TONYS 2010: The Predix, They Are, A-Changing — Page 3

Everyday Rapture
Sondheim on Sondheim
American Idiot
Fela! or Memphis

"also, La Cage has Best Revival in the bag. No questions asked"

Whoa, Nelly. Not so fast there. You're forgetting about a little something called NIGHT MUSIC.

It is also one of the biggest hits of this season, and the show did not just win the Tony 5 year ago.

The final spot is now split between Fela (Due to critical praise, but lack of audience approval), Memphis (Due to mixed to positive critical reviews and a growing fanbase)

Do weekly occupancy percentages consistently in the high 80s and 90s signal "lack of audience approval" to you? Because, especially in contrast to the 60%-70%s that Memphis has been pulling, those seem like pretty damn high numbers for Fela. Certainly ones that far surpass Memphis' on a weekly basis.

Remember: just because a show's fanbase does not parade around BWW constantly does not mean that it can't find an audience.

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^To comment on the above, an example from this week's gorsses:

Memphis & Fela both did rather well, about 90% capacity for both of them. However, while they both had the same capacity, Memphis took in over $200,000 MORE that Fela. Also, 3,000 more people this past week saw Memphis than Fela. Furthermore, say Fela played 85% & Memphis played 65%. Considerring Memphis is in one of the largest theatres on Broadway, it's pulling equal if not better attendance than Fela each and every week. Perhaps Fela does have a fan base, certainly. Hoeweve,r you cannot deny the power of Memphis this season. In fact, if it does get nominated, I could see this being the dark horse which did. Granted it's not better than some of the other shows this season, but it's becoming highly marketable.

On another note: I absolutely adored Night Music; but La Cage is the better production hands down. Also, just because the show won 5 years ago does not mean it cannot win this year. A reminder: Best Revival odes not go to the best material, but the best production of that material. Case in point: 2009. West Side Story and Guys and Dolls (in terms of strictly material) are much stronger shows that Hair. However, Hair was the stronger production in the end. Thus, in terms of revivals, production transcends material.

And for the record, Ragtime deserves Best Revival, and was the best production of the season. No questions asked.

Ben Brantley is not a Tony voter this season. No member of the press is.

My bad. I misinterpreted this to mean that they would be reinstated THIS season:
Link

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If the opening night press doesn't include most notable papers, who do you think it DOES include?

I think COME FLY AWAY might get in over THE ADDAMS FAMILY, making the four musical nominees: AMERICAN IDIOT, COME FLY AWAY, EVERYDAY RAPTURE, and FELA!
I imagine SONDHEIM ON SONDHEIM might get in or that they'll nominate ADDAMS FAMILY anyways, but we'll see.
This is a really weak year for musicals. The musical acting categories are quite dull. And NIGHT MUSIC certainly doesn't deserve Best Revival, it can't compare to the much more interesting recent revivals of Sondheim shows, like the beautiful production of SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE a few years ago. I imagine it might win if only because LA CAGE won very recently, PROMISES PROMISES looks quite troubled, and the other shows are already closed.

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I am very confused with a lot of people on this thread and other Tony threads saying that 'Everyday Rapture' will get nominated. The show has not even been in preview yet!

^And on top of that won ridiculous amounts of rave reviews. If it doesn't get noimnated for Best Musical, I'll loose all hope for musical theatre.

There's no such thing as a "lock".

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