I think that no matter what, this show will appear on Broadway.
It's been through such a long gestation and Luck certainly hasn't been on its side. I think the Creative team is going to move heaven and earth to get it here.
Two years ago the show was booked for its out of town pre-broadway tryout at the Cadillac Theater in Chicago. There was the final workshop of the show in New york. Unfortunately The director of the piece had a heart attack and withdrew from the production. The official stated reason was personal reasons. Apparently he didn't want his health issues publicized. A director withdrawing for "personal reasons" of a "Broadway-bound" mega musical was fatal blow to the show. People who didn't know the real story thought the obvious reason was that he had no faith in the production.Nevertheless, The Cadillac Theater production was canceled and the show retreated back into development.
Then,Les mis was announced, and again Tale was faced with impending disaster. The producers didn't want to open it in the same season as Les mis, and suffer the inevitable comparisons, so again it was pulled back.
I think that now is the best time for the production to make a go for the main stem. There is a lot of excitement from the Florida production. There was good word of mouth. From what I've been told, the physical Production of Sarasota (costumes props, etc) is Broadway quality. There is a lot of money behind the show. Les mis is closed. All they really need is a theater.
Whether or not it's a success, I can't say. But I do know that we have seen much worse over the last few years (In my Life, Times they are a'changin, lestat, Pirate Queen, etc.)
Other than that, did you enjoy the play Mrs Lincoln?