Tonys "Hamilton" Might Not Win

Forgive me if I'm duplicating but the "Shuffle Along"/"Hamilton" choreography thread -- and seeing both shows last weekend -- has me thinking about other shows that might pluck an award from the "Hamilton" juggernaut. Savion Glover seems to have a pretty good chance but what else? Ann Roth's costumes for "Shuffle Along" also struck me as slightly more compelling than the "Hamilton" costumes. Most people seem to think Errivo will beat Soo for best actress in a musical. What else? Might "American Psycho" win for its lighting?

I don't think "Hamilton" is a lock for all their categories at all. In terms of Choreography, I think Savion should win. It's far better, as well as the previous mentioned Lighting for "American Psycho", and I'll throw in Set Design for "She Loves Me" - these three awards for these three productions are done better than "Hamilton", and they should logically win in my book. Who knows, though. I mean, Jonathan Groff got nominated just to break a record, so maybe they'll tie the vote to make two actors win, upping their total win count. Tonys are about money and exposure, not art.

Choreography, Set Design, Lead Actress, Lighting, Featured Actress (tho I think REG will win).

Leading Actress, Featured Actor (I think the Hamilton boys may cancel one another out), Scenic Design, Lighting Design, possibly Costume Design.

starcatchers said: "Featured actor is Chris Fitzgerald's to lose. "





In what race? Daveed Diggs is winning that Tony.

Yes, did you? When someone says "to lose" that means they think the person is going to win.

It will win them all.

It has to break the record! It absolutely has to!

My mistake, I didn't know that's what it meant. I've never heard that before. I'm not going to buy into this drama, but I didn't and have never attacked you.

y'all are crazy if you think Renée and Daveed at LEAST aren't winning. Leslie should but I could see an upset. Phillipa won't. I don't think Groff was nominated just to break the record. As for splitting the vote... I felt that Emily Skeggs was an extraneous nomination last year and possibly split the vote, in my opinion either Judy Kuhn or Sydney Lucas should have won.

I think it has the creative awards in the bag. I really believe it will win 3/4 acting awards too, all except leading actress.

The technical awards could go either way for me. I think it will either win them all or only a couple. The voters could be in the frame of mind where they want to see one show win big and bring more attention towards the Tonys by overly awarding the show that everyone is talking about. However, if they truly go off what is best, I could see it losing stuff like choreography, set design and costumes quite easily. I really think it will win lighting though as not only is the lighting for Hamilton great but the Tonys do not seem to care about American Psycho in the slightest.

Updated On: 5/9/16 at 03:43 PM

I do, dramamama611. Of course, that's just my opinion. I would have rather seen any other "Hamilton" actor get that third nomination. It wasn't deserved. Again, my opinion. And I love Jonathan, too, so very much. I've been a fan for years, and I hope he comes back soon in a real Tony-worthy role. This role was not that role. Also, nothing will make more money than a headline about how the show has the most Tony wins in history. That's just a fact. Ticket sales will go even higher, and in turn, the rest of the new musicals (and revivals) will get a secondary prize of being the consolation show to go to. Which is great, if you think about it. "Well, we can't get tickets to 'Hamilton', so let's go see 'Bright Star' instead. It was nominated, too."

I think Leslie is a lead through and through. Aaron Burr is the show, in my opinion - maybe once casting changes I will change my mind.

Danny's Tevye is so good that I don't want people to think he's just winning by default like happened with actress last year.

The Distinctive Baritone said: "Technically, the only "lead" character in Hamilton is Hamilton. They clearly petitioned Odom and Soo for leading so there'd be more room for nominations in the featured categories. I imagine they did the same thing with the original Les Miz, which is why Terrance Mann got nominated as "leading."

I didn't think there was any question that Burr was a leading character. As far as stage time, number of songs and impact on the show, Burr has a very, very significant presence in the show. If you compared Burr to the the characters in the show deemed "featured" it is apples to oranges.