Can We Finally Talk About Who Will Win The Tony For Best Musical?

Also Best Book?
Best Score
Best Orchestrations
Best Leading Lady/Gent
Best Featured Lady/Gent
Best Choreography

Musical-Matilda
Score-Matilda (watch out for Kinky Boots-I've heard good things about the score)
Book-Matilda
Revival-either Drood or Pippin (assuming Cinderella is deemed new-if not, Cinderella has a chance)
Actor/musical-Bertie Carvel (if put here)
Actress/musical-Laura Osnes has a really good shot
Featured Actor/Actress in a Musical-Not sure
Director/Musical-Diane Paulus or the person directing Matilda (money is on Paulus)

Well Motown hasn't even started previews yet, but...

I predict the musical side of the Tonys will be a battle between Matilda and Pippin, with a few other shows picking up an award here and there.

Matilda will win Musical, Score and Book. Pippin will win revival. After that all bets are off. Warchus vs Paulus will be a great director showdown, and the same goes for choreography. If all the circus performing counts as choreography for Pippin then it will put up quite a fight with Matilda.

The Matilda girls will be a favorite to win, but Patina gives them some honest competition.

I think Carvel should and will be left in featured (where he is now since his name is not above the title). He has no competition.

Featured actress will probably have 80% of the votes going to Andrea Martin. She's as sure a bet as Daniel Day Lewis was at the Oscars this year.

I think if Carvel is kept out of featured Billy Porter will win for Lead Actor, just like Norbert won for Catch Me a few years ago.

Lighting, set design, costumes, etc will probably go to Matilda in a sweep, but the lighting in Pippin is equally as brilliant. Pippin could upset in any tech category.

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I'm still hoping we'll see some Drood again come the summer... I'm wondering if there's a reason there's no musical (yet) in RTC's season... lol. I doubt it, but...

Any chance of Andy Karl winning for Drood for Best Featured Actor?

What about Annie or Hands on hardbody? I think they will win in a few categories.

Matilda will win best musical. I think Pippin will take it over Drood. Same thing as last year with Porgy and Bess and Follies. Porgy got it because it was still running (there were other reasons too, but this must have helped). Actress will be a tight race between Patina Miller and the Matilda girls. Bertie Carvel will win whichever category he is in. I keep hearing about Billy Porter, but if Carvel is nominated as lead (as he was in the West End), my money is on him. I think the closest competition this year will be director (Paulus vs. Warchus) and actress (Matildas vs. Miller).

Fingers crossed Annaleigh Ashford gets nominated for Featured Actress in a Musical.

@ggersten

And Jekyll and Hyde for revival.

Why? The three that are open have gotten decent notices and one that is opening soon is getting great word from out of town. There have been far worse lineups.

I find it weird saying this, but I hope Bring It On isn't forgotten. Actually thought it wasn't that awful.

I enjoyed Bring It On 10 times more than Hardbody, and don't think Hardbody has much of a shot anywhere. I too hope BIO isnt forgotten, I just loved that show!

Do you think Lauren Ward from Matilda will have a shot at at least getting nominated for Featured? I thought she was incredible, and I'd love to see her get a nomination.

Also, I really think the Matilda's will win Leading, and I think they deserve it! Those kids carry that show, that's not an easy role for kids that young!

Anyone think Lilla Crawford will get a nomination still?