New Tony Predictions?- Page 2

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 1:33pm

Best Musical:

Fun Home
Finding Neverland
The Visit
Something Rotten/An American in Paris

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:

Michael Cerveris-Fun Home
Matthew Morrison-Finding Neverland
Tam Mutu-Doctor Zhivago
Ken Watanabe-The King and I
Peter Gallagher-On the Twentieth Century/John Cariani or Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten!

Best Leading Actress:
Kelli O'Hara-King & I
Chita Rivera-The Visit
Kristin Chenoweth-On the 20th Century/Laura Michelle Kelly-Finding Neverland
Erin Davie and Emily Padgett-Side Show
Beth Malone-Fun Home

Featured Actress in a Musical

Tyne Daly or Harriet Harris-It Shoulda Been You
Victoria Clarke-Gigi
Nancy Opel-Honeymoon in Vegas
Judy Kuhn-Fun Home
Sydney Lucas-Fun Home

Featured Actor in a Musical

Don't know enough about the eligible nominees. Skipping it for now

Best Musical Revival

The King & I
On the 20th Century
Side Show
On the Town

Don't know enough about the Play categories

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 1:46pm

oh i forgot about Nancy Opel!

[Noel&Cole]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 2:14pm

I think it's exciting to have a season where Best Musical and Best Play both have SO many options!

(These are my humble opinions)

I think FUN HOME is the only lock for a Best Musical nomination. And CURIOUS INCIDENT only lock for Best Play nom.

The others depend on the season. I'd normally say DISGRACED would get a nomination but I wonder if it will be forgotten. I also am surprised nobody listed WOLF HALL. I wonder if they will be nominated together or a separately. Chita is a lock for a nom I think but not THE VISIT as a production. Helen Mirren is lock for a nom but not THE AUDIENCE for a Production.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 2:16pm

"Featured Actor in a Musical

Don't know enough about the eligible nominees. Skipping it for now"

Possible Candidates Include:
Fred Applegate-The Last Ship
Christian Borle-Something Rotten!
David Burtka-It Shoulda Been You
Corey Cott-Gigi
Max von Essen-An American in Paris
Kelsey Grammer-Finding Neverland
Tom Hewitt-Doctor Zhivago
Edward Hibbert-It Shoulda Been You
David Josefsberg-Honeymoon in Vegas
Andy Karl-On the Twentieth Century
Aaron Lazar-The Last Ship
Mark Linn-Baker-On the Twentieth Century
Michael X. Martin-It Shoulda Been You
Howard McGillin-Gigi
Michael McGrath-On the Twentieth Century
Zell Morrow-Fun Home
Jimmy Nail-The Last Ship
Paul Nolan-Doctor Zhivago
Roger Rees-The Visit
Steve Rosen-It Shoulda Been You
Matthew Saldivar-Honeymoon in Vegas
Brandon Uranowitz-An American in Paris
Chip Zien-It Shoulda Been You Updated On: 1/22/15 at 02:16 PM

[ljay889]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 2:37pm

Roger Rees is above the title in THE VISIT, and has a huge role. Heck, the story is almost more about him (think Giorgio in Passion).

Jason Danieley will be the featured male from the show that will receive any consideration.

Updated On: 1/22/15 at 02:37 PM

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:03pm

There's going to be a sh*tload of shows opening in the next few weeks so it's way too early to predict anything, but I predict the twins from SIDESHOW will not get a nod (I don't think they deserve it, especially in the acting dept.) and that little girl from GIGI will get a nod, everyone loves a newcomer, and that should be a good role.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:11pm

I CANNOT WAIT TO SEE THESE SHOWS!!!

[RW3]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:12pm

^ Are you referring to Vanessa Hudgens as the "little girl"?

[Wilmingtom]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:20pm

No love for Jake Gyllenhall in the play category? I think we might be surprised.

[MegInManhattan]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:28pm

^Agree about Jake!

Also throwing out there that I think Clyde Alves from "On The Town" has a great chance at Featured Actor. But sooooo early to tell since less than half the shows have opened.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:36pm

Nobody has said Hugh Jackman either lol

[Wilmingtom]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 3:45pm

^ I think Jackman will get in there. He's beloved in the community, keeps coming back despite his superstar status, and was a revelation in this play.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 4:14pm

theres a lot of other great leading men in plays. I think the fact that he's in The River will bring him down despite how beloved he is.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 7:07pm

FINDING NEVERLAND is gonna have to be really, really great to get a nod because Weinstein is not going to be very popular on the Broadway. Unless he can by a nomination.

