The 2007 Oscar Predictions Thread - HOW WELL DID U PREDICT? Scores inside!- Page 3

[Plum]

Posted: 11/19/06 at 9:48pm

Jackman's part in The Prestige was somewhere in the gray zone between lead and supporting. The Fountain is his big lead role. And as I said, that movie's been...divisive. To put it kindly. This year laid the groundwork for him to be considered a serious actor rather than just as Wolverine in the future, but I don't think he's going to get an award unless The Fountain's mainstream reviews turn out a whole lot differently than I suspect they will.
Updated On: 11/19/06 at 09:48 PM

[CapnHook]

Posted: 11/19/06 at 9:53pm

My predictions have changed:

BEST PICTURE:

- THE DEPARTED
- DREAMGIRLS
- FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
- THE QUEEN

BEST DIRECTOR:

- Pedro Almodovar, VOLVER
- Bill Condon, DREAMGIRLS
- Clint Eastwood, FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- Stephen Frears, THE QUEEN
- Martin Scorsese, THE DEPARTED

BEST ACTOR:

- Matt Damon, THE GOOD SHEPHERD
- Leonardo DiCaprio, THE DEPARTED
- Ryan Gosling, HALF NELSON
- Peter O'Toole, VENUS
- Forest Whitaker, THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND

BEST ACTRESS:

- Cate Blanchett, THE GOOD GERMAN*
- Penelope Cruz, VOLVER
- Judi Dench, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
- Helen Mirren, THE QUEEN
- Kate Winslet, LITTLE CHILDREN
*if Dworks changes their strategy and promotes for Leading, Jennifer Hudson will replace for DREAMGIRLS

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

- Eddie Murphy, DREAMGIRLS
- Jack Nicholson, THE DEPARTED
- Brad Pitt, BABEL
- Michael Sheen, THE QUEEN
- Mark Wahlberg, THE DEPARTED

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

- Cate Blanchett, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
- Vera Farmiga, THE DEPARTED
- Jennifer Hudson, DREAMGIRLS
- Carmen Maura, VOLVER
- Sharon Stone, BOBBY

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

- BABEL
- BOBBY
- LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
- THE QUEEN
- VOLVER

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

- THE DEPARTED
- DREAMGIRLS
- FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- THE GOOD GERMAN
- NOTES ON A SCANDAL

BEST ANIMATED FILM:

- CARS
- FLUSHED AWAY
- HAPPY FEET
- MONSTER HOUSE
- OVER THE HEDGE

[jv92]

Posted: 11/19/06 at 10:16pm

I'd still put Catherine O'Hara in there for Supporting Actress. She and Eugene Levy were snubbed wrongly for A Mighty Wind and this performance in Consideration is absolutely brilliant.

[Liverpool]

Posted: 11/19/06 at 10:17pm

"Really? Which prediction website do you frequent? I've only seen the Joe Schmoes on prediction sites' message boards place her in the runnings...sometimes..."

Oscarwatch has links to a couple of entries (oscar prediction blogs) that have her right there behind J.Hud.

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 1:44am

Oscarwatch.com has added Home For Purim to the race!! LOL

[Liverpool]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 2:45am

hahahha, now thats pretty funny.

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 2:57am

Don't you mean Home For Thanksgiving? And I certainly hope O'Hara is nominated. Her performance in the last third of the film is worthy, but the journey her character takes is so incredible to watch.

[Greekmusicalfan]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 4:11am

Well, according to all the buzz I've heard around, Scorsese, Nicholson, Mirren and Hudson should start preparing their speeches ! The rest are all open ! And I also think, for Best Picture, the big battle will be between Departed and Dreamgirls!

[SueleenGay]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 10:53am

The last shot of The Departed alone should keep Scorsese from winning. I think the film is the most overrated of the year. It was fine for what it was, but nothing special, and certainly not Scorsese's best, by far.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 1:19pm

My predictions:

BEST PICTURE:
Dreamgirls
Babel
The Departed
Flags of our Fathers
The Good Shepard
(DREAMGIRLS will win)

BEST ACTOR:
Peter O'Toole for VENUS
Will Smith for THE PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS
Leonardo DiCaprio for BLOOD DIAMOND
Forest Whitaker for THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND
Ryan Gosling for HALF NELSON
(Forest Whitaker will win for THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND)

BEST ACTRESS:
Helen Mirren for THE QUEEN
Meryl Streep for THE DEVIL WEARS PRADA
Kate Winslet for LITTLE CHILDREN
Peneople Cruz for VOLVER
Judi Dench for NOTES ON A SCANDAL
(I'm gonna go out on a ledge here and say that Penelope Cruz will win for VOLVER)

