Let's Make Some Ridiculously Innaccurate Tony Predictions — Page 2

Best Musical
Ghost
Once
Newsies
One Man, Two Guvnors
Nice Work If You Can Get It

2 things:

-One Man, Two Guvnors is a play, not a musical.

-The Best Musical category can only have 4 nominees, not 5. Only the acting categories get 5 nominees.

I'd like to think the score for Bonnie & Clyde will get a nom as well. But that's just dependent on the suckiness of Once and Rebecca.

Once won't be eligible in the Best Original Score category.

Pretty sure Jeremy is gonna get one for making Bonnie & Clyde watchable.

Pretty sure his nomination will come for Newsies, a starrier role in a show that will still be running (and will likely be a huge hit).

Pretty sure Bonnie and Clyde will receive as many nominations as Wonderland did. That is to say, zero.

(1) As much as I like Danny Burstein and enjoyed his performance, I doubt it's even remembered come Tony time in 5+ months. He'll be lucky to get a lead nomination, let alone win. In featured, he would have had a chance.

(2) OP has Josh Young for featured in JCS. How have previous Tony awards handled eligibility for Judas? He's the lead character of the show and should realistically be considered lead along with Jesus (if either should be featured, it should be Jesus). But, it wouldn't surprise me if Jesus (and Mary, for lack of any other female character) were considered leads, with Judas supporting, just because of the traditional roles in the Passion.

Bernadette Peters for Best Actress

That WILL be happening! Many of you also doubted that LuPone would be nominated last year for VERGE.

It's entirely possible (in fact, probable), that with the exception of Elena Roger, the Lead Actress category will be made up entirely of previous nominees. Two of those nominees are well-liked and respected performers who will once again fall victim to the "not this year" syndrome (Jan Maxwell and Kelli O'Hara). Peters will certainly have to be satisfied with just a nomination, as my money is on Audra (with the backing of the NY Times) winning her 5th Tony.

I guess this subject is NOT about ridiculously inaccurate Tony Predictions.

How does one change titles on this site?

Well, then, why does the title say the predictions are supposed to be ridiculously inaccurate? As opposed to, say, predictably inaccurate Tony predictions?

IDK.

Piragua does this every year. It's a tradition!

Joel Grey won the Tony for Cabaret for Featured Actor for Emcee, and then Alan Cumming won the Tony in 1998 for the revival of Cabaret for Leading Actor for Emcee...

I would say most definitely that Ricky Martin will be put in the Leading category (if he's considered) and Cerveris will most likely be nominated, putting him in the Featured category.

I think Che, like Emcee, is a big enough role to be considered Leading

Bernadette will be nominated.

Possible, but hardly a guarantee. All it takes is 5 women with reviews as good if not better than Bernadette's. Jan already has the showier role and the better reviews, so that's 1. Audra and Kelli are Tony darlings and, assuming their reviews are semi-decent in addition to the almost guaranteed raves they will get from Brantley, are essentially shoe-ins. That's 3. Someone like Cristin Milioti could receive the "new girl/breakout" nomination if Once receives strong reviews in its transfer. If Lysistrata Jones is still open, something similar goes for Patti Murin. I don't expect both of those, however, so let's call that 4. And then there are the wildcards of Rebecca and Evita. Depending heavily on the reviews, Elena Roger (an Olivier nominee for the same role) or Sierra Boggess could also steal one of the spots.

Let's put it this way. I won't be surprised if Bernadette is nominated, but I think it's hardly a sure thing.

I still stand by that Melissa van der Schyff from Bonnie & Clyde deserves to be nominated for Featured Actress. She gave such an incredible performance as Blanche. But what's the chance she'll still be remembered come Tony time? Which is sad.

Also the only person with more nominations in the Best Actress category than Bernadette is Chita. So early the nominators love her.

I think she could go the same way Chenoweth did in promises. Big tony sweetheart gets shafted due to work in subpar material. So i would say O'hara is far from set in stone the nominees will proably be...

It's a technicality, but Chenoweth is hardly a "big Tony sweetheart." In addition to not being nominated for Promises, she was overlooked for The Apple Tree (which she should have been nominated for) and Epic Proportions (which I never saw). She won the award once (before she was considered a star), and lost the award a second time to her co-star, who didn't get the NY Times endorsement that she did.