Official Way Too Early 2018 Tony Predictions Thread- Page 10

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 3/25/18 at 4:31pm

You cant compare both productions to this.

In the 90s was a two piece kinda thing with a Year between them. But they are seeing this as one thing. Spinella won featured and lead because Prior is the lead as a whole. Leibman was not even nominated for Perestroika as an example of Little he does for the other half of the play.

And the minisseries... Name Rec played a Lot there. After all Emma Thompson went lead for playing the Angel while Parker was supporting. I Mean, really?

I really see everybody as featured aside from Prior, at least in this conjoined production.

[Megsamegatron]

Posted: 3/26/18 at 12:50pm

little_sally said: "I think there are plenty contenders for choreography: Once on This Island, Carousel, Spongebob, Mean Girls, My Fair Lady, and I suppose Frozen."

I would also include Harry Potter in the choreography nominees 

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 3/26/18 at 12:53pm

Harry Potter definitely deserves a Choreography nomination (if not possibly a win).

[Megsamegatron]

Posted: 3/26/18 at 12:58pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Harry Potter definitely deserves a Choreography nomination (if not possibly a win)."

Agreed! I think the only two real contenders are Once on This Island and Harry Potter 

[poisonivy2]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 8:55pm

I don't see how Roy Cohn could possibly be justified as a "featured" actor. His actual stage time might not be as long as Prior but he probably has the most iconic scenes in the entire play. Making him "featured" actor is like making Shylock featured actor. 

And I especially can't see how Nathan Lane can be justified as being shoved into "featured actor" considering how much he dominates the stage. 

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 9:11pm

Is Metcalf really going to be considered "featured" in THREE TALL WOMEN?
That's a far more ridiculous category placement than either Cohn or Prior being considered a featured role in ANGELS.

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 9:38pm

Had Metcalf not won last year, she would try a nom for featured, but as a winner, she'll be lead.

Jackson and Gough will win.

[Jessetenny]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 10:00pm

My quick - unfinished list is below

Best Musical:

The Bands Visit - WINNER

Mean Girls

Spongebob

**EITHER Frozen or Summer depending on the changes.

Best Revival of a Musical:

My Fair Lady 

Once on This Island - WINNER

**If there is a third nominee Carousel will get it by default.

Best Play:

Harry Potter - WINNER

Meteor Shower

Farinelli and The King

Best Revival of a Play:
Angels in America - WINNER

Lobby Hero

Three Tall Women

Best Actress in a Musical:

Lauren Ambrose - My Fair Lady - WINNER

Hailey Kilgore - Once on This Island

Katrina Lenk - The Bands Visit

Jessie Mueller - Carousel

**EITHER Patti Murin - Frozen or Taylor Louderman or Erika Henningsen - Mean Girls (depending on placement)

Best Actor in a Musical:

Henry Haden-Patton - My Fair Lady - WINNER

Ethan Slater - Spongebob

Joshua Henry - Carousel

Tony Shalhoub - The Bands Visit

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:

Kate Rockwell - Mean Girls - WINNER

Ashley Park - Mean Girls

Lindsay Mendez - Carousel

Barrett Wilbert Weed - Mean Girls

Lea Salonga - Once on This Island

 

 

 

[SomethingPeculiar]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 10:27pm

poisonivy2 said: "I don't see how Roy Cohn could possibly be justified as a "featured" actor. His actual stage time might not be as long as Prior but he probably has the most iconic scenes in the entire play. Making him "featured" actor is like making Shylock featured actor.

And I especially can't see how Nathan Lane can be justified as being shoved into "featured actor" considering how much he dominates the stage."


At the end of the day it's all up to whatever the producers decide. Roy might be the lead of part 1, but it really takes over as Prior's story for part 2. By the end of the 2 plays together, Prior feels like the lead of the story.

Also interesting that in the original production, Ron Leibman (Roy) won Best Lead Actor for part 1 but wasn't even nominated for part 2. Stephen Spinella (Prior) won both years (Featured Actor and then Lead Actor) with Jeffrey Wright (Belize) winning Featured Actor for part 2.

[Elegance101]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 10:40pm

“

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:

Kate Rockwell - Mean Girls - WINNER

Ashley Park - Mean Girls

Lindsay Mendez - Carousel

Barrett Wilbert Weed - Mean Girls

Lea Salonga - Once on This Island





"

I wouldn’t put money on Kate Rockwell winning. I think out of these woman, Lindsay is the front-runner. But I also don’t think Ashley Park makes it in, she’s not a huge standout.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 10:53pm

My latest predictions...

