Way too early 2016 Tony predictions- Page 15

[The Other One]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 12:31pm

She may not even be nominated.  

[BroadwayNYC25]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 1:09pm

I'm really worried that Jessie Mueller might steal the tony from cynthia! Someone please give me reasons why this won't happen. 

[pupscotch]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 1:29pm

BroadwayNYC25 said: "I'm really worried that Jessie Mueller might steal the tony from cynthia! Someone please give me reasons why this won't happen. 

 

"

She won two years ago, so they might want to award someone else. I love Jessie though, and would be happy to see her win again. 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 2:24pm

Thoughts that every (edit: musical) performance award winner could be a man or woman of color this year? Think about it: Leslie Odom, Jr., Cynthia Erivo, Daveed Diggs, Renée Elise Goldsberry. 

It's highly plausible, in my opinion, and would be amazing for so many reasons. 

Updated On: 4/17/16 at 02:24 PM

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 2:28pm

^Whether that happens or not, at least there won't be any #TonysSoWhite controversy with the nominations this year.

[aaaaaa15]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 2:56pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Thoughts that every (edit: musical) performance award winner could be a man or woman of color this year? Think about it: Leslie Odom, Jr., Cynthia Erivo, Daveed Diggs, Renée Elise Goldsberry. 

It's highly plausible, in my opinion, and would be amazing for so many reasons. "

I'm keeping my fingers crossed for this, because I think all of those actors deserve to win and it would be such a great moment for diversity in the entertainment industry.

[CindersGolightly]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 3:04pm

Yes, but you must understand, compared to this season, next year there will be controversy. For whatever reason, people think Broadway is so much more progressive than Hollywood, but the truth is, we just got VERY lucky this year. Lin-Manuel said it himself, Broadway is just as white as Hollywood. But on the subject, Lupita Nyong'o could very well win, too! So to have five people of color win out of eight acting awards would be a blessing.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 3:26pm

^And Eclipsed could win Best Play.

[aaaaaa15]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 3:48pm

CindersGolightly said: "Yes, but you must understand, compared to this season, next year there will be controversy. For whatever reason, people think Broadway is so much more progressive than Hollywood, but the truth is, we just got VERY lucky this year. Lin-Manuel said it himself, Broadway is just as white as Hollywood. But on the subject, Lupita Nyong'o could very well win, too! So to have five people of color win out of eight acting awards would be a blessing."

Of course, I think we all understand that. But if casting directors can see the success of these diverse shows, see how 3-5 actors of color can win Tonys in one year and how it would be celebrated, they may be more willing to cast diverse in the future and that goes for film and television as well.

[Sunny11]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 4:07pm

POCs are getting more dominant in the industry though. On TV you have The Mindy Project, lead by an actor of Indian decent. Greys anatomy and Orange is the new black does well scoring accolades for its diverse cast. Slumdog millionaire was an indie darling at its time. It's still white heavy but the gap is narrowing all the time. 

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 5:13pm

It isn't narrowing all the time. By that logic, the Oscar controversy this year wouldn't have happened. SLUMDOG came out in 2008.

We'll see how the race progresses but usually when there's a tight race like the one for lead actress, I think the Tonys favor the performer who hasn't previously won. If Erivo weren't giving such a genius performance, I'd say Mueller and Benanti would have more of a chance. But I have a hard time seeing anyone beating Erivo at this point.

[Sunny11]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 5:31pm

Life of PI, debuting a young Indian lead won 4 oscars and nominated for 7 more including best picture in 2012. 

Ism am saying that minority dominated projects are occurring and receiving high industry respect more frequently than in the past, 

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 4/17/16 at 5:43pm

We'll see how the race progresses but usually when there's a tight race like the one for lead actress, I think the Tonys favor the performer who hasn't previously won.

Which is one reason why Danny Burstein could win Lead Actor in a Musical.

[cuz-i-can]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 12:20am

The Other One said: "rjm516 said: "Oh man I forgot JHud. In a supporting role that makes it somewhat easier for her to maybe win a Tony, and then she would then have 3/4 for an EGOT, which would be CRAZY considering how bad an actress she is. "

 

She is mediocre and she is not going to win a Tony.  

 

 

"

Jennifer Hudson is beyond magnificent, and  it should be noted that your opinions and taste are in the minority. I can't wait for her and Cynthia to take best actress and supporting actress in a musical. Not only will the hate on this board be hilarious to watch, but it'll be nice for her to win another award that she rightfully deserves.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 12:22am

Jennifer Hudson as Shug Avery is far better than "mediocre," but she is also far from "beyond magnificent." Cynthia Erivo, for example, is giving a "beyond magnificent" performance—and they're in the very same show. People on here need to get a grip. Hudson will likely get a nod, yes, but she will not win the Tony.

Updated On: 4/18/16 at 12:22 AM

[cuz-i-can]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 12:37am

BroadwayConcierge said: "Jennifer Hudson as Shug Avery is far better than "mediocre," but she is also far from "beyond magnificent." Cynthia Erivo, for example, is giving a "beyond magnificent" performance—and they're in the very same show. People on here need to get a grip. Hudson will likely get a nod, yes, but she will not win the Tony.

