The Reviews are all in - I'm ready to predict. Barring a few category shifts that could happen tomorrow - here is how I'm seeing it.
"Best Musical" NEWSIES ONCE NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT SPIDER MAN: TURN OFF THE DARK
"Best Play" OTHER DESERT CITIES CLYBOURNE PARK ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS VENUS IN FUR
"Best Revival of a Musical" FOLLIES EVITA JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR PORGY & BESS
"Best Revival of a Play" DEATH OF A SALESMAN WIT MASTER CLASS THE BEST MAN
"Best Director of a Musical" John Tiffany, ONCE Jeff Calhoun, NEWSIES Kathleen Marshall, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Eric Shaffer, FOLLIES
"Best Director of a Play" Joe Mantello, OTHER DESERT CITIES Nicholas Hytner, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS Roger Rees & Alex Timbers, PETER AND THE STARCATHER Walter Bobbie, VENUS IN FUR
"Best Leading Actress in a Musical" Bernadette Peters, Follies Kelli O'Hara, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Jan Maxwell, FOLLIES Audra McDonald, PORGY AND BESS Christine Millioti, ONCE
"Best Actor in a Musical" Jeremy Jordan, NEWSIES Danny Burnstien, FOLLIES Ron Rains, FOLLIES Norm Lewis, PORGY AND BESS Steve Kazee, ONCE
"Best Actress in a Play" Nina Arianda, VENUS IN FUR Cynthia Nixon, WIT Stockard Channing, OTHER DESERT CITIES Tyne Daly, MASTER CLASS Linda Lavin, The Lyons
"Best Actor in a Play" John Litgow, THE COLUMNIST Hugh Dancy, VENUS IN FUR Phillip Seymour Hoffman, DEATH OF A SALESMAN James Corden, ONE MAN, TWO GOVNERS John Laroquette, THE BEST MAN
"Best Featured Actress in a Musical" Kara Lindsay, NEWSIES Terri White, FOLLIES Elaine Paige, FOLLIES Judy Kaye, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Da'Vine Joy Randolph, GHOST
"Best Featured Actor in a Musical" Michael Cerveris, EVITA Ricky Martin, EVITA Michael McGrath, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Andrew Keenan-Bolger, NEWSIES David Alan Grier, PORGY AND BESS
"Best Featured Actress in a Play" Judith Light, OTHER DESERT CITIES Celia Keenan-Bolger, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER Linda Emond, DEATH OF A SALESMAN Spencer Kayden, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER Angela Landsbury, THE BEST MAN
"Best Featured Actor in a Play" Boyd Gaines, THE COLUMNIST Andrew Garfield, DEATH OF A SALESMAN Christian Borle, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER Dick Latessa, THE LYONS James Earl Jones, THE BEST MAN
"Best Score" Alan Menken and Glenn Slater, NEWSIES Frank Wildhorn, BONNIE AND CLYDE Alan Menken and Glenn Slater, LEAP OF FAITH Dave Stewart and Glen Ballard, GHOST
"Best Book" Harvey Fierstein, NEWSIES Enda Walsh, ONCE Joe DiPietro, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Ivan Menchell, BONNIE AND CLYDE
"Best Choreography" Christopher Gattelli, NEWSIES Kathleen Marshall, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Rob Ashford, EVITA Warren Carlyle, FOLLIES
"Best Orchestrations" Martin Lowe, ONCE Danny Troob, NEWSIES BONNIE AND CLYDE NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT
"Best Lighting Design of a Musical" Natasha Katz, ONCE Neil Austin, EVITA Christopher Akerland, PORGY AND BESS GHOST
"Best Lighting Design of a Play" Kenneth Posner, OTHER DESERT CITIES Brian MacDevitt, DEATH OF A SALESMAN Jeff Croiter, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER Mark Henderson, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS
"Best Costume Design of a Musical" FOLLIES Martin Pakledinaz, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Christopher Oram, EVITA SPIDER MAN, TURN OFF THE DARK
