Tony predictions -- will and should win- Page 3

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 11:51am

Yup. It's not like last year at all.

[funhamilton_rent]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 6:05pm

Sorry if some of my play predictions seem a bit off. I honestly have no idea about them, especially the tech ones.

 

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira

The Father Author: Florian Zeller

The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett (SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Musical

 

Bright Star

Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

School of Rock-The Musical

Shuffle Along

Waitress

 

Best Revival of a Play

 

Arthur Miller's The Crucible

Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)

Blackbird

Long Day's Journey Into Night (SHOULD WIN)

Noises Off

 

Best Revival of a Musical

 

The Color Purple

Fiddler on the Roof

She Loves Me (WILL WIN)

Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Book of a Musical

 

Bright Star - Steve Martin

Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes

Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

 

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

 

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell

Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater

Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

 

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL WIN)

Jeff Daniels, Blackbird

Frank Langella, The Father (SHOULD/MIGHT WIN)

Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III

Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

 

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Laurie Metcalf, Misery

Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed

Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible

Michelle Williams, Blackbird

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

 

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical

Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof

Zachary Levi, She Loves Me

Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton

Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

 

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 

Carmen Cusack, Bright Star

Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL WIN)

Jessie Mueller, Waitress

Phillipa Soo, Hamilton (SHOULD/MIGHT WIN)

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

 

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible

David Furr, Noises Off

Richard Goulding, King Charles III

Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

 

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed (SHOULD/MIGHT WIN)

Megan Hilty, Noises Off (WILL WIN)

Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans

Andrea Martin, Noises Off

Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

 

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress

Jonathan Groff, Hamilton

Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

 

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me

Jennifer Simard, Disaster! (Good luck now, Miss Simard)

Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

 

Best Scenic Design of a Play

 

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin

Christopher Oram, Hughie

Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)

David Zinn, The Humans (WILL WIN)

 

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

 

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho

David Korins, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

David Rockwell, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Costume Design of a Play

 

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL WIN)

Michael Krass, Noises Off

Clint Ramos, Eclipsed

Tom Scutt, King Charles III (SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Costume Design of a Musical

 

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting

Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me

Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Lighting Design of a Play

 

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Justin Townsend, The Humans

Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible

Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

 

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

Justin Townsend, American Psycho (SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Direction of a Play

 

Rupert Goold, King Charles III

Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Joe Mantello, The Humans

Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed

Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

 

Best Direction of a Musical

 

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

John Doyle, The Color Purple

Scott Ellis, She Loves Me

Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

 

Best Choreography

 

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Savion Glover, Shuffle Along (SHOULD/MIGHT WIN)

Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof

Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea (LOL not a chance)

Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

 

Best Orchestrations

 

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star

Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 

Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

[GreasedLightning]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 6:13pm

How many Tony voters do you know personally, neonlights and BwayConcierge? *eye eoll* 

[aaaaaa15]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 6:33pm

The difference between this year and last is that last year people were talking about who was going to win out of Kuhn and Lucas before the nominations even came out. This year Daveed has been the favorite for a while, and Groff and Jackson seemed like potential nominees but far from a sure thing.

I would be very surprised if Daveed didn't take that award home. 

[HBP]

Posted: 5/4/16 at 6:36pm

I love reading people's opinions of who should and will win these awards, but there's got to be a more user friendly polling format we could use! Anyone want to make it into a poll?

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 9:36am

GreasedLightning said: "How many Tony voters do you know personally, neonlights and BwayConcierge? *eye eoll* "

 

About five. How about you?

[Kad]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 10:38am

Predicted wins in bold, potential spoiler wins in italics.

Best Play


Eclipsed 
The Father
The Humans 
King Charles III

Best Musical


Bright Star
Hamilton 
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me 
Spring Awakening

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda 
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda 
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father 
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed 
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple 
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans 
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off 
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton 
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton 
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin 
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton 
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me 
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton 

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening 
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton 
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton 
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton 
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

 

I think the Play categories are really tough to predict this year, due to a high quality of work overall and there not being any clear frontrunner in most of the categories (especially performance). I feel may be underestimating how much voters like Eclipsed, which did well with nominators and seems well-liked. There is a sense of Houdyshell and Birney being "due" for award recognition,  both being historically very dependable and well-liked and in roles that people would feel good rewarding.  