[carlodowd]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 7:48pm

Best Musical:
Fun Home
Honeymoon in Vegas
The Visit
Finding Neverland
It Shoulda Been You/ Something Rotten

Musical Revival:
The King and I
Gigi
On the 20th Century
Side Show

Leading Actress in a Musical
Chita Rivera-The Visit
Kelli O'hara-The King and I
Kristin Chenoweth
Beth Malone-Fun Home

Leading Actor in a Musical
Michael Cerveris-Fun Home
Rob Mcclure-Honeymoon in Vegas
Tam Mutu-Doctor Zhivago
Matthew Morrison-Finding Neverland
Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten

Featured Actor in a Musical
Andy Karl-On the 20th Century
Christian Borle-Something Rotten
David Burtka-It Shoulda Been You
Tony Danza - Honeymoon in Vegas

Featured Actress in a Musical
Tyne Daly-It Shoulda Been You
Judy Kuhn-Fun Home
Sydney Lucas-Fun Home
Harriet Harris-It Shoulda Been You
Nancy Opel-Honeymoon In Vegas


Score
Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron-Fun Home
Jason Robert Brown-Honeymoon in Vegas
Sting-The Last Ship
Kander and Ebb-The Visit
Gary Barlow - Finding Neverland

Best Book of a Musical
Lisa Kron-Fun Home
Andrew Bergman-Honeymoon in Vegas
Terrence McNally-The Visit
Heidi Thomas-Gigi

Best Direction of a Musical
Diane Paulus-Finding Neverland
Bart Sher-The King and I
Sam Gold-Fun Home
Scott Ellis-On the 20th Century

Best Choreography
Joshua Bergasse-On the Town
Christopher Wheeldon-An American in Paris
Denis Jones-Honeymoon in Vegas
Mia Michaels-Finding Neverland
Something Rotten-Casey Nicholaw

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 8:04pm

^The reason you're not showing much support for An American in Paris, Doctor Zhivago, nor On the Town is because...?

*I think Tony Danza will most likely be eligible as Leading Actor. Updated On: 1/22/15 at 08:04 PM

[#1CarrieFan]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 8:43pm

For best musical
The shoe ins are:
Fun home
The visit
Honeymoon in Vegas
Something rotten

Best musical revival
The king and I
Gigi
Sideshow
On the 20th century

[RW3]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 8:49pm

Aw what the heck!
Best Musical:
Fun Home
The Visit
Finding Neverland
An American in Paris

Best Musical Revival:
Gigi
Sideshow
On the Town
The King and I

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:
Michael Cerveris- Fun Home
Tam Mutu- Dr. Zhivago
Matthew Morrison- Finding Neverland
Ken Watanabe- The King and I
Rob McClure- Honeymoon in Vegas

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Andy Karl-On the Twentieth Century
Christian Borle- Something Rotten!
Tom Hewitt-Dr. Zhivago
Kelsey Grammer- Finding Neverland
Fred Applegate- The Last Ship

Best Leading Actress in a Musical:
Kelli O'hara- The King and I
Chita Rivera- The Visit
Erin Davie- Sideshow
Kristin Chenoweth- On the Twentieth Century
Vanessa Hudgens- Gigi

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Victoria Clark- Gigi
Nancy Opel- Honeymoon in Vegas
Judy Kuhn- Fun Home
Ruthie Ann Miles- The King and I
Tyne Daly- It Shoulda Been You

Best Score:
Tesori and Kron- Fun Home
Sting- The Last Ship
Jason Robert Brown-Honeymoon in Vegas
Kander and Ebb- The Visit
Lucy Simon, Michael Korie, and Amy Powers- Dr. Zhivago

Best Direction:
Diane Paulus- Finding Neverland
Bartlett Sher-The King and I
Des McAnduff- Dr. Zhivago
Sam Gold-Fun Home

Best Book:
Heidi Thomas- Gigi
Lisa Kron- Fun Home
Terrence McNally-The Visit
Andrew Bergman- Honeymoon in Vegas

Best Choreography
Joshua Bergasse- Gigi
Christopher Wheeldon- An American in Paris
Mia Michaels- Finding Neverland
Denis Jones-Honeymoon in Vegas

Don't know enough about the plays to predict.

