Predict the winners of this year's Tony Awards — Page 3

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): MATILDA
Best Orchestrations: MOTOWN
Best Choreography: Chet Walker, PIPPIN
Best Director of a Musical: Diane Paulus, PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Billy Porter, KINKY BOOTS
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Patina Miller, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Terrence Mann, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Martin, PIPPIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: KINKY BOOTS

Best Play: VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE
Best Revival of a Play: WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF
Best Director of a Play: Nicholas Martin, VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Tom Hanks, LUCKY GUY
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Cicely Tyson, THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Richard Kind, THE BIG KNIFE
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Judith Light, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Best Scenic Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Lighting Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY

AP predictions are up.

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/who-will-win-tony-awards-ap-predicts-0

"Osnes and Patina both give amazing performances, and it is hard to pick one that is better. The more I think about a Tony Award being an award given after a campaign, I think if most are torn between the two, Osnes' incredibly nice and cordial personality may just be the feather that tips scales for just enough voters."

bdn223, I think that part of what Laura has going for her is the generosity with which she has performed (or just shown up) when others in the Broadway community are being honored or is having a charity event. She has been tremendously generous with her time and support ever since she arrived in 2007 and I think that this will be remembered by Tonys voters.

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): KINKY BOOTS
Best Orchestrations: Danny Troob, CINDERELLA
Best Choreography: Chet Walker, PIPPIN
Best Director of a Musical: Diane Paulus, PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Billy Porter, KINKY BOOTS
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Patina Miller, PIPPIN (!!!)
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Terrence Mann, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Martin, PIPPIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Rob Howell, MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: Dominique Lemieux, PIPPIN
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Hugh Vanstone, MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: PIPPIN

Best Play: VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE
Best Revival of a Play: WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Best Director of a Play: Pam MacKinnon, WOOLF?
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Nathan Lane, THE NANCE
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Cicely Tyson, THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Richard Kind, THE BIG KNIFE
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Judith Light, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Best Scenic Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Lighting Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY

WickedRocks, thanks for mentioning that Riedel “Pippin” spoiler…was about to go read the article until I saw that.

Oddly enough, Director of Play ended up being the most difficult for me. It wouldn’t surprise me if any of the nominees one and was neck-and-neck-and-neck between MacKinnon, Wolfe, and Martin for me.

And, without further ado:

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): MATILDA
Best Orchestrations: CINDERELLA
Best Choreography: Peter Darling, MATILDA
Best Director of a Musical: Diane Paulus, PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Bertie Carvel, MATILDA
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Patina Miller, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Terrence Mann, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Martin, PIPPIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Rob Howell, MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: Gregg Barnes, KINKY BOOTS
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Hugh Vanstone, MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: Jonathan Deans & Garth Helm, PIPPIN

Best Play: VANYA, etc.
Best Revival of a Play: WOOLF
Best Director of a Play: Nicholas Martin, VANYA
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Tom Hanks, LUCKY GUY
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Kristine Nielsen, VANYA
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Tony Shalhoub, GOLDEN BOY
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Judith Light, ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Best Scenic Design of a Play: Michael Yeargan, GOLDEN BOY
Best Costume Design of a Play: Catherine Zuber, GOLDEN BOY
Best Lighting Design of a Play: Donald Holder, GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: Leon Rothenberg, THE NANCE

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: CINDERELLA! JUST KIDDING. MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): KINKY BOOTS
Best Orchestrations: NO CLUE. MAYBE MOTOWN?
Best Choreography: PIPPIN
Best Director of a Musical: DIANE PAULUS
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: BILLY PORTER
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: PATINA MILLER
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: GABRIEL EBERT
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: ANDREA MARTIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: PIPPIN?

I'm not going to pretend that I know a blessed thing about the plays. :) (Though I'd really like to see V&S&M&S if I get the chance. I've at least seen most of these musicals -all but Motown- so feel like I can make an educated call on those.)

It seriously pained me to put Kinky Boots for Score, since I think comparing its (fun, but) commercial blandness to the brilliance of Tim Minchin's Matilda lyrics is an absolute joke, but this is a predictions thread, so it is what it is. I will be THRILLED to be wrong.

