Way Too Early 2019 Tony Predictions thread — Page 19

Best Musical

Tootsie

Hadestown

The Prom

Ain't Too Proud

In which Riedel predicts that THE PROM could win Best Musical.

(Everything he says should be taken with a grain of salt, but it's better than him trashing on the show!)

Robbie2 said: "Best Musical

Tootsie

Hadestown

The Prom

Ain't Too Proud"

Not sure who the winner will be yet, but id be shocked if the nominees are not these 4 shows.

Rogerdellibovi said: "After years of trashing movie musicals and jukebox, if the voters don’t chose hadestown or the prom I’ll be upset. Especially considering those who said “I voted The Bands Visit as a protest vote” last year. Not trying to say TBV, tootsie or Ain’t Too Proud aren’t good or deserving of nominations but really?"

I get your argument but wasn't there a movie for The Bands Visit before the musical? Sure, maybe not as popular as Mean Girls or Frozen but its the same principle of basing it off something beforehand instead of being truly original which I believe The Prom and Hadestown are.

JBroadway said: "@Mike Barrett

I see what you’re saying, but I don’t agree that’s it’s the same principal. Shows like Mean Girls and Frozen are deliberately and successfully capitalizing on the recognition factor. Shows like The Band’s Visit are not.

Also:
And The Prom is “original” in the same way Gettin’ The Band Back Together is “original.” There’s a difference between being original, and not having source material.

For example, you just called Hadestown completely original even though it’s based on a Greek Myth. But it’s artistically original, which I think it’s THAT quality that people want more of. Not that we necessarily need more shows that have no source material. "

Artistically original is a great point. That is more of what I was getting at. It more seemed like last year they were awarding based on having no source material before, but looking for more original artistry is exactly what I was trying to say.

I never quite got the whole "source material vs no source material" argument...a good show is a good show. Adapted shows like West Side, Hello Dolly, Les Mis, Fun Home, and Hairspray can coexist in a world with Dear Evan Hansen, Book of Mormon, Rent, Follies, and Company. (You can argue that some titles have more artistic merits than others, but that's a separate conversation.)

JBroadway said: "Given his track record, a Tony Win prediction from Michael Riedel Pretty much guarantees that it WON’T win"

This was my favorite Riedel prediction:

"Anastasia musical might give Hamilton a run for its money"

https://nypost.com/2015/06/16/anastasia-musical-might-give-hamilton-a-run-for-its-money/

I think Block will be the only nomination for The Cher Show (aside from costumes and maybe something like lighting or sound design). Though I did think Michaela Diamond was particularly great and wouldn't argue with her getting recognized.

In general, critical and audience reactions to the show have been pretty lukewarm... it's a bit of a headscratcher for me that it keeps coming up so much in this thread. (Personally I will be pretty shocked if Jarrod Spector is nominated, especially with the strength of the supporting men in both Hadestown and Tootsie, not to mention Oklahoma, The Prom, and the generally-better-reviewed Ain't Too Proud.) I would even go out on a crazy limb and say that Block isn't a 100% guaranteed nomination, even though everyone here seems to think she's a shoo-in to win. I mean, I love her as much as the next person, and totally think she's a talented woman who's overdue for a Tony, but that doesn't mean I think she should automatically get the win for this role which for me was just... on the good side of fine, through no fault of her own.

Sorry about the word choice. I just remembered that it hadn't gotten any nominations, and I wondered if that would dull the show's momentum or not. While I haven't listened to the entire show yet, I have listened to a few songs, and I love what I've heard and hope the show does well. I just wanted to see a different perspective, since I hadn't seen anyone mention that, to put it your way, the nominators didn't "prefer" Hadestown.