What are everyone's FINAL Tony predictions?!

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:15pm

With the Tony's airing live tomorrow, what are everyone's final predictions? I figured it was easier to gather them all in one thread/discuss before the big night tomorrow...

My predictions:

Best Play

August: Osage County
Author: Tracy Letts
Producers: Jeffrey Richards, Jean Doumanian, Steve Traxler, Jerry Frankel, Ostar Productions, Jennifer Manocherian, The Weinstein Company, Debra Black/Daryl Roth, Ronald & Marc Frankel/Barbara Freitag, Rick Steiner/Staton Bell Group, The Steppenwolf Theatre Company


Best Musical

In The Heights
Producers: Kevin McCollum, Jeffrey Seller, Jill Furman, Sander Jacobs, Goodman/Grossman, Peter Fine, Everett/Skipper


Best Book of a Musical

Xanadu
Douglas Carter Beane

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

In The Heights
Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda


Best Revival of a Play

Boeing-Boeing
Producers: Sonia Friedman Productions, Bob Boyett, Act Productions, Matthew Byam Shaw, Robert G. Bartner, The Weinstein Company, Susan Gallin/Mary Lu Roffe, Broadway Across America, Tulchin/Jenkins/DSM, The Araca Group


Best Revival of a Musical

Rodgers & Hammerstein's South Pacific
Producers: Lincoln Center Theater, André Bishop, Bernard Gersten, Bob Boyett


Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play

Mark Rylance, Boeing-Boeing


Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play

Deanna Dunagan, August: Osage County


Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical

Lin-Manuel Miranda, In The Heights


Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical

Patti LuPone, Gypsy


Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

Raúl Esparza, The Homecoming


Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play

Rondi Reed, August: Osage County


Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical

Daniel Breaker, Passing Strange


Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical

Laura Benanti, Gypsy


Best Scenic Design of a Play

Todd Rosenthal, August: Osage County


Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Michael Yeargan, Rodgers & Hammerstein's South Pacific


Best Costume Design of a Play

Katrina Lindsay, Les Liaisons Dangereuses


Best Costume Design of a Musical

Catherine Zuber, Rodgers & Hammerstein's South Pacific


Best Lighting Design of a Play

Ann G. Wrightson, August: Osage County


Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Donald Holder, Rodgers & Hammerstein's South Pacific


Best Sound Design of a Play

Mic Pool, The 39 Steps


Best Sound Design of a Musical

Acme Sound Partners, In The Heights


Best Direction of a Play

Anna D. Shapiro, August: Osage County


Best Direction of a Musical

Arthur Laurents, Gypsy


Best Choreography

Rob Ashford, Cry-Baby


Best Orchestrations

Alex Lacamoire & Bill Sherman, In The Heights



-----
That would leave the following shows with their corresponding amount of awards (all others with one):

IN THE HEIGHTS: 5
SOUTH PACIFIC: 4
GYPSY: 3
AUGUST OSAGE COUNTY: 6
BOEING-BOEING: 2

I know I'm going out on a limb with some of them but I felt like being a little risky this year.

Updated On: 6/14/08 at 03:15 PM

[blaxx]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:18pm

I actually feel you picked the safest path.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:21pm

Really? I mean the general consensus seems that Gaines, Szot, Norton, and Sher will all win in their respective categories, that Passing Strange will win for Book and Orchestrations, and that South Pacific will take Sound Design.

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:22pm

I am liking these. Author Laurents isn't going to get Direction It's going to be either South Pacific (Can't remember his name) or Thomas Kail. ITH is the only show in that category that isn't a revival so that may help Thomas. Also it could be an ITH default.

But I agree with a lot of yours, except I think the design awards (lighting, costumes, set) will be more spread out maybe one to Sunday, one to South Pacific, and one to ITH. I am also not sure if Daniel Breaker will get it or not. It's a tight race this year

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:24pm

I'm still keeping my fingers crossed for McCormack...she's incredible in BOEING-BOEING and I really hope that Stewart, or anyone else for that matter, wins over Rylance. I hated his performance.

[blaxx]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:26pm

At least in the major categories, those could be expected to win. I think Miranda has been mentioned enough (risky for me would be mentioning Evans or Wopat).

I do like the Laurents prediction, though.

