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#126

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/26/15 at 10:40pm

I think Soo will end up in leading. All awards for the off-Broadway production had her in leading. On top of that, her role may not seem leading from stage time, but her role in the story is absolutely critical . Goldsberry is clearly supporting and she's giving a performance of a lifetime as Angelica Schuyler and deserves to be noted for that.

Odom is trickier for me. The role of Burr is the second largest and his presence is felt throughout the entire show. I don't know how the committee will go on that. As it's been said, it seems like he would be a lock for a nomination based on his reviews and the general acclaim.

In terms of featured male roles in Hamilton, I want Daveed Diggs there! His Jefferson is one of my favorite performances in the past 5 years. He hits the humor in it so well and has great chemistry on stage.

#127

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 11:28am

Definitely agreed re Diggs, especially in Act 2. I'm also hoping for a Christopher Jackson nomination.

As for Soo, her role has the impact of a lead role but she does not have the consistent presence in the show that Mueller, Benanti, Erivo and I'm assuming Salonga and McDonald have. There is no way she would win. Soo being in featured would be the best case scenario for everybody: Soo gets to start her career off as a Tony winner and Hamilton gets to add another award to its tally.

Odom, Jr. I feel would get nominated in either category (a lock in featured, might be tougher in lead) but still, I can't see him taking down Burstein or Walker at the moment. So again, best case scenario for everybody would be having him in featured.

#128

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 11:39am

I think Soo will be in leading (I'd be SHOCKED if she wasn't. She's clearly the female lead.). I don't think she's going to win in either category-they are both very tough. (I suspect Lea Salonga may be featured given what I have seen/heard of Allegiance.) Renee Elise Goldsberry will be there, as will Jennifer Hudson (and all the other Color Purple ladies except for Cynthia Erivo) and perhaps Krysta Rodriguez (who is supposed to be utterly incredible). In leading, Jessie Mueller, Laura Benanti, Audra McDonald and Cynthia Erivo are very strong coming out of the gate. We'll see.

Leslie Odom, Jr., IMO, does indeed belong in leading-he's the narrator and it is through his eyes that we see much of this unfold. I would love for him to win...he is able to give Burr (usually considered a 'villain' if you read enough biographies) a sympathetic edge. I think he's delivering the best performance in the show (largely an ensemble piece...and for that reason I suspect it'll nab a single acting Tony, MAYBE two...Daveed in featured. However, I still think George Takei may be able to win there.)

#129

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 12:23pm

Jesus Christ Superstar is told through the eyes of Judas Iscariot, and Ben Vereen & Josh Young were both nominated for Featured Actor in a Musical for their performances.

And isn't George Takei the star of Allegiance?

Updated On: 8/27/15 at 12:23 PM

#130

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 12:29pm

People are really underestimating Jane Krakowski's chances of getting a nomination as featured for SHE LOVES ME. She is note-perfect on the YouTube recording of the benefit reading and by all accounts was just as great live. The role of Ilona is one of the best character roles in the musical theatre canon too. I imagine the featured actress in a musical race this coming year will have more than 5 names.

"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"

#131

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 12:34pm

This season is shaping up NICELY already. And I'm sure there will be more surprises to come as we enter into fall.

#132

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 12:38pm

Jeffrey Karasarides said: "Jesus Christ Superstar is told through the eyes of Judas Iscariot, and Ben Vereen & Josh Young were both nominated for Featured Actor in a Musical for their performances.

And isn't George Takei the star of Allegiance?

George Takei is definitely a featured role unless they've changed the show a lot since San Diego

#133

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 7:20pm

"If only we could get zero pinto things, that'd be fvcking perfect.

If her acting in THE COLOR PURPLE is anything like her film acting, Jennifer Hudson can keep that mantle dirty and full of clutter."

This quote is the best!!! It had me rolling on the floor :)

#134

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/27/15 at 11:38pm

No one seems to have mentioned Ana Villafañe in the best actress category. She is, after all, playing the lead role in On Your Feet. Was her performance that underwhelming for those of you who caught her in the Chicago run?

#135

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/28/15 at 8:45am

I thought her singing and dancing were great but her acting is just passable. She certainly gives an enjoyable performance but with the stiff competition I think we're all expecting in that category it will be tough. If these other superstars live up to our expectations she's going to have a hard time getting into the mix, although it's certainly not out of the realm of possibility. I wouldn't say her performance was "that underwhelming" but I'd anticipate it will take a lot more than not being underwhelming to score a nom for any of the categories this year. I'd predict it will take a pretty stellar performance.

