I think Soo will end up in leading. All awards for the off-Broadway production had her in leading. On top of that, her role may not seem leading from stage time, but her role in the story is absolutely critical . Goldsberry is clearly supporting and she's giving a performance of a lifetime as Angelica Schuyler and deserves to be noted for that.
Odom is trickier for me. The role of Burr is the second largest and his presence is felt throughout the entire show. I don't know how the committee will go on that. As it's been said, it seems like he would be a lock for a nomination based on his reviews and the general acclaim.
In terms of featured male roles in Hamilton, I want Daveed Diggs there! His Jefferson is one of my favorite performances in the past 5 years. He hits the humor in it so well and has great chemistry on stage.
Definitely agreed re Diggs, especially in Act 2. I'm also hoping for a Christopher Jackson nomination.
As for Soo, her role has the impact of a lead role but she does not have the consistent presence in the show that Mueller, Benanti, Erivo and I'm assuming Salonga and McDonald have. There is no way she would win. Soo being in featured would be the best case scenario for everybody: Soo gets to start her career off as a Tony winner and Hamilton gets to add another award to its tally.
Odom, Jr. I feel would get nominated in either category (a lock in featured, might be tougher in lead) but still, I can't see him taking down Burstein or Walker at the moment. So again, best case scenario for everybody would be having him in featured.
I think Soo will be in leading (I'd be SHOCKED if she wasn't. She's clearly the female lead.). I don't think she's going to win in either category-they are both very tough. (I suspect Lea Salonga may be featured given what I have seen/heard of Allegiance.) Renee Elise Goldsberry will be there, as will Jennifer Hudson (and all the other Color Purple ladies except for Cynthia Erivo) and perhaps Krysta Rodriguez (who is supposed to be utterly incredible). In leading, Jessie Mueller, Laura Benanti, Audra McDonald and Cynthia Erivo are very strong coming out of the gate. We'll see.
Leslie Odom, Jr., IMO, does indeed belong in leading-he's the narrator and it is through his eyes that we see much of this unfold. I would love for him to win...he is able to give Burr (usually considered a 'villain' if you read enough biographies) a sympathetic edge. I think he's delivering the best performance in the show (largely an ensemble piece...and for that reason I suspect it'll nab a single acting Tony, MAYBE two...Daveed in featured. However, I still think George Takei may be able to win there.)
Jesus Christ Superstar is told through the eyes of Judas Iscariot, and Ben Vereen & Josh Young were both nominated for Featured Actor in a Musical for their performances.
People are really underestimating Jane Krakowski's chances of getting a nomination as featured for SHE LOVES ME. She is note-perfect on the YouTube recording of the benefit reading and by all accounts was just as great live. The role of Ilona is one of the best character roles in the musical theatre canon too. I imagine the featured actress in a musical race this coming year will have more than 5 names.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "Jesus Christ Superstar is told through the eyes of Judas Iscariot, and Ben Vereen & Josh Young were both nominated for Featured Actor in a Musical for their performances.
And isn't George Takei the star of Allegiance?
"
George Takei is definitely a featured role unless they've changed the show a lot since San Diego
No one seems to have mentioned Ana Villafañe in the best actress category. She is, after all, playing the lead role in On Your Feet. Was her performance that underwhelming for those of you who caught her in the Chicago run?
I thought her singing and dancing were great but her acting is just passable. She certainly gives an enjoyable performance but with the stiff competition I think we're all expecting in that category it will be tough. If these other superstars live up to our expectations she's going to have a hard time getting into the mix, although it's certainly not out of the realm of possibility. I wouldn't say her performance was "that underwhelming" but I'd anticipate it will take a lot more than not being underwhelming to score a nom for any of the categories this year. I'd predict it will take a pretty stellar performance.
Scott Pask and Peter Nigrini will be considered jointly eligible in the Best Scenic Design of a Play category for their work in An Act of God.
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Leslie Odom, Jr. and Phillipa Soo will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Hamilton.
Austin P. McKenzie and Sandra Mae Frank will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Spring Awakening.
Dane Laffrey and Lucy Mackinnon will be considered jointly eligible in the Best Scenic Design of a Musical category for their work in Spring Awakening.
Sam Rockwell and Nina Arianda will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Play categories for their respective performances in Fool for Love.
Robert Sella and Julie White will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Featured Role in a Play categories for their respective performances in Sylvia.
Cary Tedder and Eloise Kropp will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical categories for their respective performances in Dames at Sea.
Gabriel Ebert and Judith Light will be considered eligible in the Best Performance by an Actor/Actress in a Featured Role in a Play categories for their respective performances in Thérèse Raquin.
Fool for Love and Sylvia will be considered eligible in the Best Revival of a Play category.
Dames at Sea will be considered eligible in the Best Revival of a Musical category.
So glad Leslie Odom, Jr is in leading. That's where he belongs and he deserves to win.
