2008 Tony Predictions for Best Musical

thought it'd be a cool idea to start the predictions now and see how they change both after shows open and after the nominations ar announced:

Best Musical Nominations:

In the Heights-
However, if the show closes, which I don't think is terribly likely, in the Heights could loose it's nomination.

The Little Mermaid-
Providing that this show can deliver everything we want and more, this is a very likely nomination.

Young Frankenstein-
If this musical turns out to be the hit we all expect, a nomination is certainly in the bag for this show.

And unless anyother musicals decide to open up between now and Tony time, which probably will happen, Xanadu looks like the only other nomination.


Best Musical WINNER:

The strange thing about this group of possible nominations is that each one of them had a little bit a past Best Musical winner in them. In the Heights has a bit of RENT, Little Mermaid has a lttle Lion King, Young Frankenstein has a little Producers, and Xanadu has a little... you know, i'm not quite sure about that one, but it looks like it will be a tough race. However, In the Heights and Xanadu don't stand a chance against Little Mermaid and Young Frankenstein, proviing that both musicals become the two major hit this season. However, when It comes down to a race between Mel Brooks and Disney, Noone knows what exactly will happen. I'd love to have Mermaid win, but young Frankenstein may be the most possible tonywin. Oh well, i guess we'll just have to wait and see. Your predictions?

My prediction is that we should wait for the shows to open first. July is a little early to be making predictions.

Also, A Catered Affair is another musical that's opening this season.

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I don't know if 'In The Heights' is quite big enough for a Best Musical win. At this HORRIFICALLY early stage, I would be unsurprised if 'The Little Mermaid' took it. As long as they can get it looking relatively sea-like without also being naff. It was a movie that a lot of people hold incredibly dear.

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Isn't 13 tentatively planned for next season too?

And Foster, isn't that exactly what you said about Poppins?

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Updated On: 7/15/07 at 01:33 PM

If the Tony committee keeps the loving of "the little transfers that could" like they did this season, In The Heights could make a huge impact.

Unless Young Frankenstein is out of this world spectacular, I'm anticipating a huge Mel Brooks backlash that could really level the playing field. Same for Little Mermaid (see Mary Poppins). Hopefully, that'll give In The Heights a real chance at making a difference.

I'm with Wanna Be A Foster on the noms (hopefully Xanadu can be remembered that far away).

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I don't really see how one can say The Little Mermaid (produced by DISNEY) can get a nomination when Young Frankenstein won't.

Really, this early speculation is ridiculous.

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Way too early.

There was one of these threads last year.. I think it was for Best Actress. It was, obviously, way too early.

I was speculating a nomination for Stephanie J. Block. Oh, the fun we have.

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It's way too early to start guessing. We don't even really have any idea about these shows (set design, costume, etc.), so it's definitely way too early.

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So because THE LITTLE MERMAID is a better film than TARZAN, it will immediately be better than TARZAN and will win Best Musical (and you haven't seen it?). Okay...

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"So because THE LITTLE MERMAID is a better film than TARZAN, it will immediately be better than TARZAN and will win Best Musical..."

I think it's way to early to predict that Little Mermaid may or may not win best musical, but Little Mermaid will be a bigger success than Tarzan. Look at Lion King and Beauty and the Beast. Two VERY successful shows. You want to know part of the reason why? Everyone was familiar with the stories. Those were the Disney favorites. So is Little Mermaid. Although Tarzan was a widely-know story, I don't think it was really a favorite with audiences as much as Beauty and the Lion King are.

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"So because THE LITTLE MERMAID is a better film than TARZAN, it will immediately be better than TARZAN and will win Best Musical (and you haven't seen it?). Okay..." I wrote one sentence about Tarzan just saying Mermaid is already leagues above and you comment on that? The film of Tarzan wasn't a huge hit in any way; it had its little fanbase and that's about it..It also had Phil Collins, but it took away from the movie because he sang all, but one song; that already made it different from other hit Disney films..Little Mermaid was the movie that brought Disney back to its "Golden Age!" It had a great story, Howard Ashman and Alan Menken wrote an incredible score(IMO the best score that they wrote out of the three) that fit perfectly because as they described it, the characters run out of words and so the words have to come out in song; Sabastion has to convince Ariel to stay away from the land so he has to sing "Under The sea," Ariel has to sing "part of Your World" because she's longing to be with the other humans....Most other Disney movies(Tarzan included) just bust out to song randomly, but Little Mermaid has songs when it's appropriate..This is what I meant by Little Mermaid is leagues above it was a huge blockbuster from the start, unlike Tarzan; Little Mermaid has a far better start than Tarzan did..Like Weez said also, it can still sink, but it wouldn't be because of its incredible score and wonderful material...I'm pulling for Little Mermaid!

Updated On: 7/15/07 at 03:54 PM

don't forget about Billy Elliot

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