TONY Nomination Predictions- Page 4

[Piper3500]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 11:25am

One point and one question.

1. Am I the only one who suspected Viola and Denzel to be nominated for Fences before the reviews?

2. I don't know how nominees are accepted and I agree with many that Viola would probably be the winner in featured, but my question is, is she allowed to be in that category? if she is playing a principal role in the show she is in, I don't know what the criteria is to be accepted for feature. Is it fair to the other featured nominees that a lead is the same category? are there a certain number of scenes or time on stage to allow for each category? it may sound stupid, but i was just wondering how they determine categories. i know her producers put her up, but do they have criteria to follow? I know Viola isn't the full lead of FENCES but she is more than just featured, surely.

[tazber]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 11:47am

I think he's spot on about the 4 musicals. I would love to see Everyday Rapture sneak in though.

So I suppose the question is:

Will Memphis actually win over AI?
I don't think it will, but I have a feeling it's going to a tighter race than we suspect.

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 12:06pm

Piper,

First off, I think most people thought Denzel and Viola would be in no matter what.

Category placement is based on billing, whether it's above the title (in Denzel's case) or below the title (in Viola's case). Above the title means leading actor/actress, below means featured actor/actress. Now, producers may file a petition to either move someone above the title to the featured category (like they did with Scarlet Johansson in A View From the Bridge) or move someone below the title to the leading category (like Chad Kimball in Memphis).

Before petitioning came into existence, there were always odd category placements and wins. For example Tom Bosley winning Best Featured Actor in a Musical for playing the title role in Fiorello! and Barbara Cook winning Featured Actress in a Musical for originating the role of Marian Paroo in The Music Man. Their names were simply not above the title and were therefore deemed "featured."

~Steven

[Piper3500]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 12:38pm

^ thanks i forgot about the billing. that was menitoned before.

"no matter what" because of their known names and oscar nominations (wins for denzel) ? i just knew they would be brilliant in these roles and even if critics didn't agree i would feel the same. of course, i was not surprised in the least when the reviews came out.

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 12:42pm

Well, yes, Denzel probably would have gotten in because of his name (although he didn't for Julius Caesar) and Viola already won a Tony for an August Wilson play, so she knows how to dig deep to successfully portray the August Wilson woman. Not to mention all of the preview reviews on here.

I see Viola staying in the featured category, by the way. Less competition, flashy role, and that's where the role was placed last time.

~Steven

[ljay889]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 12:43pm

Matt Windman gives me some hope!

http://talkinbroadway.com/allthatchat/d.php?id=1851347

[Piper3500]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 1:39pm

"I see Viola staying in the featured category, by the way. Less competition, flashy role, and that's where the role was placed last time. "

Well she is eligable for leading as we found out. Now, no one thinks she will win. Although i agree her chances are slim to none, I am still rooting for her, even against Jan Maxwell. I am not going to get all arguementative like some and say she is the best and will win. I just really really like her and what she did with the role. So is the race between Linda/Viola, Jan/Linda, or Jan/Viola...

[ColorTheHours048]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 3:28pm

* = Predicted Winner
** = Dark Horse

BEST MUSICAL
American Idiot*
Memphis
Fela!
Everyday Rapture**

BEST PLAY
Red
Next Fall**
Enron
Time Stands Still*

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
A Little Night Music**
Ragtime
La Cage Aux Folles*
Promises, Promises

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
A View from the Bridge**
Lend Me a Tenor*
Fences
The Royal Family

BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Sherie Renee Scott ("Everyday Rapture")*
Catherine Zeta-Jones ("A Little Night Music")**
Montego Glover ("Memphis")
Bebe Neuwirth ("The Addams Family")
Christiane Noll ("Ragtime")

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Angela Lansbury ("A Little Night Music")**
Barbara Cook ("Sondheim on Sondheim")
Katie Finneran ("Promises, Promises")*
Vanessa Williams ("Sondheim on Sondheim")
Lillias White ("Fela!")

BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Nathan Lane ("The Addams Family")
Douglas Hodge ("La Cage Aux Folles")*
Kelsey Grammar ("La Cage Aux Folles")
John Gallagher, Jr. ("American Idiot")
Sahr Ngaujah ("Fela!")**

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Levi Kreis ("Million Dollar Quartet")**
Robin de Jesus ("La Cage Aux Folles")
Tony Vincent ("American Idiot")
Bobby Steggert ("Ragtime")*
Kevin Chamberlin ("The Addams Family")

BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Linda Lavin ("Collected Stories")*
Laura Linney ("Time Stands Still")
Viola Davis ("Fences")**
Valerie Harper ("Looped")
Jan Maxwell ("The Royal Family")

