The thing about HAMILTON is (and I haven't seen it being said yet, but it probably has been before), although it broke the record in terms of nominations, I find it highly unlikely that it will break the record for most wins.
Five of its nominations are between two categories and thus, barring any sort of tie, it can win both categories, but it will only count as two wins, knocking the potential total down to 13, to say nothing of the fact that there are other categories where HAMILTON is nominated, but is not likely to win (Best Actress In A Musical), or could win but faces stiff competition (Best Featured Actress In A Musical), which could knock HAMILTON below the record threshold.
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