#326
Posted: 2/14/17 at 2:35pm
I always get confused by this rule but yeah it looks like only three slots.
Way too early 2017 Tony predictions — Page 14
#327
Posted: 2/16/17 at 8:15pm
So... who do we think will host? Corden was amazing, but I want to see new people too.
Caption: Every so often there was a rare moment of perfect balance when I soared above him.
#328
Posted: 2/16/17 at 10:48pm
icecreambenjamin said: "Even though it hasn't opened yet, Hello Dolly has some ridiculous buzz surrounding it. Only time will tell, but Dolly looks to be the frontrunner."
I don't think it's fair to call something a frontrunner when no one has even seen it yet. Sure, there's lots of anticipation for Hello, Dolly!, but that doesn't automatically mean it will live up to it. As I keep saying, Jerry Zaks' track record on Broadway has been pretty inconsistent as of late.
"Although, I saw the London production of Miss Saigon a couple of years ago and it's absolutely gorgeous, but the Tonys will probably want to award an American production of an American musical."
Should it really matter where the production/original material came from? I don't think so.
#329
Posted: 2/16/17 at 11:02pm
Should it really matter where the production/original material came from? I don't think so.
It shouldn't, but there's no denying it does.
#330
Posted: 2/16/17 at 11:04pm
Bumping this just so it's on the latest page.
Best Musical – Confirmed
Amélie
Anastasia
Bandstand
A Bronx Tale
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Holiday Inn
In Transit
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Paramour
War Paint
Best Play – Confirmed
A Doll's House, Part 2
The Encounter
Heisenberg
Indecent
Oh, Hello
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong
The Present
Significant Other
Sweat
Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Cats
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard
Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
The Cherry Orchard
The Front Page
The Glass Menagerie
Les Liaisons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation
TBD Ruling
Jitney (highly likely Play Revival)
Withdrawn Eligibility
Sunday in the Park with George
#331
Posted: 2/16/17 at 11:23pm
Will Lapine be eligible, having been nominated for the original? I don't believe so. I could (almost) imagine Price taking that slot for Sunset. As for Close and Gyllenhaal being out of the race, I'd be perfectly happy with Platt and either Midler or Noblezada (the latter two, addmitedly, sight unseen). But there are always some surprises, aren't there?
#332
Posted: 2/16/17 at 11:41pm
James Lapine is eligible for Best Direction of a Musical this year...
http://www.tonyawards.com/en_US/news/articles/2017-01-26/201701261485456775201.html
Plus, directors have been Tony nominated for the same show multiple times before such as...
Scott Ellis-She Loves Me
James Lapine-Into the Woods
Arthur Laurents-Gypsy
#333
Posted: 2/16/17 at 11:59pm
Thanks, Jeffrey, I stand corrected. But it makes me wonder why Close isn't eligible for a job she's done previously.
#334
Posted: 2/17/17 at 1:14am
Wilmingtom said: "Thanks, Jeffrey, I stand corrected. But it makes me wonder why Close isn't eligible for a job she's done previously.
"
Lapine didn't win for directing Falsettos, Close did. If he had won, I'm not sure if he'd still be eligible. It definitely was a different direction of the piece, but couldn't the same argument be made for actors who return to roles, but play it a different way.
#335
Posted: 2/21/17 at 12:18pm
Here are my predictions, winners in in italics.
Best Musical
Anastasia
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
SWITCHERS: War Paint, Charlie, Amelie, Bronx Tale?. **If anything beats DEH it'll be Come From away/Natasha
Best Play
Indecent
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong
Significant Other
Sweat
**Indecent and Oslo have a chance of sneaking in for the win.
Best Revival of a Musical – Confirmed
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard
**This will a super competitive category though.
Best Revival of a Play – Confirmed
Jitney
The Glass Menagerie
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
The Price
#336
Posted: 2/27/17 at 1:21am
Here are some of my early predictions (these are subject to change, and more categories will be added as I see shows. This is basically a rough draft):
Best Play
Indecent
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong
Sweat
Best Musical
Anastasia
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
(with either War Paint or Groundhog Day added, if there is a fifth)
Best Revival of a Play
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney (though I don't believe this has officially been categorized; but it should be in this category)
Present Laughter
Six Degrees of Separation
Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
(would love to see Sunset land a nomination though)
Leading Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Josh Groban, Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Andy Karl, Groundhog Day
Derek Klena, Anastasia
Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen
Leading Actress in a Musical
Christy Altomare, Anastasia
Christine Ebersole, War Paint
Patti LuPone, War Paint
Bette Midler, Hello, Dolly!
