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#26

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 2:16pm

"um no. Kristine Nielsen for Best Featured Actress "

Thank you. Judith Ivey was FINE. Kristine Nielsen was a revelation.

#27

I think that FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL is going to be a hot race.
Andrea Martin PIPPIN
Analeigh Ashford KINKY BOOTS
Keala Settle HANDS ON A HARD BODY
Dale Soules HANDS ON A HARD BODY
Jessie Mueller MYSTERY OF EDWIN DROOD
Lauren Ward MATILDA
Victoria Clark CINDERELLA

All of those could be considered a 'lock' or have a very good shot. Personally I would be thrilled if JM was nominated for DROOD....that was a sublime performance.

#28

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 4:20pm

I agree undercoveractor in so much as I think Featured Actress will be a race for the nomination. But I've never been as sure of a lock as I am not that I've seen Andrea Martin.

I'd guess the other nominees to be:
Annaleigh Ashford KINKY BOOTS
Keala Settle HARDBODY
Jessie Mueller DROOD
and then a hard-fought battle for the fifth slot between Lauren Ward in MATILDA, Victoria Clark in CINDERELLA, and Valisia LeKae in MOTOWN (I think the last spot will depend very, very much on which show has the most momentum). I will go out on a limb and say Ward gets it.

#29

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 4:24pm

WAIT! How did I forget Chita?!?! I'll call the fifth slot hers instead.

I feel more confident about my Best Actor in a Musical picks which would be:
Anthony Warlow-Annie
Rob McClure-Chaplin
Billy Porter – Kinky Boots
Santino Fontana – Cinderella
Brandon Victor Dixon - Motown

#30

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 4:30pm

I think matilda will sweep the board... It's not groundbreaking but as a piece of entertainment and a production as a whole it's flawless, it is the rsc after all

#31

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 4:30pm

I think matilda will sweep the board... It's not groundbreaking but as a piece of entertainment and a production as a whole it's flawless, it is the rsc after all

#32

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 7:04pm

I love and admire Chita Rivera as much as anybody, but for me she was a big disappointment in DROOD. Maybe it is because I loved Cleo Laine so much, I'm not sure....but I think if she gets a nomination it will be more because she is beloved and less about her performance.
Just my opinion.

#33

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/3/13 at 7:06pm

I feel it will be more Mrs. Wormwood for the featured actress slot as opposed to Miss Honey. Wormwood has the showier role. Mr. and Mrs. Wormwood will be nominated for featured actor/actress, and Bertie Carvel should be nominated for Leading Actor.

#34

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 1:04am

I'd love to see Bring It On get the up-in-the-air nom for best musical... it certainly wasn't deep, brilliant theatre but I left grinning from ear to ear and had a really great time. Plus, it's unique, which I appreciated.

It'd be cool if Patina Miller and Bertie Carvel both won. Gender bender Tonys! (I haven't seen Matilda yet but I thought Miller knocked it out of the park. I liked but didn't love her in Sister Act but I thought she was just fabulous in Pippin.)

#35

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 8:34am

Musicaldudepeter, do you really feel like Bertie Carvel had a lead role? I know he won Best Actor at the Oliviers, but that reeks of category fraud to me. It's a role that calls a lot of attention to itself, but it's really a rather small part.

I could certainly understand if the producers WANT him as Lead Actor as there's much less competition in that category this year, but he's below title, and I don't know if I can imagine a petition to make him lead being successful.

Curious what others think!

#36

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 8:36am

As nice as his performance was, I dont think Santino Fontana has any reason to be nominated. The other performers you mentioned were much better and more dynamic.

#37

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 9:29am

For me, of all the nominees mentioned, Kristine is the one I most want to see get the award. She was amazing.

#38

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 9:35am

I think on the whole the nominations will be more interesting this year than the winners.

Duh, Andrea Martin will win, but who will make the grade to be nominated against her.

Marie: Don't be in such a hurry about that pretty little chippy in Frisco. Tony: Eh, she's a no chip!

#39

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 9:35am

Sauja, there's a separate thread dedicated to Carvel's situation as lead or featured actor - check it out

But in my opinion, they'll want to strategically place their actors in Matilda as much as possible to ensure multiple wins, and when it comes down to it, there is no leading male role, and of the two, Mr. Wormwood is the more 'featured' part, therefore Carvel I would imagine will be slotted into the Leading category... could be wrong though.

