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New Tony Predictions?

JonahKost
#1New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 10:37pm

Since some shows closed, we might have a better idea of what might be nominated. I'm guessing most shows won't close because the producers will want to hold out until Tonys.

Best Musical:
Finding Neverland
Dr. Zhivago
Fun Home (if it gets good reviews)
an American in Paris (if it gets good reviews)
Honeymoon in Vegas

Best Play:
Definatley Curious Incident
Disgraced

Best Revival:
The King and I
On The Town
Side Show (I hope it gets nominated, deserves a lot more than it got)
On The Twentieth Century
Gigi (if it gets good reviews or Side Show doesn't get nominated)

Best Actor - Leading - Musical:
Tony Yazbeck - On The Town
Matthew Morrison - Finding Neverland
Michael Cerveris - Fun Home
Ken Watanabe - The King and I
Peter Gallagher - On The Twentieth Century

Best Actress - Leading - Musical:
Kelli O'Hara - The King and I
Kristin Chenoweth - On The Twentieth Century
Laura Michelle Kelly - Finding Neverland
Erin Davie - Side Show
Emily Padgett - Side Show

Jeffrey Karasarides Profile Photo
Jeffrey Karasarides
#2New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 10:56pm

We may not yet know what the rest of the season has in store for us, but in the meantime, here are my current predictions:

Best Musical:
An American in Paris
Doctor Zhivago
Fun Home
The Visit

Best Play:
The Audience-Peter Morgan
The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time-Simon Stephens
Disgraced-Ayad Akhtar
Hand to God-Robert Askins

Best Revival of a Musical:
The King & I
On the Town
On the Twentieth Century
Side Show

Best Revival of a Play:
The Elephant Man
The Heidi Chronicles
Skylight
You Can't Take It With You

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical:
Michael Cerveris-Fun Home
Rob McClure-Honeymoon in Vegas
Matthew Morrison-Finding Neverland
Tam Mutu-Doctor Zhivago
Ken Watanabe-The King & I

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Kristin Chenoweth-On the Twentieth Century
Erin Davie/Emily Padgett-Side Show
Beth Malone-Fun Home
Kelli O'Hara-The King & I
Chita Rivera-The Visit

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play:
Steven Boyer-Hand to God
Bradley Cooper-The Elephant Man
Larry David-Fish in the Dark
Bill Nighy-Skylight
Alex Sharp-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play:
Renee Fleming-Living on Love
Helen Mirren-The Audience
Elisabeth Moss-The Heidi Chronicles
Carey Mulligan-Skylight
Ruth Wilson-Constellations

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ljay889
#2New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:02pm

Best Musical:
An American in Paris
Doctor Zhivago
Fun Home
The Visit

Don't know much about the first two, but this looks pretty accurate. I think there's going to be a lot of respect for The Visit, especially if they start promoting it as the final Kander & Ebb musical.

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CapnHook
#3New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:06pm

Ya'll. Really?
No. Just no.


"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle

RW3
#4New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:17pm

Aren't some of the categories expanding to seven nominees? Did I read that breakdown correctly?

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Phillypinto
#5New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:21pm

