New Tony Predictions?- Page 3

[coffeeislove]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 1:26pm

Would love to see Rob McClure get a Tony nom for Honeymoon. He's fantastic.

[RW3]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 1:38pm

The only reason why I predicted nominations for Mutu and Watanabe was because of their previous performances in film for Watanabe and musicals for Mutu. I've been really impressed by both and that is why I predicted them to get nominations for their respective performances.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 2:04pm

"The thing about Dr. Zhivago though is that I simply do not see it being successful on Broadway."

I don't know about how it will do financially, but if it ends up being well-received by critics, it could still get some Tony Nominations (along with hopes that they would give a boost at the box office).

[PianoMann]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 2:31pm

Am I the only one who thinks, sight unseen of course, that Fish in the Dark will be nominated for Best Play? If it's good and well-received, I can easily see a smart new comedy being embraced.

[CoreyRyan3]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 3:47pm

"Two years ago, both Bring It On and A Christmas Story were nominated for best musical even though they had long closed. Just saying."

That was in an extremely weak year for Best Musical. This season seems to have plenty of contenders in that category.

[JBroadway]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 4:17pm

"It is absolutely absurd to be predicting nominations for Tam Mutu and Ken Watanabe, people who have not given one performance yet. Not that I'm surprised, that sort of nonsense always happens here. "

I can't speak for Mutu, Zhivago or even Watanabe himself. But I will say that it isn't too hard to look at some shows and guess which ROLES will call for nominations. The King & I is a well-established show, and the role of the King is historically one that receives a lot of awards attention. That doesn't make it a given that he will be nominated, but it's not so "absurd" to guess that he will get a nomination.

[Replacement Cast]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 5:02pm

Featured Actor Musical - Fred Applegate, The Last Ship
Featured Actress Play - Lindsay Duncan, A Delicate Balance
Featured Actress Play - Clare Higgins, A Delicate Balance

Saw Fun Home last year at the Public. If any noms come its way, they're well deserved.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/23/15 at 6:46pm

I don't think Watanabe will be nominated just because its a very strong season for leading men in musicals. As far as Mutu goes, I've heard amazing things about him, and he has a great role. As far as the success of Doctor Zhivago goes, it is a well known movie that people love. If it is well received by the critics, and word of mouth is good, i think it has a real shot as sustaining on Broadway, however i don't think it will get a best musical nomination because, again, there are a TON of new musicals this season that have a LOT of potential, or are already well received (e.g. Fun Home, Honeymoon in Vegas, Finding Neverland, It Shoulda Been You, Something Rotten, An American in Paris, and The Visit) . Im really excited to see all of these shows!

Updated On: 1/23/15 at 06:46 PM

[Wilmingtom]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 3:43am

I saw Watanabe in Hamlet back in the 80s and he was astounding. I can't imagine he won't be nominated. He's has a fierce stage presence.

[mc1227]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 4:50am

I can see Stockard Channing getting a nom for featured actress for It's Only. A Play. Also, Rob McClure should be a lock for a nomination as well.

[ljay889]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 12:04pm

Declaring locks at this point is kind of ridiculous. Honeymoon could close by nomination time, McClure could be forgotten, Roger Rees could easily steal that "locked spot" with The Visit which is opening right on the cut off date.
It's too early to predict any of this, especially a lock.

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 5:12pm

lol Wilmington really? How many years ago was that?

[Robbie2]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 5:46pm

I feel by mid Feb-late March all the new shows will be previewing and I'll have a better idea as there are a lot of shows...10 musicals!

My very early predictions are:

Musical
Fun Home
Finding Neverland or Something Rotten
Honeymoon in Vegas
The Visit

Musical Revival
On The Town
On The 20th Century
Side Show
The King & I

OPENING NIGHTS:

MARCH 2015
5 - Fish in the Dark
8 - The Audience
12 - On the Twentieth Century
19 - The Heidi Chronicles

APRIL 2015
2 - Skylight
7 - Hand to God
8 - Gigi
9 - Wolf Hall & Bring Up the Bodies
12 - An American in Paris
14 - It Shoulda Been You
15 - Finding Neverland
16 - The King and I
19 - Fun Home
20 - Living on Love
21 - Doctor Zhivago
22 - Something Rotten!
23 - Airline Highway
23 - The Visit

Updated On: 1/24/15 at 05:46 PM

[ggersten]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 8:47pm

After this little tempest behind the scenes with Neverland, who knows how the Tony nominating committee will react. The Weinstein action was against an apparent stalwart of the Broadway scene.
Did Weinstein pick on the wrong person?

[Robbie2]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 9:49pm

^true point...Harvey gets away and acts this way with the film industry but will these actions go against him (possibly so) with the Tony committee as there will be many new musicals opening up vying for that best new musical spot. Not sure if the show is good or bad but he is the force behind Neverland and wants many nods for his show but the question is will it get them?

