Now that I've seen everything this season, I'm going to take a stab at some predictions in key categories. What are yours?
MUSICAL
American Idiot
Come Fly Away
Fela!
Memphis
PLAY
Enron
Next Fall
Red
Time Stands Still
MUSICAL REVIVAL
A Little Night Music
Finnian’s Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles
Promises, Promises
PLAY REVIVAL
A View from the Bridge
Fences
Lend Me a Tenor
The Royal Family
ACTRESS MUSICAL
Sherrie Rene Scott – Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta Jones – A Little Night Music
Montego Glover – Memphis
Barbara Cook – SOS
Kate Baldwin – Finnian’s Rainbow
ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Douglas Hodge - La Cage Aux Folles
Kelsey Grammar – La Cage Aux Folles
Sahr Ngaujah - Fela!
John Gallagher Jr. - American Idiot
Sean Hayes – Promises, Promises
ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laura Linney - Time Stands Still
Jan Maxwell - The Royal Family
Valarie Harper - Looped
Linda Lavin - Collected Stories
Carrie Fisher – Wishful Drinking
ACTOR IN A PLAY
Christopher Walken – A Behanding in Spokane
Alfred Molina - Red
Liev Schreiber – A View from the Bridge
Denzel Washington – Fences
Norbert Leo Butz – Enron
F. ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Katie Finneran in Promises, Promises
Rebecca Naomi Jones in American Idiot
Vanessa Williams, SOS
Carolee Carmello, The Addams Family
F. ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian’s Rainbow
Robin De Jesús, La Cage Aux Folles
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
John Selya, Come Fly Away
Tony Vincent, American Idiot
F. ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
Jan Maxwell, Lend Me a Tenor
Viola Davis, Fences
Alicia Silverstone, Time Stands Still
Scarlett Johanson, A View from the Bridge
F. ACTOR IN A PLAY
Brian d’Arcy James, Time Stands Still
Eddie Redmayne, Red
Reg Rogers, The Royal Family
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
Gregory Itzin, Enron
DIRECTOR/MUSICAL
Michael Mayer, AMERICAN IDIOT
Terry Johnson, LA CAGE AUX FOLLES
Bill T. Jones, FELA!
Trevor Nunn, A LITTLE NIGHT MUSIC
DIRECTOR/PLAY
Rupert Goold, ENRON
Michael Grandage, RED
Daniel Sullivan, TIME STANDS STILL
Gregory Mosher, A VIEW FROM THE BRIDGE
CHOREOGRAPHY
Sergio Trujillo, MEMPHIS
Lynne Page, LA CAGE AUX FOLLES
Steven Hoggett, AMERICAN IDIOT
Twyla Tharp, COME FLY AWAY
BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Sherie Rene Scott and Dick Scanlan, EVERYDAY RAPTURE
Joe DiPietro, MEMPHIS
Billie Joe Armstrong and Michael Mayer, AMERICAN IDIOT
Jim Lewis, FELA!
SCORE
Joe DiPietro and David Bryan, MEMPHIS
Maury Yeston, THE ROYAL FAMILY
Branford Marsalis, FENCES
Andrew Lippa, THE ADDAMS FAMILY
Updated On: 4/25/10 at 06:02 PM
Broadway Legend Joined: 2/22/08
Heres How I hope it goes:
MUSICAL
American Idiot
Addams Family or Everyday Rapture
Fela!
Memphis
PLAY
Enron
Next Fall
Red
Time Stands Still
MUSICAL REVIVAL
A Little Night Music
Finnian’s Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles
Promises, Promises
PLAY REVIVAL
A View from the Bridge
Collected Stories
Lend Me a Tenor
The Royal Family
ACTRESS MUSICAL
Sherrie Rene Scott – Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta Jones – A Little Night Music
Montego Glover – Memphis
Bebe for Addams Family
Kate Baldwin – Finnian’s Rainbow
ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Douglas Hodge - La Cage Aux Folles
Kelsey Grammar – La Cage Aux Folles
Sahr Ngaujah - Fela!
