visit

Best Play:
The Audience-Peter Morgan
The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time-Simon Stephens
Disgraced-Ayad Akhtar (if there’s a fifth nominee)
Hand to God-Robert Askins
Wolf Hall-Hilary Mantel & Mike Poulton

Best Revival of a Musical:
The King & I
On the Town
On the Twentieth Century
Side Show (if there’s a fourth nominee)

Best Revival of a Play:
The Elephant Man
The Heidi Chronicles
It’s Only a Play (if there’s a fifth nominee)
Skylight
You Can't Take It With You

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical:
Michael Cerveris-Fun Home
Robert Fairchild-An American in Paris
Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten!
Rob McClure-Honeymoon in Vegas
Tony Yazbeck-On the Town

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Kristin Chenoweth-On the Twentieth Century
Leanne Cope-An American in Paris
Beth Malone-Fun Home
Kelli O'Hara-The King & I
Chita Rivera-The Visit

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play:
Steven Boyer-Hand to God
Bradley Cooper-The Elephant Man
Ben Miles-Wolf Hall
Bill Nighy-Skylight
Alex Sharp-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play:
Geneva Carr-Hand to God
Helen Mirren-The Audience
Elisabeth Moss-The Heidi Chronicles
Carey Mulligan-Skylight
Ruth Wilson-Constellations

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical:
Christian Borle-Something Rotten!
Andy Karl-On the Twentieth Century
Paul Alexander Nolan-Doctor Zhivago
Brad Oscar-Something Rotten!
Max von Essen-An American in Paris

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical:
Victoria Clark-Gigi
Megan Fairchild-On the Town
Judy Kuhn-Fun Home
Sydney Lucas-Fun Home
Ruthie Ann Miles-The King & I

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play:
James Earl Jones-You Can't Take It With You
Richard McCabe-The Audience
Alessandro Nivola-The Elephant Man
Nathaniel Parker-Wolf Hall
Bryce Pinkham-The Heidi Chronicles

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play:
Annaleigh Ashford-You Can't Take It With You
Patricia Clarkson-The Elephant Man
Francesca Faridany-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Lydia Leonard-Wolf Hall
Julie White-Airline Highway

Best Direction of a Musical:
John Doyle-The Visit
Sam Gold-Fun Home
John Rando-On the Town
Bartlett Sher-The King & I
Christopher Wheeldon-An American in Paris

Best Direction of a Play:
Stephen Daldry-Skylight
Marianne Elliott-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Scott Ellis-You Can't Take It With You
Jeremy Herrin-Wolf Hall
Moritz von Stuelpnagel-Hand to God

Best Original Score:
Fun Home-Music By Jeanine Tesori, Lyrics By Lisa Kron
Honeymoon in Vegas-Music & Lyrics By Jason Robert Brown
The Last Ship-Music & Lyrics By Sting
The Visit-Music By John Kander, Lyrics By Fred Ebb

Best Book of a Musical:
An American in Paris-Craig Lucas
Fun Home-Lisa Kron
Something Rotten!-Karey Kirkpatrick & John O’Farrell
The Visit-Terrence McNally

Best Choreography:
Joshua Bergasse-On the Town
Warren Carlyle-On the Twentieth Century
Christopher Gattelli-The King & I
Casey Nicholaw-Something Rotten!
Christopher Wheeldon-An American in Paris

Best Orchestrations:
Christopher Austin, Don Sebesky, & Bill Elliott-An American in Paris
John Clancy-Fun Home
Larry Hochman-The Visit
Don Sebesky, Larry Blank, Jason Robert Brown, & Charlie Rosen-Honeymoon in Vegas

Best Lighting Design of a Musical:
Donald Holder-The King & I
Natasha Katz-An American in Paris
Ben Stanton-Fun Home
Japhy Weideman-The Visit

Best Lighting Design of a Play:
Paule Constable-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Paule Constable & David Plater-Wolf Hall
Natasha Katz-Skylight
Japhy Weideman-Airline Highway

