He says that according to members of the committee, sure nods will go to...
BEST MUSICAL Curtains Grey Gardens LoveMusik Spring Awakening
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL The Apple Tree A Chorus Line Company 110 in the Shade
BEST PLAY The Coast of Utopia Frost/Nixon Radio Golf The Little Dog Laughed
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY Frank Langella Christopher Plummer Liev Schreiber Bill Nighy Boyd Gaines
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY Translations Journey's End Inherit the Wind Talk Radio
BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY David Grindley, Journey's End Garry Hynes, Translations
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY Stark Sands, Journey's End Nick Berg Barnes, Journey's End Chandler Williams, Translations (possible) Niall Buggy, Translations (possible)
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY Susan Lynch, Translations (possible)
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY Eve Best Vanessa Redgrave Julie White Angela Lansbury Marian Seldes
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL Christine Ebersole Donna Murphy Audra McDonald Kristin Chenoweth Debra Monk
His predictions are pretty accurate in my opinion. The only ones I am not 100% sold on are leading actor, where I feel Brian F. O'Byrne will get a nod, and revival of a play, where I feel as though some of the nominators might have liked Heartbreak House more than Translations.
Guess he didn't get any info on the Best Leading Actor in a Musical category. I liked this column, especially the matzo balls joke.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
I actually wish he had tackled the featured acting nominations for musicals a bit more, those are a bit more complicated as usual, I think. Munk, your leading actor list looks like the definite one but I still don't think Short is a shoo-in.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
Munk I also agree with the leading actor list, and I agree with Short. The questionable one I think is Gavin Lee. Sure he was great, but will he be remembered as leading? I wonder if someone like Jonathan Groff, Hadley Fraser, or Brian Darcy James will take his spot.
As for my two thoughts above, I just mean I am not 100% sold. I don't think it will necessarily turn out the way I predicted, but I am just saying I won't be surprised if it happens.
I feel like Riedel's predictions for Featured Actor in a Play look the most out to lunch. Nick Berg Barnes for Journey's End?? I know it's still kind of early in the morning, but I don't even remember who he played! And two actors for the long closed Translations? No Billy Crudup? No Anthony Chisholm? Even though I didn't care for him all that much, no Steven Kunkin for Frost/Nixon?
But when did New Hampshire become--Such a backward wasteland of seatbelt hating crazies?...I mean, only 40 people actually live there. The others are just visitors who come for the tax-free liquor and three inches of novelty coastline. John Hodgeman on The Daily Show (1-30-07)
his predictions do sound pretty accurate, but im not really sure how credible he is if he said he's "spoken to several nominators - usually in various parking garages around Manhattan in the dead of night". haha, oh dear
but anyways, im really curious about the LOVEMUSIK and LEGALLY BLONDE bit. im pulling for LEGALLY BLONDE just so ill be able to say i saw all 4 best musical nominees before they were...nominated, haha (thats never happened to me before). yeah, i cant wait for Tuesday
My 2007/2008 Season:
Grey Gardens (7/5)
110 in the Shade (7/6)
Mary Poppins (7/7)
Xanadu (7/7)
Deuce (7/8)
Spamalot (7/8)
Jersey Boys (8/25)
The Year of Magical Thinking (8/25)
Mauritius (11/2)
Young Frankenstein (11/3)
Rock 'N' Roll (11/3)
Pygmalion (11/4)
Mauritius (11/10)
Mauritius (11/21) Mauritius (11/21)
Sunday in the Park with George (3/6)
South Pacific (3/7)
Gypsy (3/8)
Cat on a Hot Tin Roof (3/9)
I'm sure Riedel has spoken with plenty of people on the nominating committee. It would be interesting to do a study to determine who is better equipped psychologically to keep secrets - a group of eleven-year-old girls or a group of theater professionals. (I think the 11 year old girls would win.)
It's been said frequently that if Legally Blonde got nominated it would probably win the Best Musical Tony, but it will have a difficult time being nominated. Riedel's column seems to confirm that.
"I have got to have some professional music!" - Big Edie
I agree on Nick Berg Barnes, mabel. I'm a huge JOURNEY'S END fan, and I have no idea who this man played. Stark Sands? Yes. John Ahlin? Yes. Nick Berg Barnes? Who?
I find it hard to believe that the mixed-negative reviewed INHERIT THE WIND, or TALK RADIO -- which has only one thing going for it: Liev Schreiber -- would take the Revival slot of the critically lauded HEARTBREAK HOUSE, which was theatre at its finest.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
Riedel also said in his predictions last season that Edward Hibbert was a sure thing for THE DROWSY CHAPERONE; and earlier this season he said that Michael Arden and Thom Sesma were sure things for THE TIMES THEY ARE A-CHANGIN'.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
God I hope Riedel is wrong on this. TRANSLATIONS picking up two supporting actors? WHAT? and you are totally right about Journey's End and Nick Berg Barnes. Who the heck did he play? Is the Tony committee that lost that they would rob Billy Crudup, Anthony Chisolm, Stephen Kunken (who I loved), their well deserved nods to shower the snoozefest, long dead revival of Translations with two nods. Please Tony committee...if you have some extra spots to spare after these three...how about Stark Sands (who actually deserves a nod) and then John Earl Jelks.
And I hope he's right. Translations stands right alongside Journey's End as one of the best reviewed plays of the season. Niall Buggy and Susan Lynch were eminently worthy of nomination, and if Chandler Williams was also nominated, I wouldn't complain.
Begin at the beginning and go on till you come to the end: then stop.
Disagree with him about "Coram Boy" not getting a nod- Obviously, he knows better than I do, but will the comm really nominate TWO shows that are closed? ("Utopia" and "LDL")
Granted, the reviews were mainly negative for "Coram", but I still think it gets the nod over "LDL" - JMHO
haha that article is hilariously scathing. i'm all over it :)
and i hope they give the 4th slot to LoveMusik so Blonde can't try and buy their way into a win. please please PLEASE don't make us pink our way through an awards ceremony
Just as ridiculous as a whole chunk of Tony voters not voting for which musical they feel deserves the title of "Best" Musical, and instead voting for the show that will make them the most money on the road.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
"The nominators meet Monday at 4:30 p.m. at the Edison Café on West 47th Street.
The doors will be locked; the windows covered with brown paper."
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
I have an odd feeling that "Legally Blonde" will be nominated but won't win. The nomination will get them a performance on the show and people will see it. So if and when it tours, people will know about it and won't care what it did or didn't win. People already know the movie. Just my thoughts.