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#26

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 8:12am

Once
Newsies Tony
Ghost
Nice Work If You Can Get It >

Three of them seem like locks to me, but...Ghost? IS word of mouth that good? I'm sort of hoping that reviews come along and surprise everyone by being positive for Leap of Faith. And I could see Ghost getting panned. Then again, that's solely because that's how I felt.

And I'm putting it out there: I don't think Elena Roger will get a nod for Evita.

#27

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 9:22am

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL:
There is zero chance that Elaine Paige will be left off the list. I think she has a good shot at winning, actually.

#28

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 9:46am

MUSICAL:
Once
Newsies
Ghost
LJ or Bonnie and Clyde NOT Nice Work

REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL:
Follies
Porgy and Bess
Jesus Christ Superstar
Evita

SCORE:
Newsies
Once
Bonnie and Clyde
Ghost

BOOK:
Newsies
Once
Ghost
LJ

DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL:
Dianne Paulus, Porgy and Bess
Jeff Calhoon, Newsies
Matthew Warchus, Ghost
John Tiffany, Once

CHOREOGRAPHY:
Kathleen Marshall, Nice Work If You Can Get It
Steven Hoggett, Once
Chris Gattelli, Newsies
Rob Marshall, Evita

ACTOR IN A MUSICAL:
Raul Esparza, Leap of Faith
Jeremy Jordan, Newsies
Steve Kazee, Once
Norm Lewis, Porgy and Bess
Danny Burstein, Follies

ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL:
Jan Maxwell, Follies
Audra McDonald, Porgy and Bess
Cristin Milioti, Once
Elena Roger, Evita
????????

FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL:
Michael Cerveris, Evita
Josh Young, Jesus Christ Superstar
David Alan Grier, Porgy and Bess
Ricky Martin, Evita
Patrick Page, Spider-Man: Turn Off The Dark

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Melissa Van Der Schyff, Bonnie and Clyde
Elaine Page, Follies
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Ghost
Kara Lindsay, Newsies
Terry White, Follies

Updated On: 4/7/12 at 09:46 AM

#29

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 9:48am

???????????=Kelli O'Hara

Updated On: 4/7/12 at 09:48 AM

#30

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 10:02am

texanAdams18. I'm not saying she's not talented...but have you SEEN nice work??

#31

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 10:26am

There is zero chance that Elaine Paige will be left off the list

Actually, it's QUITE possible that she will be.

#32

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 10:51am

Yes, I have seen it. There is no way she won't be nominated

#33

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 11:06am

You left out the obvious, Kelli O'Hara. I think the biggest question mark for best actress is Roger after the reviews. If anything, Bernadette might sneak in as the 5th nominee in her place. I think this is actually one of the more interesting categories though as Jan, Audra, and Cristin all received tremendous accolades and are all giving (or gave) tremendous performances. I know often the voters revert back to just giving their regulars an award in a competitive category so I think Audra will walk away the winner but it's certainly tough competition.

Scratch and claw for every day you're worth! Make them drag you screaming from life, keep dreaming You'll live forever here on earth.

#34

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 1:02pm

MUSICAL:
Once
Newsies
Ghost
Nice Work If You Can Get It

PLAY:
Clybourne Park
Venus in Fur
Other Desert Cities
Peter and the Starcatcher

REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL:
Follies
Porgy and Bess
Jesus Christ Superstar
Evita

REVIVAL OF A PLAY:
Don't Dress for Dinner
Wit
Death of a Salesman
The Best Man

SCORE:
Newsies
Once (pending eligibility)
Ghost (even though I think its awful)
Leap of Faith
and if Once is not eligible, Spiderman (call me crazy i think they will with it being a weak yr)

BOOK:
Newsies
Once
Lysistrata Jones
Nice Work If You Can Get It

DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL:
Michael Grandage, Evita
Kathleen Marshall, Nice Work If You Can Get It
Eric Schaffer, Follies
John Tiffany, Once

CHOREOGRAPHY:
Kathleen Marshall, Nice Work If You Can Get It
Steven Hoggett, Once
Chris Gattelli, Newsies
Rob Marshall, Evita

ACTOR IN A MUSICAL:
Raul Esparza, Leap of Faith
Jeremy Jordan, Newsies
Steve Kazee, Once
Norm Lewis, Porgy and Bess
Danny Burstein, Follies

ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL:
Jan Maxwell, Follies
Audra McDonald, Porgy and Bess
Cristin Milioti, Once
Bernedette Peters, Follies
Kelli O'Hara, Nice Work If You Can Get It

FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL:
Michael Cerveris, Evita
Phillip Boykin, Porgy and Bess
David Alan Grier, Porgy and Bess
Patrick Page, Spider-Man: Turn Off The Dark
No idea about the 5th spot, not ricky martin tho

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Jessie Muller, On a Clear Day You Can See Forever
Elaine Page, Follies
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Ghost
Kara Lindsay, Newsies
Either Jennifer Laura Thompson or Estelle Parsons for Nice Work If You Can Get It.

LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Nina Arianda, Venus in Fur
Stockard Channing, Other Desert Cities
Cynthia Nixon, Wit
Tracie Bennett, End of the Rainbow
Tyne Daly in Master Class or Spencer Kayden in Don't Dress for Dinner

LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
John Larroquette, The Best Man
James Earl Jones, The Best Man
Hugh Dancy, Venus in Fur
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Death of Salesman
Alan Rickman, Seminar

<------ Me and my friends with patti Lupone at my friends afterparty for her concert with audra mcdonald during the summer of 2007.
"I am sorry but it is an unjust world and virtue is only triumphant in theatricle performances" The Mikado

#35

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 1:18pm

I'll bet Rob Ashford will be more surprised than anyone if Rob Marshall gets nominated for Best Choreography for Evita as so many of you have predicted!

#36

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 1:20pm

Could Jennifer Damiano sneak in as the 5th nomination for Best Actress?

And remember, they could throw us a curveball like they did last year -- everyone said that Aaron Tveit and Danielle Radcliffe were locks with one of them winning, and neither boy was nominated.

My fear is that if Jan and Bernie are nominated together, they could possibly cancel each other out, even though Jan is the stronger of the two.

#37

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 1:50pm

The best musical noms will totes be

SPIDER-MAN
BONNIE AND CLYDE
LEAP OF FAITH
LYSISTRATA JONES.

duh.

#38

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 2:50pm

Could Jennifer Damiano sneak in as the 5th nomination for Best Actress?

DEFINITELY not. I saw her in the show. Her character/role was very "blah". She will not be getting nominated. The general consensus on here has been that the 5th spot will be between Peters and Roger. I personally think Roger should be a lock, but that's not the case.

"There’s nothing quite like the power and the passion of Broadway music. "

#39

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 4:24pm

I'm not sure Spider-Man will be left out of the nominees for Best Musical. Once, Newsies and Nice Work are likely, but the options for the last slot are:

Bonnie and Clyde
Lysistrata Jones
Ghost
Leap of Faith
Spider-Man

If both Leap of Faith and Ghost get roundly panned, Spider-Man might make it in. (Lysistrata Jones might as well.)

"What was the name of that cheese that I like?" "you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start" "well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"

#40

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 4:32pm

Mikem, r u saying spiderman didn't get panned??

#41

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 5:20pm

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Jessie Muller, On a Clear Day You Can See Forever
Elaine Page, Follies
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Ghost
Kara Lindsay, Newsies
Either Jennifer Laura Thompson or Estelle Parsons for Nice Work If You Can Get It.

huh? Judy Kaye should not only get a nomination, she was the standout featured musical actress of the season, let alone the standout featured actress in Nice Work.

#42

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 5:56pm

No way Parsons is getting a nomination

#43

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 6:08pm

Judy Kaye is pretty much a lock on featured actress in a musical this year. I also believe that Michael McGrath will be nominated. After seeing Leap of Faith, I think Raul will be nominated but I don't see this show getting many nominations overall, especially not best musical. I think Ghost or Spiderman will beat Leap out.

The only review of a show that matters is your own.

#44

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 7:11pm

Ricky Martin will not be bumped to Featured and may get a Lead Nom.

#45

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 7:13pm

The play categories are actually very tough this year.
There have been alot of fabulous shows.

#46

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 7:28pm

I agree with whoever nominated Josh Young for Jesus Christ Superstar. He is brilliant and deserves a nod.

#47

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 8:40pm

^If he's ever there. In all seriousness I hope he recovers quickly but the nominating committee may not have a chance to see him, depending how long he's out.

Scratch and claw for every day you're worth! Make them drag you screaming from life, keep dreaming You'll live forever here on earth.

#48

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 9:16pm

He posted on twitter. "I'll be kicking before the Matzo goes away" I don't know what Matzo is? Matza? right? End of Passover? Why so cryptic? Anyway isn't it over tonight?

Also I totally left Jesse Muller off my list!

#49

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 9:27pm

Matzo is correct. Passover is 8 days.

If we're not having fun, then why are we doing it? These are DISCUSSION boards, not mutual admiration boards. Discussion only occurs when we are willing to hear what others are thinking, regardless of whether it is alignment to our own thoughts.

#50

Tony Nom Predictions

Posted: 4/7/12 at 10:56pm

After seeing Nice Work tonight, I can say with assurance that Judy Kaye will be getting a nomination. She will also probably take home the award, and rightly so. She's absolutely genius in the show.

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