Well Motown hasn't even started previews yet, but...
I predict the musical side of the Tonys will be a battle between Matilda and Pippin, with a few other shows picking up an award here and there.
Matilda will win Musical, Score and Book. Pippin will win revival. After that all bets are off. Warchus vs Paulus will be a great director showdown, and the same goes for choreography. If all the circus performing counts as choreography for Pippin then it will put up quite a fight with Matilda.
The Matilda girls will be a favorite to win, but Patina gives them some honest competition.
I think Carvel should and will be left in featured (where he is now since his name is not above the title). He has no competition.
Featured actress will probably have 80% of the votes going to Andrea Martin. She's as sure a bet as Daniel Day Lewis was at the Oscars this year.
I think if Carvel is kept out of featured Billy Porter will win for Lead Actor, just like Norbert won for Catch Me a few years ago.
Lighting, set design, costumes, etc will probably go to Matilda in a sweep, but the lighting in Pippin is equally as brilliant. Pippin could upset in any tech category.
Marie: Don't be in such a hurry about that pretty little chippy in Frisco.
Tony: Eh, she's a no chip!