TONY Nomination Predictions- Page 2

[adamgreer]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 1:14am

You want options? I'll give you options:

Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
Aaron Lazar, A Little Night Music
Norm Lewis and Euan Morton, Sondheim on Sondheim
Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet
Tony Vincent, American Idiot
Tony Goldwyn, Promises, Promises


By the way, the acting categories allow for 5 nominees.

[ILOHTFAHA (Aida Man)]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 1:15am

Check my list I updated it just a tad.

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 1:24am

Adamgreer, you know your Tony stuff. I enjoy reading you even when I disagree with you. For instance, I know you're on record as hating 'Memphis' and predicting that 'Everyday Rapture' will bump it out of contention for Best Musical.

That said, I don't think all of Melissa Rose Bernardo's predictions are 'idiot'-ic. Her Best Play choices seem reasonable: 'Enron,' 'Next Fall,' 'Red' and 'Time Stands Still.' Nor would she be the only one who thinks Chad Kimball could be a Best Actor contender. Frank Scheck of the Hollywood Reporter predicted when 'Memphis' opened back in October that Kimball would be remembered at awards time. And Robin de Jesus was Tony-nominated for 'In the Heights'; maybe he'll repeat here. As for 'no one remembering Jude Law,' the Drama League did, and gave him a nomination, so who knows?

Instead of knocking her predictions, how about posting yours?
Updated On: 4/25/10 at 01:24 AM

[adamgreer]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 1:30am

I won't be posting any predictions until after I've seen Collected Stories and Fences, both of which will happen this coming week.

I see Kimball being overlooked because he's in a highly competitive category, against the likes of Hodge, Sahr, Nathan Lane, John Gallagher Jr., Alexander Hanson, Sean Hayes, and Kelsey Grammer.

DeJesus was rightfully nominated for In the Heights- he added a lot to the production. He subtracts from this production with his over the top antics, re-setting the musical from the 1970's French Riviera to New York City, 2010.
Updated On: 4/25/10 at 01:30 AM

[PReeves2]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 1:42am

my personal short list for nominations of musicals only

Best Musical:
Fela!
Come Fly Away
American Idiot
Everyday Rapture


Revival Musical:
La Cage
A Little Night Music
Finian's Rainbow
Ragtime


Best Director Musical:
Bill T. Jones - Fela!
Michael Mayer - American Idiot
Trevor Nunn - A Little Night Music
Terry Johnson - La Cage


Best Actor Musical:
Douglas Hodge - La Cage
Sahr Ngaujah - Fela!
Keith Roberts - Come Fly Away
Nathan Lane - Addams Family
?????


Best Actress Musical:
Catherine Zeta Jones - A Little Night Music
Karine Platadit - Come Fly Away
Barbara Cook - Sondheim on Sondheim
Montego Glover - Memphis
Sherrie Rene Scott - Everyday Rapture


Best Featured Actor Musical:
Bobby Steggert - Ragtime
Charlie-Neshyba Hodges - Come Fly Away
Stark Sands - American Idiot
Tony Vincent - American Idiot
Tom Wopat - Sondheim on Sondheim


Best Featured Actress Musical:
Angela Lansbury - A Little Night Music
Lillias White - Fela!
Vanessa Williams - Sondheim on Sondheim
Katie Finneran - Promises, Promises
Rebecca Naomi Jones - American Idiot
Updated On: 4/26/10 at 01:42 AM

[theatreguy]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 2:24am

Here are some thoughts (subject to change, of course, based on category placement and reviews):

BEST MUSICAL
American Idiot
Everyday Rapture
Fela!
Memphis

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Finian’s Rainbow
La Cage aux Folles
A Little Night Music
Promises, Promises

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
American Idiot
Everyday Rapture
Fela!
Memphis

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Addams Family
American Idiot
Memphis

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
John Gallagher Jr., American Idiot
Kelsey Grammer, La Cage aux Folles
Sean Hayes, Promises Promises
Douglas Hodge, La Cage aux Folles
Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Kate Baldwin, Finian’s Rainbow
Kristin Chenoweth, Promises Promises
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Robin de Jesus, La Cage aux Folles
Aaron Lazar, A Little Night Music
Charlie Neshyba-Hodges, Come Fly Away
Stark Sands, American Idiot
Tony Vincent, American Idiot

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Katie Finneran, Promises Promises
Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
Karine Plantadit, Come Fly Away
Lillias White, Fela!

