2013 Tonys... how's it looking so far?

Wanted to put some feelers out on the word of mouth in regards to this season's Tony Awards. Doesn't seem like a lot of things have really stuck as locks so far, so it could be a very exciting and interesting year!

So... here goes nothing. If you're going to be rude, don't bother. This is purely for discussion and interest.

I just listed what seem to be the contenders and put a * next to the ones that seem to be the likeliest bets so far.

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Best Musical
*MATILDA
*BRING IT ON
CHAPLIN
KINKY BOOTS
*MOTOWN
SCANDALOUS
*HANDS ON A HARDBODY
A CHRISTMAS STORY

Best Play (having a tough time with this category. it can't be this bare?)
*THE PERFORMERS
DEAD ACCOUNTS
*THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
*LUCKY GUY
*THE OTHER PLACE

Best Revival of a Musical
ANNIE
*JEKYLL & HYDE
*THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
*CINDERELLA
ELF
HOW THE GRINCH STOLE CHRISTMAS
*PUMP BOYS AND DINETTES

Best Revival of a Play
BREAKFAST AT TIFFANY'S
THE HEIRESS
*WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
THE BIG KNIFE
PICNIC
*GLENGARRY GLEN ROSS
CYRANO DE BERGERAC
*CAT ON A HOT TIN ROOF
*GOLDEN BOY
HARVEY

Best Director of a Musical (crowded)
James Lapine, ANNIE
*Matthew Warchus, MATILDA
Andy Blankenbuehler, BRING IT ON
Charles Randolph-Wright, MOTOWN
*Scott Ellis, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
Neil Pepe, HANDS ON A HARDBODY
Jerry Mitchell, KINKY BOOTS
*John Doyle, PUMP BOYS AND DINETTES
*Mark Brokaw, CINDERELLA

Best Director of a Play (crowded)
*Pam McKinnon, WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
*Joe Mantello, THE OTHER PLACE
George C. Wolfe, LUCKY GUY
*Bartlett Sher, GOLDEN BOY
*Daniel Sullivan, GLENGARRY GLEN ROSS
Doug Hughes, THE BIG KNIFE
Rob Ashford, CAT ON A HOT TIN ROOF
Evan Cabnet, THE PERFORMERS
Lynne Meadow, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES

Best Leading Actress in a Musical
Lilla Crawford, ANNIE
*Katie Finneran, ANNIE
*Matildas, MATILDA
Taylor Louderman, BRING IT ON
Adrienne Warren, BRING IT ON
*Stephanie J. Block, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
*Laura Osnes, CINDERELLA
Carolee Carmello, SCANDALOUS
*Valisia Lekae, MOTOWN

Best Leading Actress in a Play (can't choose a fifth. I think it's a sight unseen)
*Laurie Metcalf, THE OTHER PLACE
*Scarlett Johansson, CAT ON A HOT TIN ROOF
Emilia Clark, BREAKFAST AT TIFFANY'S
*Amy Morton, WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Jessica Chastain, THE HEIRESS
*Jessica Hecht, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Patti LuPone, THE ANARCHIST
Debra Winger, THE ANARCHIST
Katie Holmes, DEAD ACCOUNTS

Best Leading Actor in a Musical
*Bertie Carvel, MATILDA (assuming he makes the trip over the pond for this company)
*Constantine Maroulis, JEKYLL & HYDE
Rob McClure, CHAPLIN
*Will Chase, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
Brandon Victor Dixon, MOTOWN
Billy Porter, KINKY BOOTS
Stark Sands, KINKY BOOTS
*Santino Fontana, CINDERELLA
*Anthony Warlow, ANNIE
George Hearn, SCANDALOUS

Best Leading Actor in a Play (i've got to be missing some huge players here)
*Al Pacino, GLENGARRY GLEN ROSS
*Douglas Hodge, CYRANO DE BERGERAC
Cheyenne Jackson, THE PERFORMERS
*Tom Hanks, LUCKY GUY
*Jim Parsons, HARVEY
Norbert Leo Butz, DEAD ACCOUNTS
*Bobby Cannavale, THE BIG KNIFE

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
*Chita Rivera, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
Annaleigh Ashford, KINKY BOOTS
*Harriet Harris, CINDERELLA
*Victoria Clark, CINDERELLA
Marla Mindelle, CINDERELLA
Ann Harada, CINDERELLA
Leslie Kritzer, ELF
Jessie Mueller, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
*Erin Dilly, A CHRISTMAS STORY
Teal Wicks, JEKYLL & HYDE
*Ryann Redmond, BRING IT ON