[jaystarr]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:26pm

Are these your predictions or your wish list?

J*

[millie_dillmount]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:28pm

I haven't seen In the Heights, but I thought quite a few people mentioned that they'd take Best Choreography.

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:30pm

There has been a toss up for choreography. It's between ITH and Cry Baby. It's the only good thing about Cry Baby so that is why it may get it. But I think ITH is very creative.

[jaystarr]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:34pm

Just a few comments on your predictions:

1. Lin-Manuel Miranda- I love him, but I dont see him winning, its between Szot & Evans.. most likely its Szot.

*besides I dont really think Miranda is as good as Szot & Evans (acting wise & singing-not in the same league in my opinion)

2. Scenic Design? most likely it will go to Sunday in the Park.

3. Direction in a Musical- Iove Laurents but I think it will go to Bartleet Sher

4. Score : I truly believe if they will give the TONYS to ITH..they will give the score to PS (just me two cents)

5. Choreography- love love Ashford, but its ITH's year... I think they will give it to Blakenbuehler & Co.

btw- I have to give it to you...at least you did not come up with some out of this world prediction that XANADU will win the Tonys for Best Musical! lol!

note: I am not trying to be scarcastic, just being "realistic" and "honest" dont get me wrong, my fellow fANADUs!

well...we will see tomorrow! cant wait!

J*

Updated On: 6/14/08 at 03:34 PM

[Midnight Radio]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:53pm

Best Play:
August: Osage County

Best Musical:
Passing Strange

Best Book of a Musical:
Xanadu

Best Original Score:
Passing Strange

Best Revival of a Play:
MacBeth

Best Revival of a Musical:
South Pacific

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play:
Mark Rylance, Boeing-Boeing

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play:
Deanna Dunagan, August: Osage County

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical:
Paulo Szot, South Pacific

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Patti LuPone, Gypsy

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play:
Raúl Esparza, The Homecoming

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play:
Rondi Reed, August: Osage County
EDIT: On second thought, I give it to Mary McCormack, Boeing-Boeing

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical:
Daniel Breaker, Passing Strange

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical:
Laura Benanti, Gypsy

Best Scenic Design of a Play:
Todd Rosenthal, August: Osage County

Best Scenic Design of a Musical:
David Farley, Timothy Bird and The Knifedge Creative Network, Sunday in the Park with George

Best Costume Design of a Play:
Katrina Lindsay, Les Liaisons Dangereuses

Best Costume Design of a Musical:
Catherine Zuber, Rodgers & Hammerstein's South Pacific

Best Lighting Design of a Play:
Howard Harrison, Macbeth

Best Lighting Design of a Musical:
Donald Holder, Rodgers & Hammerstein's South Pacific

Best Sound Design of a Play:
Mic Pool, The 39 Steps

Best Sound Design of a Musical:
Acme Sound Partners, In The Heights

Best Direction of a Play:
Anna D. Shapiro, August: Osage County

Best Direction of a Musical:
Arthur Laurents, Gypsy

Best Choreography:
Rob Ashford, Cry-Baby

Best Orchestrations:
Alex Lacamoire & Bill Sherman, In The Heights


Updated On: 6/14/08 at 03:53 PM

[luvtheEmcee]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 3:59pm

The choreography in Cry-Baby is fantastic, but I can easily see people choosing not to vote for it just so not to reward the show.

[fanadu1996]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:03pm

who knows this year.....im only going to do a few.

Best Musical
Xanadu (anyone except ITH will be fine with me)

Best Book
Xanadu

Best Revival
SP

leading male in musical
Paulo Szot (id love to see daniel evans win)
(im sorry, i cannot see Lin winning this....hes not acting, and he cant sing:))

Leading female in musical
Patti

Best Chorography
i liked ITH choreography, but also Cry baby too.

Direction in musical
Shar

featured female in musical
laura b

featured male in musical
id like to see daniel b but most likely b. gaines

best play
august, duh.

[blaxx]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:04pm

I wish that for once, or at least after many years, they could reward the best - with no politics or agendas.

[jaystarr]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:07pm

I agree with emcee..sometimes they DO that..just to spite a "particular" show. I think that Rob Ashford did an incredible job! This is one of those category that I go....Prediction (ITH) but wishing for Rob Ashford ! (CB) and my friend burnsy will agree to that!