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Steven Hoggett, American Idiot
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Lynne Page, La Cage aux Folles
Twyla Tharp, Come Fly Away

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Terry Johnson, La Cage aux Folles
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Michael Mayer, American Idiot
Trevor Nunn, A Little Night Music

BEST PLAY
Enron
Next Fall
Red
Time Stands Still

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Fences
Lend Me a Tenor
The Royal Family
A View from the Bridge

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Norbert Leo Butz, Enron
Alfred Molina, Red
Liev Schreiber, A View from the Bridge
Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
Denzel Washington, Fences

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Carrie Fisher, Wishful Drinking
Valerie Harper, Looped
Linda Lavin, Collected Stories
Laura Linney, Time Stands Still
Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
Brian d’Arcy James, Time Stands Still
Stephen Kunken, Enron
Eddie Redmayne, Red
Sam Rockwell, A Behanding in Spokane

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Viola Davis, Fences
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
Jessica Hecht, A View from the Bridge
Scarlett Johansson, A View from the Bridge
Jan Maxwell, Lend Me a Tenor

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Rupert Goold, Enron
Michael Grandage, Red
Gregory Mosher, A View from the Bridge
Stanley Tucci, Lend Me a Tenor

[somethingwicked]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 4:24am

adamgreer, I couldn't agree with you more about Robin De Jesus.

I thought he would be ideally cast as Jacob, but I was absolutely floored that Terry Johnson let him get away with the work he's turning in.

It's literally an exact retread of his performance from IN THE HEIGHTS, and it falls completely out of context with the rest of the production. It felt like he was trying to do a 2010 version of Googie Gomez in a production that's so period appropriate everywhere else.

What an unfortunate mess from someone who is so talented otherwise.

Updated On: 4/25/10 at 04:24 AM

[Smaxie]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 9:39am

>DeJesus was almost universally panned in an otherwise praised production<

This is untrue. Here's what was said about his performance from the major critics:

Daily News
Also noteworthy: Robin De Jesus, who plays Albin's "maid" like a streetwise Latina. The choice doesn't quite match the period, but he serves up Fierstein's zingers with gusto.

Associated Press
The supporting cast offers delirious comic support - from Robin De Jesus as a Googie Gomez-inspired domestic who attends Albins' every whim to Fred Applegate and Veanne Cox as the girl's bewildered parents.

Hollywood Reporter
The musical's farcical elements are equally well realized, with particularly strong contributions from Lynne Page's amusing choreography, Matthew Wright's tackily over-the-top costumes and hilarious supporting performers like Robin De Jesus as the couple's sassy maid, Jacob.

TheaterMania
Under Johnson's sassy direction, the entire cast gives the show its all. Robin De Jesus stands out as fey maid Jacob.

Backstage
As Jacob, the flighty butler, Robin De Jesus seems to have washed up on the shores of the Riviera after swimming from the Bronx River. But his gritty Nu Yawk manner spices up the domestic scenes immeasurably.

Time Out New York
The remarkable Robin De Jesus as Jacob, Zaza's sassy male maid, inventively reimagined with sweet licks of Latino brass.

Entertainment Weekly
Robin de Jesus (In the Heights) is uproarious as Albin's devoted butler/maid who aspires to be Cagelle himself.

New York Post
The supporting cast -- particularly Robin De Jesus, equally deadpan and flaming as the butler/maid Jacob -- is top-notch.

Bloomberg News
the rest of the cast is so good. Tops among them are Robin de Jesus, as Albin's conniving, stage- struck assistant.

Wall Street Journal
Since everything about "La Cage" is on the nose, I'll be brief and mention only Robin de Jesus, the male maid of the Grammer-Hodge menage, who is madly funny and has the best legs in the show

USA Today
Robin De Jesus delivers the highest octane level as Georges and Albin's feisty "maid," Jacob, presented here with a hilarious (if not exactly appropriate) Nuyorican accent.

NY1 News
There's a variety of accents in this company and it was clear that the casting of Robin DeJesus as a Nuyorican-sounding Jacob, the butler/maid, was strictly for comic relief, and it worked.

Bergen Record
Robin De Jesus, who's thoroughly and winningly transformed himself from the little cousin in "In the Heights" into Jacob, the couple's snippy, cross-dressing maid, speaks with the intonations of a Latino New Yorker.