BEST MUSICAL
The Band's Visit
Frozen
Mean Girls
SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
My Fair Lady
Once on This Island

BEST PLAY
The Children
Farinelli and the King
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Junk

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Angels in America
Lobby Hero
Three Tall Women
TBD: Saint Joan or Travesties

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady
Joshua Henry, Carousel
Tony Shalhoub, The Band's Visit
Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants
SLOT #5: ???

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Andrew Garfield, Angels in America
Tom Hollander, Travesties
Joshua Jackson, Children of a Lesser God
Jamie Parker, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Denzel Washington, The Iceman Cometh

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
Hailey Kilgore, Once on This Island
Katrina Lenk, The Band's Visit
Jessie Mueller, Carousel
Patti Murin, Frozen

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Glenda Jackson, Three Tall Women
Condola Rashad, Saint Joan
Lauren Ridloff, Children of a Lesser God
Uma Thurman, The Parisian Woman
SLOT #5: ??? [Maybe Amy Schumer?]

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
Grey Henson, Mean Girls
Alex Newell, Once on This Island
Ari'el Stachel, The Band's Visit
SLOT #5: John Cariani, The Band's Visit or Gavin Lee, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Anthony Boyle, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
James McArdle, Angels in America
Nathan Lane, Angels in America
Lee Pace, Angels in America
Nathan Stewart-Jarrett, Angels in America

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Caissie Levy, Frozen
Lindsay Mendez, Carousel
Kenita A. Miller, Once on This Island
Diana Rigg, My Fair Lady
Kate Rockwell, Mean Girls

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laura Benanti, Meteor Shower
Noma Dumezweni, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Denise Gough, Angels in America
Laurie Metcalf, Three Tall Women
Alison Pill, Three Tall Women 

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Michael Arden, Once on This Island
David Cromer, The Band's Visit
Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants
Bartlett Sher, My Fair Lady
SLOT #5: Grandage for Frozen or Nicholaw for Mean Girls

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Trip Cullman, Lobby Hero
Marianne Elliott, Angels in America
Joe Mantello, Three Tall Women
Patrick Marber, Travesties
John Tiffany, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Tina Fey, Mean Girls
Kyle Jarrow, SpongeBob SquarePants
Jennifer Lee, Frozen
Itamar Moses, The Band's Visit

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Nell Benjamin and Jeff Richmond, Mean Girls
Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Frozen
David Yazbek, The Band's Visit
SLOT #4: Very possibly 14,000,000 people for SpongeBob?

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY [The trickiest category to decide, IMO]
Camille A. Brown, Once on This Island
Christopher Gattelli, SpongeBob SquarePants
Steven Hoggett, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Justin Peck, Carousel

BEST COSTUME DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Christopher Oram, Frozen
Clint Ramos, Once on This Island
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants
Catherine Zuber, My Fair Lady

BEST COSTUME DESIGN IN A PLAY
Nicky Gillibrand, Angels in America
Katrina Lindsay, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Ann Roth, Three Tall Women
SLOT #4: Unsure

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Kevin Adams, SpongeBob SquarePants
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Once on This Island
Natasha Katz, Frozen
Tyler Micoleau, The Band's Visit

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN IN A PLAY
Neil Austin, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Paule Constable, Angels in America
Paul Gallo, Three Tall Women
SLOT #4: Unsure

BEST SCENIC DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Dane Laffrey, Once on This Island
Scott Pask, The Band's Visit
Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST SCENIC DESIGN IN A PLAY
Miriam Buether, Three Tall Women
Christine Jones, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Ian MacNeil, Angels in America
SLOT #4: Unsure

BEST SOUND DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Kai Harada, The Band's Visit
Peter Hylenski, Once on This Island
Walter Trarbach, SpongeBob SquarePants
Marc Salzberg, My Fair Lady

BEST SOUND DESIGN IN A PLAY
Ian Dickinson, Angels in America
Gareth Fry, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Darron L. West, Lobby Hero
SLOT #4: Unsure

Updated On: 4/4/18 at 10:53 PM

[Elegance101]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 11:00pm

I believe there will only be 4 slots for Lead Actor in a Musical, though I might be wrong. Also, it sounds like I have it out for Ashley Park (which I don’t), but I’d expect Barrett to make it in before Ashley. Just in terms of how the roles are written, Janis has a little more meat and carries some of the heart of the show.