"Best Costume Design of a Play" Anita Yavich, VENUS IN FUR Paloma Young, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER Ann Roth, DEATH OF A SALESMAN William Ivey Long, DON'T DRESS FOR DINNER
"Best Scenic Design of a Musical" Rob Howell, GHOST Derek McLane, NICE WORK IF YOU CAN GET IT Christopher Oram, EVITA Tom Obst, NEWSIES
"Best Scenic Design of a Play" John Lee Beatty, OTHER DESERT CITIES Donyale Werle, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER Jo Mielziner, DEATH OF A SALESMAN Mark Thompson, ONE MAN, TWO GUVNORS
"Best Sound Design of a Musical" NEWSIES Clive Goodwin, ONCE Bobby Aitken, GHOST Mick Potter, EVITA
"Best Sound Design of a Play" Scott Lehrer, DEATH OF A SALESMAN Darron L. West, PETER AND THE STARCATCHER CLYBOURNE PARK Paul Arditti, ONE MAN, TWO GOVNERS
Best Musical 1. Newsies 2. Once 3. Nice Work if You Can Get It 4. Leap of Faith
Best Play 1. Other Desert Cities 2. Clybourne Park 3. One Man, Two Guvnors (if not eligible then Peter and the Starcatcher) 4. The Lyons
Best Revival of a Musical 1. Follies 2. Porgy and Bess 3. Evita 4. Jesus Christ Superstar
Best Revival of a Play 1. Death of a Salesman 2. The Best Man (Guvnors if it is eligible here and everything moves down one) 3. Wit 4. A Streetcar Named Desire
Best Actor in a Musical 1. Jeremy Jordan, Newsies 2. Raul Esparza, Leap of Faith 3. Steve Kazee, Once 4. Matthew Broderick , Nice Work if You Can Get It 5. Danny Burstein, Follies
Best Actress in a Musical 1. Audra McDonald, Porgy and Bess 2. Jan Maxwell, Follies 3. Kelli O'Hara, Nice Work if You Can Get It 4. Cristin Milioti, Once 5. Elena Roger, Evita
Best Actor in a Play 1. James Corden, One Man Two Guvnors 2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Death of a Salesman 3. John Lithgow, The Columnist 4.John Laroquette, The Best Man 5. Stacey Keach, Other Desert Cities
Best Actress in a Play (most competitive category of the year) 1. Stockard Channing, Other Desert Cities 2. Linda Lavin, The Lyons 3. Tracie Bennett, End of the Rainbow 4. Nina Arianda, Venus in Fur 5. Cynthia Nixon, Wit
Best Featured Actor in a Musical 1. Michael Cerveris, Evita 2. Michael McGrath, Nice Work if You Can Get It 3. Phillip Boykin, Porgy and Bess 4. Leslie Odom Jr., Leap of Faith 5. Andrew Keenan-Bolger, Newsies
Best Featured Actress in a Musical 1. Judy Kaye, Nice Work if You Can Get It 2. Terri White, Follies 3. Da'vine Joy Randolph, Ghost 4. Kecia Lewis-Evans, Leap of Faith 5. Elaine Paige, Follies
Best Featured Actor in a Play 1. Christian Borle, Peter and the Starcatcher 2. Tom Edden, One Man Two Guvnors 3. Dick Latessa, The Lyons 4. James Earl Jones, The Best Man 5. Andrew Garfield, Death of a Salesman
Best Featured Actress in a Play 1. Angela Lansbury, The Best Man 2. Linda Emond, Death of a Salesman 3. Judith Light, Other Desert Cities 4. Celia Keenan-Bolger, Peter and Starcatcher 5. Annie Parisse, Clybourney Park
Best Score 1. Newsies 2. One Man Two Guvnors 3. Leap of Faith 4. Spiderman, Turn off the Dark
Best Book 1. Once 2. Newsies 3. Nice Work if You Can Get it 4. Lysistrata Jones
Direction of a Musical 1. Jeff Calhoun, Newsies 2. John Tiffany, Once 3. Kathleen Marshall, Nice Work if You Can Get It 4. Michael Grandage, Evita
Direction of a Play 1. Mike Nichols, Death of a Salesman 2. Joe Mantello, Other Desert Cities 3. Nicholas Hytner, One Man Two Guvnors 4. Pam MacKinnon, Clybourne Park
Choreography 1. Nice Work 2. Newsies 3. Follies 4. Evita
I'm not predicting the technical categories, but I expect to see a lot of nods for "Spiderman", "Ghost" and "Follies" in the musical categories, and "Clybourne", "One Man", and "Other Desert Cities" on the play side.