John Gallagher Jr. - American Idiot
Nathan Lane-Addams Family
ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laura Linney - Time Stands Still
Jan Maxwell - The Royal Family
Valarie Harper - Looped
Linda Lavin - Collected Stories
Carrie Fisher – Wishful Drinking
ACTOR IN A PLAY
Christopher Walken – A Behanding in Spokane
Alfred Molina - Red
Liev Schreiber – A View from the Bridge
Denzel Washington – Fences
Norbert Leo Butz – Enron
F. ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Katie Finneran in Promises, Promises
Jackie Hoffman (sp) , Addams Family
Vanessa Williams, SOS
Kyrsta Rodreguiz (sp), The Addams Family
F. ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian’s Rainbow
Robin De Jesús, La Cage Aux Folles
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Tom Wopat, SOS
Tony Vincent, American Idiot
F. ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
Jan Maxwell, Lend Me a Tenor
Viola Davis, Fences
Alicia Silverstone, Time Stands Still
Maria Dizzia, In The Next Room
F. ACTOR IN A PLAY
Brian d’Arcy James, Time Stands Still
Eddie Redmayne, Red
Reg Rogers, The Royal Family
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
Gregory Itzin, Enron
Understudy Joined: 6/1/03
some good picks but i'm surprised that neither of you included jessica hecht nor scarlett johanssen from 'view'?
I'm notoriously bad at predicting these things, but I want to give it a shot. Bear with me.
MUSICAL
American Idiot
Fela!
Sondheim on Sondheim
Everyday Rapture
PLAY
Enron
Next Fall
Red
Time Stands Still
MUSICAL REVIVAL
A Little Night Music
Finian’s Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles
Promises, Promises
PLAY REVIVAL
A View from the Bridge
Fences
Lend Me a Tenor
The Royal Family
ACTRESS MUSICAL
Sherie Rene Scott – Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta Jones – A Little Night Music
Montego Glover – Memphis
Barbara Cook – Sondheim on Sondheim
Kristen Chenoweth: Promises, Promises
ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Douglas Hodge - La Cage Aux Folles
Kelsey Grammar – La Cage Aux Folles
Sahr Ngaujah - Fela!
Nathan Lane: The Addams Family
John Gallagher Jr. - American Idiot
Alternate: Sean Hayes – Promises, Promises (I wouldn't be surprised to see Hayes in and Gallagher out. I think the first four are locks, though.)
ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laura Linney - Time Stands Still
Jan Maxwell - The Royal Family
Valarie Harper - Looped
Abigail Breslin - The Miracle Worker
Laura Benanti - In the Next Room
ACTOR IN A PLAY
Christopher Walken – A Behanding in Spokane
Alfred Molina - Red
Liev Schreiber – A View from the Bridge
Denzel Washington – Fences
Daniel Craig - A Steady Rain
(or Victor Garber or Anthony LaPaglia or Norbert Leo Butz or even, dare I say, Jude Law?. Again, I see four locks and a totally open slot)
F. ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Katie Finneran in Promises, Promises
Rebecca Naomi Jones in American Idiot
Lillias White - Fela
Karine Plantadit -Come Fly Away
F. ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Robin De Jesús, La Cage Aux Folles
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Charlie Neshyba-Hodges, Come Fly Away
Tony Vincent, American Idiot
Bobby Steggert - Ragtime
F. ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
Jan Maxwell, Lend Me a Tenor
Viola Davis, Fences
Scarlett Johansson - A View from the Bridge
Jessica Hecht - A View from the Bridge
F. ACTOR IN A PLAY
Eddie Redmayne, Red
Sam Rockwell - A Behanding in Spokane
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
Stephen Kunken, Enron
Jay Klaitz - Lend Me a Tenor (shot in the dark)
EDIT to note this is not what I WANT to happen, but what I think might)
Updated On: 4/22/10 at 08:21 PM
The F. Actress category was a hard one for me to widdle down.
I don't think both hecht & johanssen will get a nomination, but I can see the nominators including Johanssen instead of Maria Dizzia and completely snubbing In the Next Room completely.
Like I said, I had trouble with it - but I think Harris, Maxwell, and Davis are each solidly in their. And Silverstone about 80% sure. The other slot could go one of several ways.
That category for me really depends on how they rule Viola Davis. She is DEFINITELY nominated if she's featured, but I don't know that she gets a nomination if she's leading (which I could see them petitioning for).
