No one is speculating a Best Makeup nod, which I think is probably a sure bet (CLICK?)...
And as for the Golden Globes, we can count on SWEENEY (is it's at all good) and KNOCKED UP taking two of the spots. HAIRSPRAY will most likely take a spot. But KNOCKED UP has been much more critically acclaimed and will be honored, most likely. No other awards have honored Jud Aptaw's brilliant films, and I think the Golden Globes might celebrate by giving KNOCKED UP the award.
However, that all could change by awards season. KNOCKED UP could be completely forgotten or completely distasteful to voters.
BUT... I would say HAIRSPRAY's best bet for any acting nomination at the Oscars is for Christopher Walken in the supporting actor category. (He was nominated for CATCH ME IF YOU CAN for a role that was completely forgettable and won the SAG.)
Travolta will be considered leading, and New Line will campaign as such. Blonsky is up in the air, but something tells me that New Line will campaign her as leading. So, she will have a chance at a Golden Globe nomination.
I think SWEENEY, unfortunately, will become HAIRSPRAY biggest competition. I have a good feeling that SWEENEY will take directing, writing, and acting nods left and right, leaving HAIRSPRAY left out.
BUT... who knows? Pheiffer could pull of a nod at the Globes (come on, Ben Affleck in HOLLYWOODLAND?). Walken could take home another SAG, and in turn, create even more buzz for the film and his performance for the Oscars.
Those speculating that Allison Janney will be nominated are just being stupid. She's on the screen for about five minutes, and her performance is nowhere near the level of comedic power as Leslie Mann's brilliant (and award worthy) performance in KNOCKED UP.
If anyone takes a supporting actress nod, it will be Pheiffer. However, her chances are slim to none.
We can look for, however, a possible SAG nod and win for Best Ensemble, which may, in turn, create tons of new Oscar buzz. The SAGs love casts full of stars (BOBBY, anyone?).
As for Best Original Song, I would say COME SO FAR and LADIES CHOICE have a pretty good chance of getting a nod, but the latter may have some trouble with Efron's name attached to it. I don't know, but I have a feeling the Oscar voters still have a bad taste for anything HIGH SCHOOL MUSICAL.
A nod for Sound Mixing (and win) is pretty much a lock, unless SWEENEY pulls through with something spectacular. The Oscars like Sondheim (DICK TRACY...). Costumes are a possibility, although I found Tracy's WELCOME TO THE 60'S dress rather awful.
Brittany Snow, Elijah Kelly, Zac Efron, and Blonsky will all fair well at other awards like the MTV awards, Teen Choice, People's Choice, and the Nickelodeon Awards.
I wouldn't say Latifah has much of a chance of grabbing any nods. She had her moment to shine in CHICAGO, and was rewarded for it. Her performance in HAIRSPRAY is good, but not stellar.
I agree with everyone who has said this movie in NOT an Oscar movie. It has many things going against it. It is arriving very early in the season. It's a comedy. It's funny. It's a musical. It's a "teen-based" film. However, it does have it's stellar cast to give it an edge.
I think it all boils down to how good SWEENEY is. If SWEENEY and HAIRSPRAY are equally as good, SWEENEY will have the edge.
We shall see...
Updated On: 7/23/07 at 01:39 PM