 

"

This is utter nonsense and I refuse to acknowledge it. Lol just playing, I honestly think all of the acting awards this year will be very tight and we're in for a lot of surprises. Outside of Erivo I think the rest of the awards can go in any direction. This will be one of the more exciting years for the tonys.

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 12:47am

If we're talking double nominations for Color Purple, I'd personally nominate Danielle Brooks and Joaquina Kalukango. Hudson's vocals are stunning, but she wasn't the highlight of that show for me, and it's a competitive category this year. Never mind that she'll have left the show a month before the Tonys. (And thanks for the reminder about that end staging. I was sitting in the second row, so I think I must remember hearing some voices over others!)

 

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 9:22am

Joaquina's part is too small to be nominated.

[Valentina3]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 9:37am

neonlightsxo said: "Joaquina's part is too small to be nominated."

 

Let's not do that. There are smaller parts which have been nominated before. Joaquina had a 7 min song at the top of the Act 2 just to herself, and several she shares with Erivo /Johnson in Act 1 before she runs away. I think all acts are equally divided on how much time each 3 supporting actresses get. Shug seems to get a little more attention, but it's not true. Act 1 is Nettie -> Sophia -> Shug, Act 2 is Nettie -> Shug -> Sophia. 

Updated On: 4/18/16 at 09:37 AM

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 9:53am

I'm just being logical. Nominations go to showy parts. Joaquina is great but this role isn't her time.

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 10:22am

There was nothing mediocre about Jennifer Hudson's performance as Shug Avery. I had a lot of trepidations about seeing her in this and I'm not a fan of her performance in DREAMGIRLS outside of the musical numbers, which I think gets worse the more times I see the movie. Hudson is not a natural actress the way say Erivo or Brooks are, but John Doyle clearly understood this and led Hudson to give a performance built around her strengths. She becomes Shug Avery, simple as that, to the point that it becomes hard to separate her from the role. When she is performing, she is all sex, power, and energy; when she is with Celie, she is vulnerable, still trying to put on the Shug "persona" but a bit more tentative. This allows us to see the transformative effect that Celie has on Shug, and it ultimately leads to a beautiful chemistry between Erivo and Hudson. The two are completely believable as women who have been broken by the world and whose intimacy becomes liberating for both of them. Hudson also acts through song beautifully here, choosing to use her instrument to serve the character rather than to show off her vocals. It's an excellent performance that will surely get her a Tony nomination. And if Goldsberry and Krakowski weren't in the running, I'd have a hard time not voting for her.

In an ideal world, all three featured women from THE COLOR PURPLE would get in along with Jane Krakowski and Renee Elise Goldsberry. But I do think Joaquina Kalukago will have a hard time getting in based on the size of her role, she absolutely deserves to be recognized though. Erivo's journey as Celie would not have the same impact if Kalukango didn't do such a magnificent job at portraying why Nettie is so special both to Celie and the audience. Her reading of the line "I am not dead" still sends chills down my spine.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 10:25am

If we think Featured Actress in a Musical will include Goldsberry, Krakowski, Brooks, and Hudson, who could/should grab the fifth nomination slot?

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 10:27am

Helene Yorke or Jennifer Simard would be my guess, based on what I've heard. Haven't seen Waitress or Psycho yet.

 

"There was nothing mediocre about Jennifer Hudson's performance as Shug Avery. I had a lot of trepidations about seeing her in this and I'm not a fan of her performance in DREAMGIRLS outside of the musical numbers, which I think gets worse the more times I see the movie. Hudson is not a natural actress the way say Erivo or Brooks are, but John Doyle clearly understood this and led Hudson to give a performance built around her strengths. She becomes Shug Avery, simple as that, to the point that it becomes hard to separate her from the role. "

Hear, hear.

[The Other One]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 10:44am

Ray-and all that jazz, your description and appreciation of Ms. Hudson's performance is beautifully articulated, and a lot more accurate than my earlier description of it as mediocre. I missed Shug's brassy, sassy, empowered side, and felt that the show missed it as well. Her vulnerability and work in tandem with Cynthia I never questioned, and her singing is of course glorious. 

 

When I think of award-winning performances, performers who are so clearly directed around do not come to mind for me, but "mediocre" was too negative and limited a description of Jennifer's work.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 4/18/16 at 10:58am

BroadwayConcierge said: "If we think Featured Actress in a Musical will include Goldsberry, Krakowski, Brooks, and Hudson, who could/should grab the fifth nomination slot?"

As of now, I think the ones who could grab the fifth slot are...
Jessica Hecht-Fiddler on the Roof: She could be riding on the wave of support for the production.

Lesli Margherita-Dames at Sea: While it may be a bit of a longshot since the show closed back in January, people still felt that Margherita was a standout.

Jennifer Simard-Disaster!: While the show itself hasn't been very well received, people still felt that Simard was the standout.

Updated On: 4/18/16 at 10:58 AM