I’d say the Best Play noms at this moment are English, Hills of California, Oh Mary!, Purpose and then either Stranger Things or Cult of Love (just based on what I’ve heard from out of town). I adore English but I think Oh Mary! could pull out a win if the voters who don’t want to support it fail to rally around one more serious alternatives.
Guess Best Actor will be (holy moly) Denzel Washington, Jake Gyllenhaal, Daniel Dae Kim, Robert Downey Jr., and George Clooney?! I hope Tonys finally follow Drama Desk and OCC and go all-gender in performance categories, but if not, Cole Escola might be more strategic to run in Best Actress (and how could they resist going up against Patti LuPone?). If Dorian Gray transfers, sounds like Sarah Snook will challenge for it.
I would LOVE to see a nom for Marjan Neshat if she’s back in English — not sure if she’s be deemed lead or featured.