SO Finding Neverland didn't exactly take off.
Now, let's see the nominees will be
American in Paris (because it got the best reviews for a musical this season)
Something Rotten (because it's gay-gay-gay and it makes stupid theater people feel smarter than they are)
Fun Home (because it is important - read dreary - and has a non-melodic score.)
and #4, I'll go with ---
The Last Ship (because Sting became a hero on Bway in the way he fought for it)
If there is a fifth spot -- Finding Neverland - or if they really hate Harvey -- The Visit (because it is Ebb's last show and probably Kander's and Chita's, too)
The Winner will be American in Paris because it will sell better than the dreary Fun Home on the road.