Best Leading Actress in a Play 2017

[Butter Broadway]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 2:31pm

Who will be nominated? Win?

Jennifer Ehle - Oslo

Sally Field - The Glass Menagerie 

Cate Blanchett - The Present

Laura Linney - The Little Foxes

Cynthia Nixon - The Little Foxes

Allison Janney - Six Degrees of Separation

Diane Lane - The Cherry Orchard

Mary-Louise Parker - Heisenberg

Laurie Metcalf - A Doll's House Part 2

Janet McTeer - Les Liaisons Dangereuses

 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 2:37pm

It's looking likely that only Linney will be considered as Leading from Foxes. Nixon will probably be Featured. 

[ebontoyan]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 2:55pm

Any reason why every Tony category should have their own thread???!

[quizking101]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 2:57pm

Unless OSLO does a sweep, I have my money on Janney

[Butter Broadway]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:05pm

Am i missing anyone from this list? Any female leads in Sweat or Indecent?

[little_sally]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:05pm

quizking101 said: "Unless OSLO does a sweep, I have my money on Janney

I really don't see Ehle beating Linney, Janney, or Metcalf. Her role just doesn't have the same weight.

 

[Butter Broadway]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:11pm

I think Ehle, Janney, and Metcalf will get nominated. Not sure about the other 2. 

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:28pm

I wouldn't be that surprised to see Ehle left out of contention. She's very good in the show, but there's almost nothing interesting about the role. The nominators might love Oslo, but I could see her getting overshadowed by women with flashier parts. 

[little_sally]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:38pm

wonderfulwizard11 said: "I wouldn't be that surprised to see Ehle left out of contention. She's very good in the show, but there's almost nothing interesting about the role. The nominators might love Oslo, but I could see her getting overshadowed by women with flashier parts. 

 

Agreed. It feels like a glorified narrator.

 

[Butter Broadway]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:43pm

It could be similar to Denee Benton, where the strength of the show pulls her through.

[Kad]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:44pm

They're very different roles.

Ehle's performance really stuck with me since I saw Oslo last summer. I think it's marvelously subtle and insinuating. I, personally, would nominate her.

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 3:47pm

ebontoyan said: "Any reason why every Tony category should have their own thread???!"

Personally I think it's great to have different threads - it's too disjointed a conversation in the "too early Tony Predictions" thread when people are jumping from talking about one category to another, with different conversations all happening at once. Just my opinion, but these individual threads are refreshing, and makes it easier to have a real conversation about a specific category. 

[MayAudraBlessYou2]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 4:31pm

The only way Ehle (and her co-star Mays) gets in is if the overall strength of Oslo sweeps them up. She's a wonderful actress, but there is next to nothing going on with her role. I had zero emotional connection to her and Mays' characters. The play ended and I still didnt get why the two of them went out of their way to organize the peace talks.

I think Metcalf, Linney, Blanchett, and Janney are definitely getting in. If Nixon is kept in Lead then she will make 5. If the Tony Administration puts her in Featured, then I think it'll be between Mary Louise Parker and Sally Field for the last slot. I'd say Metcalf has the edge for the win

[bjh2114]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 4:34pm

Ehle will almost certainly get in.  My money is on (in order of likelihood) Metcalf, Linney, Janney, Ehle, and Field.  I think Blanchett will get left out (especially if Cynthia Nixon ends up being deemed eligible for leading).

[Willie4316]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 5:56pm

Cate Blanchett - The Present

Sally Field - The Glass Menagerie 

Diane Lane - The Cherry Orchard

Laura Linney - The Little Foxes

Laurie Metcalf - A Doll's House Part 2

[VotePeron]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:02pm

Not to be a broken record - but I am under the impression that Johanna Day (Sweat) will be considered Leading, and if so, a very strong contender in this category.

[bjh2114]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:05pm

Willie, no offense, but there is literally NO chance that Diane Lane gets nominated.

[Willie4316]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:08pm

bjh2114 said: "Willie, no offense, but there is literally NO chance that Diane Lane gets nominated."

None taken, I just think she might be the dark horse for this category. Otherwise the slot would have went to Mary-Louise Parker

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:11pm

My thoughts:

Cate Blanchett – The Present
Laura Linney – The Little Foxes
Allison Janney – Six Degrees of Separation
Laurie Metcalf – A Doll's House, Part 2
Mary-Louise Parker – Heisenberg

Dark Horses: Jennifer Ehle – Oslo or Sally Field – The Glass Menagerie

[Jarethan]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:15pm

Willie4316 said: "Cate Blanchett - The Present

Sally Field - The Glass Menagerie 

Diane Lane - The Cherry Orchard

Laura Linney - The Little Foxes

Laurie Metcalf - A Doll's House Part 2

 

i hope you are kidding.  Diane Lane's reviews -- while not as bad as the production -- had me wondering how she ever got the strength to go on for future performances.  I saw her before heading down south for the winter and i felt bad for her, cause I really like her a lot.

I have not seen anyone other than she and Parker at this point -- tickets to 10 shows starting May 31st -- and a trip to the city in early July so far.  It will be interesting to see if Laurie Metcalfe, and the play, gets reviews similar to the love on this thread.  I hope so, otherwise I suspect it won't be opened by the time I can see it.

Based on reading zillions of reviews so far, I am assuming that Laura Linney is the only lock to date.  While Blanchett got personal reviews worthy of a nomination, the combination of a closed show and an intensely disliked show doesn't bode well.  Will also be interesting to see if Heisenberg is forgotten, since Parker was terrific and got great reviews. Field got some outstanding reviews but a good number did not like her take or the production itself.  Back to Metcalf, the feedback on this site leads me to assume she deserves a nom.

 

 

"

 

Updated On: 4/21/17 at 06:15 PM

[Willie4316]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:20pm

Jarethan said: "Willie4316 said: "Cate Blanchett - The Present

Sally Field - The Glass Menagerie 

Diane Lane - The Cherry Orchard

Laura Linney - The Little Foxes

Laurie Metcalf - A Doll's House Part 2

 

i hope you are kidding.  Diane Lane's reviews -- while not as bad as the production -- had me wondering how she ever got the strength to go on for future performances.  I saw her before heading down south for the winter and i felt bad for her, cause I really like her a lot.

I have not seen anyone at this point -- tickets to 10 shows starting May 31st -- and a trip to the city in early July so far.  It will be interesting to see if Laurie Metcalfe, and the play, gets reviews similar to the love on this thread.  I hope so, otherwise I suspect it won't be opened by the time I can see it.

Based on reading zillions of reviews so far, I am assuming that Laura Linney is the only lock to date.  While Blanchett got personal reviews worthy of a nomination, the combination of a closed show and an intensely disliked show doesn't bode well.  Will also be interesting to see if Heisenberg is forgotten, since Parker was terrific and got great reviews. Field got some outstanding reviews but a good number did not like her take or the production itself.  Back to Metcalf, the feedback on this site leads me to assume she deserves a nom."
 

My predictions are for what I think will happen in terms of nominations and wins, not necessarily what I want to occur. However, Field, Linney and Metcalf are ones I rather do hope I'm right about for at least nominations and maybe wins. 

[Jarethan]

Posted: 4/21/17 at 6:24pm

Since I have seen all three of them give terrific performances any number of times, can't say that I disagree with you, but I haven't seen any of them.  Will have by June 5th.  In general I do think Linney got the best reviews of the three, but that doesn't always count for much.