Eva Noblezada, Miss Saigon
Updated On: 2/27/17 at 01:21 AM
#337
Posted: 2/27/17 at 1:43am
After the insanity of tonight's Oscars, I'm ruling absolutely nothing out. Hell, In Transit could win for all I know!
#338
Posted: 2/27/17 at 10:01am
As wonderful as Jitney is, it won't win.
#339
Posted: 2/27/17 at 10:04am
August Wilson has a lot of love being thrown his way lately. That momentum could take Jitney to the win. The buzz around this production has been fairly good too. But I guess we'll find out.
Who's gonna host?!
Caption: Every so often there was a rare moment of perfect balance when I soared above him.
#340
Posted: 2/27/17 at 10:10am
BroadwayRox3588 said: "Here are some of my early predictions (these are subject to change, and more categories will be added as I see shows. This is basically a rough draft):
Best Play
Indecent
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong
Sweat
Best Musical
Anastasia
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
(with either War Paint or Groundhog Day added, if there is a fifth)
Best Revival of a Play
The Glass Menagerie
Jitney (though I don't believe this has officially been categorized; but it should be in this category)
Present Laughter
Six Degrees of Separation
Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
(would love to see Sunset land a nomination though)
Leading Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Josh Groban, Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
Andy Karl, Groundhog Day
Derek Klena, Anastasia
Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen
Leading Actress in a Musical
Christy Altomare, Anastasia
Christine Ebersole, War Paint
Patti LuPone, War Paint
Bette Midler, Hello, Dolly!
Eva Noblezada, Miss Saigon"
Here's my rough draft...
Best Musical
Anastasia
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
If There's a Fifth Slot: Groundhog Day
Best Play
Indecent
Oslo
Significant Other
Sweat
If There's a Fifth Slot: Heisenberg
Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Best Revival of a Play
Jitney
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
Six Degrees of Separation
Best Lead Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle-Charlie & the Chocolate Factory
Jon Jon Briones-Miss Saigon
Josh Groban-Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
Andy Karl-Groundhog Day
Ben Platt-Dear Evan Hansen
Best Lead Actress in a Musical
Christy Altomare-Anastasia
Denee Benton-Natasha, Pierre, & the Great Comet of 1812
Christine Ebersole-War Paint
Bette Midler-Hello, Dolly!
Eva Noblezada-Miss Saigon
Best Lead Actor in a Play
Denis Arndt-Heisenberg
Gideon Glick-Significant Other
John Benjamin Hickey-Six Degrees of Separation
Kevin Kline-Present Laughter
Jefferson Mays-Oslo
Best Lead Actress in a Play
Cate Blanchett-The Present
Jennifer Ehle-Oslo
Laura Linney-The Little Foxes
Cynthia Nixon-The Little Foxes
Mary-Louise Parker-Heisenberg
#341
Posted: 2/27/17 at 8:03pm
anyone have thoughts on In Transit? It's gotten fairly good reviews and my family members who saw it loved it. wondering if it has a shot of a non for anything?
“6 AM. The sky glows. Somewhere a bird chirps. I want to shoot it.” ~ Jonathan Larson, Tick...Tick..BOOM
#342
Posted: 2/27/17 at 8:39pm
In Transit won't be nominated for anything.
I am a firm believer in serendipity- all the random pieces coming together in one wonderful moment, when suddenly you see what their purpose was all along.
#343
Posted: 2/28/17 at 11:01am
I think that Stephanie J block will definitely get a nom for falsettos, I saw the show in December and I was blown away by her performance.
“6 AM. The sky glows. Somewhere a bird chirps. I want to shoot it.” ~ Jonathan Larson, Tick...Tick..BOOM
Updated On: 2/28/17 at 11:01 AM
#344
Posted: 2/28/17 at 11:28am
I wouldn't underestimate A BRONX TALE. It is doing well at the box office, got a rave from the Times, has a veteran team, and will tour well.
I could see the Best Musical category looking like this:
NATASHA, PIERRE, & THE GREAT COMET OF 1812
DEAR EVAN HANSEN
COME FROM AWAY
A BRONX TALE
(Plus one more.... more than likely a fifth slot this year)
Critics and audiences have both embraced the above musicals (assuming the Times will give come from away a rave) and it is starting to feel like the next set of musicals will all be competing for that final possible fifth slot. Amelie, Anastasia, Ground Hog Day, Charlie, or War Paint???