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Jan Maxwell ("Lend Me a Tenor")*
Alicia Silverstone ("Time Stands Still")
Jessica Hecht ("A View from the Bridge")**
Scarlett Johansson ("A View from the Bridge")
Rosemary Harris ("The Royal Family")

BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
Liev Schreiber ("A View from the Bridge")**
Christopher Walken ("A Behanding in Spokane")
Alfred Molina ("Red")*
Denzel Washington ("Fences")
James Spader ("Race")

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Eddie Redmayne ("Red")*
Brian d'Arcy James ("Time Stands Still")
Jon Michael Hill ("Superior Donuts")
Stephen Kunken ("Enron")**
Anthony Mackie ("A Behanding in Spokane")

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Trevor Nunn ("A Little Night Music")
Michael Mayer ("American Idiot")**
Terry Johnson ("La Cage Aux Folles")*
Bill T. Jones ("Fela!")

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Rupert Goold ("Enron")
Gregory Mosher ("A View from the Bridge")*
Daniel Sullivan ("Time Stands Still")
Michael Grandage ("Red")**

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Sergio Trujillo ("Memphis")**
Lynne Page ("La Cage Aux Folles")
Steven Hoggett ("American Idiot")
Twyla Tharp ("Come Fly Away")*

The rest of the categories, I'm just going to pick winners:
BEST SCENIC DESIGN (MUSICAL) - Fela!
BEST SCENIC DESIGN (PLAY) - In the Next Room, or the Vibrator Play
BEST COSTUME DESIGN (MUSICAL) - La Cage Aux Folles
BEST COSTUME DESIGN (PLAY) - The Royal Family
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN (MUSICAL) - American Idiot
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN (PLAY) - Red
BEST SOUND DESIGN (MUSICAL) - Fela!
BEST SOUND DESIGN (PLAY) - A View from the Bridge
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS - Everyday Rapture
BEST SCORE - Memphis

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 4:47pm

BEST MUSICAL:
American Idiot
Come Fly Away
Fela!
Memphis

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL:
Christopher Ashley, Memphis
Terry Johnson, La Cage aux Folles
James Lapine, Sondheim on Sondheim
Michael Mayer, American Idiot
ALT: Trevor Nunn, A Little Night Music

BEST BOOK:
The Addams Family
Everyday Rapture
Memphis
Million Dollar Quartet
ALT: American Idiot

BEST SCORE:
The Addams Family
Enron
Fences
Memphis

BEST ACTOR:
Kelsey Grammer, La Cage aux Folles
Douglas Hodge, La Cage aux Folles
Chad Kimball, Memphis
Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!
ALT: John Gallagher Jr., American Idiot (I'm going to predict he'll sadly miss out)

BEST ACTRESS:
Kate Baldwin, Finian's Rainbow
Kristin Chenoweth, Promises, Promises
Montego Glover, Memphis
Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music
ALT: Christiane Noll, Ragtime

BEST FEATURED ACTOR:
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Robin de Jesus, La Cage aux Folles
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow
Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet
Tony Vincent, American Idiot

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS:
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
Katie Finneran, Promises, Promises
Jackie Hoffman, The Addams Family
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot

Updated On: 4/30/10 at 04:47 PM

[Piper3500]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 4:52pm

^ what about actor/actress in the Play category

[wickedfan11]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 4:59pm

I made a website for our own Musical Fan Awards. We choose who we WANT to win the big awards. Go to http://musicalfanawards.webs.com to vote!

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 4:59pm

There are only 4 slots for Best Book and Best Director.

I stand corrected. I hadn't realized ALT stood for Alternate.
Updated On: 4/30/10 at 04:59 PM

[Blockhead24]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 5:20pm

^ if you're referring to piragua guy the last name are alternates

[vodkastinger]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 6:35pm

BEST MUSICAL
American Idiot
Come Fly Away
Fela!
Memphis

BEST PLAY
Enron
Next Fall
Red
Time Stands Still

BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
Finian’s Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles
A Little Night Music
Promises Promises

BEST PLAY REVIVAL
Fences
Lend Me A Tenor
The Royal Family
A View From The Bridge

BEST ACTOR (MUSICAL)
John Gallagher Jr, American Idiot
Sean Hayes, Promises Promises
Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles
Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!

BEST ACTRESS (MUSICAL)
Kate Baldwin, Finian’s Rainbow
Montego Glover, Memphis
Bebe Neuwirth, The Addams Family
Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music

FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL)
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Robin de la Jesus, La Cage Aux Folles
Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet
Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
Tony Vincent, American Idiot

FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL)
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
Katie Finneran, Finian’s Rainbow
Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Lillias White, Fela!

