Official Way Too Early 2018 Tony Predictions Thread- Page 5

[GeorgeandDot]

Posted: 1/19/18 at 3:30pm

I'm hoping for both of them to land a nom.

[VotePeron]

Posted: 1/19/18 at 3:41pm

Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win? 

[little_sally]

Posted: 1/19/18 at 3:47pm

VotePeron said: "Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win?"

I can see why she's a frontrunner now but with so many potentially strong female leading performances to come, I don't think she's a done deal at all.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 1/22/18 at 12:32am

Sorry if this has been asked already, but I'm curious. It looks like there are only going to be 3 potential nominees for Best Revival of a Musical this season (Carousel, My Fair Lady, and Once on This Island). Does this mean only 2 can possibly be nominated? Could all 3? I'd love a brief explanation of how the rules will work on this one.

[Danielle49]

Posted: 1/22/18 at 12:48am

Just to chime in here: I finally saw The Band's Visit and narrowing down who the strongest in the cast are is impossible. Katrina Lenk is amazing and Tony Shalhoub is wonderful as well, but everyone who'd be considered featured performers are also SO good.

I'm seeing people saying Ari'el Stachel could be recognized, but I really took to John Cariani's performance. He was my favorite of the evening - his comedic chops are top notch and his lullaby broke my heart. But the show is such a strong ensemble piece, I could really say that about anyone in the cast. I don't know how the voters are going to choose amongst them.

[CoolDogeGuy]

Posted: 1/22/18 at 2:56am

Based on current reviews, here are who I think will be nominated for Best Play:

The Children, Farinelli and the King, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Three Tall Women

I believe 1984 could've been nominated for Best Play if they were eligible.

And I feel like Home for the Holidays should get a Tony for it's "amazingness". IT DESERVES ONE!

[imeldasturn]

Posted: 1/22/18 at 5:12am

I don't think Three Tall Women will be considered a new play, I suspect they'll put it in the revival category like Hedwig. It has already been nominated for the Pulitzer over 20 years ago, it's hardly new

[ellbellthomps]

Posted: 1/22/18 at 1:52pm

VotePeron said: "Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win?"

I think she is featured, but is truly AMAZING and one of the best perfomances i have ever seen. I am sure she will win best featured

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 2/6/18 at 3:41pm

I'm beyond baffled that the only original musicals of this season will be 2 jukebox, an meh adaptation of a cartoon and a boring adaptation of a Disney movie. Thank god for Band's Visit's e Mean Girls.

Can they nominate just 3 shows given the lack of new productions or will we have 4 nominees anyway?

Or am I missing any productions?

[OKBroadwayFan]

Posted: 2/6/18 at 4:42pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Sorry if this has been asked already, but I'm curious. It looks like there are only going to be 3 potential nominees for Best Revival of a Musical this season (Carousel,My Fair Lady, andOnce on This Island). Does this mean only 2 can possibly be nominated? Could all 3? I'd love a brief explanation of how the rules will work on this one."

From the Tony Awards Website-Rules:

"Each year the Tony Awards Administration Committee shall determine whether there shall exist in quality and quantity a sufficient number of Revivals to merit the granting of an Award for Best Revival of a Play or Musical and, if so, the Tony Awards Administration Committee shall also determine whether there shall be a separate Play and Musical Revival category; provided, however, that if there are at least three such plays and three such musicals, there shall automatically be separate Play and Musical Revival categories.

"Where there are nine or more eligible shows in a Best Show category, at the Tony Nominating Meeting, the Nominating Committee will be instructed to cast one vote each for four eligible shows as nominees on his/her secret ballot. Such ballot shall be collected and tabulated by a representative of the Accounting Firm. The four eligible shows with the highest number of votes will automatically be designated as the nominees in such category. A fifth nominee shall be added to the category in the event that the Accounting Firm determines that the difference in votes between the fourth highest ranked show and the fifth highest ranked show is three votes or less."

"Where there are five or fewer eligible shows in a Best Show category, at the Tony Nominating Meeting, the Nominating Committee will be instructed to cast one vote each for three eligible shows as nominees on his/her secret ballot. Such ballot shall be collected and tabulated by a representative of the Accounting Firm. The three eligible shows with the highest number of votes will automatically be designated as the nominees in such category. A fourth nominee shall be added to the category in the event that the Accounting Firm determines that the difference in votes between the third highest-ranked show and the fourth highest-ranked show is three votes or less."