Updated On: 8/28/15 at 08:45 AM

#136

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 8/28/15 at 11:30am

Do we know anything about the leading vs. featured potential for all the men in Shuffle Along yet?

#137

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 11/12/15 at 3:53pm

The Committee announced the following:

Scott Pask and Peter Nigrini will be considered jointly eligible in the Best Scenic Design of a Play category for their work in An Act of God.

Lin-Manuel Miranda, Leslie Odom, Jr. and Phillipa Soo will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Hamilton.

Austin P. McKenzie and Sandra Mae Frank will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Spring Awakening.

Dane Laffrey and Lucy Mackinnon will be considered jointly eligible in the Best Scenic Design of a Musical category for their work in Spring Awakening.

Sam Rockwell and Nina Arianda will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Play categories for their respective performances in Fool for Love.

Robert Sella and Julie White will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Featured Role in a Play categories for their respective performances in Sylvia.

Cary Tedder and Eloise Kropp will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Dames at Sea.

Gabriel Ebert and Judith Light will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Featured Role in a Play categories for their respective performances in Thérèse Raquin.

Fool for Love and Sylvia will be considered eligible in the Best Revival of a Play category.

Dames at Sea will be considered eligible in the Best Revival of a Musical category.

Updated On: 11/12/15 at 03:53 PM

#138

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 11/12/15 at 4:13pm

So glad Leslie Odom, Jr is in leading. That's where he belongs and he deserves to win.

Don't think lead benefits Soo. Too many other strong lead women this year, and a good place to give an award to a show that is not Hamilton. I find her to be the weak link in the cast anyway.

#139

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 11/12/15 at 5:30pm

^Or they could give Leading Actor to someone else like Danny Burstein.

#140

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 11/12/15 at 6:54pm

As much as I'd love to see Soo win a Tony for Eliza (personally I thought she was the best out of the entire cast), I don't think she would have won in Featured or Leading. Featured would have split the votes with her and Renee. It will be a shame for her if Hamilton wins Leading Actor, Featured Actor and Featured Actress and not Leading Actress as it may very well do. Of course, she will be able to console herself with the fact that she's in Hamilton.

#141

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 4:32am

Would love any and all updates from the experts on this sites picks for 2016 nominees for best musical,

now that the winter shows are out?

my picks in order of most likely seem to be:

Hamilton(duh)

Shuffle Along

Waitress

On Your Feet

Pushing up against on your feet for the fourth spot could be:

School of Rock-throw ALW a bone at twilight of career? certainly strong reviews

Bright Star-different enough music to help it get a nom?

American Psycho-could be dark horse if they have improved show since london-fantastic cast!

Seemig not as likely in contention based on bway and out of town reviews

Tuck Everlasting-somehow just doesnt sound like nominee based on reviews

Allegiance-pretty mixed reviews

anything else likely to pop into a spring 2016 broadway launch?

#142

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 5:56am

Well, here' s what's happened so far.

Hamilton has continued it's reign as #1 musical. All categories are possible to win for them.
King Charles III and View From The Bridge will have a good shot at each category of play.
School of Rock and On Your Feet are in a similar place and will probably fight for the 4th nomination
The Humans and Eclipsed's Broadway transfers will tighten the Best New Play race.
Allegiance, Amazing Grace, China Doll, Old Times and Sylvia all are probably out of Best Musical/Play/Revival contention.

#143

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 9:01am

The way I see it thus far with everything that's opened

REVIVAL OF A PLAY

Likely: A View From The Bridge

Possible: Fool For Love, Sylvia, The Gin Game

Unlikely: Old Times

BEST PLAY

Likely: King Charles III

Possible: Therese Raquin

Unlikely: Misery, China Doll

REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL

Lock: The Color Purple

Likely: Spring Awakening

Unlikely: Dames at Sea

BEST MUSICAL

Lock: Hamilton

Likely: School of Rock

Possible: On Your Feet!

Unlikely: Alliegance, Amazing Grace

#144

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 10:33am

Right now I think Cynthia Erivo has a very good shot at the leading actress Tony. So many powerhouse ladies still to come this season that category will be impossible to predict, but her performance is really amazing.

#145

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 10:37am

Putting Soo in the Leading Actress category is pretty much a joke (she has no chance of winning). This actually puts her chances of even getting nominated very uncertain.

Updated On: 12/12/15 at 10:37 AM

#146

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 11:10am

I think it will be Hamilton up against School of Rock, American Psycho, and either Waitress or Tuck Everlasting. Unless they decide Shuffle Along is a new musical, but I feel like it will be considered a revival.