Best Featured Actress in a Play
*Debra Monk, CAT ON A HOT TIN ROOF
*Judith Light, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Alicia Silverstone, THE PERFORMERS
*Zoe Perry, THE OTHER PLACE
*Ellen Burstyn, PICNIC
Jessica Hecht, HARVEY
*Carrie Coon, WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Ari Graynor, THE PERFORMERS

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
*Gregg Edelman, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
*Paul Kaye, MATILDA (assuming he joins this production as well)
*Jim Norton, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
Dan Lauria, A CHRISTMAS STORY
*John Bolton, A CHRISTMAS STORY
Laird Mackintosh, JEKYLL & HYDE
*Chestor Gregory, BRING IT ON

Best Featured Actor in a Play
*Bobby Cannavale, GLENGARRY GLEN ROSS
John Schiappa, THE OTHER PLACE
*Daniel Stern, THE OTHER PLACE
*Henry Winkler, THE PERFORMERS
*Jeremy Shamos, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Madison Dirks, WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
David Strathairn, THE HEIRESS
Dan Stevens, THE HEIRESS
*Danny Burstein, GOLDEN BOY

Best Original Score
*Amanda Green, Tom Kitt, Lin Manuel Miranda, BRING IT ON
*Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, A CHRISTMAS STORY
Trey Anastasio, Amanda Green, HANDS ON A HARDBODY
*Tim Minchin, MATILDA
Christopher Curtis, CHAPLIN
*Cyndi Lauper, KINKY BOOTS
David Pomeranz, David Friedman, Kathie Lee Gifford, SCANDALOUS

Best Book
*Dennis Kelly, MATILDA
*Jeff Whitty, BRING IT ON
Berry Gordy, MOTOWN
Christopher Curtis, Tom Meehan, CHAPLIN
*Harvey Fierstein, KINKY BOOTS
*Doug Wright, HANDS ON A HARDBODY

Best Choreography
*Andy Blankenbuehler, BRING IT ON
Josh Rhodes, CINDERELLA
*Peter Darling, MATILDA
Warren Carlyle, THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
*Sergio Trujillo, HANDS ON A HARDBODY
Warren Carlyle, A CHRISTMAS STORY
*Andy Blankenbuehler, ANNIE
Jerry Mitchell, KINKY BOOTS





Tech awards maybe another time when there's more to go off of besides thought and speculation.

Considering most shows haven't even started PREVIEWS, and, therefore, no one has seen much of anything, this is just silly.

(BTW...you can't dictate how people will respond on a PUBLIC thread.)

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Jan Maxwell has it in her bag.

So does Elena Roger.

Bring It On isn't going to be bringing it on Tony night.

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Wouldn't Cinderella be in the Best Musical theoretically it hasn't been on Broadway before while some of its interpolated songs have. This hasn't discounted other shows before.

From the Tony Rules: "A play or musical that is determined by the Tony Awards Administration Committee (in its sole discretion) to be a “classic” or in the historical or popular repertoire shall not be eligible for an Award in the Best Play or Best Musical category but may be eligible in the appropriate Best Revival category, if any, provided it meets all other eligibility
requirements set forth in these Rules."

I would assume CINDERELLA would meet these requirements.

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I think there may be some discussion of CINDERELLA's position. No one has ever seen THIS version and the score has never been heard on BWay.
Although OACDYCSF was similar.

I know Al Pacino is Al Pacino, but his performance currently for Glengarry is nowhere near nomination worthy. I'd move Bobby up to leading actor, he's much more likely to get a nomination regardless.

I would remove Henry Winkler from your list.....seems like a very nice man, but his performance in THE PERFORMERS is, imho, very bad.

Also, I loved THE MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD and look forward to seeing it again soon. That said, Stephanie J. Block always comes across as way too modern and this performance is no exception. And as much as I love and admire Chita Rivera, she really disappointed me in this. It was a very dull and half hearted take on a part that can really steal the show.

Jesse Mueller is the supporting performance from this that I would nominate. She was FANTASTIC!

I'll say it now-- "Scandalous" will not be nominated in a single category, as should be the case.

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Scandalous...lol.

I think probably the only sure bets for nominations (and quite possibly wins) as of right now are Matilda and Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?...other than that it's far too early.

I wouldn't be surprised if Tracy Letts walks away with the Tony given the caliber of his performance. I would say Amy Morton too but we have a lot of potentially very strong female performances this season, though she will certainly be nominated.

You did not include The Anarchist, Ann or Pippin. Patty LuPone may walk with her third Tony. And I hear Pippin will be amazing with the changes added to the story.