I'm starting to wonder, since some of the new musicals have been kinda lackluster this season, and with the Tony committee getting rid of that "Special Event" Tony, if Hugh Jackman's one man show ran long enough for it to get nominated into "Best Musical"? Isn't that where those go now, one man shows sans singing goes into plays, and with singing goes into musicals?
Clybourne Park One Man, Two Guvnors Other Desert Cities Seminar
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
The Best Man Death of a Salesman Master Class Wit
BEST MUSICAL
Leap of Faith Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Evita Follies Jesus Christ Superstar Porgy and Bess
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
James Corden, One Man, Two Guvnors Philip Seymour Hoffman, Death of a Salesman John Larroquette, The Best Man John Lithgow, The Columnist Alan Rickman, Seminar
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Nina Arianda, Venus In Fur Tracie Bennett, End of the Rainbow Stockard Channing, Other Desert Cities Linda Lavin, The Lyons Cynthia Nixon, Wit
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Christian Borle, Peter and the Starcatcher Jim Dale, The Road to Mecca Tom Edden, One Man, Two Guvnors Dick Latessa, The Lyons Frank Wood, Clybourne Park
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Linda Emond, Death of a Salesman Christina Kirk, Clybourne Park Angela Lansbury, The Best Man Judith Light, Other Desert Cities Lily Rabe, Seminar
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Danny Burstein, Follies Raul Esparza, Leap of Faith Jeremy Jordan, Newsies Steve Kazee, Once Norm Lewis, Porgy and Bess
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Jan Maxwell, Follies Audra McDonald, Porgy and Bess Cristin Milioti, Once Kelli O'Hara, Nice Work If You Can Get It Elena Roger, Evita
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Michael Cerveris, Evita John Dossett, Newsies David Alan Grier, Porgy and Bess Ricky Martin, Evita Michael McGrath, Nice Work If You Can Get It
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Judy Kaye, Nice Work If You Can Get It Elaine Page, Follies Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Ghost Melissa Van Der Schyff, Bonnie and Clyde Jennifer Laura Thompson, Nice Work If You Can Get It
BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Nicholas Hytner, One Man, Two Guvnors Pam Mackinnon, Clybourne Park Joe Mantello, Other Desert Cities Michael Wilson, The Best Man
BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Michael Grandage, Evita Kathleen Marshall, Nice Work If You Can Get It John Tiffany, Once Eric Schaeffer, Follies
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Rob Ashford, Evita Jeff Calhoun, Newsies Warren Carlyle, Follies Kathleen Marshall, Nice Work If You Can Get It
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Lysistrata Jones Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Ghost Leap of Faith Newsies One Man, Two Guvnors
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Evita Follies Newsies Once
BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY
Clybourne Park Other Desert Cities Peter and the Starcatcher Seminar
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
Death of a Salesman One Man, Two Guvnors Peter and the Starcatcher Wit
BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY
The Best Man One Man, Two Guvnors Peter and the Starcatcher Venus In Fur
BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY
Clybourne Park Death of a Salesman One Man, Two Guvnors Peter and the Starcatcher
BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Evita Follies Ghost Spider-Man: Turn Off The Dark
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Evita Follies Ghost Spider-Man: Turn Off The Dark
BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Follies Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Porgy and Bess
On the Play front I honestly think Peter and the Starcatcher is going to come out the big winner of the night...I am not saying that it will win Best Play, but I am saying that I think I will win the most awards for a play, its probably going to sweep all four technical categories since it is the only period/fantasy play..(I know One Man Two Guvnors is a period piece, but its not that an outrageous period with crazy costumes like Peter since they are all basically in suites, its only award worthy costume is possibly Tom Edden's makeup)
OK, so here are my predictions. I have not seen any of the shows that have opened in the last month and a half, so a lot of this is based on the reviews and not my own personal opinion. I decided not to do set, costume, lighting, sound or orchestrations ...I'd rather wait until I see everything first on those.