Breakdown of Nominations:
Fun Home: 6
The Visit: 4
Finding Neverland:4
An American in Paris: 2
Gigi: 5
On the Twentieth Century: 2
The King and I:4
Something Rotten!:1
Honeymoon in Vegas:4
The Last Ship: 2
Dr. Zhivago: 4
It Shoulda Been You: 1
Sideshow:2
On the Town: 1














Updated On: 1/22/15 at 08:49 PM

[theatreguy]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 8:59pm

There are more than 7 plays and 7 musicals this season so there will be 5 slots in the direction and choreography categories.

[OKBroadwayFan]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 9:11pm

http://variety.com/2015/legit/news/tony-awards-eligibility-2015-committee-supersize-1201406361/

Article on latest Tony Award eligibility for 2015. Mentions the number of nominations allowable for the different categories.

Also they ruled that the twins from Side Show will be considered individually for leading actress in a musical

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/22/15 at 9:20pm

carlodowd just copied all of my predictions.

The reason i'm not showing much support for An American in Paris, Doctor Zhivago, nor On the Town is because this is an extremely competitive season!! I barely even predict that something rotten will get to much even though i think it's gonna be great. My predictions are probably gonna change a lot though once the shows open, and i see them. These are just my thoughts for now

Updated On: 1/22/15 at 09:20 PM

[nyla123]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 11:56am

Before the remaining shows open I would say only the following shows are locks or near-locks

FUN HOME (Best Musical): There's no way this doesn't get nominated. Most people considered it to be the best musical of last year, it was a Pulitzer finalist, and it has a great pedigree. I don't necessarily think its a lock to win, but I can't see how any of the remaining shows bump it from a nomination.

HONEYMOON IN VEGAS (Best Musical): I think this will likely get in, unless it can't stay open until Tony's because of poor box office. It will be interesting to see if the post-opening good reviews bump holds next week.

FINDING NEVERLAND (Best Musical): Producers are going to want this to succeed because its a known property that would tour well. It will need to improve from its ART run and the Weinsteins might be a liability, but they are always willing to fork over the money for over the top awards campaigning and they will go full force with this.

THE KING AND I (Best Musical Revival): I know no one has seen it yet, but I simply can't see this team making something so bad as to not get a nomination. At worst it will be bland and competent, but not transcendent like SOUTH PACIFIC was, but that should be enough for a nomination.

CURIOUS INCIDENT (Best Play): The biggest hit new play of the season, I just don't see how there could be four new plays that open by April that could boot this from a nomination.

YOU CAN'T TAKE IT WITH YOU (Best Play Revival): I don't think this will win, but it was the best reviewed revival of the season so far and the sort of solid interpretation of a classic beloved play that almost never fails to get a nomination.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 12:44pm

"The reason i'm not showing much support for An American in Paris, Doctor Zhivago, nor On the Town is because this is an extremely competitive season!! I barely even predict that something rotten will get to much even though i think it's gonna be great."

I am kind of with you on Something Rotten! for right now as that is going to be opening cold in New York. On the Town got rave reviews, so I don't see how it's not gonna be nominated. Plus the nomination could really give it a box office boost (if it's still running by then).

From the buzz on An American in Paris, it could have potential. From what I've heard from the score, I think Doctor Zhivago could have great potential.

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 12:57pm

It is absolutely absurd to be predicting nominations for Tam Mutu and Ken Watanabe, people who have not given one performance yet. Not that I'm surprised, that sort of nonsense always happens here.

[nyla123]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 1:04pm

The thing about Dr. Zhivago though is that I simply do not see it being successful on Broadway. Sure its a known property, but its not a "fun" story. Straight up serious adult romance/drama that's not a classic show just doesn't do well unless its unanimously critically successful. You would have to go back to Light in the Piazza to find a show that even came close without the full fledged critical support and that was in a weaker year with one of the best received scores released on Broadway of the last 20 years. Even if Dr. Zhivago is decent, that won't be enough and its terrible box office will kill it.