Let's Make Some Ridiculously Innaccurate Tony Predictions- Page 2

[broadwaybabytn]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 10:36pm

Master Class could be remembered for a Best Revival of a Play nom.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 10:59pm

Best Musical
Ghost
Once
Newsies
One Man, Two Guvnors
Nice Work If You Can Get It

2 things:

-One Man, Two Guvnors is a play, not a musical.

-The Best Musical category can only have 4 nominees, not 5. Only the acting categories get 5 nominees.

I'd like to think the score for Bonnie & Clyde will get a nom as well. But that's just dependent on the suckiness of Once and Rebecca.

Once won't be eligible in the Best Original Score category.

Pretty sure Jeremy is gonna get one for making Bonnie & Clyde watchable.

Pretty sure his nomination will come for Newsies, a starrier role in a show that will still be running (and will likely be a huge hit).

Pretty sure Bonnie and Clyde will receive as many nominations as Wonderland did. That is to say, zero.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 11:26pm

Danny Burstein will win a well deserved and overdue TONY.
And that ain't ridiculous.
(for BEST Actor/Musical)

[knicknut]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 12:26am

(1) As much as I like Danny Burstein and enjoyed his performance, I doubt it's even remembered come Tony time in 5+ months. He'll be lucky to get a lead nomination, let alone win. In featured, he would have had a chance.

(2) OP has Josh Young for featured in JCS. How have previous Tony awards handled eligibility for Judas? He's the lead character of the show and should realistically be considered lead along with Jesus (if either should be featured, it should be Jesus). But, it wouldn't surprise me if Jesus (and Mary, for lack of any other female character) were considered leads, with Judas supporting, just because of the traditional roles in the Passion.

[Skip2]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 12:41am

I thought this was supposed to be Ridiculously Inaccurate Predictions?

Like:

Elaine Paige for Featured Actress
The Mountaintop for Best Play
Hugh Jackman show for Choreography
Bernadette Peters for Best Actress
On A Clear Day for Set and Featured Actor
Godspell for Musical Revival
Lysistrata Jones for Best Music

[ljay889]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 12:48am

Bernadette Peters for Best Actress

That WILL be happening! Many of you also doubted that LuPone would be nominated last year for VERGE.

[Skip2]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 12:50am

Well, Peters's nomination may be happening but it's still ridiculous.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:05am

It's entirely possible (in fact, probable), that with the exception of Elena Roger, the Lead Actress category will be made up entirely of previous nominees. Two of those nominees are well-liked and respected performers who will once again fall victim to the "not this year" syndrome (Jan Maxwell and Kelli O'Hara). Peters will certainly have to be satisfied with just a nomination, as my money is on Audra (with the backing of the NY Times) winning her 5th Tony.

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:09am

We don't know what Kelli's show or performance will be like so I don't think it's safe to say she will be nominated. Also Elena might received critical acclaim and might have a huge hit show so she could beat Audra.

[Skip2]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:12am

I guess this subject is NOT about ridiculously inaccurate Tony Predictions.

How does one change titles on this site?

[ljay889]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:19am

We do this every year. We make REAL predictions, and come May, many of them don't actually happen. THAT'S what makes it inaccurate. The point isn't to make the most ridiculous predictions possible.

[Skip2]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:27am

Well, then, why does the title say the predictions are supposed to be ridiculously inaccurate? As opposed to, say, predictably inaccurate Tony predictions?

[brian.klimowski]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:29am

Mandy won the Tony for Best Supporting in the role of Che, so it may be doubtful that Martin will be nominated for a lead.

[ljay889]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:29am

IDK.

Piragua does this every year. It's a tradition!

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 1:35am

Because we are making them in December and a lot of shows have not been seen, or re-written yet. That's why they are ridiculous.
Some of them will be very innaccurate, except mine that Danny will be remembered and win, (I think Norm is his biggest threat, but I am still team Danny).

[Musicaldudepeter]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 9:12am

Joel Grey won the Tony for Cabaret for Featured Actor for Emcee, and then Alan Cumming won the Tony in 1998 for the revival of Cabaret for Leading Actor for Emcee...

I would say most definitely that Ricky Martin will be put in the Leading category (if he's considered) and Cerveris will most likely be nominated, putting him in the Featured category.

