Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread — Page 20

JudyDenmark said: "Based solely on buzz (haven't seen Tootsie), I would put Sarah Stiles into the running."



Yes, I think I actually meant Sarah Stiles and not Lily Cooper. Unless they’ve both been getting nomination buzz? I can’t remember. It’s hard to keep track of these things with shows I haven’t seen

Bonnie Milligan lol. Unfortunately head over heels with be completely shut out even though I think they deserve a choreography nom. My guess is

Amber Gray

Mary Testa

Ali Strocker

Stephanie Styles

Either Lilli Cooper or Sarah Stiles

Still can’t decide between the Tootsie women, really I’m hoping they beefed up Lilli’s role because she is the love interest, but based on the Chicago run I would say Sarah.

If any of the Beetlejuice women are exceptional, I could easily see Stephanie Styles getting swapped out.

Theatrefanboy1 said: "Oklahoma best revival (kiss me Kate nominated)"

saw both. Oklahoma will 100% win

I would love to see Eric Anderson get a Featured Actor nom for Pretty Woman. He's one of the few good things about that show, though Featured Actor is a crowded field (Patrick Page, Andre DeShields, Corbin Bleu, Patrick Vaill, Chris Sieber, George Salazar)

I think Pretty Woman will get 0 noms.

Also, what noms should we expect for Oklahoma!?


Revival
Lead Actor
Lead Actress
Featured Actor (Vail)
Featured Actress (Testa and Brooke)
Orchestrations
Choreography
Direction of a Musical
Lighting
Sound Design


11? Can it get noms for Scenic Design and Costume Design? Don't know how ''modern'' are they.

Who do we think has a shot at being nominated for choreography?

JudyDenmark said: "Mike Barrett said: "Honestly 11 doesn't seem unlikely for this show, the reviews are just so strong."

Reminder that Oklahoma hasn't actually opened yet. I mean, I expect strong critical reviews based on St. Ann's, but it's clearly a very polarizing show. Let's not jump the gun.

(Edit: I realized that this entire thread is jumping the gun, lol. But still.)"

I hear ya, but its only competing with 1 other revival, so I think the likelihood of it doing well on numerous fronts is high, but I of course could be wrong!

Having heard Sarah Stiles' big number from TOOTSIE, I fully expect her to get a nomination. Very "Model Behavior".

I'd say right now Featured Actress is between these six:

Micaela Diamond, THE CHER SHOW

Amber Gray, HADESTOWN

Ali Stroker, OKLAHOMA!

Sarah Stiles, TOOTSIE

Stephanie Styles, KISS ME KATE

Mary Testa, OKLAHOMA!

Updated On: 3/27/19 at 12:00 PM

Megsamegatron said: "Who do we think has a shot at being nominated for choreography?"

I think Oklahoma will take it but for nominations:

Oklahoma!

Kiss Me Kate!

Cher Show

The Prom

Ain’t Too Proud

I’m not sure about Hadestown as of now, but I’m seeing it in a couple days.

Rogerdellibovi said: "Megsamegatron said: "Who do we think has a shot at being nominated for choreography?"

I think Oklahoma will take it but for nominations:

Oklahoma!
Kiss Me Kate!
Cher Show
The Prom
Ain’t Too Proud

I’m not sure about Hadestown as of now, but I’m seeing it in a couple days."

Haven't seen Hadestown yet, but imho I'd give it the nod over Cher Show. Personally I thought the choreo was the weakest part of that show.

I'd just like to see Ain't Too Proud get a nomination - the fact that those guys barely stop moving throughout the show is really something else. And moving so flawlessly.

Are there any plays we're forgetting in this category? I can't think of any this year that are heavily choreographed (in the way that Curious Incident and Harry Potter were, and rightfully nominated)... but I haven't seen all of them.

Oklahoma! could easily get 10, and then there are 3 on-the-fence categories (Choreography, Set, Costumes). The biggest complaint has been that the Dream Ballet in this production feels totally isolated from the story, whereas Agnes DeMille's was a moment of realization for Laurey.

Without going category-by-category, I think we're looking at:

Hadestown –– 14 noms
Tootsie –– 10-12
Oklahoma! –– 10
The Prom –– 7-8
Kiss Me, Kate –– 7-9
Beetlejuice –– 1-7
Be More Chill –– 1-5

Ferryman –– 9
Mockingbird –– 9
Network –– 5 but not Best Play

Still so many unknowns, especially for plays.

SomethingPeculiar said: "Oklahoma!could easily get 10, and then there are 3on-the-fence categories(Choreography, Set, Costumes). The biggest complaint has been that the Dream Ballet in this production feels totally isolated from the story, whereas Agnes DeMille's was a moment of realization for Laurey.

Without going category-by-category, I think we're looking at:

Hadestown –– 14 noms
Tootsie –– 10-12
Oklahoma! –– 10
The Prom –– 7-8
Kiss Me, Kate –– 7-9
Beetlejuice –– 1-7
Be More Chill ––1-5

Ferryman –– 9
Mockingbird –– 9
Network ––5 but not Best Play

Still so many unknowns, especially for plays."

Don't disagree with that, with the exception of Be More Chill. I'd be surprised if it got more than 1-2, and I'm not even sure what those would be. Orchestrations, maybe? I wouldn't count out Ain't Too Proud, which I expect to get choreo, potentially an actor nomination or two, and possibly Best Musical. Maybe scenic design. Worth pointing out that it's one of the very few diverse shows this year, and fair factor or not, it's a factor to consider. Road voters will love it too. [Promise I have nothing to do with the show... just rooting for it because I enjoyed it a lot more than I expected to.]

Beetlejuice is such a wild card!

Why are you saying Network won't get a Best Play nom? If we're going strictly on book I get it, because I know that a lot of people felt the book was weak, but I think Best Play really encompasses the production as a whole. (Case in point Harry Potter winning last year.) I think it could sneak in. Depends a lot on the reviews of the plays yet to open, really.

I love these discussions, but it really is all so premature, haha. (Though props to the very first post in this thread, which is 2/3 spot on despite not really knowing what would be open!)

Updated On: 3/27/19 at 12:41 PM