#40

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 11:06am

Frontrunner is denoted with an *

Musical:

Best Musical:
Matilda*
Kinky Boots
Hands on a Hardbody (If it remains open through nominations)
A Christmas Story

If Hands on a Hardbody does not stay open through nominations I believe Bring It ON will get the nomination

Best Revival of a Musical:
Annie
The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Pippin*
Cinderella

Best Actor Musical:
Billy Porter in Kinky Boots*
Hunter Foster in Hands on a Hardbody (If he is determined to be a lead which I think he is since although the show focuses on all of the contestants he has 4 songs compared to the rest of them having 1 as well as most of the conflict outside of he actual conflict is brought about by his character)
Rob McLure in Chaplin
Anthony Warlow in Annie
Santino Fontana in Cinderella

*If Hunter Foster is moved to supporting then I think Brandon Victor Dixon in Motown

Best Actress in a Musical:
Laura Osnes in Cinderella*
Lilla Craford in Annie
Stephanie J. Block in The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Patina Miller in Pippin
The Matildas

If the nominating committee rules 4 actors cannot be jointly nominated which I believe they should...I believe Carolee Carmello will get nominated for her outstanding and better performance in Scandalous

Featured Actress:
Andrea Martin in Pippin*
Analeigh Ashford in Kinky Boots*
Keala Settle in Hands on a Hardbody
Victoria Clark or Ann Harada in Cinderella (I have a feeling Clark's Costume is going to be her Achilles Heel because you forget about her performance and instead think of Harada's one liners)
Jessie Meuller in The Mystery of Edwin Drood although I think Ryann Redmond may steal a nomination like she stole the show.

Featured Actor:
Bertie Carval in Matilda*
Will Chase in The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Gregory Haney in Bring It On!
David Larson in Hands on a Hardbody
Andy Karl's Eyebrows in The Mystery of Edwin Drood

If Hunter Foster is determined to be Supporting he will bump Andy Karl's eyebrows' nomination since their owner decided to depart the show for Jersey Boys instead of closing the show and I think the nominators will take note of that.

Director:
Matthew Warchus- Matilda*
Diane Paulus - Pippin
Jerry Mitchell - Kinky Boots
Josh Rhodes - Hands on a Hardbody

Choreography:
Josh Rhodes - Cinderella
Sergio Trujillo- Hands on a Hardbody
Andy Blankenbuehler - Bring It On!
Gypsy Snider/Chet Walker - Pippin* (If Circus material is ruled as choreography if not Matilda will get the nomination)

Best Score:
Matilda*
Kinky Boots
Hands on a Hardbody
A Christmas Story

*If Hardbody closes before nomination I think Bring It on will get its nomination

Best Orchestrations:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Cinderella*
Hands on a Hardbody

Best Book:
Matilda*
Kinky Boots
Bring It On
Cinderella

Costumes:
Cinderella*
Kinky Boots
The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Pippin

Set:
Cinderella
Matilda*
Pippin
Kinky Boots

Best Play:
VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE*
Lucky Guy
The Nance
The Assembled Parties

Best Revival of a Play:
Who's afraid of Virginia Woolf? *(Essentially a lock for a win as well since its cast will likely get snubbed due to the show no long being open)
Macbeth
Golden Boy
The Trip to Bountiful/Orphans/Cyrano

Best Actor in a Play:
Tracy Letts in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Tom Hanks in Lucky Guy*
Alan Cumming in Macbeth
Nathan Lane in The Nance
Jim Parsons in Harvey or David Hyde Pierce in Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike

Best Actress in a Play
Amy Morton in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Holland Taylor in Anne
Jessica Chastain in The Heiress
Kristin Neilson in VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE*
Sigourney Weaver in VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE

Featured Actor:
Madison Dirks in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?*
Billy Magnussen in VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE*
Bobby Cannavale in Glengarry Glen Ross
Cuba Gooding Jr. in The Trip to Bountiful
Danny Burstein in Golden Boy or Ed Asner in Grace

Featured Actress:
Carrie Coon in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?*
Judith Ivey in The Heiress
Judith Light in The Assembled Parties
Shalita Grant in VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE*
Jenni Barber in The Nance (I think her nomination will also be recognition to The Performers as a whole)

Director:
Pam MacKinnon for Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?*
George C. Wolfe for Lucky Guy
Nicholas Martin for VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE
John Tiffany/Andrew Goldberg for Macbeth

Costumes:
The Heiress
Cyrano
The Nance
*Filler* Whoever is running the board for plays will likely get a nom here

Set:
Lucky Guy
VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE
Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
MacBeth

Updated On: 4/5/13 at 11:06 AM

#41

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 12:09pm

What about Caroline O'Connor in ACS?

#42

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 12:45pm

Wait, when they announced that Osnes and Fontana are considered for Tony nominations, it was only those 2, so I don't think that Victoria or Ana will be nominated. And that's too bad too :/ Clarke was great in the Macy Parade.

Anyway, to add on to BDN'S post I think Laura Ward and/or Lesli M. will be nominated for Best Featured Actress in a Musical. And as much as I love Laura and I can't wait for her to get a Tony, I HIGHLY doubt that she'll win. I think it's a tie between the Matildas and Patina Miller, but I think it may be the Matildas. Additionally, Matilda will be nominated for Best Cheography. Also, I'm guessing Bertie will be nominated for Best Leading Actor, but like Osnes, he has serious competition with Billy Porter. So, I think it would be better for the producers for him to get Featured Actor.

I also think Annie will be nominated for Best Set Design. For Best Direction, Matilda has serious competition with Pippin and I think A. Ashford, so it would be great to finally see her nominated for a Tony.

Updated On: 4/4/13 at 12:45 PM

#43

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/4/13 at 1:25pm

Has everyone forgot about Chaplin. I think it could replace a lot of Hardbody's predicted noms.