I think Che, like Emcee, is a big enough role to be considered Leading

[Smaxie]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 10:33am

The 1966 and 1998 versions of the Emcee are not exactly comparable. He's much more of a presence threaded through the entire production in the revision and staging of the '98 version, whereas he pops up periodically for the ironic "limbo" numbers in the original '66 version. So I'd say it was right that the role was considered supporting at the 1967 Tonys and leading at the 1998 Tonys.

As for Che, it probably should have been considered a leading role in 1980, but perhaps the producers of Evita didn't want Patinkin competing with the heavily favored Jim Dale in Barnum or Mickey Rooney in Sugar Babies. Good as Patinkin was in Evita, I don't think he would have won against Dale, who carried Barnum on his shoulders and was great in it.

[bjh2114]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 11:33am

Bernadette will be nominated.

Possible, but hardly a guarantee. All it takes is 5 women with reviews as good if not better than Bernadette's. Jan already has the showier role and the better reviews, so that's 1. Audra and Kelli are Tony darlings and, assuming their reviews are semi-decent in addition to the almost guaranteed raves they will get from Brantley, are essentially shoe-ins. That's 3. Someone like Cristin Milioti could receive the "new girl/breakout" nomination if Once receives strong reviews in its transfer. If Lysistrata Jones is still open, something similar goes for Patti Murin. I don't expect both of those, however, so let's call that 4. And then there are the wildcards of Rebecca and Evita. Depending heavily on the reviews, Elena Roger (an Olivier nominee for the same role) or Sierra Boggess could also steal one of the spots.

Let's put it this way. I won't be surprised if Bernadette is nominated, but I think it's hardly a sure thing.

[ggersten]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 2:09pm

Sutton Foster will win Leading Actress for being Sutton Foster. Alternate, Angela Lansbury.
Reeve Carney will win Leading Actor for sheer perseverence.
Special Theatrical Event will be revived and given to the Julie Taymor v. Spider-Man producers sideshow.
Elaine Stritch will host the Awards ceremony.
CBS will cut the broadcast time down, meaning all of the play awards will be given out in the pre-television ceremony. Next year, the ceremony will be aired on Ovation.

[MillieDillmount]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 3:44pm

I still stand by that Melissa van der Schyff from Bonnie & Clyde deserves to be nominated for Featured Actress. She gave such an incredible performance as Blanche. But what's the chance she'll still be remembered come Tony time? Which is sad.

[random person 112]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 3:57pm

I think automatically granting O'hara nominee status is a grave error. I think she could go the same way Chenoweth did in promises. Big tony sweetheart gets shafted due to work in subpar material. So i would say O'hara is far from set in stone the nominees will proably be...
1. Audra McDonald for Porgy and Bess (great role she performs well, tony darling.)
2. Elena Roger for Evita (She may not be the greatest singer but she acts the hell out of evita, plus the show is pratically a showcase for HER. I could see her becoming to 10's theater what McDonald was to 90's.)
3.Jan Maxwell (virtually a lock due to steallar performance, but up aganist meatier roles like bess and eva peron...)
4. Bernadette Peters (Award voters love peters alot more than O'Hara, this is also a pet project that is directed to highlight peters.)
5. Battle between Osnes, Murin, and Miotti for this slot.

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 4:53pm

Also the only person with more nominations in the Best Actress category than Bernadette is Chita. So early the nominators love her.

[CurtisB]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 5:35pm

I am wondering if they are going to put Stockard in leading or featured. I tend to think her role lingers on both. As of right now, I am rooting for Nina to win leading.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 5:40pm

I think she could go the same way Chenoweth did in promises. Big tony sweetheart gets shafted due to work in subpar material. So i would say O'hara is far from set in stone the nominees will proably be...

It's a technicality, but Chenoweth is hardly a "big Tony sweetheart." In addition to not being nominated for Promises, she was overlooked for The Apple Tree (which she should have been nominated for) and Epic Proportions (which I never saw). She won the award once (before she was considered a star), and lost the award a second time to her co-star, who didn't get the NY Times endorsement that she did.

[Emmaloucbway]

Posted: 12/31/11 at 5:45pm

If this is ridiculously inaccurate Tony predictions then I predict that ON A CLEAR DAY will sweep.