Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
#1Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:05pm
It would be such a wild upset. I feel the slightest tingle in the air that the tides might be turning in her favor. Thoughts?
MadsonMelo
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/24/14
#2Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:08pm
I think that for her to have a real shot the show would have to be much stronger than it was. To win a Lead Tony with your show not nominated in Musical, Book, Score or Directing is so hard that the only reason Block did it it because not really having a competition and being a theater veteran.
Had ''Gypsy'' and ''Sunset'' also being underwhelming in support it would be good for her, but especially ''Sunset'' got in for everything, has campaigning HARD and I don't think a single thing really hurted Nicole's chance because nobody actually cared about that hat.
But she is nominated so she does have 20% chance of winning.
MB124
Swing Joined: 8/19/22
#3Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:09pm
Oh, this’ll be fun.
Of course she has a chance, but it’s very slim. It’s still very much a two horse race between Audra and Nicole.
My gut says Nicole takes it in the end.
#4Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:10pm
MB124 said: "My gut says Nicole takes it in the end."
Mine too.
WiCkEDrOcKS
Broadway Legend Joined: 6/13/04
#5Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:21pm
MB124 said: "Oh, this’ll be fun.
Of course she has a chance, but it’s very slim. It’s still very much a two horse race betweenAudra and Nicole.
My gut says Nicole takes it in the end."
Agreed. It’s still Nicole v. Audra and I think Nicole has the slight edge.
She is in a more beloved production overall (I think the George C. Wolfe snub is telling) and she’s campaigning her ass off, smartly reminding everyone this is her Broadway debut.
I find it hard to see a world where Lloyd takes Best Director and the production takes Best Revival (as both seem very likely) but Nicole goes home empty-handed.
That all said, if the Tonys have taught me anything over the years, it’s to never underestimate Audra McDonald…
It’s a nail-biter, for sure.
KevinKlawitter
Broadway Legend Joined: 1/21/20
#6Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:22pm
Part of me wants to predict her for the hell of it, on the theory that four divas may split the vote.
Nicole still feels like the frontrunner. But I think it's a much closer race than it appears.
Ensemble1665759202
Understudy Joined: 10/14/22
#7Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:31pm
All I'm saying is that Jasmine could step into Nicole and Audra's roles and do what they're doing, but they couldn't step into her role and do what she's doing.
#8Does Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:32pm
You think Jasmine could do what Audra is doing in Gypsy right now? ok...
"You can't overrate Bernadette Peters. She is such a genius. There's a moment in "Too Many Mornings" and Bernadette doing 'I wore green the last time' - It's a voice that is just already given up - it is so sorrowful. Tragic. You can see from that moment the show is going to be headed into such dark territory and it hinges on this tiny throwaway moment of the voice." - Ben Brantley (2022)
"Bernadette's whole, stunning performance [as Rose in Gypsy] galvanized the actors capable of letting loose with her. Bernadette's Rose did take its rightful place, but too late, and unseen by too many who should have seen it" Arthur Laurents (2009)
"Sondheim's own favorite star performances? [Bernadette] Peters in ''Sunday in the Park,'' Lansbury in ''Sweeney Todd'' and ''obviously, Ethel was thrilling in 'Gypsy.'' Nytimes, 2000
Updated On: 5/13/25 at 02:32 PM
BdwyFan
Featured Actor Joined: 3/1/10
#9IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:32pm
Audra for the win but Sunset for revival. And there you have it.
Ensemble1665759202
Understudy Joined: 10/14/22
#10IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:34pmbinau said: "You think Jasmine could do what Audra is going in Gypsy right now? ok..."
Yes
#11IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:35pm
Nicole will win. Audra is good but in a wrong Gypsy it doesn’t mesh well
#12IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:39pm
The 2004 Tony Awards keep popping into my mind with this category for some reason.
Just give the world Love. - S. Wonder
MB124
Swing Joined: 8/19/22
#13IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:40pm
Ensemble1665759202 said: "All I'm saying is that Jasmine could step into Nicole and Audra's roles and do what they're doing, but they couldn't step into her role and do what she's doing."
I’m sorry, I’ll take the bait because this is crazy and delusional.