#147

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 12:28pm

Of all the shows that have opened this season so far (including off-Broadway shows making transfers in the spring), what do you guys think has the best chances of Tony nominations this spring?

Here's my list for now (I'll do some updating after Fiddler opens):

Best Musical:
Hamilton
On Your Feet!
School of Rock: The Musical

Best Play:
Eclipsed-Danai Gurira
The Humans-Stephen Karam
King Charles III-Mike Bartlett

Best Revival of a Musical:
The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
Spring Awakening

Best Revival of a Play:
A View From the Bridge

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical:
Alex Brightman-School of Rock: The Musical
Danny Burstein-Fiddler on the Roof
Austin P. McKenzie-Spring Awakening
Lin-Manuel Miranda-Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr.-Hamilton

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical:
Cynthia Erivo-The Color Purple
Phillipa Soo-Hamilton
Ana Villafane-On Your Feet!

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play:
Reed Birney-The Humans
Tim Pigott-Smith-King Charles III
Mark Strong-A View From the Bridge

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play:
Annaleigh Ashford-Sylvia
Jayne Houdyshell-The Humans
Laurie Metcalf-Misery
Lupita Nyong’o-Eclipsed

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical:
Daveed Diggs-Hamilton
Jonathan Groff-Hamilton
Christopher Jackson-Hamilton

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical:
Danielle Brooks-The Color Purple
Renee Elise Goldsberry-Hamilton
Jennifer Hudson-The Color Purple
Lesli Margherita-Dames at Sea

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play:
Richard Goulding-King Charles III

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play:
Phoebe Fox-A View From the Bridge
Nicola Walker-A View From the Bridge
Lydia Wilson-King Charles III

Best Direction of a Musical:
Michael Arden-Spring Awakening
John Doyle-The Color Purple
Thomas Kail-Hamilton

Best Direction of a Play:
Rupert Goold-King Charles III
Joe Mantello-The Humans
Liesl Tommy-Eclipsed
Ivo van Hove-A View From the Bridge

Best Original Score:
Hamilton-Music & Lyrics By Lin-Manuel Miranda
School of Rock: The Musical-Music By Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics By Glenn Slater

Best Book of a Musical:
Hamilton-Lin-Manuel Miranda
On Your Feet!-Alexander Dinelaris
School of Rock: The Musical-Julian Fellowes

Best Choreography:
Andy Blankenbuehler-Hamilton
JoAnn M. Hunter-School of Rock: The Musical
Spencer Liff-Spring Awakening
Hofesh Shechter-Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner-Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo-On Your Feet!

Best Orchestrations:
Joseph Joubert-The Color Purple
Alex Lacamoire-Hamilton
Andrew Lloyd Webber-School of Rock: The Musical

Best Lighting Design of a Musical:
Howell Binkley-Hamilton
Jane Cox-The Color Purple
Natasha Katz-School of Rock: The Musical
Kenneth Posner-On Your Feet!

Best Lighting Design of a Play:
Jon Clark-King Charles III
Jennifer Schriever-Eclipsed
Justin Townsend-The Humans
Jan Versweyveld-A View From the Bridge

Best Scenic Design of a Musical:
John Doyle-The Color Purple
David Korins-Hamilton

Best Scenic Design of a Play:
Beowulf Boritt-Therese Raquin
David Korins-Misery
Clint Ramos-Eclipsed
Tom Scutt-King Charles III
Jan Versweyveld-A View From the Bridge
David Zinn-The Humans

Best Costume Design of a Musical:
ESosa-On Your Feet!
Ann Hould-Ward-The Color Purple
Paul Tazewell-Hamilton

Best Costume Design of a Play:
Jane Greenwood-Therese Raquin
Clint Ramos-Eclipsed

Updated On: 12/12/15 at 12:28 PM

#148

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 12:29pm

Double post

Updated On: 12/12/15 at 12:29 PM

#149

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 4:23pm

If Phillipa had been put in featured, there is a strong chance that her and Renee would split the votes and neither of them would win. Renee has a strong chance of winning in featured without Phillipa there. I would be very surprised if Phillipa wasn't nominated in leading, she is still giving a brilliant performance in the most talked about show of the year.

#150

Way too early 2016 Tony predictions

Posted: 12/12/15 at 5:36pm

Phillipa probably will be nominated, but I don't think she should be. I don't think she could have been any blander or less memorable.

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