For the record, two critics had issues with his performance: Newsday and Variety. As you can see above, no "universal panning" took place.

Updated On: 4/25/10 at 09:39 AM

[tazber]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 9:45am

I was just thinking that Smaxie. Thanks for posting all that and reminding me that I'm not crazy and the elcetro therapy really did work.

[LaCageAuxFollesFan]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 10:25am

Just added a few more categories to my original picks. And made 2 slight changes to those pics.

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 10:28am

BEST MUSICAL:
American Idiot**
Fela!
Memphis
Sondheim on Sondheim
Sondheim on Sondheim barely edges out Everyday Rapture for a surprise nomination.

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL:
Terry Johnson, La Cage aux Folles
James Lapine, Sondheim on Sondheim
Michael Mayer, American Idiot**
Trevor Nunn, A Little Night Music
Lapine barely edges out Bill T. Jones, on the back of love for the show and for Sondheim.

BEST BOOK:
American Idiot
Everyday Rapture**
Fela!
Memphis

BEST SCORE:
The Addams Family
American Idiot**
Enron
Memphis

BEST ACTOR:
Kelsey Grammer, La Cage aux Folles
Sean Hayes, Promises, Promises
Douglas Hodge, La Cage aux Folles**
Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
Saur Ngaujah, Fela!
In a shocker, and an undeserved one at that, Hayes, Lane and Grammer all sneak in at John Gallagher's expense. Those three will be neck and neck for two spots, and who gets them is a toss-up.

BEST ACTRESS:
Kate Baldwin, Finian's Rainbow
Kristin Chenoweth, Promises, Promises
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music**

BEST FEATURED ACTOR:
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Robin de Jesus, La Cage aux Folles
Norm Lewis, Sondheim on Sondheim
Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
Tony Vincent, American Idiot**

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS:
Veanne Cox, La Cage aux Folles
Katie Finneran, Promises, Promises
Jackie Hoffman, The Addams Family
Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music**

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY:
Steven Hoggett, American Idiot
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Lynne Page, La Cage aux Folles
Twyla Tharp, Come Fly Away**

BEST SET DESIGN:
The Addams Family**
American Idiot
Fela!
La Cage aux Folles

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:
The Addams Family**
Fela!
La Cage aux Folles
A Little Night Music

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN:
The Addams Family
American Idiot**
Fela!
La Cage aux Folles

BEST SOUND DESIGN:
The Addams Family
American Idiot**
Fela!
Promises, Promises

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS:
American Idiot**
Fela!
A Little Night Music
Sondheim on Sondheim

Updated On: 4/25/10 at 10:28 AM

[kidbroadway2]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 11:01am

Watch out for destruction and complete bitterness at the Addams Family if a certain someone doesn't get nominated for Best Leading Actress.

[jagfkb]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 12:41pm

** Winner
* Dark Horse

MUSICAL
American Idiot**
Everyday Rapture*
The Addams Family
Memphis

PLAY
Enron**
Next Fall*
Red
Time Stands Still

MUSICAL REVIVAL
A Little Night Music
Finnian’s Rainbow
La Cage Aux Folles**
Ragtime*

PLAY REVIVAL
A View from the Bridge*
Fences
Lend Me a Tenor**
The Royal Family

ACTRESS MUSICAL
Sherrie Rene Scott – Everyday Rapture**
Catherine Zeta Jones – A Little Night Music*
Montego Glover – Memphis
Barbara Cook – SOS
Bebe Neuwirth- Addams Family

ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Douglas Hodge - La Cage Aux Folles**
Kelsey Grammar – La Cage Aux Folles
Nathan Lane- The Addams Family*
John Gallagher Jr. - American Idiot
Sean Hayes – Promises, Promises

F. ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music**
Katie Finneran in Promises, Promises*
Rebecca Naomi Jones in American Idiot
Krysta Rodriguez, The Addams Family
Jackie Hoffman, The Addams Family*

F. ACTOR IN A MUSICAL (IMO, THE strongest category of the year)
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian’s Rainbow*
Robin De Jesús, La Cage Aux Folles*
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family*
Bobby Steggert, Ragtime*
Tony Vincent, American Idiot**