Swing Joined: 4/23/10
May Alsion Pill from "The Miracle Worker" have a chance to get a nomiantion?
I think she was breathtaking in that play.
Broadway Legend Joined: 2/20/04
based on the Promises, Promises clips I just saw on Broadway.com, Sean Hayes will DEFINITELY be nominated.
Broadway Legend Joined: 10/20/05
Well, I'm not even going into the nominations, but am cutting straight to the chase with the without-doubt winners:
Best Play: A Steady Rain
Best Musical: The Addams Family
Best Revival of a Play: Oleanna
Best Revival of a Musical: Bye, Bye Birdie
Best Actor in a Play: Bill Pullman
Best Actress in a Play: No award -- no actress this season was in the same league as the others.
Best Actor in a Musical: Bill Irwin
Best Actress in a Musical: Michael Feinstein
There's something really wrong with the Tony's if these aren't the winners of the 2009-2010 season!
Best Musical:
Fela
Sondheim on Sondheim
Memphis
Million Dollar Quartet
Best Play
Enron
Red
Time Stands Still
Next Fall
Stand-by Joined: 4/13/08
I will be pretty shocked if Eddie Redmayne (Red) isn't considered a lead. I know he was featured at the Olivier Awards, but the logical behind that totally escapes me as he's onstage every minute that Molina is and talks nearly as much.
Swing Joined: 4/24/10
Over at the L.A. Times' Gold Derby blog, there are the Tony noms predix of Entertainment Weekly's Melissa Bernardo --
http://goldderby.latimes.com/awards_goldderby/2010/04/broadway-tonys-tony-awards-american-idiot-271956384-news-story.html
CLICK HERE to see Melissa's Predix
^ Those are some off-beat predictions. Odd. Come Fly Away is not going to get all of that recognition.
Has Alexander Hanson been forgotten?
UMMMM...
RAGTIME...!!!
"Has Alexander Hanson been forgotten?"
- Sadly, I think so. He deserves recognition, but it's such a tight category.
Now Aaron Lazar has a much better chance of a nomination in his category. If he is not nominated, I will be pissed. He is truly deserving in what is a pretty awful category this season.
For Musical:
American Idiot*
Memphis
Fela!
The Addams Family/Everyday Rapture(If it gets in I could see a possible upset)
That woman is an idiot. Was she smoking crack when she came up with these nominations?
Come Fly Away and Million Dollar Quartet for Best Musical?? Chad Kimball for Best Actor? DeJesus was almost universally panned in an otherwise praised production- he won't be nominated. No one remembers Jude Law's Hamlet anymore. Ragtime AND Finian's both being nominated?
Only the musical categories
Musical
The Addams Family
American Idiot
Come Fly Away
Sondheim on Sondheim
Musical Revival:
A Little Night Music
Finian's Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles
Promises Promises
Actor/Musical
John Gallagher Jr.-American Idiot
Kelsey Grammer-La Cage Aux Folles
Sean Hayes-Promises Promises
Nathan Lane-The Addams Family
Sahr Ngaujah-Fela!
Actress/Musical
Kristin Chenoweth-Promises Promises
Barbara Cook-Sondheim on Sondheim
Bebe Neuwirth-The Addams Family
Sherie Rene Scott-Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta-Jones-A Little Night Music
Featured Actor/Musical
Kevin Chamberlin-The Addams Family
Christopher Fitzgerald-Finian's Rainbow
Tony Goldwyn-Promises Promises
Aaron Lazar-A Little Night Music
John Selya-Come Fly Away
Featured Actress/Musical
Angela Lansbury-A Little Night Music
Rebecca Naomi Jones-American idiot
Krysta Rodriguez-The Addams Family
Lillas White-Fela!
Vanessa Williams-Sondheim on Sondheim
Updated On: 4/25/10 at 01:04 AM
Featured Actor/Musical
Kevin Chamberlin-The Addams Family
Bill Irwin-Bye Bye Birdie
Terrence Mann-The Addams Family
John Selya-Come Fly Away
....No.
Bill Irwin got the worst reviews of any performer this season for Bye, Bye Birdie. He has ZERO chance of being nominated.
I was running out of options that why I said Bill Irwin. DUH>
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