You think Jasmine could play Norma Desmond or Rose…? Come on.
Not to knock the girl’s talent (she’s delightful), but get real.
Auggie27
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/13/03
#14IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:43pm
I'm reminded of the year Kathy Bates won the Best Actress Oscar. An upset, if minor one (not on the Colman/Close level.) Many presumed Angelica Huston had a lock (i.e. Nicole), Joanne Woodward, old school star, in the Audra position. The general consensus was, albeit in a postmortem: Bates slipped in around votes split between Huston/Woodward and pulled ahead among the folks who decided at the very last minute. I think this could be that type of competition, but I wouldn't swear by it.
*defeating Julia Roberts (for Pretty Woman), Meryl Streep (for Postcards From the Edge), Anjelica Huston (for The Grifters), and Joanne Woodward (for Mr. and Mrs. Bridge).
"I'm a comedian, but in my spare time, things bother me." Garry Shandling
Updated On: 5/13/25 at 02:43 PM
Sutton Ross
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/20/13
#15IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:52pm
Considering they have been awarding people making their Broadway debuts in the past few years (Myles Frost, Maleah Joi Moon), I absolutely think she can win. She was a stand out star from the very beginning and when people talk about that show, she seems to be the main selling point.
शक्तिशाली महिला
MadsonMelo
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/24/14
#16IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 2:58pm
Sutton Ross said: "Considering theyhavebeen awarding people making their Broadway debuts in the past few years (Myles Frost,Maleah Joi Moon), I absolutely think she can win. She was a stand out star from the very beginning and when people talk about that show, she seems to be the main selling point."
Sadly she is not in a project as big and beloved as ''MJ'' and ''Hell's Kitchen''.
Runaway hits with 10+ noms.
Sutton Ross
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/20/13
MB124
Swing Joined: 8/19/22
#18IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 3:02pm
Sutton Ross said: "Considering theyhavebeen awarding people making their Broadway debuts in the past few years (Myles Frost,Maleah Joi Moon), I absolutely think she can win. She was a stand out star from the very beginning and when people talk about that show, she seems to be the main selling point."
As mentioned above, it’s Nicole’s Broadway debut as well.
And if the voters are theoretically choosing between the two debuts, the choice seems pretty clear.
But according to some of y’all, Jasmine could lead a one-woman King Lear. So what the hell do I know?
gibsons2
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/26/19
#19IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 3:11pm
Jasmine could be great Mrs. Lovett or Juliet in &Juliet. But to reach Nicole and Audra's level she needs more experience and yes, maturity. They command the audience like only very few actors can do. But Jasmine will get there with time.
Alex Kulak2
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/11/16
#20IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 3:22pm
Jasmine is a great performer, and she'll certainly have a Tony someday, but light from the sun has not yet reached the galaxy where she has a chance of winning in a year where the category is this stacked.
RUkiddingme
Broadway Star Joined: 12/9/11
#22IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 4:06pm
We thought she was great and shines in BOOP but it's not her year! Still feel Nicole is taking the TONY!
"Anything you do, let it it come from you--then it will be new."
Sunday in the Park with George
#23IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 4:16pm
Ensemble1665759202 said: "All I'm saying is that Jasmine could step into Nicole and Audra's roles and do what they're doing, but they couldn't step into her role and do what she's doing."
LOL no way and that won't or ever happen!
"Anything you do, let it it come from you--then it will be new."
Sunday in the Park with George
morosco
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/10/04
#24IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 4:21pm
In my humble opinion I wouldn't be surprised if Jasmine wins because I think the votes for Audra/Nicole will be split.
But my gut feeling tells me Nicole will win.
gibsons2
Broadway Legend Joined: 8/26/19
#25IDoes Jasmine actually have a chance?
Posted: 5/13/25 at 4:35pm
morosco said: "In my humble opinion I wouldn't be surprised if Jasmine wins because I think the votes for Audra/Nicole will be split.
But my gut feeling tells me Nicole will win."
As she should. Saw SB for the third time this past Sunday matinee and was blown away once again. Nicole's performance and voice are otherworldly.
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