Now that we've seen advance notices on American Idiot and La Cage and reviews of Addams and Million Dollar Quartet, let's update these suckas.
BEST MUSICAL
LOCKS: American Idiot
PROBABLE: Fela!
POSSIBLE: The Addams Family, Everyday Rapture, Memphis, Sondheim on Sondheim
LEFT FIELD: Come Fly Away, Million Dollar Quartet
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
LOCKS: La Cage Aux Folles, A Little Night Music
PROBABLE: Finian's Rainbow, Promises, Promises
POSSIBLE: Ragtime
BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
LOCKS: Terry Johnson, La Cage Aux Folles, Michael Mayer, American Idiot
PROBABLE: Rob Ashford, Promises, Promises, Bill T. Jones, Fela!
POSSIBLE: Warren Carlyle, Finian's Rainbow, Trevor Nunn, A Little Night Music
LEFT FIELD: Julian Crouch/Phelim McDermott/Jerry Zaks?, The Addams Family, James Lapine, Sondheim on Sondheim, Marcia Milgrom Dodge, Ragtime
BEST PLAY
LOCKS: Enron, Next Fall, Time Stands Still
PROBABLE: A Behanding in Spokane, Red
POSSIBLE: Race, A Steady Rain, Superior Donuts
LEFT FIELD: Wishful Drinking
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
LOCKS: A View From the Bridge
PROBABLE: Fences, Lend Me a Tenor, The Miracle Worker
POSSIBLE: Hamlet, The Royal Family
LEFT FIELD: Collected Stories, Oleanna
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
PROBABLE: The Addams Family, Fela!, Everyday Rapture, Memphis
POSSIBLE: American Idiot, Million Dollar Quartet
BEST SCORE OF A MUSICAL
The Addams Family
American Idiot
Memphis
BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
LOCKS: Douglas Hodge, La Cage Aux Folles, Nathan Lane, The Addams Family
PROBABLE: Kelsey Grammar, La Cage Aux Folles, Saur Ngaujah, Fela!
POSSIBLE: John Gallagher, Jr., American Idiot, Sean Hayes, Promises, Promises, Alexander Hanson, A Little Night Music
LEFT FIELD: Barry Humphries, All About Me, Chad Kimball, Memphis, Jim Norton, Finian's Rainbow
BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
LOCKS: Kristin Chenoweth, Promises, Promises, Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music, Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture
PROBABLE: Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim, Bebe Neuwirth, The Addams Family
POSSIBLE: Kate Baldwin, Finian's Rainbow, Montego Glover, Memphis
LEFT FIELD: Christiane Noll, Ragtime, Vanessa Williams, Sondheim on Sondheim
BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
LOCKS: Liev Schreiber, A View from the Bridge, Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
PROBABLE: Jude Law, Hamlet, Alfred Molina, Red, Tony Shalhoub, Lend Me a Tenor, Denzel Washington, Fences
POSSIBLE: Patrick Breen, Next Fall, Norbert Leo Butz, Enron
LEFT FIELD: Anthony LaPaglia, Lend Me a Tenor, Bill Pullman, Oleanna
BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
LOCKS: Valerie Harper, Looped, Laura Linney, Time Stands Still, Allison Pill, The Miracle Worker
PROBABLE: Abigail Breslin, The Miracle Worker, Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family
LEFT FIELD: Carrie Fisher, Wishful Drinking, Linda Lavin, Collected Stories
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
LOCKS: Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family,
PROBABLE: Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian's Rainbow, Charlie Neshyaba-Hodges, Come Fly Away, Stark Sands, American Idiot
POSSIBLE: Robin de Jesus, La Cage aux Folles, Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet, Dick Latessa, Promises, Promises Aaron Lazar, A Little Night Music, Bobby Steggert, Ragtime
LEFT FIELD: Michael Esper, American IdiotTerrence Mann, The Addams Family
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
LOCKS: Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music
PROBABLE: Holley Farmer, Come Fly Away, Katie Finneran, Promises, Promises, Rebecca Naomi Jones, American Idiot
POSSIBLE: Jackie Hoffman, The Addams Family, Leslie Kritzer, Sondheim on Sondheim, Krysta Rodriguez, The Addams Family, Lillias White, Fela!
LEFT FIELD: Carolee Carmello, The Addams Family, Jane Houdyshell, Bye Bye Birdie, Saycon Sengbloh, Fela!, Elizabeth Stanley, Million Dollar Quartet
Formerly SirNotAppearing - Joined 3/08