Best Scenic Design of a Musical:
Bob Crowley & 59 Productions-An American in Paris
Scott Pask-The Visit
Michael Yeargan-The King & I
David Zinn-Fun Home

Best Scenic Design of a Play:
Bunny Christie & Finn Ross-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time
Bob Crowley-Skylight
Christopher Oram-Wolf Hall
Scott Pask-Airline Highway

Best Costume Design of a Musical:
Bob Crowley-An American in Paris
William Ivey Long-On the Twentieth Century
Paul Tazewell-Side Show
Catherine Zuber-The King & I

Best Costume Design of a Play:
Bob Crowley-The Audience
Jane Greenwood-You Can't Take It With You
Christopher Oram-Wolf Hall
Clint Ramos-The Elephant Man

[bfreak]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 10:52am

I know it's proabably not going to happen, but I really wish that Ken Watanabe would sneak in a nomination for Best Actor in a Musical. He was phenomenal!

[bryan]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 4:32pm

I hope finding neverland gets a lot of nons

[yankeefan7]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 5:30pm

Sad to say, "Finding Neverland" will probably not get any nominations.

[A1st]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 5:32pm

Why is that? I've read countless predictions of the nominees and only a handful have had any nomination for neverland. Personally I enjoyed the show, so I'm puzzled by its lack of recognition. 

[Freeman5]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 5:46pm

I saw the production of Finding Neverland that played at A.R.T., so there may have been changes for broadway; I liked the show but felt while it had great moments they were too few and far between. My thinking is that there are simply better shows they can nominate and will do so. But who knows? The composition of the committee is all important, and without knowledge of who's on it, and what there biases might be, anything can happen.

I'm a bit afraid the four On the Town actresses are going to cancel each other out. I think they will only get at most one nomination and how will they chooe between Megan Fairchild, Jackie Hoffman, Elizabeth Stanley and Alysha Umphress? I personally would pick the latter but my hunch is that they will pick Elizabeth Stanley. (I don't feel this way about the Fun Home 3 in the category - Kuhn and Lucas are locks, and Skeggs isn't a sure thing, but I am hoping she makes it in and predicting she will)

[jv92]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 6:44pm

Did Bruce Couglin do all of the orchestrations for ON THE TOWN? I assumed that they were the originals by, I believe, Hershy Kay. It's a shame that there's no orchestrator credited in the program. 

[Someone in a Tree2]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 7:31pm

The first 2 posters above have listed nearly all the nominees I would predict as well.

Where I would differ in design noms:

Best Scenic Design, Musical:

Bob Crowley AN AMERICAN IN PARIS

Derek MacLane GIGI

Scott Pask THE VISIT

Michael Yeargen THE KING AND I

Best Scenic Design of a Play:
Bunny Christie & Finn Ross THE CURIOUS INCIDENT...
Bob Crowley SKYLIGHT
Bob Crowley THE AUDIENCE

David Rockwell YOU CAN'T TAKE IT WITH YOU.

 

 

 

 

 

[Fantod]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 7:45pm

I can't imagine the Gigi set being nominated. Did people actually like it? I thought it was the worst part of the show; huge, cold, and clumsy, not charming like the rest of the show. Actually, the whole design of the show was unappealing.

[Musical Master]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 8:28pm

When it comes to set design, I personally hope it's Michael Yeargan's work on THE KING AND I that wins but Bob Crowley's set for AN AMERICAN IN PARIS is actually pretty striking in it's own way.

[Someone in a Tree2]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 10:35pm

For me it's Bob Crowley's AN AMERICAN IN PARIS all the way.

Nothing onstage this season was more hypnotically beautiful than the designs for that show.

[CapnHook]

Posted: 4/25/15 at 11:05pm

I think there is a possibility that Cariani may be nominated over d'Arcy James.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 12:07am

I don't think McClure will get a nod. Wattanabee should take that spot. And I want to see Nancy Opel on the list.  And Paul Nolan is Dreamy but I don't see ZHIVAGO getting anything.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 2:04am

Watanabe isn't getting sh*t!

