ACL2006 said: "Yeah, what a crappy season for new musicals. The Band's Visit is a lock. I'd say Spongebob is close to being a lock. Then there's the rest: Margaritaville, Frozen, Mean Girls, Summer, ummm...Home For the Holidays?, Rocktopia?"
Spongebob is hardly a lock (though I’d say it’s likely.)
i think the most probable scenario is that The Band’s Visit, Mean Girls and Frozen are all virtual shoo-ins (regardless of the reviews for the latter two, honestly- yes they’re film to stage properties, but they’re being mounted by established producing and creative teams, with at least very respectful out of town reviews).
The final slot is likely between Spongebob and Margaritaville, (unless Summer winds up being some sort of unlikely On Your Feet/Beautiful-type surprise with the critics)... with Spongebob, as you said, probably having the edge for the final nomination.
Updated On: 3/15/18 at 08:25 PM