#44

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:38pm

The Nance is a play, not a musical.

#45

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 2:07pm

I just think it's hilarious that, of all the names in VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE, you insistently misspelled the easiest one.

Words don't deserve that kind of malarkey. They're innocent, neutral, precise, standing for this, describing that, meaning the other, so if you look after them you can build bridges across incomprehension and chaos. But when they get their corners knocked off, they're no good anymore…I don't think writers are sacred, but words are. They deserve respect. If you get the right ones in the right order, you can nudge the world a little.

#46

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 3:42pm

Best Musical:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Hands on a Hardbody (If it remains open through nominations)
A Christmas Story
(sorry Chaplin and Bring It On)

Best Revival of a Musical:
Annie
The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Pippin
Cinderella
(After seeing Pippin & Cinderella, and since Drood is closed, Pippin it is)

Best Actor Musical:
Billy Porter in Kinky Boots
Rob McLure in Chaplin
Anthony Warlow in Annie
Santino Fontana in Cinderella
Will Chase (can they lobby for this?) Brandon Victor Dixon (?)

Best Actress in a Musical:
Laura Osnes in Cinderella
Lilla Craford in Annie
Stephanie J. Block in The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Patina Miller in Pippin
???

Featured Actress:
Andrea Martin in Pippin
Analeigh Ashford in Kinky Boots
Keala Settle in Hands on a Hardbody
Rachel Bay Jones in Pippin
Jessie Meuller in The Mystery of Edwin Drood

Featured Actor:
Bertie Carval in Matilda
Clarke Thorell in Annie
Gregory Haney in Bring It On!
David Larson in Hands on a Hardbody
Hunter Foster in Hands on a Hardbody

Director:
Matthew Warchus- Matilda
Diane Paulus - Pippin
Jerry Mitchell - Kinky Boots
Neil Pepe - Hands on a Hardbody

Choreography:
Josh Rhodes - Cinderella
Sergio Trujillo- Hands on a Hardbody
Andy Blankenbuehler - Bring It On!
Warren Carlyle - Chaplin

Best Score:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Hands on a Hardbody
A Christmas Story

Best Orchestrations:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Cinderella
Hands on a Hardbody

Best Book:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Bring It On
Cinderella

Best Play:
Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Lucky Guy
The Nance
The Assembled Parties

Best Revival of a Play:
Who's afraid of Virginia Woolf? *(Essentially a lock for a win as well since its cast will likely get snubbed due to the show no long being open)
Macbeth
Golden Boy
The Trip to Bountiful/Orphans/Cyrano

Best Actor in a Play:
Tracy Letts in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Seth Numrich in Golden Boy
Alan Cumming in Macbeth
Nathan Lane in The Nance
David Hyde Pierce in Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike

Best Actress in a Play
Amy Morton in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Holland Taylor in Anne
Jessica Chastain in The Heiress
Kristin Neilson in Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Yvonne Strahovski in Golden Boy

Featured Actor in a Play:
Madison Dirks in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Billy Magnussen in Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Tony Shalhoub in Golden Boy
Danny Burstein in Golden Boy
Cuba Gooding Jr. in The Trip to Bountiful

Featured Actress in a Play:
Carrie Coon in Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Judith Ivey in The Heiress
Judith Light in The Assembled Parties
Shalita Grant in Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Jessica Hecht in The Assembled Parties

Director:
Pam MacKinnon for Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
Nicholas Martin for Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
Bartlett Sher for Golden Boy
John Tiffany/Andrew Goldberg for Macbeth

Updated On: 4/5/13 at 03:42 PM

#47

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 3:46pm

I would imagine, after those KINKY BOOTS reviews, Mitchell is a lock for a choreography nomination.

#48

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 3:53pm

I can't imagine Jessica Chastain getting nominated over Fiona Shaw.

I know you. I know you. I know you.

#49

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 4:02pm

You know what? You're right. Fiona Shaw. I keep changing my mind.

#50

Tony nominations predictions

Posted: 4/5/13 at 4:26pm

BEST MUSICAL
Kinky Boots
Matilda*
Motown
Hands on a Hardbody OR Bring It On

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Pippin*
The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Cinderella
Annie

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Kinky Boots
Matilda*
A Christmas Story
Hands on a Hardbody

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Anthony Warlow- Annie
Jim Norton- The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Rob McClure- Chaplin
Billy Porter- Kinky Boots*
Santino Fontana- Cinderella

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
The Matildas*
Laura Osnes- Cinderella
Lilla Crawford- Annie
Patina Miller- Pippin
Stephanie J. Block- The Mystery of Edwin Drood

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Hunter Foster- Hands on a Hardbody
Bertie Carval- Matilda*
Will Chase- The Mystery of Edwin Drood
David Larson- Hands on a Hardbody
Gregory Haney- Bring It On

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL-
Andrea Martin- Pippin*
Betsy Wolfe OR Chita Rivera OR Jessie Mueller- Drood
Jenn Collela- Chaplin
Keala Settle- Hands on a Hardbody
Lesli Margherita- Matilda

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