J*

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:21pm

Best Musical
Xanadu (anyone except ITH will be fine with me)


These are predictions not opinions. It's like you joined the board just to bash ITH.

[gustof777]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:25pm

featured in a play is going to be McCormack...I hope

[Testing1232]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:30pm

Wicked,

I think you nailed a ton of them ! Would love to see Blakenbuehler win, but I keep hearing Choreography going to "Cry-Baby"-

Love the Rylance pick, but really hope Norton wins over Esparza, who I thought was the weakest link in "The Homecoming".

And fanadu--- first of all, we get the point--- you joined to trash "ITH"---

And while I LOVE "Xanadu" and its cast, (which Jay* can attest to) it is not winning Best Musical. Would not mind it if did (at all!), but its not going to win.

Book is its best chance.

And if you think Lin cant act, you didnt pay attention to the show. Listening to many critics over the last two weeks, Miranda has a chance to win, because while Szot has a beautiful voice, he is stiff as a board on stage. (not my opinion, as I did not see his performance.)

[CyCoSpAz2]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:35pm

The Seafarer has to get SOMETHING. It is a shame it is up against August, because it was a really great play.

[Midnight Radio]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:39pm

Oo, I forgot about McCormack! I do hope she takes it...

And if Rylance wins, we are gonna be in for one hell of a speech...

[Testing1232]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:45pm

Both Riedel and another gentleman that were on the "Theatre Talk" Tony panel this week said that they liked "Seafarer" better than "August"- (Yes, I know "August" is a lock)

I would be really shocked if Norton did not win, but you keep reading that Esparza could take it.

Hill was better than Esparza (as was Hinds) IMHO.

Honestly, I have not missed a show like I miss "The Seafarer" in quite a long time !!

[frogs_fan85]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:51pm

"Both Riedel and another gentleman that were on the "Theatre Talk" Tony panel this week said that they liked "Seafarer" better than "August"

As did I.

[jagfkb]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:51pm

Best Musical:
Obvious: In the Heights
Upset: Xanadu

Best Play:
Obvious: August: Osage County
Upset: The 39 Steps

Best Revival of a Musical:
Obvious: South Pacific
Upset: Sunday in the Park with George

Best Revival of a Play:
Obvious: Boeing- Boeing
Upset: The Homecoming, or Macbeth

The rest I'm just doing for musicals:

Best Leading Actor:
Obvious: Paul Szot, or Daniel Evans
Upset: (If he doesn't win Best Score) Lin Manuel Miranda

Best Leading Actress:
Obvious: Patti LuPone
Upset: Kerry Butler

Best Featured Actor:
Obvious: Boyd Gaines, or Danny Bernstein
Upset: Christopher Fitzgerald

Best Featured Actress:
Obvious: Laura Benati
Upset: Andrea Martin

Best Director:
Obvious: Bartlett Sher
Upset: Arthur Laurents

Best Book:
Obvious: Xanadu
Upset: In the Heights

Best Score:
Obvious: In the Heights
Upset: Passing Strange, or Little Mermaid

Best Choreography:
Obvious: Cry Baby
Upset: In the Heights

Best Scenic Design:
Obvious: Sunday in the Park with George
Upset: In the Heights

Best Costume Design:
Obvious: South Pacific
Upset: Sunday in the Park with George, or In the Heights

Best Lighting Design:
Obvious: South Pacific
Upset: In the Heights, or Sunday in the Park with George

Best Sound Design:
Obvious: In the Heights
Upset: South Pacific

Best Orchestrations:
Obvious: In the Heights
Upset: Sunday in the Park with George

[Testing1232]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 4:58pm

<< "Both Riedel and another gentleman that were on the "Theatre Talk" Tony panel this week said that they liked "Seafarer" better than "August"

As did I. >>

And I, as well !!!

[H.Higgins]

Posted: 6/14/08 at 5:07pm

I've seen South Pacific predicted as the winner of Best Scenic Design of a Musical in several places now.

I swear, if it takes Best Scenic Design over the INCREDIBLE, GROUND-BREAKING work done in Sunday in the Park with George, something is VERY wrong.


(Sidebar: I HATE that Daniel Evans seems to be completely out of the running. God, I loved the Sunday revival).