Something Besides the Strike- 2008 Tony Predictions- Page 2

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 1:12am

I meant that if you're going to have an out-of-town try-out, then pay attention to ALL the reviews (not just the one that say what you want to hear), listen to the audience, and don't bring a show to Broadway without making any relevant changes.

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 1:15am

It isn't the score that will get the nomination but the beautiful lyrics, especially in Conney Island. It is a shame that they don't have two separate categories.

The LA Times was the ONE bad review, and that is why they won't change it. Every other review liked the show except them. They are not going to let one mans view change the direction of the show. But I do agree that Harvey's response was childish and defensive.
Updated On: 11/20/07 at 01:15 AM

[FutureAladdinOnB'Way]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 2:31am

Musical:
Xanadu
Cry-Baby
In the Heights
The Little Mermaid

Play:
Is He Dead?
Rock and Roll
The Farnsworth Invention
November

Revival Musical:
Gypsy
South Pacific
Sunday in the Park with George


Best Actress Musical:
Kerry Butler
Patti Lupone
Sierra Boggess
Megan Mullaly
?

Best Featured Actress:
Leslie Kritzer
Sherie Rene Scott
Laura Benanti
Andrea Martin
Sutton Foster

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 3:22am

Don't underestimate the power of Disney or Mel Brooks. Remember MARY POPPINS got an undeserved nomination last year (over the fantastic LOVEMUSIK, or the more entertaining--if quite pedestrian--LEGALLY BLONDE). I wouldn't be surprised if LITTLE MERMAID were nominated over XANADU. Not that XANADU doesn't deserve its nomination, but I thought there was no way MARY POPPINS would snag a nomination last season and had to eat my words.

[Eris0303]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 3:28am

Are you guys counting on Tale of Two Cities not opening or, at least, not opening in time for the cut off to be nominated? I really think James Barbour and Natalie Toro both have good chances to be nominated for their roles in the show. Other than that I pretty much agree with many of the lists already posted here.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 3:28am

You might have thought LOVEMUSIK was fantastic, but the critics and the general public felt otherwise.

BLONDE was trashed all around town.

POPPINS inevitably got the fourth slot (although I would have given it to FAME BECOMES ME -- but the Nominating Committee decided to ignore its existence, with the exception of Brooks Ashmanskas).

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 11:25am

I think that A Catered Affair, Cry Baby, and In The Heights are all locks for Best Musical. That fourth slot I think will go to Xanadu but I wouldn't be suprised if Passing Strange or Little Mermaid took it.

I think that Young Frankenstien will get a few nominations and overall there will be a big backlash against Mel Brooks.
Updated On: 11/20/07 at 11:25 AM

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 11:46am

I really enjoyed XANADU and found it very funny, but I'm guessing that the Tony nominating committee -- if given a choice between a campy jukebox musical based on a flop movie (even if it is well-reviewed) and a critically-praised new show with an original score, will choose the latter. My guess is that XANADU will get nods for its very funny book from Douglas Carter Beane and perhaps for a couple of performers, but not for Best Musical. I think -- and I could be wrong -- that they'd pick the critically praised PASSING STRANGE, or even (depending on how well its received) a big Disney show like LITTLE MERMAID (just as they chose POPPINS last year) before giving one of the four slots to XANADU.

[bwaygal1]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 11:49am

As I said before, the best actress in a musical category is really hard to call.
I think Xanadu will be nominated-it got fantastic reviews (I had to eat my words predicting its demise) and it really is a fun show. (I personally loved it.) In the Heights will be the surprise hit I think. (It's already won some awards.) And Priscilla Lopez is going to be a force to be reckoned with in whatever category she's placed.

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 11:52am

The only thing that I think Passing Strange has against it is A Catered Affair. How often do two smaller shows get nominations?


This category is looking very simmilar to last years.

In The Heights- Spring Awakening
A Catered Affair- Grey Gardens
Cry Baby- Curtains
Mermaid or Xanadu- Poppins

[ucjrdude902]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 12:04pm

Yeah.

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 12:11pm

I think A CATERED AFFAR's nod will depend heavily on how well the critics receive it. I'm still very interested in seeing it, but two different friends who's opinions I trust saw it out of town and really didn't care for it. I think a really mixed critical reception could potentially hurt its chances.

And what if the critics are lukewarm on MERMAID? It may not matter (as it didn't for POPPINS, which hardly got across the board raves), but we'll see. Disney's powerful, but remember AIDA was snubbed for Best Musical and TARZAN ignored almost altogether, so it's not a shoo-in.

That's why I wonder if PASSING STRANGE could slip in. Not saying it will, but a lot is up in the air right now, so it's hard to predict.

[ucjrdude902]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 1:33pm

bump

[joniray]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 1:41pm

After seeing the Cry Baby reviews, it looks like Alli Mauzey might be a major contender for Best Featured Actress in a musical. Every review I read said that she practically steals the show.

For best musical, I'm thinking it'll be In the Heights, Passing Strange and Cry Baby with A Catered Affair and Little Mermaid fighting for the fourth slot.

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 1:47pm

Well, not too long ago THE LIGHT IN THE PIAZZA and THE 25TH ANNUAL PUTNAM COUNTY SPELLING BEE got nominated, and I would say they both were "small" shows in terms of not being big bombastic Broadway productions like SPAMALOT.

[LuPonatic]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 2:31pm

Young Frankenstein for best musical...anyone? I think so! I say

Young Frankenstein
Cry Baby
In the Heights
A Catered Affair

[broadwayman17]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 7:34pm

bump

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 7:39pm

I think this year there will be a backlash against YF and Mel Brooks with the exception of nominations for Chris F. and Andrea Martin.

It is kind of like the Pirate Queen. The costumes deserved to win the TONY but they didn't even nominate them. That is why I don't think YF will get it for Best Set, Lights, or Costumes. It just seems that the Nomination Committee has at least one show a year that they HATE and don't give any nominations to even when they deserve it.

The reaction to A Catered Affair has been totally mixed. Half of the people I talked to loved it, the other half hated it. But I expect that kind of response from the Old Globe crowd, which is mostly elderly. I also think that they would HATE Grey Gardens if it came to San Diego. It just goes to show how different the NY crowd and the San Diego crowd is.

[bschneid76]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 10:31pm

I really hope they give Supporting Nods to Mary Testa and Jackie Hoffman, both are marvelous in their roles, and they knock em dead with "Evil Woman".

My picks (even though I haven't seen many of the shows coming out):

Musical:
Xanadu
A Catered Affair
In the Heights
Cry-Baby

[jbdc]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 11:33pm

Kelly O'Hara has a huge shot at the Lead Actress in a Musical Tony if GYPSY opens. The battle between Mama Rose and Dot could split things and Nellie Forbush could come out ahead. Brantley loves her, and so does everyone in the Broadway community--I mean, she married into the Naughton clan! She will be nominated and will be the dark horse. Look for Sutton, Sierra, and Kerri to all get bumped out of the Leading Actress noms if GYPSY happens. The other two slots will go to Faith Prince (the new Debra Monk) and some wild card from Passing Strange or In the Heights. Or the lead from CRY BABY, because that show will get the only musical-that-used-to-be-a-movie noms. XANADU, MERMAID and YF are going to lose out. If GYPSY doesn't happen--Kerry will get nommed.

In the Heights will win for Choreography.

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 11/20/07 at 11:35pm

There is no way in hell that Elizabeth Stanley will get a nomination.