Lead Actor and Actress in a play, I'm not sure. Lange has certainly made a massive career comeback and is delivering a respected performance. Lupita is young, glamorous, and chose this new play as her major starring role post-Oscar win. I think it's between them. Okonedo's performance has been divisive, and Williams and Metcalfe should be happy with their nominations.

As for Actor- I am really not sure, even of my prediction of Mark Strong. But I do think Strong and Byrne are the frontrunners. Langella is in a play that doesn't seem to have much popularity or traction; Daniels is dependable but this isn't a Tony win; and Pigott-Smith is in a play now long closed and seems to have dropped out of much discussion.

[Someone in a Tree2]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 12:15pm

Kad's predictions are closest to mine, but for the following exceptions: I still pray that the Tonys honor Ann Roth's costumes and Savion Glover's choreography for SHUFFLE ALONG.

 

 

 

 

[Kad]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 12:27pm

I did mark them both down as the most likely spoilers. It's just a question of how strong Hamilton's sweep will be (I think it will be quite strong).

I think of those two, Hamilton is more likely to lose Choreography. Despite being a very movement heavy piece, it doesn't manage the "wow" factor the way Glover's does. Glover also has several extended dance sequences, whereas Blankenbuehler does not.

On the flip side, I think Tazewell's costumes for Hamilton manage to hit an iconic cord, with a distinctive look that becomes instantly recognizable for the show. Roth's costumes for Shuffle Along are indeed gorgeous (and numerous!) and evoke and recreate the era superbly. But instantly iconic is a powerful thing to beat.

Updated On: 5/5/16 at 12:27 PM

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 1:17pm

Kad, your predictions are spot on. I do hope that Nyong'o beats Lange but I think Lange's status as a veteran actress will lead her to the win.

Choreography might be the most interesting race of the night, how cool is that?

[JBroadway]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 1:42pm

I'm putting the following in a spoiler box only because it's a petty rant and most people will not want to be bothered with it. Read at your own risk. 

 

 

Click Here To Toggle Rant-y Content

It makes me want to scream* with confusion and frustration that King Charles III is not the favorite to win every award they can possibly throw at it. To me, the fact that The Humans is likely to win Best Play instead of KC3 is analogous to School of Rock beating Hamilton for Best Musical (at least in terms of how I view the quality of the material -- I'm not taking the Hamilton-mania into account in that analogy).

I know King Charles III is closed and therefore has a disadvantage, but I'm just so befuddled by the fact that people find The Humans to be worthy of so much attention compared to KC3. I've held a minority opinion plenty of times in my life, but usually I can at least UNDERSTAND why the majority of people feel the way they do. The Humans certainly wasn't bad, but I'm just genuinely at a loss for why it has garnered this much attention. 

 

 

*not literally. I'm a sane person with my priorities straight. It's just very irritating to me. 

This is just my opinion. I know many disagree with me. I'm just venting. I'm sorry. 

Updated On: 5/5/16 at 01:42 PM

[Kad]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 1:51pm

I think a lot of people are finding a lot of resonance in The Humans' themes and its accurate depiction of contemporary American life. It is not a political play, but it depicts the things that make people hold the views they do. Given the current climate of the country, I am not surprised The Humans has found acclaim and audience favor.

[TFMH18]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 1:54pm

Am I the only person out there who thinks Carmen Cusack deserves to win over Cynthia Erivo? It's fine if I am but I am surprised-- Cusack's performance stayed with me for weeks. Erivo played the role stunningly, but I was still much more deeply affected by Cusack. 

For the record, I do "predict" Erivo will win, but I am not convinced she is the most deserving. 

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 1:57pm

I would agree with that. I think it's very easy for lots of people to see their own families represented in The Humans. In particular, Deirdre had an almost eerie resemblance to my mother. I also think King Charles III was an excellent play, but it's so heavily based on knowledge of British government and the history of the Windsors that I don't think most Americans find the play as compelling as a British audience might. 

[ACL2006]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 2:08pm

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira (SHOULD WIN)
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WILL WIN)
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett 

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN)
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple (SHOULD WIN)
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me (WILL WIN)
Spring Awakening

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father (WILL WIN)
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed 
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible (WILL WIN)
Michelle Williams, Blackbird (SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me 
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed (WILL WIN)
Megan Hilty, Noises Off 
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (SHOULD WIN)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (SHOULD WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin (WILL WIN)
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN)

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting (SHOULD WIN)
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me 
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge 

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans (SHOULD WIN)
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
John Doyle, The Color Purple (SHOULD WIN)
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (SHOULD WIN)
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

[Someone in a Tree2]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 2:09pm

Mystery to me why JBroadway would segregate his interesting and pertinent point in a spoiler box.