Same goes for Billy Porter (liked) and Bertie Carvel (LOVED), but I feel like Kinky Boots needs some bones thrown at it somewhere, and those are the two that I think will get said bones.

To me, Annaleigh Ashford was the best thing about Kinky Boots and deserves an award for her performance, but there's no way she's winning over Andrea Martin. Rightfully. Just bad timing for Annaleigh.

And while I think Patina wholly deserves the award over Laura Osnes this year, if only for the difference in the depth of the roles and the impressive skill set (and balls) it takes to be a compelling Leading Player, I think Osnes is a fantastic performer and a lovely person and I wouldn't frown if there was an upset. But I think this is Patina's. I liked but didn't love her in Sister Act, but she blew me away in Pippin.

Here are GoldDerby's final predictions:

MUSICALS
BEST MUSICAL
"Matilda"
Spoiler: "Kinky Boots"
BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
"Pippin"
Spoiler: "Annie"
BEST ACTOR (MUSICAL)
Billy Porter, "Kinky Boots"
Spoiler: Bertie Carvel, "Matilda"
BEST ACTRESS (MUSICAL)
Patina Miller, "Pippin"
Spoiler: Laura Osnes, "Cinderella"
BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL)
Terrence Mann, "Pippin"
Spoiler: Gabriel Ebert, "Matilda"
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL)
Andrea Martin, "Pippin"
Spoiler: Lauren Ward, "Matilda"
BEST MUSICAL BOOK
"Matilda"
Spoiler: "Kinky Boots"
BEST MUSICAL SCORE
"Kinky Boots"
Spoiler: "Matilda"
BEST DIRECTOR (MUSICAL)
"Pippin"
Spoiler: "Matilda"
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
"Pippin"
Spoiler: "Bring It On"
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
"Matilda"
Spoiler: "Motown"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN (MUSICAL)
"Cinderella"
Spoiler: "Pippin"
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN (MUSICAL)
"Matilda"
Spoiler: "Pippin"
BEST SCENIC DESIGN (MUSICAL)
"Matilda"
Spoiler: "Pippin"
BEST SOUND DESIGN (MUSICAL)
"Pippin"
Spoiler: "Motown"


PLAYS
BEST PLAY
"Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike"
Spoiler: "Lucky Guy"
BEST PLAY REVIVAL
"Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf"
Spoiler: "The Trip to Bountiful"
BEST ACTOR (PLAY)
Tom Hanks, "Lucky Guy"
Spoiler: David Hyde-Pierce, "Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike"
BEST ACTRESS (PLAY)
Cicely Tyson, "A Trip to Bountiful"
Spoiler: Kristine Nielsen, "Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike"
BEST FEATURED ACTOR (PLAY)
Danny Burstein, "Golden Boy"
Spoiler: Courtney B. Vance, "Lucky Guy"
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY)
Judith Light, "Assembled Parties"
Spoiler: Condola Rasha, "The Trip to Bountiful"
BEST DIRECTOR (PLAY)
"Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike"
Spoiler: "Lucky Guy"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN (PLAY)
"The Heiress"
Spoiler: "The Nance"
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN (PLAY)
"Golden Boy"
Spoiler: "Lucky Guy"
BEST SCENIC DESIGN (PLAY)
"The Nance"
Spoiler: "Golden Boy"
BEST SOUND DESIGN (PLAY)
"Golden Boy"
Spoiler: "The Nance"

http://www.goldderby.com/news/4416/tony-awards-tonys-winners-predictions-broadway-theater-entertainment-news.html?utm_source=June+7+Newsletter&utm_campaign=June+7+newsletter&utm_medium=email

I find it weird that 10 of the 15 experts predict Osnes to win out over Miller and yet their "official" prediction is the opposite.

The other thing I find weird is that most of us are predicting Cinderella for orchestrations and yet no critics even have them on their radar as a possible winner.

I thought the same exact thing bdn.

On that GoldDerby page, it says: "Gold Derby surveyed 15 experts, our editors and hundreds of users to predict the winners of this Sunday's Tony Awards."

So while the "experts" predictions are part of it, they take other predictions into consideration as well in order to "calculate" a final overall prediction.

jv92 - Nora Ephron also wrote Love, Loss and What I Wore.