Don't think lead benefits Soo. Too many other strong lead women this year, and a good place to give an award to a show that is not Hamilton. I find her to be the weak link in the cast anyway.
As much as I'd love to see Soo win a Tony for Eliza (personally I thought she was the best out of the entire cast), I don't think she would have won in Featured or Leading. Featured would have split the votes with her and Renee. It will be a shame for her if Hamilton wins Leading Actor, Featured Actor and Featured Actress and not Leading Actress as it may very well do. Of course, she will be able to console herself with the fact that she's in Hamilton.
Right now I think Cynthia Erivo has a very good shot at the leading actress Tony. So many powerhouse ladies still to come this season that category will be impossible to predict, but her performance is really amazing.
Putting Soo in the Leading Actress category is pretty much a joke (she has no chance of winning). This actually puts her chances of even getting nominated very uncertain.
I think it will be Hamilton up against School of Rock, American Psycho, and either Waitress or Tuck Everlasting. Unless they decide Shuffle Along is a new musical, but I feel like it will be considered a revival.
Of all the shows that have opened this season so far (including off-Broadway shows making transfers in the spring), what do you guys think has the best chances of Tony nominations this spring?
Here's my list for now (I'll do some updating after Fiddler opens):
Best Musical: Hamilton On Your Feet! School of Rock: The Musical
Best Play: Eclipsed-Danai Gurira The Humans-Stephen Karam King Charles III-Mike Bartlett
Best Revival of a Musical: The Color Purple Fiddler on the Roof Spring Awakening
Best Revival of a Play: A View From the Bridge
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical: Alex Brightman-School of Rock: The Musical Danny Burstein-Fiddler on the Roof Austin P. McKenzie-Spring Awakening Lin-Manuel Miranda-Hamilton Leslie Odom, Jr.-Hamilton
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical: Cynthia Erivo-The Color Purple Phillipa Soo-Hamilton Ana Villafane-On Your Feet!
Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play: Reed Birney-The Humans Tim Pigott-Smith-King Charles III Mark Strong-A View From the Bridge
Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play: Annaleigh Ashford-Sylvia Jayne Houdyshell-The Humans Laurie Metcalf-Misery Lupita Nyong’o-Eclipsed
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical: Daveed Diggs-Hamilton Jonathan Groff-Hamilton Christopher Jackson-Hamilton
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical: Danielle Brooks-The Color Purple Renee Elise Goldsberry-Hamilton Jennifer Hudson-The Color Purple Lesli Margherita-Dames at Sea
Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play: Richard Goulding-King Charles III
Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play: Phoebe Fox-A View From the Bridge Nicola Walker-A View From the Bridge Lydia Wilson-King Charles III
Best Direction of a Musical: Michael Arden-Spring Awakening John Doyle-The Color Purple Thomas Kail-Hamilton
Best Direction of a Play: Rupert Goold-King Charles III Joe Mantello-The Humans Liesl Tommy-Eclipsed Ivo van Hove-A View From the Bridge
Best Original Score: Hamilton-Music & Lyrics By Lin-Manuel Miranda School of Rock: The Musical-Music By Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics By Glenn Slater
Best Book of a Musical: Hamilton-Lin-Manuel Miranda On Your Feet!-Alexander Dinelaris School of Rock: The Musical-Julian Fellowes
Best Choreography: Andy Blankenbuehler-Hamilton JoAnn M. Hunter-School of Rock: The Musical Spencer Liff-Spring Awakening Hofesh Shechter-Fiddler on the Roof Randy Skinner-Dames at Sea Sergio Trujillo-On Your Feet!
Best Orchestrations: Joseph Joubert-The Color Purple Alex Lacamoire-Hamilton Andrew Lloyd Webber-School of Rock: The Musical
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Howell Binkley-Hamilton Jane Cox-The Color Purple Natasha Katz-School of Rock: The Musical Kenneth Posner-On Your Feet!
Best Lighting Design of a Play: Jon Clark-King Charles III Jennifer Schriever-Eclipsed Justin Townsend-The Humans Jan Versweyveld-A View From the Bridge
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: John Doyle-The Color Purple David Korins-Hamilton
Best Scenic Design of a Play: Beowulf Boritt-Therese Raquin David Korins-Misery Clint Ramos-Eclipsed Tom Scutt-King Charles III Jan Versweyveld-A View From the Bridge David Zinn-The Humans
Best Costume Design of a Musical: ESosa-On Your Feet! Ann Hould-Ward-The Color Purple Paul Tazewell-Hamilton
Best Costume Design of a Play: Jane Greenwood-Therese Raquin Clint Ramos-Eclipsed
If Phillipa had been put in featured, there is a strong chance that her and Renee would split the votes and neither of them would win. Renee has a strong chance of winning in featured without Phillipa there. I would be very surprised if Phillipa wasn't nominated in leading, she is still giving a brilliant performance in the most talked about show of the year.