DIRECTOR/MUSICAL
Michael Mayer, AMERICAN IDIOT**
Terry Johnson, LA CAGE AUX FOLLES*
Bill T. Jones, FELA!
Trevor Nunn, A LITTLE NIGHT MUSIC

DIRECTOR/PLAY
Rupert Goold, ENRON*
Michael Grandage, RED**
Daniel Sullivan, TIME STANDS STILL
Gregory Mosher, A VIEW FROM THE BRIDGE

CHOREOGRAPHY
Sergio Trujillo, MEMPHIS
Scott Ambler, ENRON
Steven Hoggett, AMERICAN IDIOT*
Twyla Tharp, COME FLY AWAY**

BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Sherie Rene Scott and Dick Scanlan, EVERYDAY RAPTURE**
Joe DiPietro, MEMPHIS
Billie Joe Armstrong and Michael Mayer, AMERICAN IDIOT
Marshall Brickman and Rick Elice, THE ADDAMS FAMILY*

SCORE
Joe DiPietro and David Bryan, MEMPHIS(**, if AI not nominated)
Maury Yeston, THE ROYAL FAMILY/ Green Day, AMERICAN IDIOT(**, in eligible)
Adam Cork, ENRON(*, if AI not nominated)
Andrew Lippa, THE ADDAMS FAMILY(*, if AI nominated)

[showinoff]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 5:06pm

Do we know what the Tony rulings is for Saur Ngaujah, Fela? Fela, is played by more than one actor. Do we have another Billy Elliot on our hands?

[Sauja]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 5:26pm

showinoff, the decision was that only Ngaujah would be eligible as he was Fela on opening night. I know this goes against what I said earlier in the thread (I'm fickle), but I'm beginning to wonder if he might be left out of the nominations, making it Grammer, Hodges, Hayes, Gallagher, and Lane. In a showy/celeb packed category, I don't think Hanson stands a chance and am curious if Ngaujah's five show/week schedule will hurt him. Thoughts?

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 5:32pm

When are we going to find out American Idiot's score eligibility?

[Greatwhiteway3]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 5:59pm

I predict Angie L will NOT win a TONY for ALNM. Yes seriously. Various reasons, but main ones are... 1. show got panned and critics don't like when ticket buyers ignore them (yes I know
her and Cathy got good reviews), 2. She had her big emotional come back win last year 3. There are several more political choices this year which would be more dramatic.

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:00pm

Too bad critics don't vote anymore.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:07pm

A Little Night Music was not panned- its average grade on Stage Grade was a solid B. Hardly panned.if you want to see panned reviews, take a look at the reviews for The Addams Family.

Theatrefan4 is also 100 percent correct- critics have no voting privileges this season.

To whomever said featured actor in a musical is the strongest category, I disagree. Leading actor in a play and musical are both much more competitive. Featured actor in both play and musical is among the weakest of the year.

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:15pm

Featured actor in both play and musical is among the weakest of the year.

And that's why it's a wide open category, not necessarily a strong one.

~Steven

[sundayclothes2]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:22pm

I really would not be suspired if Gallagher gets a nomination at the expense of Grammer.

While both did get good reviews - Grammer seems to have fallen in the shadow of Hodge, while Gallagher was the stand-out of AI.

Also, there has not been much discussion about Best Director of a Play. I am hoping that Tucci makes the final cut and takes the trophy home. His work on Lend Me A Tenor was quite good.

Also, if Memphis indeed gets a Best Musical nomination I don't think it would be far-fetched to predict that Christopher Ashley could take one of the Best Director spots. My guess is that the Best Director for a Musical nominees are:

Michael Mayer, American Idiot
Bill T. Jones, Fela!
Terry Johnson, La Cage
Christopher Ashley, Memphis
Updated On: 4/25/10 at 06:22 PM

[blaxx]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:27pm

A Little Night Music was not panned- its average grade on Stage Grade was a solid B. Hardly panned.if you want to see panned reviews, take a look at the reviews for The Addams Family.

There's no point in arguing with these kids. They don't know what a pan is.

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:32pm

There's no point in arguing with these kids. They don't know what a pan is.

Sure I do!

[GatorNY]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:40pm

There is no way that Promises Promises deserves to be nominated over RAGTIME.

[TheatreFan4]

Posted: 4/25/10 at 6:43pm

There is no way that Promises Promises deserves to be nominated over RAGTIME.

Doesn't matter. It will get the nomination.