New Tony Predictions? — Page 2

oh i forgot about Nancy Opel!

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"Featured Actor in a Musical

Don't know enough about the eligible nominees. Skipping it for now"

Possible Candidates Include:
Fred Applegate-The Last Ship
Christian Borle-Something Rotten!
David Burtka-It Shoulda Been You
Corey Cott-Gigi
Max von Essen-An American in Paris
Kelsey Grammer-Finding Neverland
Tom Hewitt-Doctor Zhivago
Edward Hibbert-It Shoulda Been You
David Josefsberg-Honeymoon in Vegas
Andy Karl-On the Twentieth Century
Aaron Lazar-The Last Ship
Mark Linn-Baker-On the Twentieth Century
Michael X. Martin-It Shoulda Been You
Howard McGillin-Gigi
Michael McGrath-On the Twentieth Century
Zell Morrow-Fun Home
Jimmy Nail-The Last Ship
Paul Nolan-Doctor Zhivago
Roger Rees-The Visit
Steve Rosen-It Shoulda Been You
Matthew Saldivar-Honeymoon in Vegas
Brandon Uranowitz-An American in Paris
Chip Zien-It Shoulda Been You

Updated On: 1/22/15 at 02:16 PM

There's going to be a sh*tload of shows opening in the next few weeks so it's way too early to predict anything, but I predict the twins from SIDESHOW will not get a nod (I don't think they deserve it, especially in the acting dept.) and that little girl from GIGI will get a nod, everyone loves a newcomer, and that should be a good role.

^ Are you referring to Vanessa Hudgens as the "little girl"?

^Agree about Jake!

Also throwing out there that I think Clyde Alves from "On The Town" has a great chance at Featured Actor. But sooooo early to tell since less than half the shows have opened.

^ I think Jackman will get in there. He's beloved in the community, keeps coming back despite his superstar status, and was a revelation in this play.

FINDING NEVERLAND is gonna have to be really, really great to get a nod because Weinstein is not going to be very popular on the Broadway. Unless he can by a nomination.

^The reason you're not showing much support for An American in Paris, Doctor Zhivago, nor On the Town is because...?

*I think Tony Danza will most likely be eligible as Leading Actor.

Updated On: 1/22/15 at 08:04 PM

Aw what the heck!
Best Musical:
Fun Home
The Visit
Finding Neverland
An American in Paris

Best Musical Revival:
Gigi
Sideshow
On the Town
The King and I

Best Leading Actor in a Musical:
Michael Cerveris- Fun Home
Tam Mutu- Dr. Zhivago
Matthew Morrison- Finding Neverland
Ken Watanabe- The King and I
Rob McClure- Honeymoon in Vegas

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Andy Karl-On the Twentieth Century
Christian Borle- Something Rotten!
Tom Hewitt-Dr. Zhivago
Kelsey Grammer- Finding Neverland
Fred Applegate- The Last Ship

Best Leading Actress in a Musical:
Kelli O'hara- The King and I
Chita Rivera- The Visit
Erin Davie- Sideshow
Kristin Chenoweth- On the Twentieth Century
Vanessa Hudgens- Gigi

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Victoria Clark- Gigi
Nancy Opel- Honeymoon in Vegas
Judy Kuhn- Fun Home
Ruthie Ann Miles- The King and I
Tyne Daly- It Shoulda Been You

Best Score:
Tesori and Kron- Fun Home
Sting- The Last Ship
Jason Robert Brown-Honeymoon in Vegas
Kander and Ebb- The Visit
Lucy Simon, Michael Korie, and Amy Powers- Dr. Zhivago

Best Direction:
Diane Paulus- Finding Neverland
Bartlett Sher-The King and I
Des McAnduff- Dr. Zhivago
Sam Gold-Fun Home

Best Book:
Heidi Thomas- Gigi
Lisa Kron- Fun Home
Terrence McNally-The Visit
Andrew Bergman- Honeymoon in Vegas

Best Choreography
Joshua Bergasse- Gigi
Christopher Wheeldon- An American in Paris
Mia Michaels- Finding Neverland
Denis Jones-Honeymoon in Vegas

Don't know enough about the plays to predict.

Breakdown of Nominations:
Fun Home: 6
The Visit: 4
Finding Neverland:4
An American in Paris: 2
Gigi: 5
On the Twentieth Century: 2
The King and I:4
Something Rotten!:1
Honeymoon in Vegas:4
The Last Ship: 2
Dr. Zhivago: 4
It Shoulda Been You: 1
Sideshow:2
On the Town: 1

Updated On: 1/22/15 at 08:49 PM

http://variety.com/2015/legit/news/tony-awards-eligibility-2015-committee-supersize-1201406361/

Article on latest Tony Award eligibility for 2015. Mentions the number of nominations allowable for the different categories.

Also they ruled that the twins from Side Show will be considered individually for leading actress in a musical

Before the remaining shows open I would say only the following shows are locks or near-locks

FUN HOME (Best Musical): There's no way this doesn't get nominated. Most people considered it to be the best musical of last year, it was a Pulitzer finalist, and it has a great pedigree. I don't necessarily think its a lock to win, but I can't see how any of the remaining shows bump it from a nomination.

HONEYMOON IN VEGAS (Best Musical): I think this will likely get in, unless it can't stay open until Tony's because of poor box office. It will be interesting to see if the post-opening good reviews bump holds next week.

FINDING NEVERLAND (Best Musical): Producers are going to want this to succeed because its a known property that would tour well. It will need to improve from its ART run and the Weinsteins might be a liability, but they are always willing to fork over the money for over the top awards campaigning and they will go full force with this.

THE KING AND I (Best Musical Revival): I know no one has seen it yet, but I simply can't see this team making something so bad as to not get a nomination. At worst it will be bland and competent, but not transcendent like SOUTH PACIFIC was, but that should be enough for a nomination.

CURIOUS INCIDENT (Best Play): The biggest hit new play of the season, I just don't see how there could be four new plays that open by April that could boot this from a nomination.

YOU CAN'T TAKE IT WITH YOU (Best Play Revival): I don't think this will win, but it was the best reviewed revival of the season so far and the sort of solid interpretation of a classic beloved play that almost never fails to get a nomination.

It is absolutely absurd to be predicting nominations for Tam Mutu and Ken Watanabe, people who have not given one performance yet. Not that I'm surprised, that sort of nonsense always happens here.