New Play


The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-time


Disgraced


Hand to God


Wolf Hall


Play Revival


You Cant Take It With You


The Elephant Man


The Heidi Chronicles


Skylight


New Musical


Fun Home


Honeymoon in Vegas


The Visit


Something Rotten


Finding Neverland or It Shoulda Been You


Musical Revival


The King and I


Gigi


On the 20th Century


Leading Actress in a Musical


Chita Rivera-The Visit


Kelli O'Hara-The King and I


Kristin Chenoweth-On The Twentieth Century


Laura Michelle Kelly-Finding Neverland


Beth Malone-Fun Home


Leading Actor in a Musical


Michael Cerveris-Fun Home


Rob Mcclure-Honeymoon in Vegas


Ken Watanabe-The King and I


Matthew Morrison-Finding Neverland


Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten


Leading Actress in a Play


Renee Fleming-Living on Love


Helen Mirren-The Audience


Elizabeth Moss-The Heidi Chronicles


Ruth Wilson-Constellations


Carey Mulligan-Skylight


Leading Actor in a Play


Alex Sharp-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time


Bradley Cooper-The Elephant Man


Nathan Lane-It's Only a Play


Steven Boyer-Hand to God


Ben Miles-Wolf Hall


Featured Actor in a Play


Bryce Pinkham-The Heidi Chronicles


James Earl Jones-You Can't Take it With You


Micah Stock-Its Only a Play


Featured Actress in a Play


Annaleigh Ashford-You Can't Take it With You


Kristine Nielsen-You Can't Take it With You


Julie White-Airline Highway


Featured Actor in a Musical


John Cariani-Something Rotten


Andy Karl-On the 20th Century


Christian Borle-Something Rotten


Kelsy Grammer-Finding Neverland


Tony Danza-Honeymoon in Vegas


Featured Actress in a Musical


Tyne Daly-It Shoulda Been You


Harriet Harris-It Shoulda Been You


Nancy Opel-Honeymoon In Vegas


Judy Kuhn-Fun Home


Sydney Lucas-Fun Home


Ruthie Ann Miles-The King and I


Score


Jeanine Tesori and Lisa Kron-Fun Home


Kander and Ebb-The Visit


Jason Robert Brown-Honeymoon in Vegas


Sting-The Last Ship


Best Book of a Musical


Lisa Kron-Fun Home


Brian Hargrove-It Shoulda Been You


Karey Kirkpatrick and John O'Farrell-Something Rotten


Terrence McNally-The Visit


Best Direction of a Musical


Bart Sher-The King and I


Sam Gold-Fun Home


Bill Condon-Side Show


John Doyle-The Visit


Casey Nicholaw-Something Rotten


Best Choreography


Joshua Bergasse-On the Town


Christopher Wheeldon-An American in Paris


Mia Michaels-Finding Neverland


Casey Nicholaw-Something Rotten


Best Direction of a Play


Marianne Elliott-The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time


Scott Ellis-You Can't Take It With You  


Moritz von Stuelpnagel-Hand to God


Jeremy Herrin-Wolf Hall 


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Updated On: 4/10/15 at 11:21 PM

Jeffrey Karasarides Profile Photo
Jeffrey Karasarides
#6New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:41pm

^Kristine Nielsen and James Earl Jones are both being eligible as Featured Actors along with the rest of the ensemble of You Can't Take It With You.

We don't even know how the ensemble of It Shoulda Been You are going to be sorted out into Lead and Featured roles yet.

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haterobics
#7New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:44pm

Special Tony Award - John Cameron Mitchell, Hedwig

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Phillypinto
#8New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:44pm

I was wandering about that^
Im gonna change it now.


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Jeffrey Karasarides Profile Photo
Jeffrey Karasarides
#9New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:45pm

"Aren't some of the categories expanding to seven nominees? Did I read that breakdown correctly?"

That was announced for both Directing categories as well as Choreography.

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Phillypinto
#10New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:48pm

Leading Actor in a Musical is ridiculously competitive this season!! So many great, worthy of being nominated guys!!

Michael Cerveris-Fun Home
Peter Gallagher -On the 20th Century
Tam Mutu-Doctor Zhivago
Ken Watanabe-The King and I
Matthew Morrison-Finding Neverland
Christian Borle-Something Rotten
Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten
Tony Yazbeck-On the Town
David Burtka-It Shoulda Been You (Leading or Featured?)
Corey Cott-Gigi (Leading or Featured?)
Ryan Silverman-Side Show (Leading or Featured?)
The Last Ship-Michael Esper
Tony Danza-Honeymoon in Vegas
Rob Mcclure-Honeymoon in Vegas
Roger Rees-The Visit
Robert Fairchild-An American in Paris

THATS 16 LEADING MEN IN MUSICALS THIS SEASON!! give or take because I'm not sure which categories some of them fall under. There are also probably more guys i just didn't put under leading men because i wasn't sure. Also, I didn't categorize Holler if Ya Hear Me so I'm not sure if theres any leading men in that show.