That said, I found KG3 for the most part an insufferable stunt of a play masquerading as a profound one. It pretended to be a brilliant rant on the state of the British obsession with the royals, but looked to me like a cabaret act extended to ridiculous limits that was really obsessed with its own "brilliance". I was glad when it was over.

THE HUMANS was not a perfect play, nor even a fully realized evening. But for me it was filled with well-spoken truths about family from first scene to the last. The focus was a small one, but boy was it well-observed and acted. Hope it wins Best Play.

Updated On: 5/5/16 at 02:09 PM

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 2:12pm

Someone in a Tree, I agree with you about King Charles. Assuming that's what you meant.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 8:19pm

Won't voters just get tired of marking off HAMILTON each time?

I think Musical Revival is a tough call. All 4 shows were warmly received. But I think SPRING AWAKENING has a good shot because it was a production that broke barriers, and was beautifully Acted and Directed.

As good as FIDDLER and SHE LOVES ME are, they are pretty "by the book" revivals. THE COLOR PURPLE re-imagined the show and totally succeeded, but SPRING AWAKENING was really special. And since Arden winning Best Director would be a major upset, Revival is a good way to honor everyone's excellent work.

Does anyone have way to find out if Arden is the youngest nominee ever in his category?

 

[JBroadway]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 10:55pm

CurtainPullDowner said: "Does anyone have way to find out if Arden is the youngest nominee ever in his category?"

 

Yes, I'll tell you right now: he's not. Tommy Kail was nominated for In the Heights at the age of thirty (Arden is 33). And that's just off the top of my head. I'll bet there are a handful more, possibly some in their 20s.

 

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 5/5/16 at 11:11pm

Thanks

[JBroadway]

Posted: 6/7/16 at 11:10am

So now that we're approaching Tony Sunday, and all the other awards have come out. I'm really curious to see what people's final predictions are, particular in some of the less obvious categories. Here are mine, though I still have some question marks. I'm really curious to hear people weigh in on the categories I am unsure about. 

 

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WILL WIN)
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett (SHOULD WIN)

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN/WILL WIN)
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple (WILL WIN)
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me 
Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL WIN)
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed (SHOULD WIN)
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL WIN?)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed 
Megan Hilty, Noises Off (WILL WIN?)
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (WILL WIN?)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed (WILL WIN?)

--I'll be happy either way


Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton (SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin (SHOULD WIN/WILL WIN?)
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN?)
David Zinn, The Humans (WILL WIN?)

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN/WILL WIN?)

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (SHOULD WIN)
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL WIN?)

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III (SHOULD WIN)
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans (WILL WIN?)
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN?)

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (SHOULD WIN/WILL WIN?)
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Updated On: 6/7/16 at 11:10 AM

[wonderfulwizard11]

Posted: 6/7/16 at 11:21am

I will be very surprised if Hilty wins. She was great in Noises Off, but I don't get the sense that the production has really been on anyone's radar since it closed. I think it's between Sengbloh and Houdyshell, with Houdyshell having the edge, given her multiple nominations and veteran status. Still, Sengbloh was, for me, the absolute standout of Eclipsed and had the most moving arc of all the women, so if the voters want to give a nod to Eclipsed in some way, I wouldn't be surprised to see her take it. 

[peacelovemagic1]

Posted: 6/7/16 at 11:38am

Best Play

Eclipsed (SHOULD WIN)
The Father
The Humans (WILL WIN)
King Charles III 

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN/WILL WIN)
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple 
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me (WILL WIN)

Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father 
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL WIN)
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed (SHOULD WIN)
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL WIN)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible 
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed (SHOULD WIN)

Megan Hilty, Noises Off 
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (WILL WIN)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed 

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton 
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin 
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
David Zinn, The Humans 

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN/MIGHT WIN?)

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (MIGHT WIN)
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III 
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans (WILL WIN)
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD/MIGHT WIN)

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN) 
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed (COULD WIN)
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me 
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed