Predict the winners of this year's Tony Awards — Page 2

I'll only do musicals:

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): TIM MINCHIN
Best Orchestrations: CINDERELLA
Best Choreography: PIPPIN
Best Director of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: BILLY PORTER (Rooting for Bertie)
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: PATINA MILLER
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: GABRIEL EBERT
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: ANDREA MARTIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA

Best Musical: KINKY BOOTS
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): KINKY BOOTS
Best Orchestrations: MOTOWN
Best Choreography: CHET WALKER
Best Director of a Musical: DIANE PAULUS
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: BILLY PORTER
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: LAURA OSNES
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: TERRANCE MANN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: ANDREA MARTIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: MOTOWN

Best Play: VANYA AND SONIA...
Best Revival of a Play: WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF
Best Director of a Play: PAM MACKINNON
Best Leading Actor in a Play: TRACY LETTS
Best Leading Actress in a Play: CICELY TYSON
Best Featured Actor in a Play: TONY SHALHOUB
Best Featured Actress in a Play: JUDITH LIGHT
Best Scenic Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE HEIRESS
Best Lighting Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): MATILDA
Best Orchestrations: CINDERELLA
Best Choreography: PIPPIN
Best Director of a Musical: Diane Paulus, PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Bertie Carvel, MATILDA
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Patina Miller, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Terrence Mann, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Martin, PIPPIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: KINKY BOOTS

Best Play: VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE
Best Revival of a Play: WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Best Director of a Play: Pam MacKinnon, WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Tom Hanks, LUCKY GUY
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Cicely Tyson, THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Richard Kind, THE BIG KNIFE
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Judith Light, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Best Scenic Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Lighting Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: THE NANCE

Best Musical: Kinky Boots
Best Revival of a Musical: Pippin
Best Book of a Musical: Matilda
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): Kinky Boots
Best Orchestrations: Matilda
Best Choreography: Pippin
Best Director of a Musical: Diane Paulus
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Billy Porter
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Patina Miller
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Terrance Mann
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Martin
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Matilda
Best Costume Design of a Musical: Cinderella
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Matilda
Best Sound Design of a Musical: Pippin

Best Play: Vanya & Sonia & Masha & Spike
Best Revival of a Play: Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Best Director of a Play: Pam MacKinnon
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Tracy Letts
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Cicely Tyson
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Tony Shaloub
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Judith Light
Best Scenic Design of a Play: Golden Boy
Best Costume Design of a Play: The Heiress
Best Lighting Design of a Play: Golden Boy
Best Sound Design of a Play: Golden Boy

---

Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): MATILDA
Best Orchestrations: MOTOWN
Best Choreography: CHET WALKER
Best Director of a Musical: DIANE PAULUS
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: BILLY PORTER
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: PATINA MILLER
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: TERRANCE MANN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: ANDREA MARTIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: MOTOWN

Best Play: VANYA AND SONIA...
Best Revival of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Director of a Play: NICHOLAS MARTIN
Best Leading Actor in a Play: TRACY LETTS
Best Leading Actress in a Play: CICELY TYSON
Best Featured Actor in a Play: TONY SHALHOUB
Best Featured Actress in a Play: JUDITH LIGHT
Best Scenic Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE HEIRESS
Best Lighting Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY

Best Musical: KINKY BOOTS
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: MATILDA THE MUSICAL
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): KINKY BOOTS
Best Orchestrations: RODGERS + HAMMERSTEIN'S CINDERELLA
Best Choreography: PIPPIN
Best Director of a Musical: DIANE PAULUS, PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: BILLY PORTER, KINKY BOOTS
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: PATINA MILLER, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: GABRIEL EBERT, MATILDA THE MUSICAL
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: ANDREA MARTIN, PIPPIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA THE MUSICAL
Best Costume Design of a Musical: RODGERS + HAMMERSTEIN'S CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA THE MUSICAL
Best Sound Design of a Musical: PIPPIN

Best Play: VANYA & SONIA & MASHA & SPIKE
Best Revival of a Play: WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Best Director of a Play: PAM MCKINNON, WHO'S AFRAID OF VIRGINIA WOOLF?
Best Leading Actor in a Play: NATHAN LANE, THE NANCE
Best Leading Actress in a Play: CICELY TYSON, THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL
Best Featured Actor in a Play: COURTNEY B. VANCE, LUCKY GUY
Best Featured Actress in a Play: JUDITH LIGHT, THE ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Best Scenic Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Lighting Design of a Play: GOLDEN BOY
Best Sound Design of a Play: THE NANCE

Updated On: 6/5/13 at 09:18 AM

The NY Times piece Healy wrote today really helped me solidify my predictions. Here goes..

Best Musical: KINKY BOOTS
Best Revival of a Musical: PIPPIN
Best Book of a Musical: Denis Kelly, MATILDA
Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics): Cyndi Lauper, KINKY BOOTS
Best Orchestrations: Danny Troob, CINDERELLA
Best Choreography: Jerry Mitchell, KINKY BOOTS
Best Director of a Musical: Diane Paulus, PIPPIN
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Billy Porter, KINKY BOOTS
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Laura Osnes, CINDERELLA
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Terrence Mann, PIPPIN
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Andrea Martin, PIPPIN
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Costume Design of a Musical: CINDERELLA
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: MATILDA
Best Sound Design of a Musical: KINKY BOOTS

Best Play: VANYA, et al.
Best Revival of a Play: VIRGINIA WOOLF
Best Director of a Play: George C Wolfe, LUCKY GUY
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Tracy Letts, VIRGINIA WOOLF
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Cicely Tyson, BOUNTIFUL
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Danny Burstein, GOLDEN BOY
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Judith Light, ASSEMBLED PARTIES
Best Scenic Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Costume Design of a Play: THE NANCE
Best Lighting Design of a Play: No disrespect, but I don't know or care
Best Sound Design of a Play: Ditto

I hope the gestapo who started this thread won't mind me explaining two things--

Tom Hanks has yet to win a single award other than the Theater World Award. He's great, love his enthusiasm, but I'm still doubtful he'll win. I think IF the Tony voters want to honor Ephron and LUCKY GUY, they'll honor George Wolfe.

And I think Danny Burtstein will get the Tony for similar reasons why Stokes won for KISS ME, KATE. Stokes gave a brilliant performance in RAGTIME, yet Alan Cumming was fierce competition. So he won the next time at bat. Burstein was brilliant in FOLLIES, but that category last year was quite tough. And he's been around forever and deserves a little recognition.

Not saying who SHOULD win, mind you. Saying who I think WILL. Happy?

^ Thank you. Meant to link it!

http://www.nypost.com/p/entertainment/theater/tonys_forecast_03cQZosyf48FuItmQ26uKO

Riedel's predictions... (not mine!):
Best Musical: MATILDA
Best Book: MATILDA
Best Score: KINKY BOOTS
Best Actor (Musical): Carvel, MATILDA
Best Actress (Musical): Osnes, CINDERELLA
Best Play: VANYA & SONIA & MASHA & SPIKE
Best Actor (Play): Hanks, LUCKY GUY
Best Actress (Play): Tyson, THE TRIP TO BOUNTIFUL
Best Featured Actor (Play): Kind, THE BIG KNIFE
Best Featured Actress (Musical): Martin, PIPPIN

...And he gives away Martin's coupe de théâtre.

Updated On: 6/6/13 at 11:10 PM

Osnes was a perfect Cinderella but do you think she really has a shot over Patina? For some reason I really can't latch onto that prediction.

As ucjrdude902 said Cinderella's producers knew what they could compete for and spent money in those categories. Cinderella's only nominated categories where they they could be seen as competitive were Costumes, Orchestrations and Laura Osnes. Of those nominations they will likely go 2/3 and possibly 3/3. In knowing that their was no real chance at best revival, they dropped out of the TV appearance game and instead just headed up Osnes for appearances with voters.

If Miller loses she can blame the fact that she is overshadowed by the rest of the praise her production will receive. The Weissler's probably want Patina to win, but they probably, like most, thought she was a lock once the Matilda's were ruled ineligible. While the Weisslers were spending tons of money on campaigning for Diane Paulus and Chet Walker, along with all of the design awards, Osnes' "Kindness" slowly started to outshine Miller's "Seductive Magic". When Pippin is truly competing for all of the awards it is nominated 10! some are bound to fall by the wayside, which unfortunately for Patina is her Best Actress.

Osnes and Patina both give amazing performances, and it is hard to pick one that is better. The more I think about a Tony Award being an award given after a campaign, I think if most are torn between the two, Osnes' incredibly nice and cordial personality may just be the feather that tips scales for just enough voters.


**corrected

Updated On: 6/7/13 at 01:53 AM

Best choreography is most likely going to Andy Blankenbuler for Bring it On.