Charlie & The Chocolate Factory doesn't need Tony love to have a run, and if any of the other four have disappointing box office sales they are less and less likely to get the nomination.
There are so many new musicals opening in the next two months it feels like we could have a Tony ceremony for the first half of the season, and a whole new one in June.
#345
Posted: 2/28/17 at 2:24pm
Also, I was wondering if Gideon Glick will get a nom for Significant Other? Reviews are pretty good and my aunt said he was stunning.
“6 AM. The sky glows. Somewhere a bird chirps. I want to shoot it.” ~ Jonathan Larson, Tick...Tick..BOOM
#347
Posted: 3/1/17 at 9:03am
MadonnaMusical said: "I wouldn't underestimate A BRONX TALE. It is doing well at the box office, got a rave from the Times, has a veteran team, and will tour well."
There's no way A Bronx Tale is getting in for Best Musical. The overall critical response to it has been mixed, with some nice reviews thrown in. White Charles Isherwood did give it a NYT Critic's Pick, he still felt the show was flawed.
"I could see the Best Musical category looking like this:
NATASHA, PIERRE, & THE GREAT COMET OF 1812
DEAR EVAN HANSEN
COME FROM AWAY
A BRONX TALE
(Plus one more....more than likely a fifth slot this year)
Critics and audiences have both embraced the above musicals (assuming the Times will give come from away a rave) and it is starting to feel like the next set of musicals will all be competing for that final possible fifth slot. Amelie, Anastasia, Ground Hog Day, Charlie, or War Paint???
Charlie & The Chocolate Factory doesn't need Tony love to have a run, and if any of the other four have disappointing box office sales they are less and less likely to get the nomination."
Tony nominators only judge the shows on their artistic merits, not box office success.
Updated On: 3/1/17 at 09:03 AM
#348
Posted: 3/1/17 at 9:04am
"There's no way A Bronx Tale is getting in for Best Musical. "
Anything is possible.
#349
Posted: 3/1/17 at 9:26am
My current, totally meaningless predictions (just because it's that kind of a dreary Wednesday morning...):
Best Musical
Anastasia
Come from Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812
Fifth slot: either Groundhog Day or War Paint
Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard
Best Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle (Charlie and the Chocolate Factory)
Jon Jon Briones (Miss Saigon)
Josh Groban (The Great Comet)
Andy Karl (Groundhog Day)
Ben Platt (Dear Evan Hansen)
Best Actress in a Musical
Christy Altomare (Anastasia)
Christine Ebersole (War Paint)
Patti LuPone (War Paint)
Bette Midler (Hello, Dolly!)
Eva Noblezada (Miss Saigon)
Phillipa Soo (Amélie)
^^there are six leading ladies in there, but I'm having a damn hard time figuring out who could get nixed...
Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gavin Creel (Hello, Dolly!)
Lucas Steele (The Great Comet)
^^still struggling to think of potential nominees. Probably somebody from Falsettos? Chocolate Factory?
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Stephanie J. Block (Falsettos)
Jenn Colella (Come from Away)
Amber Grey (The Great Comet)
Rachel Bay Jones (Dear Evan Hansen)
Fifth slot: either Caroline O'Connor or Mary Beth Peil (Anastasia); maybe Brittain Ashford (The Great Comet)
#350
Posted: 3/1/17 at 9:49am
BroadwayConcierge said: "My current, totally meaningless predictions (just because it's that kind of a dreary Wednesday morning...):
Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Miss Saigon
Sunset Boulevard"
Unless there ends up being a close race between two shows in the nominating process within 3 votes or less, there will only be three nominees.
"Best Actress in a Musical
Christy Altomare (Anastasia)
Christine Ebersole (War Paint)
Patti LuPone (War Paint)
Bette Midler (Hello, Dolly!)
Eva Noblezada (Miss Saigon)
Phillipa Soo (Amélie)
^^there are six leading ladies in there, but I'm having a damn hard time figuring out who could get nixed..."
Hopefully, there will be a tie in the nominating process, so that they could expand the numbers. But why don't you have Denee Benton getting in?
"Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gavin Creel (Hello, Dolly!)
Lucas Steele (The Great Comet)
^^still struggling to think of potential nominees. Probably somebody from Falsettos? Chocolate Factory?"
Corbin Bleu? Andrew Rannells?
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