I'd love to see Janet Dacal shock everyone and take that fourth spot.
I think it's going to be:
Sutton Foster
Beth Leavel(this spot could go to Sherie Renee Scott)
Patina Miller
Donna Murphy
I'd love to see Janet Dacal shock everyone and take that fourth spot.
Yeah... that's not going to happen.
Sutton, Patina, Donna, Sherie. Period. Sutton will win.
My money's on Leavel for the fourth slot, too. My biggest error in my predictions last year was completely discounting Million Dollar Quartet.
Ehh. Sherrie did nothing for me. Absolutely nothing.
Too bad, i thought Sherri would get a tony nom by default. i actually really liked her performance...So it will be:
Sutton
Donna
Beth
Patina
Sutton will win.
Ditto americanboy99
It's tough because 4/6 of the ladies are critics' and Tony voters' favorites.
If you made me pick the 4 right now, I say Murphy, Foster, Leavel, and Miller.
(Although I haven't seen Wonderland... I love Dacal but based on what I hear of the show and the other options, I say she's out, I hope I'm wrong though.)
Sherrie, while wonderful did an underwhelming job in a terrible musical.
My money is definitely on Donna, Beth, Patina and Sutton. However, I think is could be a tuff category this year. As someone mentioned all four ladies are Tony committee favorites, so I think this could go either way. Although I'm a huge Donna Murphy fan and would love to see her win, I think this is Sutton's year.
Can't wait to hear the nominations tomorrow!
I am a big Sherie fan obviously but I think Leavel is more of a critics/voters' darling. She'll probably get the fourth slot. I also feel like Sherie is the kind of person who would find it unnecessary to be nominated when she has no shot at winning.
I think it's pretty clear that Donna, Patina, and Sutton are getting nominated. I honestly don't know who I'd guess between Beth and Sherie. Sherie deserves it more, but Beth is in the open show. I am slightly leaning towards Sherie only because the award committees this season have shown some love for Women on the Verge and perhaps remember it fondly. The fact that Baby It's You is so bad might cause people the remember liking Verge more than they actually did. Who knows, maybe they will surprise us and only nominate the 3. I'm going out on a limb and guessing Sherie for the 4th spot.
Also, I am still not 100% sold on Sutton winning. Patina still could win with all of the road voters. Plus, Donna could steal some crucial votes from Sutton (the older voters who want to show Ms. Murphy respect for an impressive career). I like Patina's chances. Sutton is obviously the slight favorite, but I wouldn't count out Patina quite yet.
I wouldn't at all be surprised if they only went for three nominees in this catagory. The rule says they shall have 'no more than four' when six women are eligible. It doesn't say there must be four. Maybe they'll throw a bone to poor Beth for gritting her teeth and chewing on cold turkey, but if they are going on merit - I could see them saying only Miller, Murphy and Foster gave 'award worthy' performances in the catagory.
I think I'd actually prefer to see only 3 women nominated so that it is actually a tight race between all the nominees and nobody feels like the "redheaded stepchild".
MB, I would be suprised if they dropped to three, considering the fact that they went ahead and nominated four best musical contenders amongst the slim pickings last year.
Maybe, but its a different nominating committee and a lesser catagory, so anything is possible. Historically, the nominating committee has been known to pull some interesting decisions; and unlike the Best Musical race, certainly nobody in the League is going to go to bat and complain if Beth Leavel and/or Sherie Scott aren't nominated for Best Actress for their roles in two flop musicals.
I would love it if they only nominated the three of them. Beth Leavel, talented as she is, does not deserve a nomination. That show is so so so atrocious and she can't do anything with the material, her character (and therefore, her performance) has no depth whatsoever, I'd hate for that to become a Tony-nominated performance.
Can't speak about Sherie since I didn't see WOMEN ON THE VERGE. Really wondering what the nominating committee will do here.
I don't know...I think there was enough artistic validity to WOMEN... to throw Ms. Scott a bone. Plus...they STILL should be saying 'I'm sorry' for not nomming her Amneris.
I somehow doubt the nominating committee is kicking themselves for not nominating her for AIDA...
While BABY, IT'S YOU is still open, I have a strong feeling the nomination committee will be trying their hardest to shut it out, as they will with WONDERLAND. I also feel the release of the cast recording really helps WOMEN ON THE VERGE in terms of nominations for Leading Actress (Scott) Featured (Benanti & LuPone) and Score/Orchestrations (Yazbek).
I love Beth Leavel, but I'd much rather see Sherie Rene Scott get a nomination for trying to use what she was given in a troubled musical with an original score, then Leavel walking off stage via one liners in a sad jukebox musical.
Oh...I know...Imma just bein' silly today. It's Monday and I'm in a good mood. I'm gonna let that ride for a while.
And to keep it on topic, I think it will end up being a nail-biter between Foster and Miller.
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I would guess the nominating committee would would want to completely stay away from Baby, It's You! and Wonderland, and will go with Sherie or three nominations.
And I really don't think anyone is going to be able to call the Sutton/Patina race. It's incredibly close, and I could really see the logic behind either of them taking it.
Sutton/Patina/Donna/Sherie
The latter two have no chance, sadly.
Can't they throw Tony Sheldon into this mix? He'd sooner win in this category...
I love Sherrie but her performance in WOTV was literally the worst leading female performance I have ever seen on a Broadway stage.
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