MUSICAL: Lysistrata Jones Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once ---Possible Spoilers: Bonnie & Clyde, Spider-Man
PLAY: Clybourne Park One Man, Two Guvnors Other Desert Cities Peter & the Starcatcher ---Possible Spoilers: The Lyons, Venus in Fur
PLAY REVIVAL: The Best Man Death of a Salesman A Streetcar Named Desire Wit ---Possible Spoiler: Master Class
LEAD ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: Danny Burstein Jeremy Jordan (Newsies) Steve Kazee Norm Lewis Ron Raines ---Possible Spoiler: Raul Esparza
LEAD ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Jan Maxwell Audra McDonald Cristin Milioti Kelli O'Hara Bernadette Peters ---Possible Spoilers: Kara Lindsay, Elena Roger
LEAD ACTOR IN A PLAY: James Corden Philip Seymour Hoffman James Earl Jones John Larroquette John Lithgow ---Possible Spoilers: Hugh Dancy, Stacy Keach
LEAD ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Nina Arianda Tracie Bennett Stockard Channing Linda Lavin Cynthia Nixon ---Possible Spoiler: Tyne Daly
FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL: Phillip Boykin Michael Cerveris David Alan Grier Ricky Martin Michael McGrath ---Possible Spoilers: Patrick Page, Chris Sullivan
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL: Judy Kaye Jessie Mueller Elaine Paige Da'Vine Joy Randolph Melissa van der Schyff ---Possible Spoilers: Estelle Parsons, someone from Porgy & Bess, someone else from Follies
FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY: Christian Borle Oliver Chris Andrew Garfield Dick Latessa Thomas Sadoski ---Possible Spoilers: Jeremy Shamos, Tom Edden (even though I would love to see Hamish Linklater and Finn Witrock show up here, I understand that's a long shot)
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY: Linda Emond Spencer Kayden Angela Lansbury Judith Light Condola Rashad ---Possible Spoilers: Celia Keenan-Bolger, Lily Rabe
DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL: Follies Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once ---Possible Spoiler: Evita
DIRECTOR OF A PLAY: Clybourne Park Death of a Salesman One Man, Two Guvnors Peter & the Starcatcher ---Possible Spoilers: Other Desert Cities, The Lyons
CHOREOGRAPHY: Evita Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once ---Possible Spoiler: Follies
SCORE: Bonnie & Clyde Lysistrata Jones Newsies One Man, Two Guvnors ---Possible Spoiler: Peter & the Starcatcher
BOOK OF A MUSICAL: Lysistrata Jones Newsies Nice Work If You Can Get It Once ---Possible Spoilers: None. I have heard that the other 5 choices all sucked pickles...
Sierra Boggess is indeed eligible this year, thespian geek, for her performance in Master Class, which opened in June of last year, putting it in this award season. WILL Sierra be nominated? No. Her performance was too long ago and, frankly, nothing all that special. Many of her reviews only compared her performance to Audra McDonald's, who I think overshadowed her in the part.
I'm too lazy to do a whole bracket, but I think that Peter and the Starcatcher will sweep tech nominations/wins and get some acting nominations, but it won't be nominated for Best Play. Spiderman will get loads of technical nominations, but I don't think it will win a lot of them.
Since Bernadette Peters is getting a Special Award...does this disqualify her from the Best Actress in a Musical race...like Mary Testa and the Drama Desk Awards?
no, she can still be nominated, although it might hurt her chances, it could be that they already decided they aren't nominating her so they gave her this award instead. we'll see!
Every year there is a random nomination no one was talking about like Karine Plantadit or Maria Dizzia or Joanna Lumley ( I think Tammy Blanchard was a surprise as well, who will it be this year?