2nd outbreak coming this fall?

Maybe people will say this doesn't warrant a separate thread - (maybe it doesn't, in which case mods can feel free to merge or delete). But if in fact they're already all but guaranteeing a new outbreak this fall, how in the world does Broadway (or any live arts - opera, dance, etc.) proceed? Would things really take a gamble and go back into rehearsal with the possibility of only running for 2 months or so before needing to shut back down? Would live performances, including Broadway, essentially just not resume until this is all over sometime in 2021? Are producers and unions currently working on new, at least temporarily less stringent, agreements which would allow shows to get filmed or streamed live while they're up and running this summer, so that there are revenue streams for actors, musicians and stage crew in the event of a second shutdown? Wondering what others are thinking or hearing.

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From CNN: "Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told reporters on Monday that it is likely there will be another coronavirus outbreak in the fall.

Trump said the administration was prepared in the event the virus returns after a period of fading over the summer, after social distancing measures."

its likely that the virus will come back but presumably- and this is a big presumption- the government will be prepared: tracking it, treating it, masks to prevent overwhelming of hospitals, etc. With the right preparation/foresight, this wouldnt be nearly as bad as it is



but yes i think the economy is in for a bumpy ride and that includes Broadway of course.

Synecdoche2 said: "Case numbers will break out as soon as we stop social distancing measures. My guess is Broadway is out of commission for at least 18 months."

I think that's extremely pessimistic. I think measures will be in place to help combat a second outbreak and there's also the factor of more "herd immunity" with each passing day. China has re-opened schools in some areas and their numbers are still low. Things like immediate tracing of cases, possibly even temperature checks could be possible for large group events. Fauci also said there could be some effective therapies by that point even with no vaccine yet. So I think it's quite possible there will be a second outbreak, but I don't think Broadway is going to be closed for 18 months.

I think this kind of speculation is futile at this point. Like Bettyboy said, this is rapidly developing situation that is being taken day by day. We have little idea of how things will look three weeks from now, let alone in six months.

While I agree it’s too early to speculate, I’ve been thinking about something. If you have/had it and recover — and the great percentage of people do — would you have a stronger immunity for another wave later this year? Or would you be just as susceptible?


EDITED to answer my own question: Just heard a clip of Dr Fauci saying yes, if this virus works the way others do, you build up immunity so you either don’t get it a second time, or if you do the symptoms are much less severe. He says he is not 100% certain, who is with this bug, but that is likely.

Updated On: 3/31/20 at 12:49 AM

Kimbo said: "Trump said the administration was prepared in the event the virus returns after a period of fading over the summer, after social distancing measures."

That's hilarious.