BEST DIRECTOR:
Clint Eastwood for FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
Martin Scorsese for THE DEPARTED
Bill Condon for DREAMGIRLS
Pedro Almodovar for VOLVER
Paul Greengrass for UNITED 93
(Martin Scorsese will win for THE DEPARTED...finally!)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Adam Beach for FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
Brad Pitt for BABEL
Jackie Earle Haley for LITTLE CHILDREN
Eddie Murphy for DREAMGIRLS
Jack Nicholson for THE DEPARTED (although I found Wahlberg to be better)
(Eddie Murphy will win for DREAMGIRLS)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Jennifer Hudson for DREAMGIRLS
Rinko Kikuchi for BABEL
Cate Blanchett for NOTES ON A SCANDAL
Abagail Breslin for LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
Catherine O'Hara for FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION
(Jennifer Hudson will win for DREAMGIRLS)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
Happy Feet
Cars
Ice Age: The Meltdown
Over the Hedge
Monster House
(HAPPY FEET will win with CARS nipping at its tap-dancing feet)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Babel
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen
Blood Diamond
Volver
(LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE will win)


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Dreamgirls
The Departed
Little Children
Flags of our Fathers
The Good Shepard (I believe it's adapted.)
(THE DEPARTED will win)


Updated On: 11/20/06 at 01:19 PM

[bschneid76]

Posted: 11/20/06 at 2:22pm

I would like to see Stranger Than Fiction pick up some nominations as I thought it was magnificent. It was hands down Will Ferrell's best work and of course Emma Thompson was fabulous. I am going to try to see The Queen this weekend if it's still playing.

[CapnHook]

Posted: 11/21/06 at 2:57pm

STRANGER THAN FICTION should get an original screenplay nod.

[Borstalboy]

Posted: 11/21/06 at 3:03pm

Yes, but will they bring back Debbie Allen to do the choreography????? It's just not an Oscar show without it.

[doodlenyc]

Posted: 11/21/06 at 3:06pm

No, but Rob Lowe is back.

[Borstalboy]

Posted: 11/21/06 at 3:07pm

This time he sings "Bali Hai" with Mulan.

[Plum]

Posted: 11/21/06 at 5:50pm

Reviews for The Fountain are coming in, and with a few exceptions, they aren't pretty. Jackman's acting is being complimented, but I don't think this movie will be a sufficiently popular vehicle to get him any awards. The cinematography and design of the movie might succeed, but that's about it.

[CapnHook]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 12:43am

Again, new predictions based on LA Critics', AFI list, NBR list, and NY Online Critics' recognitions:

BEST PICTURE:

- THE DEPARTED
- DREAMGIRLS
- LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
- LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
- THE QUEEN

BEST DIRECTOR:

- Bill Condon, DREAMGIRLS
- Clint Eastwood, FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- Clint Eastwood, LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
- Stephen Frears, THE QUEEN
- Martin Scorsese, THE DEPARTED

BEST ACTOR:

- Sacha Baron Cohen, BORAT
- Leonardo DiCaprio, THE DEPARTED*
- Ryan Gosling, HALF NELSON
- Peter O'Toole, VENUS
- Forest Whitaker, THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND
*possibly will be replaced by Will Smith, THE PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS

BEST ACTRESS:

- Cate Blanchett, THE GOOD GERMAN*
- Penelope Cruz, VOLVER
- Judi Dench, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
- Helen Mirren, THE QUEEN
- Kate Winslet, LITTLE CHILDREN
*if Dworks changes their strategy and promotes for Leading, Jennifer Hudson will replace for DREAMGIRLS

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

- Eddie Murphy, DREAMGIRLS
- Jack Nicholson, THE DEPARTED
- Brad Pitt, BABEL
- Michael Sheen, THE QUEEN
- Mark Wahlberg, THE DEPARTED

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

- Cate Blanchett, NOTES ON A SCANDAL
- Vera Farmiga, THE DEPARTED
- Jennifer Hudson, DREAMGIRLS
- Carmen Maura, VOLVER
- Sharon Stone, BOBBY

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

- BABEL
- BOBBY
- LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
- THE QUEEN
- VOLVER

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

- THE DEPARTED
- DREAMGIRLS
- FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
- THE GOOD GERMAN
- NOTES ON A SCANDAL

BEST ANIMATED FILM:

- CARS
- FLUSHED AWAY
- HAPPY FEET
- MONSTER HOUSE
- OVER THE HEDGE

[Type_A_Tiff]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 12:53am

What made you change your mind for Sacha Baron Cohen to be more of a nomination lock than Leonardo? Just curious.

[Plum]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 12:54am

Sascha Baron Cohen? I disagree. A lot.

[TheActr97J]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 1:30am

You really think they will give Eastwood TWO directing nominations? I doubt it. Letter's is receiving far greater critical praise anyway.

Baron Cohen isn't a long-shot by any means, but a lock for a nomination... at this point I can't agree.

[jrb_actor]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 2:04am

I think when one wants to seriously predict Oscar nominations, they have put their prejudices aside as best as possible. Loving something or hating something--and then including it or not including it, respectively, can lead you astray.

[Auggie27]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 9:51am

Gosling is my own personal favorite this year. I hope he isn't bumped.

[~FloweryFriend~]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 11:49am

Really, Mirren is a shoo-in? I wouldn't count out Penelope Cruz. She could take that category.




And I'm SHOCKED that no one has mentioned the Oscar-worthy acting in "Snakes on a Plane".

[Lorelai]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 12:06pm

BRILLIANT!

[Lorelai]

Posted: 12/11/06 at 12:06pm

BRILLIANT!