Updated On: 1/24/15 at 09:49 PM

[jv92]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 10:01pm

I hope Weinstein wallows in his own crapulence, to quote Mr. C. Montgomery Burns.

The man doesn't know what he's doing. Firing a talented theatrical songwriting team and replacing them with a bunch of schlocky pop-meisters, and hiring Diane "The Empress Has No Clothes" Paulus does not a musical make. Having a dispute with the best PR firm on Broadway doesn't help either. Unless the show is a f*cking masterpiece, I can see him crying some salty tears come nomination day.

You have FUN HOME, the most critically acclaimed musical in recent memory, and THE VISIT, the last hurrah for K&E, and possibly Chita, vying for awards. I hope and think those shows mean more to the Tony folks than Weinstein's pipe dream of competing with Scott Rudin (an equally contemptuous fellow, but a better stage producer).

It's the work that counts. John Kander is busy working on KID VICTORY with Greg Pierce, set to open at the Signature. I'm sure he's not thinking about Tonys. I'm sure Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron are thinking about their next projects. And Chita? Well... But it'd be nice for some recognition for artistic brilliance.

[Robbie2]

Posted: 1/24/15 at 10:39pm

As for Side Show and the girls (Em Padgett & Erin Davie) to be not nominated as one...I feel will deter there chances now for a nomination(s) and cancel one another out for this spot unfortunately.

As for Sting's The Last Ship it will be acknowledged with a nod for Best Score.

Updated On: 1/24/15 at 10:39 PM

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/25/15 at 2:28pm

who were the other composers of finding neverland before? I think the show will get a few nods, even though it doesn't seem like he's doing it for the love of the show. Diane Paulus is a great director

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 1/25/15 at 3:45pm

^Scott Frankel & Michael Korie (The Grey Gardens team). Luckily, Korie will still be coming in this spring with Doctor Zhivago.

[JonahKost]

Posted: 1/25/15 at 4:14pm

I think we all know a lock for Best Featured Actor in a Play:
Wellington - Curious Incident of the Dog in the Nighttime ; )

[bluetuna]

Posted: 1/25/15 at 4:24pm

Best Featured Actress in a Musical - Alysha Umphress, "On The Town"

[Phillypinto]

Posted: 1/25/15 at 7:46pm

lol she's not gonna get a nomination

[ggersten]

Posted: 1/25/15 at 10:01pm

>>I think we all know a lock for Best Featured Actor in a Play:
Wellington - Curious Incident of the Dog in the Nighttime ; )<<

I think Toby did a better job than Wellington. Wellington just seemed dead up there to me.

But, semi-seriously, has there ever been a Tony Award given for an animal's performance?

[bluetuna]

Posted: 1/26/15 at 3:22am

Why so confident of the lack of "On The Town" love, Phillypinto? I'm surprised you don't even think it'll get a nomination for Best Revival...

[ZiggyCringe]

Posted: 1/26/15 at 4:41am

All I can predict with conviction is Kelli O'Hara won't win, it will be Chenowith or Chita (probably Cheno). Poor O'Hara is the Susan Lucci of the Tonys.

Also, "Curious Dog" is a shoe in.

The rest is conjecture.

I think McClure might win for "Honeymoon", although I think Cerveris is a better performance in "Fun Home."

I loved Judy Kuhn in "Fun Home," but I think that Mary Louise Wilson stands a better chance, as that role is showy, and Judy's is very understated.

I doubt Danza will get a nom. His performance in "Honeymoon" is ghastly.

Most if not all of the tech awards (except costume) will go to "Curious."

I agree that Sting will get a nod for "Last Ship," but will lose to Tesori.

The "Side Show" girls don't stand a chance for a nom, because precedents says they have to be nominated together, and one of those girls was terrific, and the other was lousy.

Musical Revival is easily "20th Century."

Actress is an a play is easily Helen Mirren, and actor in a play is probably Jake Gylennhall.

I think that supporting actress in a play is a toss-up between Martha Plimpton and Annaliegh Ashford, with Ashford being my choice.

Although I haven't seen it, I'm giving Choreography to Warren Carlyle, because I think he's the only inventive choreographer working on Broadway today. I'm greatly looking forward to the day he becomes a definitive director/choreographer, because I think he's as good as Fosse, or Bennett, or Strohman.

Director of a play is obviously "Curious Dog," but director of a musical is more difficult. I haven't seen it, but I'm throwing my bone to Des McAnuff for "Zhivago," as he always does great work, and while "Fun Home" is terrific, it's not a director's show, and "Honeymoon in Vegas" was horrible hack work, and Scott Ellis nearly always gets things wrong.

I will probably be wrong on nearly everything, I usually am. This is just where i stand without seeing the new openings.