[GeorgeandDot]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 11:02pm

I agree with you BC, but I think Lindsay will win for Carousel. I've heard negative things about the show, but everyone I've spoken to has singled her out as the standout of the production.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 3/27/18 at 11:05pm

GeorgeandDot said: "I agree with you BC, but I think Lindsay will win for Carousel. I've heard negative things about the show, but everyone I've spoken to has singled her out as the standout of the production."

Actually, Kate Rockwell was the only totally random switch I made for this round of "way too early" predictions! I'll probably end up predicting Mendez at the end of the day as well.

[rosscoe(au)]

Posted: 3/28/18 at 2:00am

After those reviews frozen ain’t being nominated for anything

[TFMH18]

Posted: 3/28/18 at 10:26am

^I mean, not true. In a year as weak as this, it'll get a best musical nomination along with, I imagine, a number of others.

[Lindsay is a goddess]

Posted: 3/28/18 at 4:34pm

rosscoe(au) said: "After those reviews frozen ain’t being nominated for anything"

Frozen will definitely get nominations, but it won't win anything. The best shot it has at a win is Natasha Katz's lighting design and featured actress is Levy gets dropped in that category.

[DeepVSexyWitch2]

Posted: 4/2/18 at 11:46pm

I have just finished up seeing all the new musicals tonight and here is what I would choose, though I do expect Frozen to show up in the actual nominations:

Best Musical

• Mean Girls
• Spongebob Squarepants
• Summer: The Donna Summer Musical  
• The Band’s Visit

 

Best Revival of a Musical

• Carousel
• My Fair Lady
• Once on This Island

 

Best Actor in a Musical

• Henry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady
• Joshua Henry, Carousel
• Tony Shaloub, The Band’s Visit
• Ethan Slater, Spongebob Squarepants

 

Best Actress in a Musical

• Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
• Hayley Kiligore, Once on This Island
• LaChanze, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
• Katrina Lenk, The Band’s Visit

 

Best Featured Actress in a Musical

• Ariana DeBose, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
• Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls
• Lindsay Mendez, Carousel
• Kenita Miller, Once on This Island
• Kate Rockwell, Mean Girls

 

Best Featured Actor

• Etai Benson, The Band’s Visit
• Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
• John Cariani, The Band’s Visit
• Grey Henson, Mean Girls
• Alex Newell, Once on This Island

 

[little_sally]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:04pm

I really think Best Actor in a Play is the most interesting category this season. You have possible nominees in Nathan Lane, Andrew Garfield, Denzel, Jamie Parker, Tom Hollander, Mark Rylance, Joshua Jackson, and Stephen Pasquale (not that I think the last two will be nominated.)

It would be nice if the three featured actors in Angels are all nominated, and I'd love to see James McArdle win.

[little_sally]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:06pm

little_sally said: "I really think Best Actor in a Play is the most interesting category this season. You have possible nominees in Nathan Lane, Andrew Garfield, Denzel, Jamie Parker, Tom Hollander, Mark Rylance, Joshua Jackson, and Stephen Pasquale (not that I think the last two will be nominated.)

It would be nice if the three featured actors in Angels are all nominated, and I'd love to see James McArdle win."

I forgot Michael Cera!

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:14pm

Do we think Anthony Boyle has no chance for the Tony against any of the featured actors from Angels? I wish I could give both Boyle and McArdle awards for their incredible performances, but Boyle particularly bowled me over.

[Bwayfan292]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:17pm

Do we think its possible for Once on this island to beat out My fair lady for revival?

[little_sally]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:25pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Do we think Anthony Boyle has no chance for the Tony against any of the featured actors fromAngels? I wish I could give both Boyle and McArdle awards for their incredible performances, but Boyle particularly bowled me over."

I don't see Harry Potter until 4/21 so I can't speak for Boyle's performance just yet but he did win the Olivier so I think he definitely has a great shot at the Tonys.

[Lindsay is a goddess]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:43pm

I must be ignorant, but can someone enlighten me as to what Harry Potter’s choreography entails? Is there some kind of a Yule Ball scene or something?

[sorano916]

Posted: 4/3/18 at 12:50pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Do we think Anthony Boyle has no chance for the Tony against any of the featured actors fromAngels? I wish I could give both Boyle and McArdle awards for their incredible performances, but Boyle particularly bowled me over."

I think Anthony has a chance. Quite possibly the Angels actors would split the vote. Also, Anthony's character is more likeable and he is given more meat/range, IMO.