Does anyone think Shuffle Along might beat Hamilton for Best Musical?

I haven't seen either, but from the reviews I've heard of both, both shows are amazing. My case that Shuffle Along will win over Hamilton is mainly due to how producers and tony voters might sway it. Shuffle Along is certainly not as big as Hamilton, so producers may want to vote for that as best musical as it helps to both boosts sales on Broadway and on tour, something that I imagine Hamilton not having any trouble doing. And, the same with the showdown between Millie and Urinetown, the newer show beat out the older show, as even though Urinetown was agreed to be better in quality than Millie, as it won the awards for Best Book, Best Score, and Best Direction, Millie won the big award. Why? Well, Urinetown came out in September, so it was hyped a lot, much like Hamilton. And, since Millie would do better on tour than Urinetown, with or without the tony, Producers instead voted to give the award to Millie.

Thoughts?

Updated On: 4/30/16 at 12:31 PM

It's not likely. Urinetown was nowhere near the juggernaut that Hamilton is. I don't think it's a very apt comparison.

UrNotAMachine said: "It's not likely. Urinetown was nowhere near the juggernaut that Hamilton is. I don't think it's a very apt comparison.



"

I understand that. I know its not totally airtight logic, but I thought it was worth mentioning. Producers might want to find some way to boost Shuffle Along, and some tony voters might be sick of Hamilton is my point. I was using Urinetown as an example of how sometimes shows that are better in quality don't always win the tony.

It's not their concern to "boost" sales along. At all. It's their job to vote based on what they believe is the best show from the nominated choices.

Anyway you look at it, Hamilton is going to win best book and score, as it should. However, I am curious to see how the nominations shake out. I think Shuffle Along will give Hamilton a run for their money in that department. Even if Hamilton still gets the most nominations (and they probably will), I think Shuffle along will put a dent in the amount they could have scored; particularly in the acting categories. My best guess is that Groff and Jackson will be pushed out of the featured actor race. Daveed Digs is the only safe bet.

URINETOWN has a better chance of winning Best Musical this year than HAMILTON not winning.

...The pool of Tony voters is not made up of whoever is currently performing in shows.

Randomlink1 said: "FlySkyHigh said: "Anyway you look at it, Hamilton is going to win best book and score, as it should. However, I am curious to see how the nominations shake out. I think Shuffle Along will give Hamilton a run for their money in that department. Even if Hamilton still gets the most nominations (and they probably will), I think Shuffle along will put a dent in the amount they could have scored; particularly in the acting categories. My best guess is that Groff and Jackson will be pushed out of the featured actor race. Daveed Digs is the only safe bet.



"

I have no doubts that Hamilton will at least win Best Book and Best Score. That there's no contest. I think a more appropriate title might've been "Does anyone think Shuffle Along might beat out Hamilton for Best Musical this year?" (I'm going to change it)





"

Not necessary. I meant best musical but for some reason I had book and score on my mind and typed that. Sorry!

Can you imagine the response within the theater community, and on these boards, if that did happen?

I saw both. And loved both. But both very different.

It won't happen, but if it did...I wouldn't be disappointed. Hamilton has it in the cards when it comes to a very long term engagement anyway. A SA win wouldn't change that.



rosscoe(au) said: "I do, I think Shuffle Along will take the top prize..



"

rebeccmam31 said: "Randomlink1 said: "I haven't seen either, but from the reviews I've heard of both, both shows are amazing. My case that Shuffle Along will win over Hamilton is mainly due to how producers and tony voters might sway it. Shuffle Along is certainly not as big as Hamilton, so producers may want to vote for that as best musical as it helps to both boosts sales on Broadway and on tour, something that I imagine Hamilton not having any trouble doing. And, the same with the showdown between Millie and Urinetown, the newer show beat out the older show, as even though Urinetown was agreed to be better in quality than Millie, as it won the awards for Best Book, Best Score, and Best Direction, Millie won the big award. Why? Well, Urinetown came out in September, so it was hyped a lot, much like Hamilton. And, since Millie would do better on tour than Urinetown, with or without the tony, Producers instead voted to give the award to Millie.

Thoughts?"



I've seen both and loved both, but I really don't think so. Hamilton is just the total package, in my opinion. The story is tight, the performances resonate, the music is varied and wonderful, the choreography and lighting meld with the whole. It's just a really great show.

By contrast, Shuffle Along has really great things about it (as I said, I really unabashedly loved it), but it's just not as much of a cohesive whole.





"



Yeah, I can see why that would be a problem. I read the Brantley review and that was a point made in it. However, I still think it's possible.

No way.

Hamilton all the way!!!

re Fun Home. I can't imagine Shuffle beating it. Although people here and elsewhere obviously enjoy the show, it doesn't have anywhere near the heft of Fun Home. And while it would certainly have won the choreo award, it has a book that is worthy of a C+ overall, no music (as a new musical it would have to be labelled a jukebox musical) and a critical reception that is middling. I stand by what I said earlier which is that no one is doing their best work here.