BoxOfficeGuru.com prediction:
"Setting a new record for most throats sliced open in a Hollywood musical, Paramount and DreamWorks give a moderate national roll-out to Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street. . . . Musicals are often tough sells at the box office but Depp-Burton concoctions almost always score big bucks. Like most song-and-dance pics, Sweeney Todd should skew slightly more female but appeal seems broader across many age groups.
Although Paramount is marketing the revenge flick like a 3,000-theater bow, it is only going into about 1,000 locations this weekend. That should lead to sold out shows and a very high average. Plus with so many other films releasing at the same time, getting second and third screens within multiplexes will be difficult. The gruesome pic should bring out hard-core fans first and then reach a more mainstream crowd after Christmas when seeing blood and gore will not be as bad of a thing. Positive reviews and four Globe nominations will also help to convince audiences, but the starpower of Depp and Burton is the film's biggest asset. Look for a debut of around $10M this weekend followed by good legs in the coming weeks."
and the Saturday update:
"Nicolas Cage topped the charts on Friday . . . . Leading the rest of the field was the Johnny Depp-Tim Burton collaboration Sweeney Todd with an estimated $3.9M despite playing in the fewest theaters of any of the weekend's five debuting titles. Paramount looks to cut up $11-12M from just 1,249 sites resulting in a per-theater average in the neighborhood of $9,000."
Looking strong, I'd say.
link