[OKBroadwayFan]

Posted: 2/6/18 at 4:43pm

http://www.tonyawards.com/pdf/2018_Tony_Rules.pdf

 

[RaisedOnMusicals]

Posted: 2/6/18 at 6:00pm

VotePeron said: "Am I the only one who's seen The Bands Visit and doesn't understand why Katrina would be considered leading, and even if so, why she would be a frontrunner to win?"

Yes  

 

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 2/6/18 at 6:55pm

I think CAROUSEL and MY FAIR LADY will be wonderful, safe, beautifully designed revivals.  But they will have to be outrageously great to beat out the incredible, magical ONCE ON THIS ISLAND!

 

[CoolDogeGuy]

Posted: 2/6/18 at 11:56pm

imeldasturn said: "I don't think Three Tall Women will be considered a new play, I suspect they'll put it in the revival category like Hedwig. It has already been nominated for the Pulitzer over 20 years ago, it's hardly new"

That's true. Just like how in the 2015-16 season, Dames at Sea was put in the revival category as it was already a well known musical and not a new one. Since there's a high chance of this occurring, I say either Lobby Hero (which I'm kind of doubting that it will do good) or Saint Joan (which sounds quite interesting, but not as interesting as Lobby Hero (in my opinion)) will be nominated for Best Play as they're the only new plays left on the list.

[orlikethecolorpurple]

Posted: 2/7/18 at 12:11am

Both Lobby Hero and Saint Joan will also be eligible for revival. 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 2/7/18 at 12:14am

Here's the most recent list I've been keeping track of, with productions in their expected categories

New Musicals
• The Band's Visit
• Escape to Margaritaville
• Frozen
• Mean Girls
• Prince of Broadway
• SpongeBob SquarePants
• Summer: The Donna Summer Musical

Musical Revivals
• Carousel
• My Fair Lady
• Once on This Island

New Plays
• 1984 (not eligible)
• The Children
• Farinelli and the King
• Harry Potter and the Cursed Child, Parts I and II
• Junk
• Latin History for Morons
• Meteor Shower
• The Parisian Woman

Play Revivals
• Angels in America
• Children of a Lesser God
• Lobby Hero
• The Iceman Cometh
• M. Butterfly
• Marvin's Room
• Saint Joan
• Three Tall Women
• Time and the Conways
• Travesties

Other
• Bruce Springsteen at the Walter Kerr
• Home for the Holidays at the August Wilson
• John Lithgow: Stories by Heart
• Michael Moore's The Terms of My Surrender
• Rocktopia at the Broadway Theatre

[LesWickedly]

Posted: 2/7/18 at 12:33am

I think Best Musical, Play and Play revival are locks for Band's Visit, Harry Potter and Angels in America. Musical Revival we still have to see as two have yet to open and both have very strong potential (Rudin behind Carousel and Lincoln Center behind My Fair Lady), but Once on this Island is most likely the only one that fully reinvents their original production. It will for sure be the most suspenseful category of the night.  

[blaxx]

Posted: 2/7/18 at 12:47am

but Once on this Island is most likely the only one that fully reinvents their original production. 

How do you know that? And the award is not for going the opposite direction of the original.

[LesWickedly]

Posted: 2/7/18 at 12:54am

I’m well aware, Blaxx. I was just stating something that could make it stand out from the rest. Yes, we don’t know for sure what the productions of Carousel and My Fair Lady will be, but I can infer based on each of the creative teams previous works, they will be beautiful and elegant revivals, but will be mostly by the book (nothing wrong with that, Dolly was the same and is fantastic).

[orlikethecolorpurple]

Posted: 2/7/18 at 1:07am

Re: Tony rules

Am I completely missing something or do the rules only stipulate what happens when there are “nine or more” or “five or fewer” eligible shows?

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 2/14/18 at 5:13pm

I too found weird that there's a gap between five and nine lol

I guess only two nominees will be allowed in musical revival just like in 2011 with HTSIBWRTrying e Anything Goes.

Frozen and Mean Girls will get in, will Summer be a hit? Maybe can grab the fourth slot.

[michaelhale]

Posted: 2/14/18 at 6:04pm

Why would Harry Potter be a lock for new play?

[blaxx]

Posted: 2/14/18 at 6:49pm

michaelhale said: "Why would Harry Potter be a lock for new play?"

Because it is an amazing, mesmerizing new play?

[Bwayfan292]

Posted: 2/14/18 at 6:51pm

Im in the minority but I dont see Bands Visit being a lock. I think the voters would swing to a splashy new musical. But then again Bands visit is the best of the bunch.

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 2/14/18 at 7:43pm

michaelhale said: "Why would Harry Potter be a lock for new play?"

Why WOULDN'T it be?