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Updated On: 1/21/15 at 11:48 PM

RW3
#11New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/21/15 at 11:56pm

Oh okay. Thanks!

AEA AGMA SM
#12New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:17am

"That was announced for both Directing categories as well as Choreography."

Though my understanding was that it's only if the votes break down in a certain way, so it's not a guarantee that there will be more than usual.

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haterobics
#13New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:19am

Did they already rule whether Danza would be leading or featured?

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kyl3fong2
#14New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:30am

What about Something Rotten for best musical?


Also, what is the buzz out there on An American in Paris? Curious to know how advanced sales are for the show...

AEA AGMA SM
#15New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:37am

"Did they already rule whether Danza would be leading or featured?"

The last eligibility meeting was the morning of January 15, so technically Honeymoon in Vegas hadn't opened yet. It will be decided upon at their next meeting.

And to clarify the director and choreographer nominations. If there are at least seven eligible candidates in those categories then the number of nominees will increase from four to five.

We also now have the potential to have up to six nominees in each performance category. If there is a two or three way tie for the last slot in each category then both or all three will be eligible for nomination. So that can definitely be a pretty big game changer there.

Phillypinto Profile Photo
Phillypinto
#16New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:50am

Fun Home
It Shoulda Been You
Finding Neverland
Something Rotten!
Doctor Dhivago
Honeymoon In Vegas
An American in Paris
The Visit
The Last Ship

They all seem really great but unfortunately there can only be 4...


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Falling
#17New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 8:20am

Philly-there can be 5 nominees for best musical. I'm thinking it'll be:

An American in Paris
Fun Home
Honeymoon in Vegas
Something Rotten

With the last spot either going to The Last Ship or The Visit. (Or Dr. Zhivago.)

Jeffrey Karasarides Profile Photo
Jeffrey Karasarides
#18New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 8:29am

@Phillypinto, These are who I think will be considered as Leading Actor:
John Cariani-Something Rotten!
Michael Cerveris-Fun Home
Tony Danza-Honeymoon in Vegas
Michael Esper-The Last Ship
Robert Fairchild-An American in Paris
Peter Gallagher-On the Twentieth Century
Brian d'Arcy James-Something Rotten!
Rob McClure-Honeymoon in Vegas
Matthew Morrison-Finding Neverland
Tam Mutu-Doctor Zhivago
Ken Watanabe-The King and I
Saul Williams-Holler If Ya Hear Me
Tony Yazbeck-On the Town

Might Be Featured:
Christian Borle-Something Rotten!
David Burtka-It Shoulda Been You
Corey Cott-Gigi
Roger Rees-The Visit
Ryan Silverman-Side Show Updated On: 1/22/15 at 08:29 AM

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Phillypinto
#19New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:41pm

I honestly don't think Tony Yazbeck should be considered leading.


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ggersten
#20New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:51pm

Phillypinto - the nominating committee disagrees with you about Mr. Yazbeck.
On The Town Eligibility Ruling

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Phillypinto
#21New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 12:59pm

they don't disagree with me, i disagree with them lol. His character does the same amount as the other two guys in On The Town.


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neonlightsxo
#22New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 1:10pm

Two years ago, both Bring It On and A Christmas Story were nominated for best musical even though they had long closed. Just saying.

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ggersten
#23New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 1:18pm

so there's hope for Hollar if You Hear Me?

neonlightsxo
#24New Tony Predictions?
Posted: 1/22/15 at 1:19pm

...no, but there's hope for The Last Ship & Side Show.


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