Official Way Too Early 2018 Tony Predictions Thread — Page 5

Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win?

Sorry if this has been asked already, but I'm curious. It looks like there are only going to be 3 potential nominees for Best Revival of a Musical this season (Carousel, My Fair Lady, and Once on This Island). Does this mean only 2 can possibly be nominated? Could all 3? I'd love a brief explanation of how the rules will work on this one.

Based on current reviews, here are who I think will be nominated for Best Play:

The Children, Farinelli and the King, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Three Tall Women

I believe 1984 could've been nominated for Best Play if they were eligible.

And I feel like Home for the Holidays should get a Tony for it's "amazingness". IT DESERVES ONE!

VotePeron said: "Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win?"

I think she is featured, but is truly AMAZING and one of the best perfomances i have ever seen. I am sure she will win best featured

BroadwayConcierge said: "Sorry if this has been asked already, but I'm curious. It looks like there are only going to be 3 potential nominees for Best Revival of a Musical this season (Carousel,My Fair Lady, andOnce on This Island). Does this mean only 2 can possibly be nominated? Could all 3? I'd love a brief explanation of how the rules will work on this one."

From the Tony Awards Website-Rules:

"Each year the Tony Awards Administration Committee shall determine whether there shall exist in quality and quantity a sufficient number of Revivals to merit the granting of an Award for Best Revival of a Play or Musical and, if so, the Tony Awards Administration Committee shall also determine whether there shall be a separate Play and Musical Revival category; provided, however, that if there are at least three such plays and three such musicals, there shall automatically be separate Play and Musical Revival categories.

"Where there are nine or more eligible shows in a Best Show category, at the Tony Nominating Meeting, the Nominating Committee will be instructed to cast one vote each for four eligible shows as nominees on his/her secret ballot. Such ballot shall be collected and tabulated by a representative of the Accounting Firm. The four eligible shows with the highest number of votes will automatically be designated as the nominees in such category. A fifth nominee shall be added to the category in the event that the Accounting Firm determines that the difference in votes between the fourth highest ranked show and the fifth highest ranked show is three votes or less."

"Where there are five or fewer eligible shows in a Best Show category, at the Tony Nominating Meeting, the Nominating Committee will be instructed to cast one vote each for three eligible shows as nominees on his/her secret ballot. Such ballot shall be collected and tabulated by a representative of the Accounting Firm. The three eligible shows with the highest number of votes will automatically be designated as the nominees in such category. A fourth nominee shall be added to the category in the event that the Accounting Firm determines that the difference in votes between the third highest-ranked show and the fourth highest-ranked show is three votes or less."

VotePeron said: "Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win?"

Yes

imeldasturn said: "I don't think Three Tall Women will be considered a new play, I suspect they'll put it in the revival category like Hedwig. It has already been nominated for the Pulitzer over 20 years ago, it's hardly new"

That's true. Just like how in the 2015-16 season, Dames at Sea was put in the revival category as it was already a well known musical and not a new one. Since there's a high chance of this occurring, I say either Lobby Hero (which I'm kind of doubting that it will do good) or Saint Joan (which sounds quite interesting, but not as interesting as Lobby Hero (in my opinion)) will be nominated for Best Play as they're the only new plays left on the list.

Here's the most recent list I've been keeping track of, with productions in their expected categories

New Musicals
• The Band's Visit
• Escape to Margaritaville
• Frozen
• Mean Girls
• Prince of Broadway
• SpongeBob SquarePants
• Summer: The Donna Summer Musical

Musical Revivals
• Carousel
• My Fair Lady
• Once on This Island

New Plays
• 1984 (not eligible)
• The Children
• Farinelli and the King
• Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts I and II
• Junk
• Latin History for Morons
• Meteor Shower
• The Parisian Woman

Play Revivals
• Angels in America
• Children of a Lesser God
• Lobby Hero
• The Iceman Cometh
• M. Butterfly
• Marvin's Room
• Saint Joan
• Three Tall Women
• Time and the Conways
• Travesties

Other
• Bruce Springsteen at the Walter Kerr
• Home for the Holidays at the August Wilson
• John Lithgow: Stories by Heart
• Michael Moore's The Terms of My Surrender
• Rocktopia at the Broadway Theatre

but Once on this Island is most likely the only one that fully reinvents their original production.

How do you know that? And the award is not for going the opposite direction of the original.