McClure

Cerveris

James

Fairchild

Morrison

and maybe Cariani and Yazbeck is theres more than 5

[JayG 2]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 8:08am

Some have been comparing Something Rotten unfavorably to Spamalot and Book of Mormon. So where does that place it in the farcical musical genre when next to the gold standard: A Funny Thing? I fear it doesn't hold up well.

I enjoyed most of Something Rotten. But to say it belongs on a list with American in Paris, Fun Home, The Visit and The Last Ship (simply because SR opened in April) is like saying it belongs on a menu under the entrees, when it clearly belongs on that extra little menu you're handed after you've eaten and are fully satiated- the dessert. Yes, it is gooey and excessive, and some will enjoy and some will pass, but, in the end, it is entirely disposable.

 

[Freeman5]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 8:31am

In regards to Something Rotten! these were only my predictions and not my dream ballot. I have my dream ballot posted on gold derby and Christian Borle is my only citation from this show. It's not my type of show, to put it mildly.

I will throw up if Ken Watanabe is nominated. I know many really liked his performance, but for me I couldn't understand what he was saying and (often) singing too. I felt (for me) he has zero charisma and they (he and Kelli O'Hara as Anna) had no chemistry whatsoever. Again, it's likely a minority opinion, but I hold to it. I am rooting for Rob McClure to win - unlikely, but his was my favorite male lead performance (along with Tony Yazbeck in On the Town) of the season.

[ChairinMain]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 11:32am

It's Ceveris's year, and for once I support that. I think he's doing career-best work in Fun Home, and hes an actor I'm usually not crazy about. 

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 12:02pm

I think it's going to be:

D'Arcy James: SR

Cariani: SR 

Cerveris: FH (Winner)

Fairchild: AIP

Morrison: FN

 

[Sauja]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 12:20pm

There's so much love for Bob Crowley's AiP set, which I found really clunky and cold.on the other hand, I think his Skylight set was perfection. I'd much rather see a nod for Fun Home which managed to make a very difficult space add so very much to the piece. I fear it will lose out for not being flashy, but to me it's one of the very best set designs in recent memory.

[CoreyRyan3]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 12:23pm

I don't see any situation where Matthew Morrison gets a nomination for Finding Neverland. There are SO many more worthy candidates and the he is not respected or well-reviewed. Hell, Brantley even said, "Mr. Morrison, in a determinedly neutral performance, has been divested of any hints of sensuality" also adding that neither he nor Grammer "appear wholly invested in their performances."

 

Why would that warrant a Tony nom? I know you may say CELEBRITY but you at least have to be somewhat good to get a nomination as a celebrity. 

I may be wrong, but I just don't see him getting a nomination. 

Updated On: 4/26/15 at 12:23 PM

[CoreyRyan3]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 12:24pm

"I'd much rather see a nod for Fun Home which managed to make a very difficult space add so very much to the piece. I fear it will lose out for not being flashy, but to me it's one of the very best set designs in recent memory."

Agreed, Sauja! It deserves a nomination and I think it will get one (like Once). Not the flashiest set, but well done, intelligent, and serves the piece very well. 

[theatreguy12]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 1:01pm

When I saw it, they seemed to be wholly invested in the roles. 

But I'm not one who has any special love for Morrison, so I'm not defending him necessarily.

For me it would be Cerveris, Yazbeck, Cariani, D'Arcy James, and I guess Fairchild.

My question though is why isn't Morrison respected?

[Back Row]

Posted: 4/26/15 at 2:41pm

Morrison got mixed reviews. Some liked him, some didn't. I think some were surprised that after such a big deal was made out of choosing him over Jordan, that he did not show enough to demonstrate that Harvey had not made that call simply because he was better, but rather because he was more famous. I think the problem for Morrison is that the role is simply not that flashy. He's on stage a lot, but neither the score nor the book gives him much of an opportunity to set himself apart from other potential nominees. I don't think he will get left out because he was bad, or because Brantley wasn't crazy about his performance. He may get left out simply because there were five other actors who were more deserving.