BEST ACTOR (PLAY)
Alfred Molina, Red
Liev Schreiber, A View From The Bridge
Tony Shahloub, Lend Me A Tenor
Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
Denzel Washington, Fences

BEST ACTRESS (PLAY)
Viola Davis, Fences
Valerie Harper, Looped
Linda Lavin, Collected Stories
Laura Linney, Time Stands Still
Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family

FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY)
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
Brian D’Arcy James, Time Stands Still
Stephen Kunken, Enron
Stephen McKinley Henderson, Fences
Eddie Redmayne, Red

FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY)
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
Jessica Hecht, A View From The Bridge
Scarlett Johansson, A View From The Bridge
Jan Maxwell, Lend Me A Tenor
Alicia Silverstone, Time Stands Still

DIRECTOR (MUSICAL)
Christopher Ashley, Memphis
Terry Johnson, La Cage Aux Folles
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Michael Mayer, American Idiot

DIRECTOR (PLAY)
Michael Grandage, Red
Sheryl Kaller, Next Fall
Kenny Leon, Fences
Gregory Mosher, A View From The Bridge

ORIGINAL SCORE
Joe DiPetro and David Bryan, Memphis
Andrew Lippa, The Addams Family
Branford Marsalis, Fences
Lucy Prebble & Adam Cork, Enron

ORCHESTRATIONS
Daryl Waters and David Bryan, Memphis
Aaron Johnson, Fela!
Tom Kitt, American Idiot
Michael Starobin, Sondheim on Sondheim

CHOREOGRAPHY
Rob Ashford, Memphis
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Twyla Tharp, Come Fly Away
Sergio Trujillo, Memphis

BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Billie Joe Armstrong & Michael Mayer, American Idiot
Joe DiPietro, Memphis
Jim Lewis & Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Sherie Rene Scott & Dick Scalan, Everyday Rapture

SCENIC DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Beowulf Boritt, Sondheim on Sondheim
David Gallo, Memphis
Christine Jones, American Idiot
Phelim McDermott & Julian Crouch, The Addams Family

SCENIC DESIGN (PLAY)
John Lee Beatty, The Royal Family
Santo Laquasto, Fences
Christopher Oram, Red
Anthony Ward, Enron

LIGHTING DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Kevin Adams, American Idiot
Howell Binkley, Memphis
Donald Holder, Come Fly Away
Natasha Katz, The Addams Family

LIGHTING DESIGN (PLAY)
Neil Austin, Hamlet
Neil Austin, Red
Mark Henderson, Enron
Peter Kaczorowski, A View From The Bridge

COSTUME DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Toni-Leslie James, Finian’s Rainbow
Phelim McDermott and Julian Crouch, The Addams Family
Paul Tazewell, Memphis
Matthew Wright, La Cage Aux Folles

COSTUME DESIGN (PLAY)
Jane Greenwood, Present Laughter
Jane Greenwood, A View from the Bridge
David Zinn, In The Next Room (or the vibrator play)
Catherine Zuber, The Royal Family

SOUND DESIGN (MUSICAL)
Acme Sound Partners, The Addams Family
Peter McBoyle, Come Fly Away
Dan Moses Schrier, Sondheim on Sondheim
Brian Ronan, American Idiot

SOUND DESIGN (PLAY)
Acme Sound Partners, Fences
Adam Cork, Enron
Adam Cork, Hamlet
David Van Tieghem, A Behanding in Spokane

TOTALS
American Idiot, Memphis- 10 each

Fences- 8

The Addams Family, A View From The Bridge- 7 each

Enron, Red- 6 each

Fela!, La Cage Aux Folles, The Royal Family- 5 each

Come Fly Away, Sondheim on Sondheim, Time Stands Still- 4 each

Finian’s Rainbow, Lend Me A Tenor. A Little Night Music- 3 each

A Behanding in Spokane, Everyday Rapture, Hamlet, Next Fall- 2 each

Collected Stories, In The Next Room (or the vibrator play), Looped, Million Dollar Quartet, Present Laughter, Ragtime, Superior Donuts- 1 each

Posted: 4/30/10 at 7:09pm

Pretty amusing to call Angela Lansbury the "Dark house" in her race when virtually everyone has been calling her inevitable since the casting was announced. I mean even SPORTSWRITERS are saying she's going to win....

[jacobtsf]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 7:21pm

But Joe, now that Cook is in the same category I fear she will take "Broadway legend" votes away from Lansbury, leading to a win by Finneran (who would probably win based on performance if she were not up against the incredible Lansbury).

[MrJNLong]

Posted: 4/30/10 at 10:23pm

Ooooooh, ColortheHours, you're my favorite so far.
Although I really really hate the idea of Trevor Nunn being nominated for his work on ALNM. I thought it was bad. Wrong and bad. Wrong, bad and awful. If he is nominated ahead of Dodge, I will move to New York and beat some sense into all who apparently do not understand the art of directing. hehehe
But don't mind me, I don't feel strongly about this at all...